(AEO) American Eagle Outfitters - Overview
Stock: Jeans, Apparel, Accessories, Intimates, Activewear
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.77% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.29% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -11.50% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 43.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.45% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.87 |
| Alpha | 32.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.677 |
| Beta Downside | 1.152 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 63.13% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.30 |
Description: AEO American Eagle Outfitters January 13, 2026
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (NYSE:AEO) is a multi-brand specialty retailer headquartered in Pittsburgh, operating in the United States and internationally. Its portfolio includes the core American Eagle line of denim and apparel for men and women, the Aerie and OFFLINE by Aerie intimate and active-wear collections, the Todd Snyder New York menswear line, and the Unsubscribed fashion brand.
The company reaches consumers through a mix of owned and licensed brick-and-mortar stores, shop-in-shop concessions, wholesale partners, and direct-to-consumer digital channels (ae.com, aerie.com, toddsnyder.com, unsubscribed.com). This omnichannel approach supports both foot-traffic and online growth.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 net revenue reached approximately $4.3 billion, with comparable-store sales up about 6% year-over-year, driven largely by Aerie’s 12% sales acceleration. Digital sales now represent roughly 30% of total revenue, reflecting the industry-wide shift toward e-commerce.
Macro drivers influencing AEO include teenage and young-adult discretionary spending trends, which are sensitive to inflation and employment rates, as well as the broader “fast-fashion” competitive landscape that pressures margin compression.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you may find the ValueRay platform’s AEO dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 208.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.15% < 20% (prev 8.98%; Δ 1.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 424.0m > Net Income 208.4m |
| Net Debt (1.86b) to EBITDA (515.5m): 3.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (172.9m) vs 12m ago -11.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.93% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3258 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 134.8% > 50% (prev 144.6%; Δ -9.85% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 72.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 515.5m / Interest Expense TTM 4.06m) |
Altman Z'' 4.29
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 1.40b - Total Current Liabilities 854.8m) / Total Assets 4.19b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 2.49b / Total Assets 4.19b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 293.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.96b) |
| D: 0.96 (Book Value of Equity 2.46b / Total Liabilities 2.56b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.29 = AA |
Beneish M -2.95
| DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 245.3m/214.1m, Revenue 5.34b/5.40b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 32.93% / 35.18%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 5.34b / 5.40b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 208.4m - CFO 424.0m) / TA 4.19b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of AEO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.93%, over one month by -15.33%, over three months by +43.78% and over the past year by +53.62%.
Is AEO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AEO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 25.8 | 8.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 25.8 | 8.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 27.8 | 16.9% |
AEO Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 15.528
P/S = 0.7399
P/B = 2.4311
P/EG = 38.27
Revenue TTM = 5.34b USD
EBIT TTM = 293.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 515.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 210.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 319.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.86b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.81b USD (3.95b + Debt 1.97b - CCE 112.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 72.15 (Ebit TTM 293.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.06m)
EV/FCF = 20.07x (Enterprise Value 5.81b / FCF TTM 289.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.98% (FCF TTM 289.5m / Enterprise Value 5.81b)
FCF Margin = 5.42% (FCF TTM 289.5m / Revenue TTM 5.34b)
Net Margin = 3.90% (Net Income TTM 208.4m / Revenue TTM 5.34b)
Gross Margin = 32.93% ((Revenue TTM 5.34b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.61% (prev 34.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 5.81b / Total Assets 4.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 2.14m / Debt 1.97b)
Taxrate = 26.68% (33.2m / 124.6m)
NOPAT = 214.9m (EBIT 293.2m * (1 - 26.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 1.40b / Total Current Liabilities 854.8m)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 1.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.60 (Net Debt 1.86b / EBITDA 515.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.42 (Net Debt 1.86b / FCF TTM 289.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.26% (Net Income 208.4m / Total Assets 4.19b)
RoE = 13.00% (Net Income TTM 208.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.60b)
RoCE = 16.17% (EBIT 293.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.60b + L.T.Debt 210.0m))
RoIC = 12.40% (NOPAT 214.9m / Invested Capital 1.73b)
WACC = 8.10% (E(3.95b)/V(5.92b) * Re(12.10%) + D(1.97b)/V(5.92b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 12.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.28% ; FCFF base≈250.6m ; Y1≈175.9m ; Y5≈91.8m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.73b - Net Debt 1.86b = -131.8m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-34.97%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 1.60 | EPS CAGR: -8.62% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 11.48 | Revenue CAGR: -2.66% | SUE: 1.80 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.72 | Chg30d=+0.095 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+28.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%