Overview Dividends

(AES) The AES - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US00130H1059

Electricity, Renewables, Utilities, Storage

AES EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 16.74%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 36.7%

AES Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 3.36%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -18.4%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	44.2%
Value at Risk 5%th	66.2%
Relative Tail Risk	-8.89%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.31
Alpha	-5.43

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.534
Beta	1.056
Beta Downside	1.320

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	63.43%
Mean DD	38.17%
Median DD	39.48%

Description: AES The AES November 04, 2025

The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) is a vertically integrated power generation and utility firm that develops, owns, and operates a diversified mix of generation assets-including coal, natural-gas, hydro, wind, solar, biomass, energy-storage, and landfill-gas facilities-to sell electricity to utilities, industrial customers, and end-users across the United States and select international markets.

Its generation portfolio totals roughly 32 GW of capacity, serving about 2.7 million customers through both wholesale power sales and regulated distribution operations. The company’s legacy dates to 1981 (originally Applied Energy Services) and it rebranded to AES in 2000, with headquarters in Arlington, Virginia.

Key recent metrics: AES reported FY 2023 adjusted EBITDA of approximately $3.2 billion and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 3.5×, reflecting its ongoing balance-sheet deleveraging. The firm’s renewable share has risen to ~30 % of total capacity, driven by global decarbonisation mandates and U.S. tax incentives for clean energy. A material sector driver is the volatility in natural-gas prices, which can compress margins for its gas-fired fleet while simultaneously boosting the economics of its wind and solar projects.

For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst tools to see how these fundamentals translate into valuation scenarios.

AES Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	10,062m
Sub-Industry	Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
IPO / Inception	1991-06-25
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-8.59%
Analyst Rating	3.60 of 5

AES Dividends

Dividend Yield	5.09%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.97%
Yield CAGR 5y	4.88%
Payout Consistency	46.1%
Payout Ratio	34.0%

AES Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	-17.22%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	-0.27
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	-0.45
Current Volume	7610.8k
Average Volume	7859.2k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (1.14b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 725.6m TTM)

FCFTA -0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -21.61% (prev -15.05%; Δ -6.56pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.91b > Net Income 1.14b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (29.09b) to EBITDA (3.38b) ratio: 8.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (714.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 16.94% (prev 19.43%; Δ -2.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 23.98% (prev 24.53%; Δ -0.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.44 (EBITDA TTM 3.38b / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -0.04

(A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 6.82b - Total Current Liabilities 9.43b) / Total Assets 50.78b

(B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 555.0m / Total Assets 50.78b

(D) -0.01 = Book Value of Equity -253.0m / Total Liabilities 40.25b

Total Rating: -0.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 39.49

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0

2. FCF Yield -5.67% = -2.83

3. FCF Margin -18.31% = -6.87

4. Debt/Equity 7.98 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 8.61 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.58)% = 3.23

7. RoE 31.65% = 2.50

8. Rev. Trend -18.37% = -1.38

9. EPS Trend 36.71% = 1.84

What is the price of AES shares?

As of November 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 13.82 with a total of 7,610,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.19%, over one month by -2.74%, over three months by +8.16% and over the past year by +4.78%.

Is The AES a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, The AES (NYSE:AES) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 39.49 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AES is around 13.25 USD . This means that AES is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.12%.

Is AES a buy, sell or hold?

The AES has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefor, it is recommend to hold AES.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 3
Hold: 5
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 2

What are the forecasts/targets for the AES price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	15.2	10.1%
Analysts Target Price	15.2	10.1%
ValueRay Target Price	14	1.2%

AES Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 10.06b (10.06b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.2961
P/E Forward = 6.1843
P/S = 0.832
P/B = 3.0202
P/EG = 1.0921
Beta = 1.003
Revenue TTM = 12.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.99b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 25.43b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 4.39b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 29.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 39.09b USD (10.06b + Debt 30.85b - CCE 1.82b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.44 (Ebit TTM 1.99b / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b)
FCF Yield = -5.67% (FCF TTM -2.21b / Enterprise Value 39.09b)
FCF Margin = -18.31% (FCF TTM -2.21b / Revenue TTM 12.09b)
Net Margin = 9.38% (Net Income TTM 1.14b / Revenue TTM 12.09b)
Gross Margin = 16.94% ((Revenue TTM 12.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.93% (prev 15.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 39.09b / Total Assets 50.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 348.0m / Debt 30.85b)
Taxrate = -69.11% (out of range, set to none) (-226.0m / 327.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.72 (Total Current Assets 6.82b / Total Current Liabilities 9.43b)
Debt / Equity = 7.98 (Debt 30.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.87b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.61 (Net Debt 29.09b / EBITDA 3.38b)
Debt / FCF = -13.13 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 29.09b / FCF TTM -2.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.23% (Net Income 1.14b / Total Assets 50.78b)
RoE = 31.65% (Net Income TTM 1.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.59b)
RoCE = 6.84% (EBIT 1.99b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.59b + L.T.Debt 25.43b))
RoIC = 5.02% (EBIT 1.99b / (Assets 50.78b - Curr.Liab 9.43b - Cash 1.82b))
WACC = 2.44% (E(10.06b)/V(40.91b) * Re(9.91%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.23%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.21b)
EPS Correlation: 36.71 | EPS CAGR: 16.74% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -18.37 | Revenue CAGR: 3.36% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 1

Additional Sources for AES Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle