(AES) The AES - Overview
Stock: Company markets renewables plus conventional base plus storage utility wholesale retail under AES brand name
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.31 |
| Alpha | 52.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.856 |
| Beta Downside | 1.832 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 58.35% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: AES The AES February 27, 2026
The AES Corporation (NYSE: AES) is a global power generation and utility firm that owns and operates a diversified mix of assets-including coal, gas, hydro, wind, solar, biomass and energy-storage facilities-to produce and sell electricity to utilities, industrial customers and end-users across the United States and internationally.
As of the latest FY 2025 results, AES reported revenue of $13.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 billion, with its renewable portfolio now representing roughly 45 % of its 32,109 MW generation capacity. The company serves about 2.7 million customers and has expanded its energy-storage footprint to 1.2 GW, positioning it for growth in ancillary services markets.
Key sector drivers include accelerating decarbonization mandates, rising demand for grid-flexibility solutions, and favorable tax credits that are boosting investment in offshore wind and battery storage. Additionally, higher natural-gas prices and tighter emissions regulations are prompting utilities to shift toward AES’s cleaner-fuel assets.
For a deeper dive into AES’s valuation and risk profile, you might want to explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 1.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.03 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -21.61% < 20% (prev -15.05%; Δ -6.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 3.91b > Net Income 1.14b |
| Net Debt (29.09b) to EBITDA (3.83b): 7.59 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.72 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (714.0m) vs 12m ago 0.14% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.94% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 1675 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 23.98% > 50% (prev 24.53%; Δ -0.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.77 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.83b / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b) |
Altman Z'' 0.02
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 6.82b - Total Current Liabilities 9.43b) / Total Assets 50.78b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 555.0m / Total Assets 50.78b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.44b / Avg Total Assets 50.43b) |
| D: -0.01 (Book Value of Equity -253.0m / Total Liabilities 40.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.02 = B |
Beneish M -2.97
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 1.79b/1.87b, Revenue 12.09b/12.28b) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 16.94% / 19.43%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 12.09b / 12.28b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.14b - CFO 3.91b) / TA 50.78b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of AES shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.66%, over one month by +17.19%, over three months by +24.36% and over the past year by +76.00%.
Is AES a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the AES price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.5 | -10.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.5 | -10.1% |
AES Fundamental Data Overview March 01, 2026
P/E Forward = 6.1843
P/S = 0.9568
P/B = 3.0202
P/EG = 1.0921
Revenue TTM = 12.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.44b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.83b USD
Long Term Debt = 26.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.39b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 29.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 40.66b USD (11.57b + Debt 30.85b - CCE 1.76b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.77 (Ebit TTM 2.44b / Interest Expense TTM 1.38b)
EV/FCF = -18.36x (Enterprise Value 40.66b / FCF TTM -2.21b)
FCF Yield = -5.45% (FCF TTM -2.21b / Enterprise Value 40.66b)
FCF Margin = -18.31% (FCF TTM -2.21b / Revenue TTM 12.09b)
Net Margin = 9.38% (Net Income TTM 1.14b / Revenue TTM 12.09b)
Gross Margin = 16.94% ((Revenue TTM 12.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.93% (prev 15.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 40.66b / Total Assets 50.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 348.0m / Debt 30.85b)
Taxrate = 28.97% (226.0m / 780.0m)
NOPAT = 1.73b (EBIT 2.44b * (1 - 28.97%))
Current Ratio = 0.72 (Total Current Assets 6.82b / Total Current Liabilities 9.43b)
Debt / Equity = 7.98 (Debt 30.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.87b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.59 (Net Debt 29.09b / EBITDA 3.83b)
Debt / FCF = -13.13 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 29.09b / FCF TTM -2.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.25% (Net Income 1.14b / Total Assets 50.78b)
RoE = 31.65% (Net Income TTM 1.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.59b)
RoCE = 8.11% (EBIT 2.44b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.59b + L.T.Debt 26.46b))
RoIC = 5.13% (NOPAT 1.73b / Invested Capital 33.77b)
WACC = 3.06% (E(11.57b)/V(42.42b) * Re(9.07%) + D(30.85b)/V(42.42b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.23%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -2.21b)
EPS Correlation: 7.32 | EPS CAGR: -35.71% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 4.03 | Revenue CAGR: 5.21% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.46 | Chg7d=-0.008 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg7d=+0.010 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+7.2% | Growth Revenue=+0.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -0.3% (Discount Rate 9.1% - Earnings Yield 9.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +5.3% (Analyst 5.0% - Implied -0.3%)