(AES) The AES - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US00130H1059
Stock: Power Generation, Utilities, Renewables
Total Rating 44
Risk 65
Buy Signal -0.93
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.62 |
| Alpha | 2.91 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.152 |
| Beta Downside | 0.608 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 58.35% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.19 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: AES The AES February 27, 2026
The AES Corporation (NYSE: AES) is a global power generation and utility firm that owns and operates a diversified mix of assets-including coal, gas, hydro, wind, solar, biomass and energy-storage facilities-to produce and sell electricity to utilities, industrial customers and end-users across the United States and internationally.
As of the latest FY 2025 results, AES reported revenue of $13.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 billion, with its renewable portfolio now representing roughly 45 % of its 32,109 MW generation capacity. The company serves about 2.7 million customers and has expanded its energy-storage footprint to 1.2 GW, positioning it for growth in ancillary services markets.
Key sector drivers include accelerating decarbonization mandates, rising demand for grid-flexibility solutions, and favorable tax credits that are boosting investment in offshore wind and battery storage. Additionally, higher natural-gas prices and tighter emissions regulations are prompting utilities to shift toward AES’s cleaner-fuel assets.
For a deeper dive into AES’s valuation and risk profile, you might want to explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Renewable energy project pipeline drives future revenue growth
- Commodity price volatility impacts generation costs
- Regulatory changes in power markets affect profitability
- Interest rate hikes increase financing costs for new projects
- Utility rate cases determine distribution segment earnings
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 897.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.65 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -16.27% < 20% (prev -14.17%; Δ -2.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 4.31b > Net Income 897.0m |
| Net Debt (28.25b) to EBITDA (3.79b): 7.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.77 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (714.0m) vs 12m ago 0.14% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.13% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 1.79k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 24.67% > 50% (prev 25.90%; Δ -1.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.68 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.79b / Interest Expense TTM 1.39b) |
Altman Z'' 0.10
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 6.50b - Total Current Liabilities 8.49b) / Total Assets 51.77b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 641.0m / Total Assets 51.77b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.34b / Avg Total Assets 49.59b) |
| D: -0.00 (Book Value of Equity -48.0m / Total Liabilities 39.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.10 = B |
Beneish M -3.08
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 1.75b/1.65b, Revenue 12.23b/12.28b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 18.13% / 18.84%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 12.23b / 12.28b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 897.0m - CFO 4.31b) / TA 51.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of AES shares?
As of March 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.23 with a total of 7,850,415 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.28%, over one month by -12.84%, over three months by +3.59% and over the past year by +22.16%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.28%, over one month by -12.84%, over three months by +3.59% and over the past year by +22.16%.
Is AES a buy, sell or hold?
The AES has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AES.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the AES price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.3 | 7.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.3 | 7.7% |
AES Fundamental Data Overview March 14, 2026
P/E Trailing = 9.3709
P/E Forward = 6.1576
P/S = 0.8237
P/B = 2.62
P/EG = 1.0921
Revenue TTM = 12.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 26.46b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 3.15b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 28.25b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.16b USD (10.08b + Debt 30.33b - CCE 2.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.68 (Ebit TTM 2.34b / Interest Expense TTM 1.39b)
EV/FCF = -23.51x (Enterprise Value 38.16b / FCF TTM -1.62b)
FCF Yield = -4.25% (FCF TTM -1.62b / Enterprise Value 38.16b)
FCF Margin = -13.27% (FCF TTM -1.62b / Revenue TTM 12.23b)
Net Margin = 7.33% (Net Income TTM 897.0m / Revenue TTM 12.23b)
Gross Margin = 18.13% ((Revenue TTM 12.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.99% (prev 21.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 38.16b / Total Assets 51.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 373.0m / Debt 30.33b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.85b (EBIT 2.34b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 6.50b / Total Current Liabilities 8.49b)
Debt / Equity = 4.40 (Debt 30.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.45 (Net Debt 28.25b / EBITDA 3.79b)
Debt / FCF = -17.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 28.25b / FCF TTM -1.62b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.40b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.81% (Net Income 897.0m / Total Assets 51.77b)
RoE = 20.40% (Net Income TTM 897.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.40b)
RoCE = 7.57% (EBIT 2.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.40b + L.T.Debt 26.46b))
RoIC = 5.41% (NOPAT 1.85b / Invested Capital 34.13b)
WACC = 3.26% (E(10.08b)/V(40.40b) * Re(10.16%) + D(30.33b)/V(40.40b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.31%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.62b)
EPS Correlation: 49.56 | EPS CAGR: 43.33% | SUE: 2.82 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -13.46 | Revenue CAGR: 2.25% | SUE: -0.97 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg7d=-0.123 | Chg30d=-0.123 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.29 | Chg7d=-0.042 | Chg30d=-0.031 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-2.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.38 | Chg7d=-0.014 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -0.5% (Discount Rate 10.2% - Earnings Yield 10.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +7.0% (Analyst 6.4% - Implied -0.5%)
P/E Forward = 6.1576
P/S = 0.8237
P/B = 2.62
P/EG = 1.0921
Revenue TTM = 12.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 26.46b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 3.15b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 28.25b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.16b USD (10.08b + Debt 30.33b - CCE 2.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.68 (Ebit TTM 2.34b / Interest Expense TTM 1.39b)
EV/FCF = -23.51x (Enterprise Value 38.16b / FCF TTM -1.62b)
FCF Yield = -4.25% (FCF TTM -1.62b / Enterprise Value 38.16b)
FCF Margin = -13.27% (FCF TTM -1.62b / Revenue TTM 12.23b)
Net Margin = 7.33% (Net Income TTM 897.0m / Revenue TTM 12.23b)
Gross Margin = 18.13% ((Revenue TTM 12.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.99% (prev 21.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 38.16b / Total Assets 51.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 373.0m / Debt 30.33b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.85b (EBIT 2.34b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 6.50b / Total Current Liabilities 8.49b)
Debt / Equity = 4.40 (Debt 30.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.45 (Net Debt 28.25b / EBITDA 3.79b)
Debt / FCF = -17.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 28.25b / FCF TTM -1.62b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.40b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.81% (Net Income 897.0m / Total Assets 51.77b)
RoE = 20.40% (Net Income TTM 897.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.40b)
RoCE = 7.57% (EBIT 2.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.40b + L.T.Debt 26.46b))
RoIC = 5.41% (NOPAT 1.85b / Invested Capital 34.13b)
WACC = 3.26% (E(10.08b)/V(40.40b) * Re(10.16%) + D(30.33b)/V(40.40b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.31%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.62b)
EPS Correlation: 49.56 | EPS CAGR: 43.33% | SUE: 2.82 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -13.46 | Revenue CAGR: 2.25% | SUE: -0.97 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg7d=-0.123 | Chg30d=-0.123 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.29 | Chg7d=-0.042 | Chg30d=-0.031 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-2.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.38 | Chg7d=-0.014 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -0.5% (Discount Rate 10.2% - Earnings Yield 10.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +7.0% (Analyst 6.4% - Implied -0.5%)