(AESI) Atlas Energy Solutions - Ratings and Ratios
Sand, Proppant, Logistics
AESI EPS (Earnings per Share)
AESI Revenue
Description: AESI Atlas Energy Solutions
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (NYSE:AESI) is an oil and gas exploration and production company based in the United States. The companys stock performance is closely tied to the fluctuations in the energy market, with its valuation influenced by factors such as crude oil prices, production levels, and operational efficiency.
To evaluate AESIs financial health, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margin, and return on equity (ROE) are crucial. Currently, the companys ROE stands at 3.09%, indicating a relatively low return on shareholders equity. However, the forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20.96 suggests that investors expect improved earnings in the future.
The oil and gas exploration and production industry is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, including global demand for energy, geopolitical tensions, and the overall state of the economy. Key economic drivers for AESI include the price of crude oil, drilling activity, and the companys ability to manage its production costs and capital expenditures effectively.
AESIs market capitalization of $2.085 billion and a beta of 1.144 indicate a moderate level of systematic risk. The companys stock price has experienced significant volatility, with a 52-week high of $24.27 and a low of $11.72. Understanding the factors driving this volatility is essential for investors seeking to make informed decisions.
To further analyze AESIs potential, it is essential to examine its income statement, particularly the income tax expense, to understand the companys tax obligations and their impact on its net income. Additionally, analyzing the companys cash flow statement and its ability to generate free cash flow will provide insights into its financial flexibility and ability to invest in growth opportunities.
AESI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,796m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2023-03-09 |
AESI Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -60.1% |
| Fundamental | 43.9% |
| Dividend Rating | 77.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -54.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.75 of 5 |
AESI Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 7.02% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.55% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 32.50% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 6.0% |
AESI Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -87.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -83.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -12.6% |
| CAGR 5y | -11.73% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.77 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.32 |
| Alpha | 0.00 |
| Beta | 0.713 |
| Volatility | 39.69% |
| Current Volume | 1273.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1333.1k |
| Stop Loss | 10.5 (-5%) |
| Signal | -0.79 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (14.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 69.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.30% (prev 16.15%; Δ -5.85pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 237.2m > Net Income 14.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (473.7m) to EBITDA (226.6m) ratio: 2.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.56 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (123.7m) change vs 12m ago 10.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.04% (prev 34.88%; Δ -16.84pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 54.94% (prev 39.29%; Δ 15.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.39 (EBITDA TTM 226.6m / Interest Expense TTM 50.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.56
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 334.5m - Total Current Liabilities 214.7m) / Total Assets 2.25b |
| (B) -0.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.34m / Total Assets 2.25b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 69.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.12b |
| (D) -0.00 = Book Value of Equity -3.10m / Total Liabilities 976.4m |
| Total Rating: 0.56 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.85
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -5.22% = -2.61 |
| 3. FCF Margin -10.11% = -3.79 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 = 2.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.36 = -0.69 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.88)% = -4.85 |
| 7. RoE 1.20% = 0.10 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 89.20% = 6.69 |
| 9. EPS Trend -68.18% = -3.41 |
What is the price of AESI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.66%, over one month by -2.21%, over three months by -22.82% and over the past year by -45.93%.
Is Atlas Energy Solutions a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AESI is around 10.39 USD . This means that AESI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.97%.
Is AESI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AESI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14.6 | 32.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14.6 | 32.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.5 | 3.6% |
Last update: 2025-09-17 04:30
AESI Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 78.8m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 90.1667
P/E Forward = 20.79
P/S = 1.5456
P/B = 1.0512
Beta = 1.137
Revenue TTM = 1.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 69.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 226.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 492.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 42.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 534.1m USD (Calculated: Short Term 42.1m + Long Term 492.1m)
Net Debt = 473.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.25b USD (1.80b + Debt 534.1m - CCE 78.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.39 (Ebit TTM 69.5m / Interest Expense TTM 50.1m)
FCF Yield = -5.22% (FCF TTM -117.5m / Enterprise Value 2.25b)
FCF Margin = -10.11% (FCF TTM -117.5m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Net Margin = 1.20% (Net Income TTM 14.0m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Gross Margin = 18.04% ((Revenue TTM 1.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 952.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -725.8 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 2.25b / Book Value Of Equity -3.10m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.77% (Interest Expense 14.8m / Debt 534.1m)
Taxrate = 20.90% (15.8m / 75.8m)
NOPAT = 55.0m (EBIT 69.5m * (1 - 20.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 334.5m / Total Current Liabilities 214.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 534.1m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.27b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.36 (Net Debt 473.7m / EBITDA 226.6m)
Debt / FCF = -4.55 (Debt 534.1m / FCF TTM -117.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.16b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 0.62% (Net Income 14.0m, Total Assets 2.25b )
RoE = 1.20% (Net Income TTM 14.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.16b)
RoCE = 4.20% (Ebit 69.5m / (Equity 1.16b + L.T.Debt 492.1m))
RoIC = 3.28% (NOPAT 55.0m / Invested Capital 1.68b)
WACC = 7.16% (E(1.80b)/V(2.33b) * Re(8.64%)) + (D(534.1m)/V(2.33b) * Rd(2.77%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 92.32 | Cagr: 7.27%
Discount Rate = 8.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -117.5m)
EPS Correlation: -68.18 | EPS CAGR: -67.24% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.20 | Revenue CAGR: 29.54% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AESI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle