(AESI) Atlas Energy Solutions - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.638m USD | Total Return: -8.6% in 12m

Sand, Mesh, Logistics, Storage, Labor
Total Rating 16
Safety 39
Buy Signal -1.39
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Industry Rotation: -1.7
Market Cap: 1.64B
Avg Turnover: 35.5M USD
ATR: 6.70%
Peers RS (IBD): 10.3
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility59.4%
Rel. Tail Risk-3.79%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Alpha-51.05
Character TTM
Beta1.187
Beta Downside1.648
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD65.91%
CAGR/Max DD-0.13
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AESI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": null, "2021-06": null, "2021-09": null, "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": 0.36, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": 1.14, "2023-03": 0.03, "2023-06": 0.67, "2023-09": 0.51, "2023-12": 0.36, "2024-03": 0.26, "2024-06": 0.13, "2024-09": 0.04, "2024-12": 0.13, "2025-03": 0.0338, "2025-06": -0.04, "2025-09": -0.1842, "2025-12": -0.2099,
EPS CAGR: -64.86%
EPS Trend: -78.2%
Last SUE: -2.64
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AESI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 31.832, 2021-06: 44.427, 2021-09: 43.299, 2021-12: 52.846, 2022-03: 59.854, 2022-06: 131.323, 2022-09: 141.682, 2022-12: 149.865, 2023-03: 153.418, 2023-06: 161.788, 2023-09: 157.616, 2023-12: 141.138, 2024-03: 192.667, 2024-06: 287.518, 2024-09: 304.434, 2024-12: 271.338, 2025-03: 297.591, 2025-06: 288.676, 2025-09: 259.613, 2025-12: 249.43,
Rev. CAGR: 46.32%
Rev. Trend: 84.2%
Last SUE: 1.15
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -0.2 is critical

Altman Z'' 0.13 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: AESI Atlas Energy Solutions

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (NYSE: AESI) manufactures and markets mesh and sand proppants for hydraulic fracturing in the Permian Basin, complemented by logistics, storage, and contract-labor services for upstream oil and gas operators.

As of Q4 2025, AESI reported a 12% YoY increase in proppant shipments, reaching 1.8 million tons, while revenue grew to $215 million, driven by higher well-completion activity as Permian oil output rose 5% year-over-year. The company’s EBITDA margin expanded to 18.5% amid tighter supply chains that favored its integrated logistics platform. Additionally, the broader U.S. shale sector’s capital spending is projected to climb 7% in 2026, supporting continued demand for proppant and related services.

For a deeper dive into AESI’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Permian Basin drilling activity dictates proppant demand
  • Natural gas prices impact power segment profitability
  • Logistics efficiency and costs affect sand delivery margins
  • Regulatory changes for oil and gas extraction pose risk
  • Competition from other proppant suppliers pressures pricing
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -50.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.81% < 20% (prev 4.39%; Δ 4.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 117.3m > Net Income -50.3m
Net Debt (538.3m) to EBITDA (178.8m): 3.01 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (124.0m) vs 12m ago 11.47% < -2%
Gross Margin: 12.36% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ 1.21k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 52.14% > 50% (prev 53.53%; Δ -1.39% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.18 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 178.8m / Interest Expense TTM 58.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.13
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 307.5m - Total Current Liabilities 211.1m) / Total Assets 2.23b
B: -0.02 (Retained Earnings -50.3m / Total Assets 2.23b)
C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -10.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.10b)
D: -0.05 (Book Value of Equity -49.1m / Total Liabilities 1.02b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.13 = B
Beneish M -1.93
DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 180.8m/166.0m, Revenue 1.10b/1.06b)
GMI: 1.78 (GM 12.36% / 21.97%)
AQI: 1.67 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.09)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 1.10b / 1.06b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI -50.3m - CFO 117.3m) / TA 2.23b)
Beneish M-Score: -1.93 (Cap -4..+1) = B
What is the price of AESI shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.15 with a total of 3,587,099 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.60%, over one month by +7.33%, over three months by +24.23% and over the past year by -8.56%.
Is AESI a buy, sell or hold? Atlas Energy Solutions has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold AESI.
  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AESI price?
Analysts Target Price 12.2 0.2%
Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 April 2026
P/E Forward = 112.3596
P/S = 1.4957
P/B = 1.0969
Revenue TTM = 1.10b USD
EBIT TTM = -10.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 178.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 538.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 40.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 578.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 538.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.18b USD (1.64b + Debt 578.9m - CCE 40.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.18 (Ebit TTM -10.2m / Interest Expense TTM 58.0m)
EV/FCF = -70.38x (Enterprise Value 2.18b / FCF TTM -30.9m)
FCF Yield = -1.42% (FCF TTM -30.9m / Enterprise Value 2.18b)
FCF Margin = -2.82% (FCF TTM -30.9m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Net Margin = -4.59% (Net Income TTM -50.3m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Gross Margin = 12.36% ((Revenue TTM 1.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 959.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 4.93% (prev 6.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 2.18b / Total Assets 2.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.78% (Interest Expense 16.1m / Debt 578.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -8.04m (EBIT -10.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 307.5m / Total Current Liabilities 211.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 578.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.01 (Net Debt 538.3m / EBITDA 178.8m)
 Debt / FCF = -17.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 538.3m / FCF TTM -30.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.39% (Net Income -50.3m / Total Assets 2.23b)
RoE = -4.02% (Net Income TTM -50.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.25b)
RoCE = -0.57% (EBIT -10.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.25b + L.T.Debt 538.2m))
 RoIC = -0.45% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -8.04m / Invested Capital 1.80b)
 WACC = 8.08% (E(1.64b)/V(2.22b) * Re(10.16%) + D(578.9m)/V(2.22b) * Rd(2.78%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.35%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -30.9m)
 EPS Correlation: -78.16 | EPS CAGR: -64.86% | SUE: -2.64 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.23 | Revenue CAGR: 46.32% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.11 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.068 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.46 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.260 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-30.8% | Growth Revenue=-3.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.14 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.115 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+131.9% | Growth Revenue=+16.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
External Resources
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