AGCO Stock Analysis: AGCO | NYSE
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.567m USD | 12M Return: 1.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 84.5M
EPS Trend: -92.6%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -95.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AGCO Corporation is a global manufacturer and distributor of agricultural equipment and replacement parts, headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, and operating under the Fendt, Massey Ferguson, PTx, and Valtra brands. Its product portfolio spans horsepower, utility, and compact tractors; grain storage, drying, and handling systems; livestock and poultry feeding, ventilation, and watering equipment; hay and forage harvesting tools such as balers, rakes, and windrowers; tillage, planting, and seeding implements; combines for grain crops; and application equipment for liquid and dry fertilizers and crop protection chemicals. The company also produces diesel engines, gears, and generating sets, and sells its products through a network of independent dealers and distributors. AGCO is classified within the GICS Agricultural & Farm Machinery sub-industry, where equipment makers typically rely on a mix of brand-specific dealer networks and replacement-parts revenue to support cyclical demand from row-crop and livestock producers.
- Falling crop prices weaken North American farm equipment demand
- Fendt premium tractor sales lift European operating margins
- PTx precision agriculture acquisitions expand technology revenue mix
| Net Income: 771.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.66% < 20% (prev 16.95%; Δ -5.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 789.9m > Net Income 771.0m |
| Net Debt (2.18b) to EBITDA (1.06b): 2.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (72.7m) vs 12m ago -2.68% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.91% > 18% (prev 24.10%; Δ 0.81% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.21% > 50% (prev 93.93%; Δ -5.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.48 > 6 (EBIT TTM 724.1m / Interest Expense TTM 63.1m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 5.34b - Total Current Liabilities 4.13b) / Total Assets 12.0b |
| B: 0.50 (Retained Earnings 6.03b / Total Assets 12.0b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 724.1m / Avg Total Assets 11.8b) |
| D: 0.58 (Book Value of Equity 4.30b / Total Liabilities 7.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.31 = A |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 1.24b/1.24b, Revenue 10.4b/10.8b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 24.10% / 24.91%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.36) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 10.4b / 10.8b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 771.0m - CFO 789.9m) / TA 12.0b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 114.32 with a total of 471,136 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.86%, over one month by +5.16%, over three months by -5.46% and over the past year by +1.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 106.90 (which is 6.5% or 2 ATR below the current price).
AGCO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AGCO.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 128.5 | 12.4% |
P/E Trailing = 11.4098
P/E Forward = 19.3798
P/S = 0.8258
P/B = 1.9632
P/EG = 1.1555
Revenue TTM = 10.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 724.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 555.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.69b USD (corrected: LT Debt 2.02b + ST Debt 555.5m) + Leases 115.9m
Net Debt = 2.18b USD (calculated: Debt 2.69b - CCE 514.9m)
Enterprise Value = 10.7b USD (8.57b + Debt 2.69b - CCE 514.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.48 (Ebit TTM 724.1m / Interest Expense TTM 63.1m)
EV/FCF = 19.69x (Enterprise Value 10.7b / FCF TTM 545.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.08% (FCF TTM 545.6m / Enterprise Value 10.7b)
FCF Margin = 5.26% (FCF TTM 545.6m / Revenue TTM 10.4b)
Net Margin = 7.43% (Net Income TTM 771.0m / Revenue TTM 10.4b)
Gross Margin = 24.91% ((Revenue TTM 10.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.82% (prev 25.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 10.7b / Total Assets 12.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.35% (Interest Expense 63.1m / Debt 2.69b)
Taxrate = 8.07% (4.60m / 57.0m)
NOPAT = 665.7m (EBIT 724.1m * (1 - 8.07%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 5.34b / Total Current Liabilities 4.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 2.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.05 (Net Debt 2.18b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = 3.99 (Net Debt 2.18b / FCF TTM 545.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.56% (Net Income 771.0m / Total Assets 12.0b)
RoE = 17.90% (Net Income TTM 771.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.31b)
RoCE = 11.45% (EBIT 724.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.31b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 8.86% (NOPAT 665.7m / Invested Capital 7.52b)
WACC = 7.93% (E(8.57b)/V(11.3b) * Re(9.74%) + D(2.69b)/V(11.3b) * Rd(2.35%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 9.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -54.43 | Cagr: -1.26%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.53% ; FCFF base≈527.8m ; Y1≈568.9m ; Y5≈694.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 116.9 (EV 10.6b - Net Debt 2.18b = Equity 8.47b / Shares 72.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 8.86% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.59 | EPS CAGR: -40.61% | SUE: 1.62 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -95.14 | Revenue CAGR: -14.94% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=-0.08% | Revisions=-27% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.41 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=-27% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.99 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+61% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.09 | Chg30d=-0.27% | Revisions=-6% | GrowthEPS=+35.1% | GrowthRev=+5.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +4% (up=27, down=25)