(AGCO) AGCO - Ratings and Ratios
Tractors, Combines, Balers, Planters, Engines
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.34% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 54.64% |
| Payout Consistency | 59.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.04% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.41 |
| Alpha | -3.31 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.360 |
| Beta | 1.074 |
| Beta Downside | 1.173 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.50% |
| Mean DD | 19.18% |
| Median DD | 18.75% |
Description: AGCO AGCO November 03, 2025
AGCO Corporation (NYSE:AGCO) designs, manufactures, and distributes a full spectrum of agricultural equipment and related parts worldwide, ranging from high-horsepower row-crop tractors to compact units for specialty farms, as well as grain storage, seeding, harvesting, and livestock-handling systems. Its product portfolio is sold under the Fendt, Massey Ferguson, Valtra and Precision Tractor (PTx) brands through an extensive network of independent dealers.
In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $10.5 billion in revenue with an operating margin of about 9 % and free cash flow near $800 million, supporting a $3.5 billion order backlog that reflects strong demand for precision-ag technologies. Key economic drivers include rising global protein consumption, which fuels higher grain production, and accelerating adoption of data-driven farming equipment-both trends that historically lift farm-machinery spending by 4-6 % annually. AGCO’s exposure to commodity price cycles is mitigated by its diversified product mix and a growing share of aftermarket parts, which tend to be more resilient during downturns.
For a deeper quantitative dive into AGCO’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent framework you may find useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (375.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 602.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 20.83% (prev 17.96%; Δ 2.87pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.02b > Net Income 375.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.08b) to EBITDA (510.6m) ratio: 4.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.58 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (74.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.67% (prev 25.00%; Δ -0.33pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 77.38% (prev 93.10%; Δ -15.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.27 (EBITDA TTM 510.6m / Interest Expense TTM 79.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.43
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 5.72b - Total Current Liabilities 3.63b) / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (B) 0.50 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.21b / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 180.9m / Avg Total Assets 12.99b |
| (D) 0.58 = Book Value of Equity 4.47b / Total Liabilities 7.67b |
| Total Rating: 3.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.48
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.51% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.45% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.10)% |
| 7. RoE 9.26% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -49.34% |
| 9. EPS Trend -62.60% |
What is the price of AGCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.31%, over one month by -2.27%, over three months by -3.00% and over the past year by +13.38%.
Is AGCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AGCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 117.6 | 12.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 117.6 | 12.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 106.5 | 1.7% |
AGCO Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.0697
P/E Forward = 17.3611
P/S = 0.7854
P/B = 1.7579
P/EG = 0.7228
Beta = 1.186
Revenue TTM = 10.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 180.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 510.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.73b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 109.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.98b USD (7.89b + Debt 2.97b - CCE 884.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.27 (Ebit TTM 180.9m / Interest Expense TTM 79.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.51% (FCF TTM 749.1m / Enterprise Value 9.98b)
FCF Margin = 7.45% (FCF TTM 749.1m / Revenue TTM 10.05b)
Net Margin = 3.73% (Net Income TTM 375.3m / Revenue TTM 10.05b)
Gross Margin = 24.67% ((Revenue TTM 10.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.11% (prev 24.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 9.98b / Total Assets 12.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 15.5m / Debt 2.97b)
Taxrate = 13.88% (48.8m / 351.5m)
NOPAT = 155.8m (EBIT 180.9m * (1 - 13.88%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 5.72b / Total Current Liabilities 3.63b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 2.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.08 (Net Debt 2.08b / EBITDA 510.6m)
Debt / FCF = 2.78 (Net Debt 2.08b / FCF TTM 749.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.01% (Net Income 375.3m / Total Assets 12.47b)
RoE = 9.26% (Net Income TTM 375.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.05b)
RoCE = 2.67% (EBIT 180.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.05b + L.T.Debt 2.73b))
RoIC = 2.27% (NOPAT 155.8m / Invested Capital 6.86b)
WACC = 7.37% (E(7.89b)/V(10.86b) * Re(9.97%) + D(2.97b)/V(10.86b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 9.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.72% ; FCFE base≈590.5m ; Y1≈698.4m ; Y5≈1.08b
Fair Price DCF = 178.2 (DCF Value 13.30b / Shares Outstanding 74.6m; 5y FCF grow 19.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -62.60 | EPS CAGR: -19.74% | SUE: 0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -49.34 | Revenue CAGR: -6.26% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=-0.035 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.08 | Chg30d=-0.256 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+22.0% | Growth Revenue=+2.7%
Additional Sources for AGCO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle