AGCO Stock Analysis: AGCO | NYSE
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.644m USD | 12M Return: 1.3% | US0010841023 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 114M
EPS Trend: -88.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -93.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AGCO Corporation, a U.S.-based mid-cap industrial company founded in 1990 and headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and replacement parts worldwide. The company operates primarily within the Agricultural & Farm Machinery sub-industry, supplying a comprehensive range of products from compact and utility tractors to large-scale combines, application equipment, and grain storage systems. AGCOs offerings support row crop production, livestock operations, harvesting, and crop protection, with customers ranging from small farms to commercial agricultural enterprises.
The company markets its products globally under the Fendt, Massey Ferguson, PTx, and Valtra brands, using a distribution model built on independent dealers and distributors. AGCO also produces core components such as diesel engines, gears, and generating sets, allowing vertical integration of key inputs. The agricultural equipment sector in which AGCO operates is highly cyclical, tied to commodity prices, farm income, and global crop production trends, and is dominated by a few major players competing across multiple equipment categories.
- European farm equipment demand drives revenue and margins
- Precision agriculture PTx segment offsets tractor cycle volatility
- North American tractor sales track corn and soybean prices
| Net Income: 533.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.53% < 20% (prev 17.94%; Δ -5.41% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 589.6m > Net Income 533.4m |
| Net Debt (2.27b) to EBITDA (1.06b): 2.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.32 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (71.2m) vs 12m ago -4.69% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.01% > 18% (prev 23.90%; Δ 1.12% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 85.57% > 50% (prev 82.63%; Δ 2.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 715.8m / Interest Expense TTM 61.9m) |
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 5.34b - Total Current Liabilities 4.04b) / Total Assets 11.9b |
| B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 5.80b / Total Assets 11.9b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 715.8m / Avg Total Assets 12.1b) |
| D: 0.54 (Book Value of Equity 4.08b / Total Liabilities 7.51b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.28 = A |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.23b/1.21b, Revenue 10.3b/10.2b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 23.90% / 25.01%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 10.3b / 10.2b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 533.4m - CFO 589.6m) / TA 11.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 104.47 with a total of 1,401,859 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.09%, over one month by -14.58%, over three months by -8.15% and over the past year by +1.29%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 98.50 (which is 5.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
AGCO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AGCO.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 124.7 | 19.4% |
P/E Trailing = 15.0968
P/E Forward = 16.0
P/S = 0.7386
P/B = 2.0883
P/EG = 0.9633
Revenue TTM = 10.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 715.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 546.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.84b USD (corrected: LT Debt 2.18b + ST Debt 546.7m) + Leases 111.9m
Net Debt = 2.27b USD (calculated: Debt 2.84b - CCE 573.4m)
Enterprise Value = 9.91b USD (7.64b + Debt 2.84b - CCE 573.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.56 (Ebit TTM 715.8m / Interest Expense TTM 61.9m)
EV/FCF = 30.00x (Enterprise Value 9.91b / FCF TTM 330.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.33% (FCF TTM 330.3m / Enterprise Value 9.91b)
FCF Margin = 3.19% (FCF TTM 330.3m / Revenue TTM 10.3b)
Net Margin = 5.15% (Net Income TTM 533.4m / Revenue TTM 10.3b)
Gross Margin = 25.01% ((Revenue TTM 10.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.75% (prev 24.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 9.91b / Total Assets 11.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.18% (Interest Expense 61.9m / Debt 2.84b)
Taxrate = 24.65% (171.1m / 694.2m)
NOPAT = 539.4m (EBIT 715.8m * (1 - 24.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 5.34b / Total Current Liabilities 4.04b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 2.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.15 (Net Debt 2.27b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = 6.86 (Net Debt 2.27b / FCF TTM 330.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.41% (Net Income 533.4m / Total Assets 11.9b)
RoE = 12.45% (Net Income TTM 533.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.29b)
RoCE = 11.07% (EBIT 715.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.29b + L.T.Debt 2.18b))
RoIC = 7.25% (NOPAT 539.4m / Invested Capital 7.44b)
WACC = 6.91% (E(7.64b)/V(10.5b) * Re(8.87%) + D(2.84b)/V(10.5b) * Rd(2.18%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -75.07 | Cagr: -2.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈473.1m ; Y1≈414.8m ; Y5≈335.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 44.47 (EV 5.38b - Net Debt 2.27b = Equity 3.11b / Shares 70.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -88.82 | EPS CAGR: -37.93% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -93.68 | Revenue CAGR: -14.43% | SUE: -0.69 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.62 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+0.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.34 | Chg30d=+0.46% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+46.4% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=1, down=0)