(AGI) Alamos Gold - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Canada •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: CA0115321089
Gold, Bullion, Doré
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.27% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.13% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.37% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.1% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.68% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.73 |
| Alpha | 84.16 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.48 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.403 |
| Beta | 0.341 |
| Beta Downside | 0.294 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.22% |
| Mean DD | 7.75% |
| Median DD | 7.64% |
Description: AGI Alamos Gold October 31, 2025
Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE: AGI) is a mid-tier gold producer with operating mines in Canada (Mulatos), Mexico (La Yaqui), and the United States (Young-Davidson). Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Toronto, the company focuses on both mining and the exploration of new gold deposits across North America.
In 2023 the firm delivered approximately 300,000 oz of gold at an all-in sustaining cash cost of around $1,100 per ounce, and it reported a net cash position exceeding $300 million, providing a solid runway for further development. Key economic drivers for Alamos include the price of gold-currently trading near $2,200/oz-and the U.S. real-interest-rate environment, which historically boosts gold demand as a hedge against inflation.
For a deeper dive into Alamos’ valuation metrics, growth outlook, and how its cost structure compares to peers, you may find the analysis on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (535.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 96.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.07pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 26.27% (prev 19.05%; Δ 7.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 730.9m > Net Income 535.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-187.0m) to EBITDA (1.03b) ratio: -0.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (422.8m) change vs 12m ago 1.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.38% (prev 41.51%; Δ 8.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 28.47% (prev 23.16%; Δ 5.31pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 289.4 (EBITDA TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.46
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 1.01b - Total Current Liabilities 587.9m) / Total Assets 5.98b |
| (B) -0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -189.7m / Total Assets 5.98b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 809.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.64b |
| (D) 2.03 = Book Value of Equity 3.95b / Total Liabilities 1.94b |
| Total Rating: 3.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 83.17
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.55% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.16% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.07 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.94)% |
| 7. RoE 14.31% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.78% |
| 9. EPS Trend 89.69% |
What is the price of AGI shares?
As of December 17, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 37.33 with a total of 1,893,445 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.05%, over one month by +12.96%, over three months by +18.18% and over the past year by +96.11%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.05%, over one month by +12.96%, over three months by +18.18% and over the past year by +96.11%.
Is AGI a buy, sell or hold?
Alamos Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.64.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy AGI.
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AGI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 45.9 | 22.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 45.9 | 22.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 59.4 | 59.2% |
AGI Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
Market Cap USD = 14.92b (14.92b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 27.7031
P/E Forward = 13.7931
P/S = 9.2695
P/B = 3.6935
P/EG = -2.5
Beta = 0.872
Revenue TTM = 1.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 809.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 250.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 275.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -187.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.68b USD (14.92b + Debt 275.6m - CCE 508.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 289.4 (Ebit TTM 809.5m / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m)
FCF Yield = 1.55% (FCF TTM 227.2m / Enterprise Value 14.68b)
FCF Margin = 14.16% (FCF TTM 227.2m / Revenue TTM 1.60b)
Net Margin = 33.38% (Net Income TTM 535.4m / Revenue TTM 1.60b)
Gross Margin = 50.38% ((Revenue TTM 1.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 796.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.41% (prev 54.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.46 (Enterprise Value 14.68b / Total Assets 5.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 296.7k / Debt 275.6m)
Taxrate = 25.63% (94.1m / 367.4m)
NOPAT = 602.0m (EBIT 809.5m * (1 - 25.63%))
Current Ratio = 1.72 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 587.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 275.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.18 (Net Debt -187.0m / EBITDA 1.03b)
Debt / FCF = -0.82 (Net Debt -187.0m / FCF TTM 227.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.96% (Net Income 535.4m / Total Assets 5.98b)
RoE = 14.31% (Net Income TTM 535.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.74b)
RoCE = 20.28% (EBIT 809.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.74b + L.T.Debt 250.0m))
RoIC = 15.08% (NOPAT 602.0m / Invested Capital 3.99b)
WACC = 7.14% (E(14.92b)/V(15.19b) * Re(7.27%) + D(275.6m)/V(15.19b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.32% ; FCFE base≈218.3m ; Y1≈267.1m ; Y5≈447.3m
Fair Price DCF = 18.11 (DCF Value 7.62b / Shares Outstanding 420.7m; 5y FCF grow 23.92% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 89.69 | EPS CAGR: 45.79% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.78 | Revenue CAGR: 24.16% | SUE: -1.28 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+0.039 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+61.0% | Growth Revenue=+35.7%
P/E Trailing = 27.7031
P/E Forward = 13.7931
P/S = 9.2695
P/B = 3.6935
P/EG = -2.5
Beta = 0.872
Revenue TTM = 1.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 809.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 250.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 275.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -187.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.68b USD (14.92b + Debt 275.6m - CCE 508.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 289.4 (Ebit TTM 809.5m / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m)
FCF Yield = 1.55% (FCF TTM 227.2m / Enterprise Value 14.68b)
FCF Margin = 14.16% (FCF TTM 227.2m / Revenue TTM 1.60b)
Net Margin = 33.38% (Net Income TTM 535.4m / Revenue TTM 1.60b)
Gross Margin = 50.38% ((Revenue TTM 1.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 796.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.41% (prev 54.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.46 (Enterprise Value 14.68b / Total Assets 5.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 296.7k / Debt 275.6m)
Taxrate = 25.63% (94.1m / 367.4m)
NOPAT = 602.0m (EBIT 809.5m * (1 - 25.63%))
Current Ratio = 1.72 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 587.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 275.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.18 (Net Debt -187.0m / EBITDA 1.03b)
Debt / FCF = -0.82 (Net Debt -187.0m / FCF TTM 227.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.96% (Net Income 535.4m / Total Assets 5.98b)
RoE = 14.31% (Net Income TTM 535.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.74b)
RoCE = 20.28% (EBIT 809.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.74b + L.T.Debt 250.0m))
RoIC = 15.08% (NOPAT 602.0m / Invested Capital 3.99b)
WACC = 7.14% (E(14.92b)/V(15.19b) * Re(7.27%) + D(275.6m)/V(15.19b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.32% ; FCFE base≈218.3m ; Y1≈267.1m ; Y5≈447.3m
Fair Price DCF = 18.11 (DCF Value 7.62b / Shares Outstanding 420.7m; 5y FCF grow 23.92% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 89.69 | EPS CAGR: 45.79% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.78 | Revenue CAGR: 24.16% | SUE: -1.28 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+0.039 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+61.0% | Growth Revenue=+35.7%
Additional Sources for AGI Stock
News:
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Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle