AGI Stock Analysis: Alamos Gold | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 13.199m USD | 12M Return: -7.8% | CA0115321089 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 110M
EPS Trend: 97.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alamos Gold Inc. is a Canadian-based gold producer with mining operations in Canada and Mexico. The company focuses on the exploration and extraction of gold deposits and has been operating since 2003. Listed on the NYSE under the ticker AGI, Alamos Gold operates as a large-cap company within the Materials sector (GICS Sub Industry: Gold), a segment of the market where producers generate revenue primarily through the sale of mined gold and are influenced by global gold prices and production costs.
- Gold prices lift all-in margins at Island Gold mine
- Island Gold Phase 3 expansion drives production growth
- AISC discipline supports dividend growth amid gold volatility
| Net Income: 1.17b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.82 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 19.52% < 20% (prev 14.65%; Δ 4.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 968.4m > Net Income 1.17b |
| Net Debt (-443.5m) to EBITDA (1.75b): -0.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (421.6m) vs 12m ago -0.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 60.13% > 18% (prev 46.89%; Δ 13.24% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 36.05% > 50% (prev 27.17%; Δ 8.88% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.89k > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.54b / Interest Expense TTM 397k) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 985.6m - Total Current Liabilities 554.5m) / Total Assets 6.70b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 609.1m / Total Assets 6.70b) |
| C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 1.54b / Avg Total Assets 6.13b) |
| D: 2.52 (Book Value of Equity 4.80b / Total Liabilities 1.91b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.06 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 53.9m/39.5m, Revenue 2.21b/1.51b) |
| GMI: 0.78 (GM 46.89% / 60.13%) |
| AQI: 3.52 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.46 (Revenue 2.21b / 1.51b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 1.17b - CFO 968.4m) / TA 6.70b) |
| Beneish M = -1.45 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of October 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 31.90 with a total of 2,840,264 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.54%, over one month by -10.54%, over three months by +10.65% and over the past year by -7.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 29.30 (which is 8.2% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Alamos Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.62. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AGI.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46.3 | 45% |
P/E Trailing = 11.7649
P/E Forward = 13.1926
P/S = 5.9229
P/B = 3.1154
P/EG = -2.5
Revenue TTM = 2.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.54b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 200.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 232.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 16.3m
Net Debt = -443.5m USD (calculated: Debt 232.3m - CCE 675.9m)
Enterprise Value = 12.8b USD (13.2b + Debt 232.3m - CCE 675.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.89k (Ebit TTM 1.54b / Interest Expense TTM 397k)
EV/FCF = 40.43x (Enterprise Value 12.8b / FCF TTM 315.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.47% (FCF TTM 315.5m / Enterprise Value 12.8b)
FCF Margin = 14.28% (FCF TTM 315.5m / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Net Margin = 52.84% (Net Income TTM 1.17b / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Gross Margin = 60.13% ((Revenue TTM 2.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 880.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.23% (prev 63.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.90 (Enterprise Value 12.8b / Total Assets 6.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.17% (Interest Expense 397k / Debt 232.3m)
Taxrate = 26.90% (429.5m / 1.60b)
NOPAT = 1.13b (EBIT 1.54b * (1 - 26.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 985.6m / Total Current Liabilities 554.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 232.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.25 (Net Debt -443.5m / EBITDA 1.75b)
Debt / FCF = -1.41 (Net Debt -443.5m / FCF TTM 315.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.05% (Net Income 1.17b / Total Assets 6.70b)
RoE = 26.09% (Net Income TTM 1.17b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.47b)
RoCE = 33.04% (EBIT 1.54b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.47b + L.T.Debt 200.0m))
RoIC = 18.66% (NOPAT 1.13b / Invested Capital 6.05b)
WACC = 7.93% (E(13.2b)/V(13.4b) * Re(8.07%) + D(232.3m)/V(13.4b) * Rd(0.17%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 76.34 | Cagr: 2.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈253.4m ; Y1≈290.4m ; Y5≈427.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.43 (EV 6.43b - Net Debt -443.5m = Equity 6.88b / Shares 418.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.79 | EPS CAGR: 68.35% | SUE: 2.00 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.84 | Revenue CAGR: 34.74% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.57 | Chg30d=-1.25% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.29 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+63.6% | GrowthRev=+27.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.03 | Chg30d=-0.85% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+32.3% | GrowthRev=+22.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -13% (up=5, down=7)