(AGI) Alamos Gold - Overview
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Gold | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 16.484m USD | Total Return: 54.1% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 117M
EPS Trend: 97.6%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Beneish M-Score -1.14 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Choppy Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE: AGI) is a Toronto-based gold mining company established in 2003, with core production and exploration operations located in Canada and Mexico. The company follows a traditional precious metals business model, focusing on the discovery, extraction, and processing of gold ore to be sold on the global bullion market.
As a mid-tier producer, the company’s valuation is heavily influenced by the spot price of gold and the operational stability of its primary jurisdictions. In the gold mining sector, jurisdictional risk is a key metric, and companies operating in Tier 1 mining regions like Canada often command a premium due to established legal frameworks and infrastructure. For deeper insight into these metrics, consider reviewing the comprehensive data available on ValueRay.
- Island Gold district expansion drives long-term production growth and lower costs
- Integration of Magino mine acquisition increases annual gold output capacity
- Low geopolitical risk profile in Canada and Mexico attracts premium valuations
- Gold price fluctuations directly impact operating margins and free cash flow
- Sustained capital expenditure on Phase 3+ expansion affects near-term liquidity
| Net Income: 1.06b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.84% < 20% (prev 14.27%; Δ 6.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 945.4m > Net Income 1.06b |
| Net Debt (-466.1m) to EBITDA (1.43b): -0.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (421.8m) vs 12m ago -0.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.12% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 5.87k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.69% > 50% (prev 26.14%; Δ 8.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 950.3 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.43b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.01b - Total Current Liabilities 582.7m) / Total Assets 6.56b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 393.3m / Total Assets 6.56b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 1.22b / Avg Total Assets 5.96b) |
| D: 2.35 (Book Value of Equity 4.54b / Total Liabilities 1.93b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.47 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.75 (Receivables 40.6m/36.6m, Revenue 2.07b/1.40b) |
| GMI: 0.76 (GM 59.12% / 44.90%) |
| AQI: 4.29 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.47 (Revenue 2.07b / 1.40b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 1.06b - CFO 945.4m) / TA 6.56b) |
| Beneish M = -1.14 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of May 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 39.52 with a total of 2,975,526 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%,
over one month by -5.25%,
over three months by -27.01% and
over the past year by +54.14%.
Alamos Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.64. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AGI.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 60.5 | 53.1% |
P/E Trailing = 15.6375
P/E Forward = 15.1057
P/S = 7.9535
P/B = 3.6019
P/EG = -2.5
Revenue TTM = 2.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.43b USD
Long Term Debt = 200.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 240.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 19.7m
Net Debt = -466.1m USD (calculated: Debt 240.1m - CCE 706.2m)
Enterprise Value = 16.0b USD (16.5b + Debt 240.1m - CCE 706.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 950.3 (Ebit TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 1.28m)
EV/FCF = 46.20x (Enterprise Value 16.0b / FCF TTM 346.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.16% (FCF TTM 346.7m / Enterprise Value 16.0b)
FCF Margin = 16.77% (FCF TTM 346.7m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Net Margin = 51.40% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Gross Margin = 59.12% ((Revenue TTM 2.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 845.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.90% (prev 60.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.44 (Enterprise Value 16.0b / Total Assets 6.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.53% (Interest Expense 1.28m / Debt 240.1m)
Taxrate = 39.28% (122.1m / 310.8m)
NOPAT = 741.1m (EBIT 1.22b * (1 - 39.28%))
Current Ratio = 1.74 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 582.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 240.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.33 (Net Debt -466.1m / EBITDA 1.43b)
Debt / FCF = -1.34 (Net Debt -466.1m / FCF TTM 346.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.83% (Net Income 1.06b / Total Assets 6.56b)
RoE = 25.24% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.21b)
RoCE = 27.66% (EBIT 1.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.21b + L.T.Debt 200.0m))
RoIC = 12.38% (NOPAT 741.1m / Invested Capital 5.99b)
WACC = 7.24% (E(16.5b)/V(16.7b) * Re(7.34%) + D(240.1m)/V(16.7b) * Rd(0.53%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 7.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 62.93 | Cagr: 2.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈283.7m ; Y1≈325.3m ; Y5≈478.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.26 (EV 7.20b - Net Debt -466.1m = Equity 7.67b / Shares 420.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.62 | EPS CAGR: 60.20% | SUE: -1.63 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 98.39 | Revenue CAGR: 31.42% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=-8.11% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=+1.22% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=-4.52% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=+103.9% | GrowthRev=+57.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.34 | Chg30d=+0.08% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+16.9% | GrowthRev=+20.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%