(AGRO) Adecoagro - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Luxembourg •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: LU0584671464
Stock: Soybean, Corn, Wheat, Rice, Sugar, Ethanol
Total Rating 30
Risk 74
Buy Signal 0.28
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.09% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 |
| Alpha | -12.55 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.442 |
| Beta Downside | 1.195 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.93% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.35 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: AGRO Adecoagro March 02, 2026
Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE: AGRO) is a Luxembourg-registered agribusiness that operates across Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. It runs two main segments – Farming and Sugar, Ethanol & Energy – producing a broad basket of crops (soybean, corn, wheat, peanuts, sunflower, cotton, rice), dairy products, and bio-energy from sugarcane and biogas, while also offering grain warehousing and land-development services.
Recent metrics show the company generated $2.1 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.3% and net cash flow of $210 million, supported by a 9% year-over-year rise in soybean prices and strong demand for ethanol in Brazil’s renewable-fuel program. Additionally, its carbon-credit sales contributed roughly $18 million in FY 2024, reflecting growing market incentives for low-carbon agriculture in South America.
For a deeper dive, you might explore ValueRay’s analysis of AGRO.
Headlines to watch out for
- Global commodity prices impact agricultural segment revenue
- Sugar and ethanol prices drive industrial segment profitability
- Weather patterns in South America affect crop yields
- Land transformation projects increase asset value
- Dairy product demand influences revenue and margins
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 23.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.22 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 63.13% < 20% (prev 44.08%; Δ 19.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 466.8m > Net Income 23.5m |
| Net Debt (1.27b) to EBITDA (340.7m): 3.71 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.80 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (100.1m) vs 12m ago -0.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.86% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 2466 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 40.33% > 50% (prev 43.71%; Δ -3.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.60 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 340.7m / Interest Expense TTM 111.2m) |
Altman Z'' 2.40
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 1.36b - Total Current Liabilities 486.1m) / Total Assets 3.65b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 525.1m / Total Assets 3.65b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 66.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.44b) |
| D: 0.21 (Book Value of Equity 464.6m / Total Liabilities 2.21b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.40 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.45
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 202.7m/208.6m, Revenue 1.39b/1.41b) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 24.86% / 20.41%) |
| AQI: 0.80 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 1.39b / 1.41b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 23.5m - CFO 466.8m) / TA 3.65b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.45 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of AGRO shares?
As of March 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.21 with a total of 3,121,905 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.83%, over one month by +15.37%, over three months by +30.23% and over the past year by -1.88%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.83%, over one month by +15.37%, over three months by +30.23% and over the past year by -1.88%.
Is AGRO a buy, sell or hold?
Adecoagro has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.67.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AGRO.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AGRO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.6 | 4.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.6 | 4.2% |
AGRO Fundamental Data Overview March 10, 2026
P/E Trailing = 44.1739
P/E Forward = 25.2525
P/S = 1.037
P/B = 1.0476
P/EG = 0.06
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 66.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 340.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 233.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.68b USD (1.44b + Debt 1.61b - CCE 365.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.60 (Ebit TTM 66.9m / Interest Expense TTM 111.2m)
EV/FCF = 10.26x (Enterprise Value 2.68b / FCF TTM 261.0m)
FCF Yield = 9.75% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Enterprise Value 2.68b)
FCF Margin = 18.83% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 1.69% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 24.86% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.11% (prev 19.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 2.68b / Total Assets 3.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.10% (Interest Expense 49.8m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 52.9m (EBIT 66.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.80 (Total Current Assets 1.36b / Total Current Liabilities 486.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.17 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.71 (Net Debt 1.27b / EBITDA 340.7m)
Debt / FCF = 4.85 (Net Debt 1.27b / FCF TTM 261.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.68% (Net Income 23.5m / Total Assets 3.65b)
RoE = 1.70% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.38b)
RoCE = 2.74% (EBIT 66.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.38b + L.T.Debt 1.05b))
RoIC = 2.26% (NOPAT 52.9m / Invested Capital 2.34b)
WACC = 4.85% (E(1.44b)/V(3.04b) * Re(7.54%) + D(1.61b)/V(3.04b) * Rd(3.10%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.53% ; FCFF base≈290.6m ; Y1≈296.4m ; Y5≈326.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.74 (EV 9.72b - Net Debt 1.27b = Equity 8.45b / Shares 141.5m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 1.81% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.33 | EPS CAGR: -33.51% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.68 | Revenue CAGR: -2.47% | SUE: -2.71 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.36 | Chg7d=-0.087 | Chg30d=-0.087 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+527.4% | Growth Revenue=+18.2%
P/E Forward = 25.2525
P/S = 1.037
P/B = 1.0476
P/EG = 0.06
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 66.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 340.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 233.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.68b USD (1.44b + Debt 1.61b - CCE 365.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.60 (Ebit TTM 66.9m / Interest Expense TTM 111.2m)
EV/FCF = 10.26x (Enterprise Value 2.68b / FCF TTM 261.0m)
FCF Yield = 9.75% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Enterprise Value 2.68b)
FCF Margin = 18.83% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 1.69% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 24.86% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.11% (prev 19.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 2.68b / Total Assets 3.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.10% (Interest Expense 49.8m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 52.9m (EBIT 66.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.80 (Total Current Assets 1.36b / Total Current Liabilities 486.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.17 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.71 (Net Debt 1.27b / EBITDA 340.7m)
Debt / FCF = 4.85 (Net Debt 1.27b / FCF TTM 261.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.68% (Net Income 23.5m / Total Assets 3.65b)
RoE = 1.70% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.38b)
RoCE = 2.74% (EBIT 66.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.38b + L.T.Debt 1.05b))
RoIC = 2.26% (NOPAT 52.9m / Invested Capital 2.34b)
WACC = 4.85% (E(1.44b)/V(3.04b) * Re(7.54%) + D(1.61b)/V(3.04b) * Rd(3.10%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.53% ; FCFF base≈290.6m ; Y1≈296.4m ; Y5≈326.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.74 (EV 9.72b - Net Debt 1.27b = Equity 8.45b / Shares 141.5m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 1.81% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.33 | EPS CAGR: -33.51% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.68 | Revenue CAGR: -2.47% | SUE: -2.71 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.36 | Chg7d=-0.087 | Chg30d=-0.087 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+527.4% | Growth Revenue=+18.2%