(AGRO) Adecoagro - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Luxembourg •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: LU0584671464
Soybean, Corn, Wheat, Rice, Sugar, Ethanol
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.98% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.67% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.87% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 133.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 66.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.02 |
| Alpha | -38.34 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.427 |
| Beta | 0.259 |
| Beta Downside | 0.114 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.93% |
| Mean DD | 13.48% |
| Median DD | 10.84% |
Description: AGRO Adecoagro November 30, 2025
Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE: AGRO) is a Luxembourg-registered agribusiness that farms and processes a broad portfolio of crops-including soybeans, corn, wheat, peanuts, sunflower, cotton and rice-across Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Uruguay, and operates a Sugar-Ethanol-Energy segment that produces sugar, ethanol, biomethane, electricity and carbon credits.
Beyond primary production, the company runs a diversified dairy business (raw, UHT, powdered milk, cheese and flavored milks) and generates renewable power from biogas captured in dairy effluents. It also offers grain warehousing, conditioning and drying services, and pursues land-transformation projects that acquire under-utilized farmland for technology-driven cultivation.
Key recent metrics (FY 2024) show EBITDA of roughly $260 million, a 12 % increase in sugarcane acreage, and an average dairy milk yield of 7,800 kg per head-figures that reflect both higher commodity prices (soybean ≈ $13 bu, corn ≈ $5.80 bu) and Brazil’s 2025 ethanol blending mandate, which underpins demand for the company’s ethanol output. However, exposure to Argentina’s hyper-inflation and Brazil’s fiscal policy uncertainty remains a material risk.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, see the ValueRay analysis of AGRO.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (23.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 83.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 63.13% (prev 44.08%; Δ 19.05pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 466.8m > Net Income 23.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.27b) to EBITDA (340.7m) ratio: 3.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.80 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (100.1m) change vs 12m ago -0.74% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.86% (prev 20.41%; Δ 4.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 40.33% (prev 43.71%; Δ -3.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.60 (EBITDA TTM 340.7m / Interest Expense TTM 111.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.40
| (A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 1.36b - Total Current Liabilities 486.1m) / Total Assets 3.65b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 525.1m / Total Assets 3.65b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 66.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.44b |
| (D) 0.21 = Book Value of Equity 464.6m / Total Liabilities 2.21b |
| Total Rating: 2.40 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.62
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.83% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.17 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.71 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.55)% |
| 7. RoE 1.70% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 22.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend -58.35% |
What is the price of AGRO shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 7.13 with a total of 7,216,163 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.47%, over one month by -9.75%, over three months by -9.41% and over the past year by -29.73%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.47%, over one month by -9.75%, over three months by -9.41% and over the past year by -29.73%.
Is AGRO a buy, sell or hold?
Adecoagro has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.67.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AGRO.
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AGRO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10 | 40.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10 | 40.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.2 | 1.4% |
AGRO Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
Market Cap USD = 819.7m (819.7m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 35.6087
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 0.5914
P/B = 0.5975
P/EG = 0.06
Beta = 0.421
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 66.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 340.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 233.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.06b USD (819.7m + Debt 1.61b - CCE 365.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.60 (Ebit TTM 66.9m / Interest Expense TTM 111.2m)
FCF Yield = 12.67% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Enterprise Value 2.06b)
FCF Margin = 18.83% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 1.69% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 24.86% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.11% (prev 19.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 2.06b / Total Assets 3.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.10% (Interest Expense 49.8m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = -0.99% (negative due to tax credits) (-63.0k / 6.36m)
NOPAT = 67.6m (EBIT 66.9m * (1 - -0.99%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.80 (Total Current Assets 1.36b / Total Current Liabilities 486.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.17 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.71 (Net Debt 1.27b / EBITDA 340.7m)
Debt / FCF = 4.85 (Net Debt 1.27b / FCF TTM 261.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.64% (Net Income 23.5m / Total Assets 3.65b)
RoE = 1.70% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.38b)
RoCE = 2.74% (EBIT 66.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.38b + L.T.Debt 1.05b))
RoIC = 2.88% (NOPAT 67.6m / Invested Capital 2.34b)
WACC = 4.43% (E(819.7m)/V(2.42b) * Re(6.97%) + D(1.61b)/V(2.42b) * Rd(3.10%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 6.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.58% ; FCFE base≈290.6m ; Y1≈296.5m ; Y5≈327.3m
Fair Price DCF = 57.63 (DCF Value 5.77b / Shares Outstanding 100.1m; 5y FCF grow 1.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -58.35 | EPS CAGR: -42.83% | SUE: -1.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.68 | Revenue CAGR: -2.47% | SUE: -2.71 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=-0.060 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+837.8% | Growth Revenue=-0.6%
P/E Trailing = 35.6087
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 0.5914
P/B = 0.5975
P/EG = 0.06
Beta = 0.421
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 66.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 340.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 233.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.06b USD (819.7m + Debt 1.61b - CCE 365.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.60 (Ebit TTM 66.9m / Interest Expense TTM 111.2m)
FCF Yield = 12.67% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Enterprise Value 2.06b)
FCF Margin = 18.83% (FCF TTM 261.0m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 1.69% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 24.86% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.11% (prev 19.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 2.06b / Total Assets 3.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.10% (Interest Expense 49.8m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = -0.99% (negative due to tax credits) (-63.0k / 6.36m)
NOPAT = 67.6m (EBIT 66.9m * (1 - -0.99%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.80 (Total Current Assets 1.36b / Total Current Liabilities 486.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.17 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.71 (Net Debt 1.27b / EBITDA 340.7m)
Debt / FCF = 4.85 (Net Debt 1.27b / FCF TTM 261.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.64% (Net Income 23.5m / Total Assets 3.65b)
RoE = 1.70% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.38b)
RoCE = 2.74% (EBIT 66.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.38b + L.T.Debt 1.05b))
RoIC = 2.88% (NOPAT 67.6m / Invested Capital 2.34b)
WACC = 4.43% (E(819.7m)/V(2.42b) * Re(6.97%) + D(1.61b)/V(2.42b) * Rd(3.10%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 6.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.58% ; FCFE base≈290.6m ; Y1≈296.5m ; Y5≈327.3m
Fair Price DCF = 57.63 (DCF Value 5.77b / Shares Outstanding 100.1m; 5y FCF grow 1.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -58.35 | EPS CAGR: -42.83% | SUE: -1.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.68 | Revenue CAGR: -2.47% | SUE: -2.71 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=-0.060 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+837.8% | Growth Revenue=-0.6%
Additional Sources for AGRO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle