(AGRO) Adecoagro - Ratings and Ratios
Sugar, Rice, Dairy, Wheat, Cereal
AGRO EPS (Earnings per Share)
AGRO Revenue
Description: AGRO Adecoagro
Adecoagro SA (NYSE:AGRO) is a Luxembourg‑incorporated common stock operating in the Packaged Foods & Meats sub‑industry, with primary agribusiness assets across Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay and Paraguay.
Core financial metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $2.3 billion, EBITDA around $620 million and net income near $310 million, delivering an EBITDA margin of ~27 % and a net margin of ~13 %. Free cash flow conversion exceeded 80 % of EBITDA, supporting a debt‑to‑equity ratio of approximately 0.6 and enabling a disciplined $400 million capex program focused on expanding sugar‑ethanol and oilseed processing capacity.
Key operational KPIs include annual production of ~1.6 million tonnes of sugar, 2.2 million tonnes of corn, 1.1 million tonnes of soybeans, and over 200 million litres of ethanol, alongside livestock operations contributing ~150 million USD in revenue. Land holdings total roughly 500,000 ha, providing scale for crop diversification and risk mitigation.
Economic drivers are dominated by global commodity price cycles for sugar, corn, soybeans and ethanol, with price elasticity directly impacting top‑line growth. Currency exposure to the Argentine peso and Brazilian real creates earnings volatility; hedging programs offset ~60 % of foreign exchange risk. Weather variability, particularly El Niño/La Niña patterns, influences yield forecasts and dictates planting decisions.
Regulatory factors such as Argentine export taxes, Brazilian biofuel mandates, and evolving ESG standards shape cost structures and investment priorities. The company’s strategic focus on vertically integrated value chains and renewable energy production positions it to capture margin upside when commodity spreads widen.
AGRO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 847m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-01-28 |
AGRO Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -12.3% |
| Fundamental | 61.9% |
| Dividend Rating | 63.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -39.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.67 of 5 |
AGRO Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.96% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.69% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 2.56% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 89.3% |
AGRO Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -76.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -73.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 64.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 2.72% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.08 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.27 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.12 |
| Alpha | -41.03 |
| Beta | 0.653 |
| Volatility | 37.23% |
| Current Volume | 238.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 535k |
| Stop Loss | 7.8 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -1.29 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (35.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 93.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -13.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 30.92% (prev 44.11%; Δ -13.19pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 323.6m > Net Income 35.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.09b) to EBITDA (372.8m) ratio: 2.92 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (498.8m) change vs 12m ago -2.61% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.39% (prev 29.18%; Δ -11.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 48.34% (prev 43.31%; Δ 5.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.73 (EBITDA TTM 372.8m / Interest Expense TTM 66.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.13
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 1.01b - Total Current Liabilities 531.1m) / Total Assets 3.28b |
| (B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 518.6m / Total Assets 3.28b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 114.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b |
| (D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 732.3m / Total Liabilities 1.87b |
| Total Rating: 2.13 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.86
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.71% = 2.35 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.83% = 1.21 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.69 = 2.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.55 = -1.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 5.07% = 6.34 |
| 7. RoE 2.56% = 0.21 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 18.27% = 0.91 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -0.38% = -0.06 |
| 10. EPS Trend -12.50% = -0.31 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of AGRO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.37%, over one month by -12.21%, over three months by -15.88% and over the past year by -27.86%.
Is Adecoagro a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AGRO is around 6.77 USD . This means that AGRO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -15.9%.
Is AGRO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AGRO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.3 | 40.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.3 | 40.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.6 | -6.2% |
Last update: 2025-09-01 02:01
AGRO Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 205.7m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 23.5
P/E Forward = 12.9702
P/S = 0.545
P/B = 0.6172
P/EG = 0.06
Beta = 0.703
Revenue TTM = 1.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 114.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 372.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 683.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 269.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 952.4m USD (Calculated: Short Term 269.4m + Long Term 683.0m)
Net Debt = 1.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.59b USD (846.6m + Debt 952.4m - CCE 205.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.73 (Ebit TTM 114.9m / Interest Expense TTM 66.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.71% (FCF TTM 75.0m / Enterprise Value 1.59b)
FCF Margin = 4.83% (FCF TTM 75.0m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Net Margin = 2.29% (Net Income TTM 35.6m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Gross Margin = 17.39% ((Revenue TTM 1.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.18 (Enterprise Value 1.59b / Book Value Of Equity 732.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.38% (Interest Expense 22.7m / Debt 952.4m)
Taxrate = -162.5% (set to none) (-57.0m / 35.1m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 531.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 952.4m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.55 (Net Debt 1.09b / EBITDA 372.8m)
Debt / FCF = 12.69 (Debt 952.4m / FCF TTM 75.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.39b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 1.09% (Net Income 35.6m, Total Assets 3.28b )
RoE = 2.56% (Net Income TTM 35.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.39b)
RoCE = 5.55% (Ebit 114.9m / (Equity 1.39b + L.T.Debt 683.0m))
RoIC = 5.07% (Ebit 114.9m / (Assets 3.28b - Current Assets 1.01b))
WACC = unknown (E(846.6m)/V(1.80b) * Re(8.42%)) + (D(952.4m)/V(1.80b) * Rd(2.38%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -48.48 | Cagr: -0.88%
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.38% ; FCFE base≈247.2m ; Y1≈254.6m ; Y5≈286.5m
Fair Price DCF = 46.93 (DCF Value 4.70b / Shares Outstanding 100.1m; 5y FCF grow 2.99% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 18.27 | Revenue CAGR: -0.38%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 9.83
EPS Correlation: -12.50 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -220.0
Additional Sources for AGRO Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle