(AHH) Armada Hflr Pr - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US04208T1088
Retail, Office, Multifamily, Construction
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.46% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.08% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -3.28% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 41.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.14 |
| Alpha | -41.25 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.312 |
| Beta | 0.703 |
| Beta Downside | 0.815 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.37% |
| Mean DD | 18.97% |
| Median DD | 14.26% |
Description: AHH Armada Hflr Pr December 25, 2025
Armada Hoffler (NYSE: AHH) is a vertically integrated REIT that develops, builds, acquires, and manages retail, office, and multifamily assets, primarily across the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Since its 1979 founding by Daniel A. Hoffler, the firm also offers general construction services to third-party clients and reinvests development projects into its own stabilized portfolio, operating under REIT tax status.
Key performance indicators as of Q4 2023 show an occupancy rate of roughly 93% across its core property types, with funds-from-operations (FFO) growing about 6% year-over-year. The portfolio’s weighted-average lease term remains near 5.8 years, helping mitigate short-term market volatility. AHH’s leverage sits at approximately 5.2× net debt to EBITDA, a level that is modest for the sector but still sensitive to rising interest rates-a macro driver that has been pressuring cap rates in the diversified REIT space.
For a deeper dive into AHH’s valuation metrics, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst tools.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (26.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 27.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 47.45% (prev 19.72%; Δ 27.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 58.3m > Net Income 26.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.56b) to EBITDA (208.5m) ratio: 7.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (102.1m) change vs 12m ago 48.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.97% (prev 26.72%; Δ 16.25pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 17.69% (prev 29.55%; Δ -11.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.37 (EBITDA TTM 208.5m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.36
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 302.4m - Total Current Liabilities 86.7m) / Total Assets 2.58b |
| (B) -0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -257.7m / Total Assets 2.58b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 110.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.57b |
| (D) -0.15 = Book Value of Equity -256.1m / Total Liabilities 1.73b |
| Total Rating: 0.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.65
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.58% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.83% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.05)% |
| 7. RoE 4.07% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 29.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend -48.06% |
What is the price of AHH shares?
As of January 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.62 with a total of 1,104,900 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.76%, over one month by +1.52%, over three months by -3.55% and over the past year by -29.96%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.76%, over one month by +1.52%, over three months by -3.55% and over the past year by -29.96%.
Is AHH a buy, sell or hold?
Armada Hflr Pr has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AHH.
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AHH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8 | 20.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 20.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.7 | 0.8% |
AHH Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 2026
Market Cap USD = 694.6m (694.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.4545
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 1.5345
P/B = 1.1464
P/EG = 6.94
Beta = 1.075
Revenue TTM = 454.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 110.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 208.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.56b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.26b USD (694.6m + Debt 1.61b - CCE 46.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.37 (Ebit TTM 110.5m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Enterprise Value 2.26b)
FCF Margin = 12.83% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Net Margin = 5.87% (Net Income TTM 26.7m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Gross Margin = 42.97% ((Revenue TTM 454.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 259.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.27% (prev 47.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 2.26b / Total Assets 2.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 22.7m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = -35.10% (negative due to tax credits) (192.0k / -547.0k)
NOPAT = 149.2m (EBIT 110.5m * (1 - -35.10%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.49 (Total Current Assets 302.4m / Total Current Liabilities 86.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 638.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.50 (Net Debt 1.56b / EBITDA 208.5m)
Debt / FCF = 26.82 (Net Debt 1.56b / FCF TTM 58.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 654.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.03% (Net Income 26.7m / Total Assets 2.58b)
RoE = 4.07% (Net Income TTM 26.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 654.7m)
RoCE = 5.16% (EBIT 110.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 654.7m + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 7.98% (NOPAT 149.2m / Invested Capital 1.87b)
WACC = 3.93% (E(694.6m)/V(2.30b) * Re(8.61%) + D(1.61b)/V(2.30b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(-0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.77% ; FCFE base≈80.9m ; Y1≈83.6m ; Y5≈94.8m
Fair Price DCF = 18.72 (DCF Value 1.50b / Shares Outstanding 80.2m; 5y FCF grow 3.48% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.06 | EPS CAGR: -15.84% | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 29.10 | Revenue CAGR: 8.84% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+68.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
P/E Trailing = 30.4545
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 1.5345
P/B = 1.1464
P/EG = 6.94
Beta = 1.075
Revenue TTM = 454.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 110.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 208.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.56b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.26b USD (694.6m + Debt 1.61b - CCE 46.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.37 (Ebit TTM 110.5m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Enterprise Value 2.26b)
FCF Margin = 12.83% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Net Margin = 5.87% (Net Income TTM 26.7m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Gross Margin = 42.97% ((Revenue TTM 454.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 259.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.27% (prev 47.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 2.26b / Total Assets 2.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 22.7m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = -35.10% (negative due to tax credits) (192.0k / -547.0k)
NOPAT = 149.2m (EBIT 110.5m * (1 - -35.10%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.49 (Total Current Assets 302.4m / Total Current Liabilities 86.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 638.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.50 (Net Debt 1.56b / EBITDA 208.5m)
Debt / FCF = 26.82 (Net Debt 1.56b / FCF TTM 58.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 654.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.03% (Net Income 26.7m / Total Assets 2.58b)
RoE = 4.07% (Net Income TTM 26.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 654.7m)
RoCE = 5.16% (EBIT 110.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 654.7m + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 7.98% (NOPAT 149.2m / Invested Capital 1.87b)
WACC = 3.93% (E(694.6m)/V(2.30b) * Re(8.61%) + D(1.61b)/V(2.30b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(-0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.77% ; FCFE base≈80.9m ; Y1≈83.6m ; Y5≈94.8m
Fair Price DCF = 18.72 (DCF Value 1.50b / Shares Outstanding 80.2m; 5y FCF grow 3.48% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.06 | EPS CAGR: -15.84% | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 29.10 | Revenue CAGR: 8.84% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+68.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
Additional Sources for AHH Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle