(AHH) Armada Hflr Pr - Ratings and Ratios
Retail, Office, Multifamily, Construction
AHH EPS (Earnings per Share)
AHH Revenue
Description: AHH Armada Hflr Pr
Armada Hoffler (NYSE: AHH) is a multifaceted real estate investment trust (REIT) that has been a significant player in the development, construction, and management of high-quality properties across the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern United States for over 40 years. With a vertically integrated business model, the company leverages its self-managed capabilities to oversee a diverse portfolio of retail, office, and multifamily assets. In addition to its investment activities, Armada Hoffler provides construction and development services to third-party clients, further diversifying its revenue streams. Founded by Daniel A. Hoffler in 1979, the company has established itself as a reputable name in the real estate sector and operates as a REIT for tax purposes, as seen on their official website: https://www.armadahoffler.com.
From a market perspective, Armada Hofflers stock (AHH) is classified under the GICS Sub Industry of Diversified REITs, indicating its diversified portfolio across different property types. The companys operational footprint is primarily in the United States, aligning with its country of origin. Understanding the companys diversified REIT status is crucial, as it allows for a broader investment appeal across various real estate sectors.
Analyzing the stocks recent performance, it is evident that Armada Hoffler has experienced fluctuations in its stock price. The last recorded price is $7.02, slightly above its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $6.98 and 50-day SMA of $6.94, indicating a short-term positive trend. However, the stock is significantly below its 200-day SMA of $9.10, suggesting a longer-term downtrend. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.19, or 2.70%, indicates moderate volatility. Given these technical indicators, a potential trading range could be established around the 52-week high of $11.65 and low of $6.37.
Fundamentally, Armada Hoffler has a market capitalization of $708.55 million, with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 69.40 and a forward P/E of 39.53. The Return on Equity (RoE) stands at 2.94%. These metrics suggest that while the company has a considerable market presence, its profitability and return on equity are areas that warrant closer examination. The high P/E ratio could indicate overvaluation or high growth expectations.
Forecasting the future performance of Armada Hoffler (AHH) involves synthesizing both technical and fundamental data. Technically, a breakout above the 200-day SMA of $9.10 could signal a reversal of the long-term downtrend, potentially targeting the 52-week high of $11.65. Conversely, failure to sustain above $6.98 could lead to further declines towards the 52-week low of $6.37. Fundamentally, the high P/E and forward P/E ratios suggest that the market expects significant earnings growth. If the company can improve its RoE and meet these growth expectations, the stock could see an upward revaluation. Therefore, a potential forecast could involve a gradual increase towards $9.10 in the short term, with potential for further growth if fundamental improvements are realized.
AHH Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 766m |
Sub-Industry | Diversified REITs |
IPO / Inception | 2013-05-08 |
AHH Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -55.4% |
Fundamental | 52.2% |
Dividend Rating | 85.4% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -43.5% |
Analyst Rating | 3.75 of 5 |
AHH Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 9.24% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 9.64% |
Annual Growth 5y | 13.26% |
Payout Consistency | 94.8% |
Payout Ratio | 5.3% |
AHH Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 66.6% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -81.3% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -20.5% |
CAGR 5y | -8.20% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.18 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.70 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.14 |
Alpha | 0.00 |
Beta | 0.956 |
Volatility | 24.56% |
Current Volume | 582.9k |
Average Volume 20d | 487.6k |
Stop Loss | 7.2 (-3.9%) |
Signal | 0.21 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
Net Income (22.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 32.8m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 1.09% (prev 14.45%; Δ -13.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 60.3m > Net Income 22.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (1.61b) to EBITDA (189.8m) ratio: 8.48 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (102.3m) change vs 12m ago 52.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 41.85% (prev 22.05%; Δ 19.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 21.22% (prev 28.61%; Δ -7.39pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 1.21 (EBITDA TTM 189.8m / Interest Expense TTM 79.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.19
(A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 106.1m - Total Current Liabilities 100.1m) / Total Assets 2.58b |
(B) -0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -243.7m / Total Assets 2.58b |
(C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 95.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.57b |
(D) -0.14 = Book Value of Equity -241.8m / Total Liabilities 1.72b |
Total Rating: -0.19 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.15
1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0 |
2. FCF Yield 3.17% = 1.59 |
3. FCF Margin 13.14% = 3.29 |
4. Debt/Equity 1.80 = 1.07 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 8.15 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.88)% = 4.85 |
7. RoE 3.14% = 0.26 |
8. Rev. Trend -22.12% = -1.66 |
9. EPS Trend -34.86% = -1.74 |
What is the price of AHH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.17%, over one month by +6.70%, over three months by +12.56% and over the past year by -32.98%.
Is Armada Hflr Pr a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AHH is around 7.32 USD . This means that AHH is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2.27%.
Is AHH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AHH price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 8.3 | 10.8% |
Analysts Target Price | 8.3 | 10.8% |
ValueRay Target Price | 8.2 | 10% |
Last update: 2025-09-17 04:30
AHH Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 52.1m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 52.7857
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 1.4078
P/B = 1.2384
P/EG = 6.94
Beta = 1.159
Revenue TTM = 546.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 95.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 189.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 100.1m USD (from totalCurrentLiabilities, last quarter)
Debt = 1.55b USD (Calculated: Short Term 100.1m + Long Term 1.45b)
Net Debt = 1.61b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.26b USD (766.1m + Debt 1.55b - CCE 52.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.21 (Ebit TTM 95.9m / Interest Expense TTM 79.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.17% (FCF TTM 71.8m / Enterprise Value 2.26b)
FCF Margin = 13.14% (FCF TTM 71.8m / Revenue TTM 546.2m)
Net Margin = 4.10% (Net Income TTM 22.4m / Revenue TTM 546.2m)
Gross Margin = 41.85% ((Revenue TTM 546.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 317.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -9.35 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 2.26b / Book Value Of Equity -241.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.38% (Interest Expense 21.3m / Debt 1.55b)
Taxrate = -1.47% (set to none) (-614.0k / 41.9m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 106.1m / Total Current Liabilities 100.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.80 (Debt 1.55b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 860.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.15 (Net Debt 1.61b / EBITDA 189.8m)
Debt / FCF = 21.56 (Debt 1.55b / FCF TTM 71.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 713.2m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 0.87% (Net Income 22.4m, Total Assets 2.58b )
RoE = 3.14% (Net Income TTM 22.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 713.2m)
RoCE = 4.44% (Ebit 95.9m / (Equity 713.2m + L.T.Debt 1.45b))
RoIC = 3.88% (Ebit 95.9m / (Assets 2.58b - Current Assets 106.1m))
WACC = unknown (E(766.1m)/V(2.31b) * Re(9.54%)) + (D(1.55b)/V(2.31b) * Rd(1.38%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 10.69 | Cagr: 1.34%
Discount Rate = 9.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.29% ; FCFE base≈83.2m ; Y1≈79.9m ; Y5≈78.2m
Fair Price DCF = 13.47 (DCF Value 1.08b / Shares Outstanding 80.2m; 5y FCF grow -5.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -34.86 | EPS CAGR: -55.90% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -22.12 | Revenue CAGR: -6.76% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for AHH Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle