(AHH) Armada Hflr Pr - Ratings and Ratios
Retail, Office, Multifamily, Construction, Development
AHH EPS (Earnings per Share)
AHH Revenue
Description: AHH Armada Hflr Pr October 22, 2025
Armada Hoffler (NYSE: AHH) operates as a vertically integrated REIT that develops, builds, acquires, and manages retail, office, and multifamily assets, primarily in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast U.S. In addition to its own stabilized portfolio, the firm offers construction and development services to third-party clients, leveraging four decades of industry experience since its 1979 founding by Daniel A. Hoffler.
Key performance indicators from the most recent filing show an occupancy rate of roughly 94% across the portfolio, FY-2023 funds-from-operations (FFO) of $0.28 per share, and a net debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio near 5.5×. The company’s outlook is tied to macro drivers such as regional population growth in the Sun Belt, which fuels multifamily demand, and the ongoing re-allocation of office space in secondary markets as remote-work trends moderate. Retail performance remains sensitive to e-commerce penetration, prompting AHH to prioritize mixed-use and experiential concepts that can sustain foot traffic.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform provides a granular breakdown of AHH’s cash-flow metrics and comparable peer analysis.
AHH Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 660m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified REITs |
| IPO / Inception | 2013-05-08 |
AHH Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -65.7% |
| Fundamental | 52.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 82.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -45.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.75 of 5 |
AHH Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 9.81% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.26% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 16.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.0% |
AHH Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -71.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -70.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -36.3% |
| CAGR 5y | -13.01% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.29 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.76 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.45 |
| Alpha | -57.41 |
| Beta | 1.077 |
| Volatility | 26.07% |
| Current Volume | 754.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 668.2k |
| Stop Loss | 6.1 (-4.2%) |
| Signal | -1.24 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (25.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 27.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 3.98% (prev 19.72%; Δ -15.74pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 58.3m > Net Income 25.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.65b) to EBITDA (208.9m) ratio: 7.92 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.21 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (102.1m) change vs 12m ago 48.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 47.61% (prev 22.02%; Δ 25.60pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 17.69% (prev 29.56%; Δ -11.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.38 (EBITDA TTM 208.9m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.06
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 104.8m - Total Current Liabilities 86.7m) / Total Assets 2.58b |
| (B) -0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -218.6m / Total Assets 2.58b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 110.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.57b |
| (D) 0.00 = Book Value of Equity 1.67m / Total Liabilities 1.73b |
| Total Rating: 0.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.31
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.68% = 1.84 |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.77% = 4.69 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.02 = 0.74 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.92 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.97)% = 4.97 |
| 7. RoE 3.67% = 0.31 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -59.64% = -4.47 |
| 9. EPS Trend -15.46% = -0.77 |
What is the price of AHH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.70%, over one month by -4.78%, over three months by -6.54% and over the past year by -37.85%.
Is Armada Hflr Pr a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AHH is around 6.09 USD . This means that AHH is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.4%.
Is AHH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AHH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.2 | 28.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.2 | 28.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.5 | 2.4% |
AHH Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 28.9545
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 1.459
P/B = 1.1717
P/EG = 6.94
Beta = 1.077
Revenue TTM = 454.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 110.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 208.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.14b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 140.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.32b USD (660.4m + Debt 1.70b - CCE 46.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.38 (Ebit TTM 110.8m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.68% (FCF TTM 85.3m / Enterprise Value 2.32b)
FCF Margin = 18.77% (FCF TTM 85.3m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Net Margin = 5.70% (Net Income TTM 25.9m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Gross Margin = 47.61% ((Revenue TTM 454.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 238.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.26% (prev 47.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 2.32b / Total Assets 2.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 22.7m / Debt 1.70b)
Taxrate = -35.10% (negative due to tax credits) (192.0k / -547.0k)
NOPAT = 149.7m (EBIT 110.8m * (1 - -35.10%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 104.8m / Total Current Liabilities 86.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 1.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 843.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.92 (Net Debt 1.65b / EBITDA 208.9m)
Debt / FCF = 19.38 (Net Debt 1.65b / FCF TTM 85.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 705.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.00% (Net Income 25.9m / Total Assets 2.58b)
RoE = 3.67% (Net Income TTM 25.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 705.9m)
RoCE = 5.99% (EBIT 110.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 705.9m + L.T.Debt 1.14b))
RoIC = 8.12% (NOPAT 149.7m / Invested Capital 1.84b)
WACC = 4.15% (E(660.4m)/V(2.36b) * Re(10.20%) + D(1.70b)/V(2.36b) * Rd(1.33%) * (1-Tc(-0.35)))
Discount Rate = 10.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.65% ; FCFE base≈92.1m ; Y1≈86.7m ; Y5≈81.3m
Fair Price DCF = 12.83 (DCF Value 1.03b / Shares Outstanding 80.2m; 5y FCF grow -7.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -15.46 | EPS CAGR: -17.77% | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.64 | Revenue CAGR: -15.28% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AHH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle