(AHH) Armada Hflr Pr - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US04208T1088
Retail, Office, Multifamily, Construction, Development
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 9.51% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.09% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.52 |
| Alpha | -48.28 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.328 |
| Beta | 0.748 |
| Beta Downside | 0.803 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.37% |
| Mean DD | 17.87% |
| Median DD | 13.50% |
Description: AHH Armada Hflr Pr October 22, 2025
Armada Hoffler (NYSE: AHH) operates as a vertically integrated REIT that develops, builds, acquires, and manages retail, office, and multifamily assets, primarily in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast U.S. In addition to its own stabilized portfolio, the firm offers construction and development services to third-party clients, leveraging four decades of industry experience since its 1979 founding by Daniel A. Hoffler.
Key performance indicators from the most recent filing show an occupancy rate of roughly 94% across the portfolio, FY-2023 funds-from-operations (FFO) of $0.28 per share, and a net debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio near 5.5×. The company’s outlook is tied to macro drivers such as regional population growth in the Sun Belt, which fuels multifamily demand, and the ongoing re-allocation of office space in secondary markets as remote-work trends moderate. Retail performance remains sensitive to e-commerce penetration, prompting AHH to prioritize mixed-use and experiential concepts that can sustain foot traffic.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform provides a granular breakdown of AHH’s cash-flow metrics and comparable peer analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (25.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 27.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.73pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 47.45% (prev 19.72%; Δ 27.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 58.3m > Net Income 25.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.56b) to EBITDA (185.8m) ratio: 8.42 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (102.1m) change vs 12m ago 48.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 47.61% (prev 22.02%; Δ 25.60pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 17.69% (prev 29.56%; Δ -11.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.09 (EBITDA TTM 185.8m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.30
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 302.4m - Total Current Liabilities 86.7m) / Total Assets 2.58b |
| (B) -0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -257.7m / Total Assets 2.58b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 87.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.57b |
| (D) -0.15 = Book Value of Equity -256.1m / Total Liabilities 1.73b |
| Total Rating: 0.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.79
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.64% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.83% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 8.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.48)% |
| 7. RoE 3.95% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 30.26% |
| 9. EPS Trend -48.06% |
What is the price of AHH shares?
As of December 01, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.57 with a total of 622,573 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.14%, over one month by +0.46%, over three months by -5.77% and over the past year by -35.90%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.14%, over one month by +0.46%, over three months by -5.77% and over the past year by -35.90%.
Is AHH a buy, sell or hold?
Armada Hflr Pr has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AHH.
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AHH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8 | 21.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 21.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.7 | 2.1% |
AHH Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
Market Cap USD = 640.6m (640.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.0909
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 1.4154
P/B = 1.0521
P/EG = 6.94
Beta = 1.077
Revenue TTM = 454.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 87.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 185.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.56b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.20b USD (640.6m + Debt 1.61b - CCE 46.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.09 (Ebit TTM 87.7m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.64% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Enterprise Value 2.20b)
FCF Margin = 12.83% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Net Margin = 5.70% (Net Income TTM 25.9m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Gross Margin = 47.61% ((Revenue TTM 454.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 238.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.26% (prev 47.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 2.20b / Total Assets 2.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 22.7m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = -35.10% (negative due to tax credits) (192.0k / -547.0k)
NOPAT = 118.5m (EBIT 87.7m * (1 - -35.10%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.49 (Total Current Assets 302.4m / Total Current Liabilities 86.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 638.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.42 (Net Debt 1.56b / EBITDA 185.8m)
Debt / FCF = 26.82 (Net Debt 1.56b / FCF TTM 58.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 654.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.00% (Net Income 25.9m / Total Assets 2.58b)
RoE = 3.95% (Net Income TTM 25.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 654.7m)
RoCE = 4.10% (EBIT 87.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 654.7m + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 6.34% (NOPAT 118.5m / Invested Capital 1.87b)
WACC = 3.86% (E(640.6m)/V(2.25b) * Re(8.77%) + D(1.61b)/V(2.25b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(-0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.67% ; FCFE base≈75.9m ; Y1≈71.4m ; Y5≈67.0m
Fair Price DCF = 13.13 (DCF Value 1.05b / Shares Outstanding 80.2m; 5y FCF grow -7.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.06 | EPS CAGR: -15.84% | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 30.26 | Revenue CAGR: 8.84% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-87.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+68.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
P/E Trailing = 28.0909
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 1.4154
P/B = 1.0521
P/EG = 6.94
Beta = 1.077
Revenue TTM = 454.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 87.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 185.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.56b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.20b USD (640.6m + Debt 1.61b - CCE 46.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.09 (Ebit TTM 87.7m / Interest Expense TTM 80.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.64% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Enterprise Value 2.20b)
FCF Margin = 12.83% (FCF TTM 58.3m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Net Margin = 5.70% (Net Income TTM 25.9m / Revenue TTM 454.6m)
Gross Margin = 47.61% ((Revenue TTM 454.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 238.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.26% (prev 47.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 2.20b / Total Assets 2.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 22.7m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = -35.10% (negative due to tax credits) (192.0k / -547.0k)
NOPAT = 118.5m (EBIT 87.7m * (1 - -35.10%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.49 (Total Current Assets 302.4m / Total Current Liabilities 86.7m)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 638.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.42 (Net Debt 1.56b / EBITDA 185.8m)
Debt / FCF = 26.82 (Net Debt 1.56b / FCF TTM 58.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 654.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.00% (Net Income 25.9m / Total Assets 2.58b)
RoE = 3.95% (Net Income TTM 25.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 654.7m)
RoCE = 4.10% (EBIT 87.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 654.7m + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 6.34% (NOPAT 118.5m / Invested Capital 1.87b)
WACC = 3.86% (E(640.6m)/V(2.25b) * Re(8.77%) + D(1.61b)/V(2.25b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(-0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.67% ; FCFE base≈75.9m ; Y1≈71.4m ; Y5≈67.0m
Fair Price DCF = 13.13 (DCF Value 1.05b / Shares Outstanding 80.2m; 5y FCF grow -7.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.06 | EPS CAGR: -15.84% | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 30.26 | Revenue CAGR: 8.84% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-87.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+68.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
Additional Sources for AHH Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle