(AL) Air Lease - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft, Leasing, Narrowbody Fleet
AL EPS (Earnings per Share)
AL Revenue
Description: AL Air Lease
Air Lease Corporation is a prominent aircraft leasing company with a global presence, operating in multiple regions including Asia Pacific, Europe, and the Americas. The company engages in purchasing and leasing commercial jet aircraft to airlines, as well as selling aircraft from its fleet to third parties. Additionally, it offers fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios.
As a significant player in the aircraft leasing industry, Air Lease Corporation has a substantial fleet of 489 aircraft, comprising 355 narrowbody and 134 widebody aircraft as of December 31, 2024. This diverse fleet enables the company to cater to various airline customers with different aircraft requirements.
From a financial perspective, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, lease utilization rate, and return on equity (ROE) are crucial in evaluating Air Lease Corporations performance. With a ROE of 9.01%, the company demonstrates a reasonable return on shareholder equity. Other relevant KPIs include the companys debt-to-equity ratio, aircraft portfolio yield, and operating margin. For instance, a high lease utilization rate indicates efficient asset utilization, while a stable debt-to-equity ratio suggests a healthy capital structure.
To further analyze Air Lease Corporations performance, one could examine its aircraft portfolio composition, lease rates, and customer credit quality. The companys ability to manage its fleet effectively, maintain a strong customer base, and adapt to changing market conditions will be essential in driving future growth and profitability.
AL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,729m |
| Sub-Industry | Trading Companies & Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-04-19 |
AL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 70.3% |
| Fundamental | 47.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 66.2% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 27.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.14 of 5 |
AL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.95% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.71% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 6.86% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 18.1% |
AL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 27.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 73.9% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 59% |
| CAGR 5y | 17.08% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.42 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.54 |
| Alpha | 26.35 |
| Beta | 1.058 |
| Volatility | 25.72% |
| Current Volume | 10236k |
| Average Volume 20d | 709.8k |
| Stop Loss | 62.3 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 2.62 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (977.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 172.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -113.4% (prev -81.35%; Δ -32.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.75b > Net Income 977.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-454.8m) to EBITDA (2.68b) ratio: -0.17 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (112.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 51.44% (prev 45.31%; Δ 6.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 8.93% (prev 8.55%; Δ 0.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.15 (EBITDA TTM 2.68b / Interest Expense TTM 473.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.35
| (A) -0.10 = (Total Current Assets 454.8m - Total Current Liabilities 3.71b) / Total Assets 33.30b |
| (B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.84b / Total Assets 33.30b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 1.49b / Avg Total Assets 32.16b |
| (D) 0.19 = Book Value of Equity 4.84b / Total Liabilities 25.07b |
| Total Rating: 0.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.38
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -9.39% = -4.69 |
| 3. FCF Margin -86.90% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.47 = 0.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.58 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 1.16% = 1.45 |
| 7. RoE 12.50% = 1.04 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.99% = 4.00 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 10.12% = 1.26 |
| 10. EPS Trend 51.15% = 1.28 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 62.71% = 2.50 |
What is the price of AL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.35%, over one month by +16.55%, over three months by +13.48% and over the past year by +49.15%.
Is Air Lease a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AL is around 70.93 USD . This means that AL is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +10.35% (Margin of Safety).
Is AL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 65.7 | 2.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 65.7 | 2.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 75.3 | 17.1% |
Last update: 2025-09-02 04:30
AL Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 454.8m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 7.307
P/E Forward = 13.7363
P/S = 2.3422
P/B = 0.8182
P/EG = 0.91
Beta = 1.418
Revenue TTM = 2.87b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.68b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 936.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.32b USD (Calculated: Short Term 936.0m + Long Term 19.38b)
Net Debt = -454.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.59b USD (6.73b + Debt 20.32b - CCE 454.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.15 (Ebit TTM 1.49b / Interest Expense TTM 473.3m)
FCF Yield = -9.39% (FCF TTM -2.50b / Enterprise Value 26.59b)
FCF Margin = -86.90% (FCF TTM -2.50b / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Net Margin = 34.04% (Net Income TTM 977.9m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Gross Margin = 51.44% ((Revenue TTM 2.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.49 (Enterprise Value 26.59b / Book Value Of Equity 4.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 222.3m / Debt 20.32b)
Taxrate = 19.79% (105.6m / 533.3m)
NOPAT = 1.20b (EBIT 1.49b * (1 - 19.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.12 (Total Current Assets 454.8m / Total Current Liabilities 3.71b)
Debt / Equity = 2.47 (Debt 20.32b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 8.22b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.58 (Net Debt -454.8m / EBITDA 2.68b)
Debt / FCF = -8.14 (Debt 20.32b / FCF TTM -2.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.82b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.94% (Net Income 977.9m, Total Assets 33.30b )
RoE = 12.50% (Net Income TTM 977.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.82b)
RoCE = 5.49% (Ebit 1.49b / (Equity 7.82b + L.T.Debt 19.38b))
RoIC = 4.28% (NOPAT 1.20b / Invested Capital 27.97b)
WACC = 3.12% (E(6.73b)/V(27.05b) * Re(9.91%)) + (D(20.32b)/V(27.05b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: -0.46%
Discount Rate = 9.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.50b)
Revenue Correlation: 79.99 | Revenue CAGR: 10.12%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -1.11
EPS Correlation: 51.15 | EPS CAGR: 62.71%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 39.03
Additional Sources for AL Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle