(ALEX) Alexander & Baldwin Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Retail Centers, Industrial Assets, Office Properties, Ground Leases
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.91% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.87% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 27.34% |
| Payout Consistency | 77.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 89.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.03% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.21 |
| Alpha | -24.92 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.408 |
| Beta | 0.330 |
| Beta Downside | 0.422 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.76% |
| Mean DD | 8.63% |
| Median DD | 8.31% |
Description: ALEX Alexander & Baldwin Holdings November 12, 2025
Alexander & Baldwin Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALEX) is the sole publicly-traded REIT dedicated exclusively to Hawai‘i’s commercial real-estate market, making it the state’s largest owner of grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers. The company’s portfolio comprises roughly four million sq ft of space, including 21 retail centers, 14 industrial properties, four office buildings, and 146 acres of ground-lease assets, reflecting a 155-year legacy of involvement across Hawai‘i’s agriculture, tourism, transportation, construction, and residential sectors.
Key performance indicators from the most recent quarter show a funds-from-operations (FFO) yield of about 5.2 % and a net operating income (NOI) growth rate of 3.1 % YoY, driven by strong tourism-linked consumer traffic that supports retail rents. The company’s exposure to tourism-related spending is a primary sector driver, while the limited land supply and high construction costs in Hawai‘i create a structural barrier to new supply, underpinning occupancy stability.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ALEX’s valuation and risk profile, you might find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (73.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 13.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.39pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.77% (prev -65.25%; Δ 73.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 91.3m > Net Income 73.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (473.2m) to EBITDA (135.4m) ratio: 3.49 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (72.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.27% (prev 48.90%; Δ -3.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 13.19% (prev 13.76%; Δ -0.57pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.47 (EBITDA TTM 135.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.53
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 105.2m - Total Current Liabilities 88.2m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| (B) -0.48 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -802.7m / Total Assets 1.66b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 97.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.65b |
| (D) 1.57 = Book Value of Equity 1.01b / Total Liabilities 645.7m |
| Total Rating: 0.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.97
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.37% |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.52)% |
| 7. RoE 7.27% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 16.05% |
| 9. EPS Trend 45.92% |
What is the price of ALEX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.62%, over one month by -3.30%, over three months by -20.76% and over the past year by -17.61%.
Is ALEX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALEX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.6 | 35.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.6 | 35.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14.9 | -1.8% |
ALEX Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 15.3861
P/E Forward = 25.7732
P/S = 5.0016
P/B = 1.1264
P/EG = 4.48
Beta = 1.014
Revenue TTM = 218.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 97.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 135.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 475.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 25.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 490.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 473.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.60b USD (1.13b + Debt 490.5m - CCE 17.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.47 (Ebit TTM 97.2m / Interest Expense TTM 17.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.37% (FCF TTM 54.0m / Enterprise Value 1.60b)
FCF Margin = 24.76% (FCF TTM 54.0m / Revenue TTM 218.1m)
Net Margin = 33.62% (Net Income TTM 73.3m / Revenue TTM 218.1m)
Gross Margin = 45.27% ((Revenue TTM 218.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 119.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.17% (prev 45.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 1.60b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.01% (Interest Expense 47.0k / Debt 490.5m)
Taxrate = 0.52% (75.0k / 14.5m)
NOPAT = 96.7m (EBIT 97.2m * (1 - 0.52%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 105.2m / Total Current Liabilities 88.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 490.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.49 (Net Debt 473.2m / EBITDA 135.4m)
Debt / FCF = 8.76 (Net Debt 473.2m / FCF TTM 54.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.43% (Net Income 73.3m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = 7.27% (Net Income TTM 73.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.01b)
RoCE = 6.55% (EBIT 97.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.01b + L.T.Debt 475.2m))
RoIC = 6.57% (NOPAT 96.7m / Invested Capital 1.47b)
WACC = 5.05% (E(1.13b)/V(1.62b) * Re(7.23%) + D(490.5m)/V(1.62b) * Rd(0.01%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.12% ; FCFE base≈51.4m ; Y1≈61.9m ; Y5≈100.3m
Fair Price DCF = 23.54 (DCF Value 1.71b / Shares Outstanding 72.8m; 5y FCF grow 22.01% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 45.92 | EPS CAGR: 27.68% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 16.05 | Revenue CAGR: -21.52% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-30.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%
Additional Sources for ALEX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle