ALG Stock Analysis: Alamo | NYSE

Mowers, Chippers, Vacuum Trucks, Snow Plows

Total Rating 35

Safety 79

Buy Signal -0.70

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Rotation: -13.5

Market Cap: 1.86B
Avg Turnover: 29.6M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility29.4%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.88%

VaR vs Median0.63%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.50

Rel. Str. IBD18.2

Rel. Str. Peer Group25.8

Character TTM

Beta0.794

Beta Downside0.707

Hurst Exponent0.547

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD36.30%

CAGR/Max DD-0.10

CAGR/Mean DD-0.20

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -7.39%
EPS Trend: -92.2%

Last SUE: 0.22
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -1.47%
Rev. Trend: -59.0%

Last SUE: 0.89
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.1% 10

Feb -0.1% 16

Mar +1.0% 10

Apr -1.1% 11

May -3.4% 22

Jun +2.4% 22

Jul +1.0% 31

Aug +2.2% 5

Sep -1.4% 51

Oct -3.5% 30

Nov +5.7% 13

Dec +1.3% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ALG Alamo

Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE: ALG) is a small-cap U.S. industrial manufacturer founded in 1955 and headquartered in Seguin, Texas. The company designs, manufactures, and sells equipment across two reporting segments: Vegetation Management and Industrial Equipment. Together, these segments serve infrastructure, public works, agriculture, land maintenance, industrial construction, and tree care markets worldwide.

The Vegetation Management segment produces tractor-powered mowing and cutting equipment, including rotary, flail, and disc mowers, along with tractor attachments, zero-turn mowers, boom mowers, and forestry tools such as chippers, stump grinders, and mulchers. The Industrial Equipment segment offers hydraulic telescoping booms, vacuum trucks, sewer cleaners, hydro excavators, trenchers, snow plows and blowers, street sweepers, and other public works and infrastructure maintenance equipment, plus related truck up-fitting services.

Alamo Group operates within the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry (GICS Industrials), a sector that typically benefits from municipal, agricultural, and infrastructure spending cycles. The companys diversified product lines and exposure to both governmental and agricultural end-markets provide multiple revenue streams tied to infrastructure maintenance, vegetation control, and seasonal snow and ice management demand.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Vegetation Management segment demand tied to government infrastructure spending
Industrial Equipment backlog supported by municipal and public works budgets
Margin pressure from steel input costs and supply chain disruptions
Acquisition pipeline expands addressable market in snow and ice control equipment
European agricultural end market softness weighs on tractor attachment sales

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income: 101.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.04 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 46.14% < 20% (prev 46.08%; Δ 0.06% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 163.3m > Net Income 101.0m
Net Debt (84.2m) to EBITDA (223.3m): 0.38 < 3
Current Ratio: 4.39 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.1m) vs 12m ago 0.24% < -2%
Gross Margin: 24.21% > 18% (prev 25.29%; Δ -1.08% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 101.3% > 50% (prev 102.5%; Δ -1.23% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.66 > 6 (EBIT TTM 166.3m / Interest Expense TTM 29.4m)

Altman Z'' 8.00

A: 0.44 (Total Current Assets 992.7m - Total Current Liabilities 226.1m) / Total Assets 1.72b
B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 1.10b / Total Assets 1.72b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 166.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.64b)
D: 2.22 (Book Value of Equity 1.19b / Total Liabilities 535.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 8.00 = AAA

Beneish M -2.82

DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 352.0m/356.2m, Revenue 1.66b/1.60b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 25.29% / 24.21%)
AQI: 1.30 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.25)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 1.66b / 1.60b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 101.0m - CFO 163.3m) / TA 1.72b)
Beneish M = -2.82 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of ALG shares?

As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 153.07 with a total of 144,197 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.74%, over one month by -9.14%, over three months by -5.45% and over the past year by -15.26%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 144.20 (which is 5.8% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is ALG a buy, sell or hold?

Alamo has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALG.

StrongBuy: 2
Buy: 1
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ALG price?

Analysts Target Price	204.8	33.8%

Alamo (ALG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 1.86b (1.86b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.2758
P/E Forward = 13.7931
P/S = 1.1165
P/B = 1.6866
P/EG = 0.8625
Revenue TTM = 1.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 166.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 223.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 190.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.06m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 279.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.15m
Net Debt = 84.2m USD (calculated: Debt 279.2m - CCE 195.0m)
Enterprise Value = 1.94b USD (1.86b + Debt 279.2m - CCE 195.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.66 (Ebit TTM 166.3m / Interest Expense TTM 29.4m)
EV/FCF = 14.33x (Enterprise Value 1.94b / FCF TTM 135.3m)
FCF Yield = 6.98% (FCF TTM 135.3m / Enterprise Value 1.94b)
FCF Margin = 8.14% (FCF TTM 135.3m / Revenue TTM 1.66b)
Net Margin = 6.08% (Net Income TTM 101.0m / Revenue TTM 1.66b)
Gross Margin = 24.21% ((Revenue TTM 1.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.59% (prev 25.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.13 (Enterprise Value 1.94b / Total Assets 1.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.51% (Interest Expense 29.4m / Debt 279.2m)
Taxrate = 26.21% (35.9m / 136.9m)
NOPAT = 122.7m (EBIT 166.3m * (1 - 26.21%))
Current Ratio = 4.39 (Total Current Assets 992.7m / Total Current Liabilities 226.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 279.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.38 (Net Debt 84.2m / EBITDA 223.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 84.2m / FCF TTM 135.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.16% (Net Income 101.0m / Total Assets 1.72b)
RoE = 8.70% (Net Income TTM 101.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.16b)
RoCE = 12.30% (EBIT 166.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.16b + L.T.Debt 190.7m))
RoIC = 8.64% (NOPAT 122.7m / Invested Capital 1.42b)
WACC = 8.65% (E(1.86b)/V(2.13b) * Re(8.78%) + D(279.2m)/V(2.13b) * Rd(10.51%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.66 | Cagr: 0.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.99% ; FCFF base≈155.3m ; Y1≈136.2m ; Y5≈110.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 131.4 (EV 1.68b - Net Debt 84.2m = Equity 1.60b / Shares 12.2m; r=8.65% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.22 | EPS CAGR: -7.39% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -58.98 | Revenue CAGR: -1.47% | SUE: 0.89 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.62 | Chg30d=-0.61% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.53 | Chg30d=-0.25% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+12.4% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.18 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+15.7% | GrowthRev=+4.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=3, down=3)