ALG Stock Analysis: Alamo | NYSE
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.938m USD | 12M Return: -23.9% | US0113111076 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 23.2M
EPS Trend: -92.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -59.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alamo Group Inc. (NYSE: ALG) manufactures and sells industrial and vegetation management equipment for governmental, industrial, and agricultural markets worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Vegetation Management, which produces tractor-powered equipment, mowers, forestry tools, and replacement parts, and Industrial Equipment, which offers hydraulic booms, vacuum and sewer cleaning systems, snow and ice control equipment, street sweepers, and refuse handling vehicles. Founded in 1955 and headquartered in Seguin, Texas, Alamo Group serves end markets including infrastructure, public works, construction, agriculture, and tree care.
Alamo Group competes within the construction machinery and heavy transportation equipment sub-industry of the Industrials sector. Its business model relies on a diversified portfolio of specialized niche products sold to government agencies and contractors, with demand typically tied to infrastructure spending, municipal budgets, and agricultural cycles.
- US infrastructure spending lifts vegetation management equipment demand
- Municipal snow and street sweeper orders strengthen Industrial Equipment backlog
- Steel input costs and currency headwinds pressure segment margins
| Net Income: 101.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 46.14% < 20% (prev 46.08%; Δ 0.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 163.3m > Net Income 101.0m |
| Net Debt (84.2m) to EBITDA (202.1m): 0.42 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.39 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.1m) vs 12m ago 0.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.21% > 18% (prev 25.29%; Δ -1.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 101.3% > 50% (prev 102.5%; Δ -1.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 147.4m / Interest Expense TTM 29.4m) |
| A: 0.44 (Total Current Assets 992.7m - Total Current Liabilities 226.1m) / Total Assets 1.72b |
| B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 1.10b / Total Assets 1.72b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 147.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.64b) |
| D: 2.22 (Book Value of Equity 1.19b / Total Liabilities 535.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.93 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 352.0m/356.2m, Revenue 1.66b/1.60b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 25.29% / 24.21%) |
| AQI: 1.30 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.25) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 1.66b / 1.60b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 101.0m - CFO 163.3m) / TA 1.72b) |
| Beneish M = -2.82 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 165.24 with a total of 215,503 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.08%, over one month by -0.07%, over three months by +8.52% and over the past year by -23.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 154.00 (which is 6.8% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Alamo has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALG.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 204.8 | 23.9% |
P/E Trailing = 19.0947
P/E Forward = 15.674
P/S = 1.1665
P/B = 1.6582
P/EG = 0.9803
Revenue TTM = 1.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 147.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 202.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 190.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.06m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 279.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.15m
Net Debt = 84.2m USD (calculated: Debt 279.2m - CCE 195.0m)
Enterprise Value = 2.02b USD (1.94b + Debt 279.2m - CCE 195.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.02 (Ebit TTM 147.4m / Interest Expense TTM 29.4m)
EV/FCF = 14.95x (Enterprise Value 2.02b / FCF TTM 135.3m)
FCF Yield = 6.69% (FCF TTM 135.3m / Enterprise Value 2.02b)
FCF Margin = 8.14% (FCF TTM 135.3m / Revenue TTM 1.66b)
Net Margin = 6.08% (Net Income TTM 101.0m / Revenue TTM 1.66b)
Gross Margin = 24.21% ((Revenue TTM 1.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.59% (prev 25.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 2.02b / Total Assets 1.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.51% (Interest Expense 29.4m / Debt 279.2m)
Taxrate = 26.21% (35.9m / 136.9m)
NOPAT = 108.8m (EBIT 147.4m * (1 - 26.21%))
Current Ratio = 4.39 (Total Current Assets 992.7m / Total Current Liabilities 226.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 279.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.42 (Net Debt 84.2m / EBITDA 202.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 84.2m / FCF TTM 135.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.16% (Net Income 101.0m / Total Assets 1.72b)
RoE = 8.70% (Net Income TTM 101.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.16b)
RoCE = 10.91% (EBIT 147.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.16b + L.T.Debt 190.7m))
RoIC = 7.66% (NOPAT 108.8m / Invested Capital 1.42b)
WACC = 8.68% (E(1.94b)/V(2.22b) * Re(8.81%) + D(279.2m)/V(2.22b) * Rd(10.51%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.66 | Cagr: 0.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.88% ; FCFF base≈155.3m ; Y1≈136.2m ; Y5≈110.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 130.7 (EV 1.68b - Net Debt 84.2m = Equity 1.59b / Shares 12.2m; r=8.68% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.22 | EPS CAGR: -7.39% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -58.98 | Revenue CAGR: -1.47% | SUE: 0.89 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.64 | Chg30d=-3.79% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.55 | Chg30d=-0.28% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+12.6% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.18 | Chg30d=+1.15% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+4.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -21% (up=4, down=7)