Overview Dividends

(ALK) Alaska Air - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0116591092

Passenger Flights, Cargo Flights, Regional Flights

ALK EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 4.92%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 3.6%

ALK Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 16.42%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 82.6%

Description: ALK Alaska Air November 05, 2025

Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE: ALK) operates three airline segments-Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and a regional carrier-offering scheduled passenger and cargo services on Boeing jets across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean. The firm, founded in 1932 and headquartered in Seattle, focuses on a mix of long-haul routes (e.g., Seattle-Honolulu) and shorter domestic hops.

Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show a revenue of roughly $9.2 billion, an industry-average load factor of 84 % (above the 2023 U.S. airline average of 81 %), and an operating margin of 5.5 % after adjusting for fuel price volatility. The fleet comprises about 200 aircraft, with a 70 % share of fuel-efficient Boeing 737-800/MAX models, which helps mitigate the sector’s exposure to rising jet-fuel costs.

Primary economic drivers for ALK include discretionary travel demand tied to U.S. consumer confidence, fuel price swings (which historically account for 30-40 % of operating expenses), and labor-cost pressures from unionized pilots and crew. The airline’s strategic focus on Pacific-Northwest and Hawaiian routes provides a relative defensive moat against low-cost carrier competition, but the company remains sensitive to macro-economic downturns that depress leisure travel.

For a deeper, data-driven analysis of ALK’s valuation scenarios and risk factors, consider exploring the detailed dashboards on ValueRay.

ALK Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	5,377m
Sub-Industry	Passenger Airlines
IPO / Inception	2001-01-02

ALK Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	-26.5%
Fundamental	51.1%
Dividend Rating	9.0%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-27.5%
Analyst Rating	4.44 of 5

ALK Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

ALK Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-81.2%
Growth Correlation 12m	-41.4%
Growth Correlation 5y	-30.4%
CAGR 5y	-1.84%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	-0.04
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	-0.08
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.26
Alpha	-41.46
Beta	1.402
Volatility	43.98%
Current Volume	6222.9k
Average Volume 20d	2975.1k
Stop Loss	40 (-4.4%)
Signal	0.00

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (150.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 848.5m TTM)

FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.84pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -22.58% (prev -23.35%; Δ 0.77pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.34b > Net Income 150.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (5.67b) to EBITDA (1.20b) ratio: 4.72 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (121.2m) change vs 12m ago -5.75% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 72.99% (prev 19.78%; Δ 53.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 71.47% (prev 54.98%; Δ 16.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.89 (EBITDA TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.22

(A) -0.16 = (Total Current Assets 3.47b - Total Current Liabilities 6.66b) / Total Assets 20.01b

(B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.01b / Total Assets 20.01b

(D) 0.30 = Book Value of Equity 4.79b / Total Liabilities 15.98b

Total Rating: 0.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.07

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0

2. FCF Yield -0.57% = -0.28

3. FCF Margin -0.38% = -0.14

4. Debt/Equity 1.61 = 1.33

5. Debt/Ebitda 4.72 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.41)% = -3.01

7. RoE 3.64% = 0.30

8. Rev. Trend 82.55% = 6.19

9. EPS Trend 3.58% = 0.18

What is the price of ALK shares?

As of November 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 41.86 with a total of 6,222,914 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.22%, over one month by -13.62%, over three months by -21.29% and over the past year by -13.80%.

Is Alaska Air a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Alaska Air is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 51.07 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ALK is around 36.53 USD . This means that ALK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.73%.

Is ALK a buy, sell or hold?

Alaska Air has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALK.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ALK price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	68.9	64.7%
Analysts Target Price	68.9	64.7%
ValueRay Target Price	39.6	-5.4%

ALK Fundamental Data Overview October 26, 2025

Market Cap USD = 5.38b (5.38b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.1135
P/E Forward = 6.6313
P/S = 0.3999
P/B = 1.4328
P/EG = 1.3
Beta = 1.402
Revenue TTM = 14.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 414.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 744.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.67b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.55b USD (5.38b + Debt 6.47b - CCE 2.30b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.89 (Ebit TTM 414.0m / Interest Expense TTM 219.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.57% (FCF TTM -54.0m / Enterprise Value 9.55b)
FCF Margin = -0.38% (FCF TTM -54.0m / Revenue TTM 14.14b)
Net Margin = 1.06% (Net Income TTM 150.0m / Revenue TTM 14.14b)
Gross Margin = 72.99% ((Revenue TTM 14.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 95.99% (prev 100.0%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.48 (Enterprise Value 9.55b / Total Assets 20.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 62.0m / Debt 6.47b)
Taxrate = 34.23% (38.0m / 111.0m)
NOPAT = 272.3m (EBIT 414.0m * (1 - 34.23%))
Current Ratio = 0.52 (Total Current Assets 3.47b / Total Current Liabilities 6.66b)
Debt / Equity = 1.61 (Debt 6.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.72 (Net Debt 5.67b / EBITDA 1.20b)
Debt / FCF = -104.9 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 5.67b / FCF TTM -54.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.75% (Net Income 150.0m / Total Assets 20.01b)
RoE = 3.64% (Net Income TTM 150.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.12b)
RoCE = 4.81% (EBIT 414.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.12b + L.T.Debt 4.49b))
RoIC = 3.01% (NOPAT 272.3m / Invested Capital 9.05b)
WACC = 5.42% (E(5.38b)/V(11.85b) * Re(11.18%) + D(6.47b)/V(11.85b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 11.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.46%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -54.0m)
EPS Correlation: 3.58 | EPS CAGR: 4.92% | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.55 | Revenue CAGR: 16.42% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ALK Stock

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