ALLE Stock Analysis: Allegion | NYSE
Security & Protection Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.081m USD | 12M Return: -7.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 162M
EPS Trend: 96.1%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 95.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Allegion plc (NYSE: ALLE) is a global provider of security products and solutions, operating through two reportable segments: Allegion Americas and Allegion International. The company manufactures a broad range of mechanical and electronic security hardware, including locks, door controls, exit devices, access control systems, and related accessories, marketed under well-established brands such as Schlage, Von Duprin, LCN, CISA, Interflex, and SimonsVoss. Headquartered in Dublin, Ireland and incorporated in 2013, Allegion is classified within the Industrials sector and the Building Products sub-industry, reflecting its role as a supplier of components used in commercial, institutional, and residential construction and facility management.
Beyond its core hardware portfolio, Allegion has expanded into higher-recurring service and software offerings, including access control software-as-a-service, platform integration, workforce management solutions, and aftermarket inspection, maintenance, and repair services. This shift toward electronic security and connected solutions aligns the company with broader trends in the physical security industry, where access control and integrated building systems are increasingly software-driven and tied to long-term service contracts.
The company serves a diverse set of end markets, including education, healthcare, government, hospitality, retail, commercial office, and single- and multi-family residential customers. Distribution occurs through a hybrid model that combines specialty distribution, wholesalers, and e-commerce with consumer-facing channels such as do-it-yourself home improvement centers, online platforms, and small specialty showroom outlets, giving Allegion exposure to both institutional specification-driven sales and consumer replacement demand.
- Americas commercial construction demand drives door controls revenue
- International segment margins recover as European demand stabilizes
- Capital allocation prioritizes bolt-on acquisitions and share buybacks
| Net Income: 633.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.28% < 20% (prev 20.66%; Δ -4.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 805.1m > Net Income 633.7m |
| Net Debt (1.72b) to EBITDA (1.00b): 1.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (86.6m) vs 12m ago -0.12% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.97% > 18% (prev 44.49%; Δ 0.48% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 84.22% > 50% (prev 83.70%; Δ 0.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.61 > 6 (EBIT TTM 865.2m / Interest Expense TTM 100.5m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 1.42b - Total Current Liabilities 745.8m) / Total Assets 5.31b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 2.33b / Total Assets 5.31b) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 865.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.94b) |
| D: 0.65 (Book Value of Equity 2.10b / Total Liabilities 3.21b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.13 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 512.3m/467.2m, Revenue 4.16b/3.82b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 44.49% / 44.97%) |
| AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.65 / AQ_t-1 0.59) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 4.16b / 3.82b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 633.7m - CFO 805.1m) / TA 5.31b) |
| Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 134.99 with a total of 1,043,314 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.91%, over one month by +6.20%, over three months by -6.19% and over the past year by -7.85%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 125.10 (which is 7.3% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Allegion has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.25. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ALLE.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 165.2 | 22.4% |
P/E Trailing = 19.2049
P/E Forward = 16.0
P/S = 2.9048
P/B = 5.7495
P/EG = 2.1612
Revenue TTM = 4.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 865.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 300k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.72b USD (calculated: Debt 2.03b - CCE 308.9m)
Enterprise Value = 13.8b USD (12.1b + Debt 2.03b - CCE 308.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.61 (Ebit TTM 865.2m / Interest Expense TTM 100.5m)
EV/FCF = 19.60x (Enterprise Value 13.8b / FCF TTM 704.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.10% (FCF TTM 704.0m / Enterprise Value 13.8b)
FCF Margin = 16.93% (FCF TTM 704.0m / Revenue TTM 4.16b)
Net Margin = 15.24% (Net Income TTM 633.7m / Revenue TTM 4.16b)
Gross Margin = 44.97% ((Revenue TTM 4.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.97% (prev 44.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.60 (Enterprise Value 13.8b / Total Assets 5.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.95% (Interest Expense 100.5m / Debt 2.03b)
Taxrate = 17.13% (131.0m / 764.7m)
NOPAT = 717.0m (EBIT 865.2m * (1 - 17.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 1.42b / Total Current Liabilities 745.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.97 (Debt 2.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.72 (Net Debt 1.72b / EBITDA 1.00b)
Debt / FCF = 2.45 (Net Debt 1.72b / FCF TTM 704.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.83% (Net Income 633.7m / Total Assets 5.31b)
RoE = 32.08% (Net Income TTM 633.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.98b)
RoCE = 21.60% (EBIT 865.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.98b + L.T.Debt 2.03b))
RoIC = 16.45% (NOPAT 717.0m / Invested Capital 4.36b)
WACC = 7.46% (E(12.1b)/V(14.1b) * Re(8.02%) + D(2.03b)/V(14.1b) * Rd(4.95%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -76.41 | Cagr: -0.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.63% ; FCFF base≈679.1m ; Y1≈736.7m ; Y5≈910.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 142.2 (EV 13.9b - Net Debt 1.72b = Equity 12.2b / Shares 85.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 9.72% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.11 | EPS CAGR: 7.98% | SUE: -1.82 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 95.86 | Revenue CAGR: 5.30% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=-0.08% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.48 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.78 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+7.9% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.57 | Chg30d=+0.22% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+8.9% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -44% (up=3, down=10)