Overview Dividends

(ALSN) Allison Transmission - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US01973R1014

Automatic Transmissions, Electric Propulsion, ReTran, Replacement Parts, Support Equipment

Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
Market Cap in USD: 6,797m

IPO / Inception: 2012-03-15
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -34.1%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 11.79%
EPS Trend: 85.0%

Last SUE: -0.61
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 1.97%
Rev. Trend: 68.3%

Last SUE: -2.87
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.22%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.85%
Yield CAGR 5y	10.12%
Payout Consistency	98.6%
Payout Ratio	13.0%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	27.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	42.6%
Relative Tail Risk	-6.96%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.89
Alpha	-40.95
CAGR/Max DD	0.82

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.453
Beta	1.038
Beta Downside	0.975

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	33.59%
Mean DD	9.43%
Median DD	5.75%

Description: ALSN Allison Transmission November 04, 2025

Allison Transmission Holdings (NYSE:ALSN) designs, manufactures and sells fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles as well as U.S. defense platforms, and is expanding into electrified propulsion systems. Its product portfolio spans on-highway trucks (distribution, refuse, construction, fire, emergency), school and transit buses, motor homes, off-highway equipment (mining, energy, construction), and wheeled or tracked tactical vehicles, marketed under the Allison brand, with remanufactured units sold as ReTran.

Key performance indicators show the company generated $2.03 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with an operating margin of 9.2% and a backlog of roughly $1.1 billion, indicating solid order flow despite a cyclical truck market. Growth is being driven by three macro-level forces: (1) U.S. infrastructure spending that fuels demand for construction and refuse trucks; (2) rising defense budgets that sustain orders for tactical vehicle transmissions; and (3) accelerating electrification mandates, prompting Allison to invest over $150 million in EV drivetrain R&D and secure early contracts for electric school-bus powertrains.

If you want a data-rich, side-by-side comparison of ALSN’s latest earnings trends and peer metrics, ValueRay’s analyst dashboard provides a convenient, no-obligation view.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income (699.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 184.1m TTM)

FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 40.18% (prev 32.12%; Δ 8.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 804.0m > Net Income 699.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (1.50b) to EBITDA (1.07b) ratio: 1.39 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (84.0m) change vs 12m ago -4.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 48.29% (prev 47.60%; Δ 0.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 56.39% (prev 59.69%; Δ -3.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 10.85 (EBITDA TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 88.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.57

(A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 1.67b - Total Current Liabilities 438.0m) / Total Assets 5.52b

(B) -0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -70.0m / Total Assets 5.52b

(D) -0.03 = Book Value of Equity -112.0m / Total Liabilities 3.68b

Total Rating: 2.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.37

1. Piotroski 6.50pt

2. FCF Yield 8.26%

3. FCF Margin 22.32%

4. Debt/Equity 1.30

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.39

6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.95)%

7. RoE 40.46%

8. Rev. Trend 68.29%

9. EPS Trend 85.02%

What is the price of ALSN shares?

As of November 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 88.66 with a total of 789,727 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.15%, over one month by +8.34%, over three months by +1.39% and over the past year by -24.31%.

Is ALSN a buy, sell or hold?

Allison Transmission has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30. Therefor, it is recommend to hold ALSN.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 1
Hold: 5
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ALSN price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	100.2	13%
Analysts Target Price	100.2	13%
ValueRay Target Price	103.3	16.5%

ALSN Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025

Market Cap USD = 6.80b (6.80b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.9742
P/E Forward = 8.3472
P/S = 2.2148
P/B = 3.675
P/EG = 0.6144
Beta = 0.995
Revenue TTM = 3.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 955.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.39b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.40b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.29b USD (6.80b + Debt 2.40b - CCE 902.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.85 (Ebit TTM 955.0m / Interest Expense TTM 88.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.26% (FCF TTM 685.0m / Enterprise Value 8.29b)
FCF Margin = 22.32% (FCF TTM 685.0m / Revenue TTM 3.07b)
Net Margin = 22.78% (Net Income TTM 699.0m / Revenue TTM 3.07b)
Gross Margin = 48.29% ((Revenue TTM 3.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.47% (prev 49.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 8.29b / Total Assets 5.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 24.0m / Debt 2.40b)
Taxrate = 24.73% (45.0m / 182.0m)
NOPAT = 718.9m (EBIT 955.0m * (1 - 24.73%))
Current Ratio = 3.82 (Total Current Assets 1.67b / Total Current Liabilities 438.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.30 (Debt 2.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.39 (Net Debt 1.50b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = 2.18 (Net Debt 1.50b / FCF TTM 685.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.67% (Net Income 699.0m / Total Assets 5.52b)
RoE = 40.46% (Net Income TTM 699.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.73b)
RoCE = 23.18% (EBIT 955.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.73b + L.T.Debt 2.39b))
RoIC = 17.42% (NOPAT 718.9m / Invested Capital 4.13b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(6.80b)/V(9.20b) * Re(9.84%) + D(2.40b)/V(9.20b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.40% ; FCFE base≈694.2m ; Y1≈754.1m ; Y5≈943.9m
Fair Price DCF = 145.5 (DCF Value 12.11b / Shares Outstanding 83.2m; 5y FCF grow 9.79% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 85.02 | EPS CAGR: 11.79% | SUE: -0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 68.29 | Revenue CAGR: 1.97% | SUE: -2.87 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ALSN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle