(ALSN) Allison Transmission - Ratings and Ratios
Automatic Transmissions, Electric Propulsion, Replacement Parts
ALSN EPS (Earnings per Share)
ALSN Revenue
Description: ALSN Allison Transmission
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (NYSE:ALSN) is a leading manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, as well as electrified propulsion systems. The companys products are used in a variety of applications, including on-highway trucks, buses, motor homes, off-highway vehicles, and defense vehicles.
The companys product portfolio includes transmissions, electric propulsion solutions, remanufactured transmissions, replacement parts, and support equipment, which are sold under the Allison Transmission and ReTran brand names. Allison Transmission also provides engineering services, extended transmission coverage, and defense kits to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and the US government.
From a financial perspective, Allison Transmission has a market capitalization of $7.25 billion and a forward P/E ratio of 9.76, indicating a relatively attractive valuation. The companys return on equity (ROE) is 46.97%, suggesting strong profitability. To further evaluate the companys performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow margin can be analyzed. For instance, a high gross margin would indicate the companys ability to maintain pricing power and control costs.
In terms of recent stock performance, Allison Transmissions shares have been trading near their 52-week low, with a current price of $88.08. The stocks relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) can be used to gauge its momentum and potential trend reversal. Additionally, the companys dividend yield and payout ratio can be examined to assess its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
ALSN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,299m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2012-03-15 |
ALSN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 42.1% |
| Fundamental | 86.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 62.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -17.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.30 of 5 |
ALSN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.14% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.21% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 8.02% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 12.0% |
ALSN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -79.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -37.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 88.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 21.55% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.73 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.49 |
| Alpha | -18.13 |
| Beta | 0.877 |
| Volatility | 27.07% |
| Current Volume | 823k |
| Average Volume 20d | 847.3k |
| Stop Loss | 84.6 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -0.50 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (762.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 192.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 34.84% (prev 29.27%; Δ 5.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 822.0m > Net Income 762.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.62b) to EBITDA (1.15b) ratio: 1.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.36 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (85.0m) change vs 12m ago -3.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.41% (prev 47.14%; Δ 1.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 60.45% (prev 60.20%; Δ 0.25pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.79 (EBITDA TTM 1.15b / Interest Expense TTM 87.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.50
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 1.59b - Total Current Liabilities 472.0m) / Total Assets 5.41b |
| (B) -0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -157.0m / Total Assets 5.41b |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 1.03b / Avg Total Assets 5.29b |
| (D) -0.05 = Book Value of Equity -193.0m / Total Liabilities 3.66b |
| Total Rating: 2.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.29
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.68% = 3.84 |
| 3. FCF Margin 21.41% = 5.35 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.37 = 1.63 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.10 = -0.19 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 13.37% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 45.56% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.16% = 3.96 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 5.10% = 0.64 |
| 10. EPS Trend 89.88% = 2.25 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 18.22% = 1.82 |
What is the price of ALSN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.24%, over one month by -0.82%, over three months by -16.43% and over the past year by -3.15%.
Is Allison Transmission a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ALSN is around 85.72 USD . This means that ALSN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.82%.
Is ALSN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALSN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 101.7 | 16.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 101.5 | 16.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 94.4 | 8.2% |
Last update: 2025-08-21 11:09
ALSN Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 778.0m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 9.9646
P/E Forward = 10.5708
P/S = 2.2809
P/B = 4.1637
P/EG = 1.7912
Beta = 0.96
Revenue TTM = 3.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.03b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.39b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.40b USD (Calculated: Short Term 10.0m + Long Term 2.39b)
Net Debt = 1.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.92b USD (7.30b + Debt 2.40b - CCE 778.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.79 (Ebit TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 87.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.68% (FCF TTM 685.0m / Enterprise Value 8.92b)
FCF Margin = 21.41% (FCF TTM 685.0m / Revenue TTM 3.20b)
Net Margin = 23.81% (Net Income TTM 762.0m / Revenue TTM 3.20b)
Gross Margin = 48.41% ((Revenue TTM 3.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.65b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -46.24 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 8.92b / Book Value Of Equity -193.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 24.0m / Debt 2.40b)
Taxrate = 18.51% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 166.0m / 897.0m)
NOPAT = 836.1m (EBIT 1.03b * (1 - 18.51%))
Current Ratio = 3.36 (Total Current Assets 1.59b / Total Current Liabilities 472.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.37 (Debt 2.40b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.10 (Net Debt 1.62b / EBITDA 1.15b)
Debt / FCF = 3.51 (Debt 2.40b / FCF TTM 685.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.67b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 14.08% (Net Income 762.0m, Total Assets 5.41b )
RoE = 45.56% (Net Income TTM 762.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.67b)
RoCE = 25.23% (Ebit 1.03b / (Equity 1.67b + L.T.Debt 2.39b))
RoIC = 20.53% (NOPAT 836.1m / Invested Capital 4.07b)
WACC = 7.16% (E(7.30b)/V(9.70b) * Re(9.25%)) + (D(2.40b)/V(9.70b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.60%
Discount Rate = 9.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.33% ; FCFE base≈683.0m ; Y1≈741.9m ; Y5≈928.7m
Fair Price DCF = 156.1 (DCF Value 13.05b / Shares Outstanding 83.6m; 5y FCF grow 9.79% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 79.16 | Revenue CAGR: 5.10%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -3.98
EPS Correlation: 89.88 | EPS CAGR: 18.22%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -4.36
Additional Sources for ALSN Stock
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