(ALV) Autoliv - Ratings and Ratios
Airbags, Seatbelts, Steering Wheels, Inflators, Pedestrian Protection
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.85% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.11% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.50% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 32.1% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.06% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.13 |
| Alpha | 21.83 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.425 |
| Beta | 0.904 |
| Beta Downside | 0.834 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.27% |
| Mean DD | 11.28% |
| Median DD | 7.61% |
Description: ALV Autoliv January 07, 2026
Autoliv Inc. (NYSE: ALV) designs, manufactures, and supplies a broad portfolio of passive safety systems-including frontal- and side-impact airbags, pedestrian-protection modules, steering-wheel components, inflators, battery-cut-off switches, and seat-belt assemblies-to OEMs across Europe, the Americas, China, Japan, and the rest of Asia. The firm also offers mobility-safety services for powered-two-wheelers and connected-vehicle safety solutions.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $8.5 billion and an adjusted EBIT margin near 10 %, reflecting steady demand for safety equipment amid tightening global crash-safety regulations. Growth exposure is tied to the electric-vehicle transition (higher airbag-inflator counts per vehicle) and OEM consolidation, which can amplify bargaining power but also create larger, more stable contracts.
For a deeper quantitative view of ALV’s valuation metrics, you may find the ValueRay platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (752.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 636.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.84% (prev -1.61%; Δ -0.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.03b > Net Income 752.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.92b) to EBITDA (1.45b) ratio: 1.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.95 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (76.7m) change vs 12m ago -3.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.33% (prev 18.12%; Δ 1.22pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 126.6% (prev 126.7%; Δ -0.14pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.08 (EBITDA TTM 1.45b / Interest Expense TTM 101.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.95
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 3.95b - Total Current Liabilities 4.14b) / Total Assets 8.46b |
| (B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.27b / Total Assets 8.46b |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 1.12b / Avg Total Assets 8.38b |
| (D) 0.31 = Book Value of Equity 1.82b / Total Liabilities 5.90b |
| Total Rating: 1.95 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.70
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.95% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.38% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.84 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.32 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.68)% |
| 7. RoE 31.19% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 84.08% |
| 9. EPS Trend 22.88% |
What is the price of ALV shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.40%, over one month by +5.65%, over three months by +10.47% and over the past year by +38.50%.
Is ALV a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 138.4 | 8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 138.4 | 8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 154.4 | 20.4% |
ALV Fundamental Data Overview January 11, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.1607
P/S = 0.9051
P/B = 3.6946
P/EG = 0.8491
Beta = 1.33
Revenue TTM = 10.61b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.45b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 654.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.92b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.53b USD (9.61b + Debt 2.15b - CCE 225.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.08 (Ebit TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 101.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.19x (Enterprise Value 11.53b / FCF TTM 571.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.95% (FCF TTM 571.0m / Enterprise Value 11.53b)
FCF Margin = 5.38% (FCF TTM 571.0m / Revenue TTM 10.61b)
Net Margin = 7.08% (Net Income TTM 752.0m / Revenue TTM 10.61b)
Gross Margin = 19.33% ((Revenue TTM 10.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.29% (prev 18.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 11.53b / Total Assets 8.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.16% (Interest Expense 25.0m / Debt 2.15b)
Taxrate = 27.08% (65.0m / 240.0m)
NOPAT = 815.9m (EBIT 1.12b * (1 - 27.08%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 3.95b / Total Current Liabilities 4.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 2.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.32 (Net Debt 1.92b / EBITDA 1.45b)
Debt / FCF = 3.36 (Net Debt 1.92b / FCF TTM 571.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.97% (Net Income 752.0m / Total Assets 8.46b)
RoE = 31.19% (Net Income TTM 752.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.41b)
RoCE = 29.56% (EBIT 1.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.41b + L.T.Debt 1.37b))
RoIC = 18.40% (NOPAT 815.9m / Invested Capital 4.43b)
WACC = 7.72% (E(9.61b)/V(11.75b) * Re(9.25%) + D(2.15b)/V(11.75b) * Rd(1.16%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.27%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.46% ; FCFF base≈539.4m ; Y1≈551.3m ; Y5≈609.7m
Fair Price DCF = 123.5 (EV 11.30b - Net Debt 1.92b = Equity 9.38b / Shares 76.0m; r=7.72% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.06% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 22.88 | EPS CAGR: -28.14% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.08 | Revenue CAGR: 6.74% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.29 | Chg30d=-0.065 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.03 | Chg30d=+0.036 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+15.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
Additional Sources for ALV Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle