ALV Stock Analysis: Autoliv | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 9.021m USD | 12M Return: 2.8% | US0528001094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 63.9M
EPS Trend: 80.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 78.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE: ALV) is a Sweden-based global supplier that develops, manufactures, and distributes passive automotive safety systems, with operations across the Americas, Europe, China, and Asia. Its product portfolio includes airbag modules and components, seatbelts, steering wheels, inflator technologies, pedestrian protection systems, and battery cut-off switches, along with safety solutions for commercial vehicles, motorcycles, and bicycles. The company primarily sells to car manufacturers (OEMs), positioning it within the automotive parts supply chain as a Tier 1 supplier focused on crash-safety components rather than active driver-assistance or vehicle electronics.
Founded in 1953 and headquartered in Stockholm, Autoliv has been publicly traded on the NYSE since 1997 and is classified as a mid-cap stock in the Consumer Discyclinary sector. As a pure-play passive safety specialist, its revenue is closely tied to global light-vehicle production volumes and OEM platform design wins, making it sensitive to automotive industry cycles and trends such as increasing safety regulation worldwide.
- Global auto production recovery lifts airbag and seatbelt volumes
- China automotive market weakness pressures passive safety revenue
- Restructuring program drives margin expansion and operating leverage
| Net Income: 643.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.01% < 20% (prev -2.92%; Δ 3.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.16b > Net Income 643.0m |
| Net Debt (1.96b) to EBITDA (1.46b): 1.34 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (74.2m) vs 12m ago -4.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.22% > 18% (prev 19.02%; Δ 0.20% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 130.5% > 50% (prev 123.4%; Δ 7.11% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 106.0m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.01b - Total Current Liabilities 3.90b) / Total Assets 8.50b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 2.25b / Total Assets 8.50b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 1.03b / Avg Total Assets 8.49b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 2.49b / Total Liabilities 6.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.20 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 2.39b/2.59b, Revenue 11.1b/10.5b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 19.02% / 19.22%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 11.1b / 10.5b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 643.0m - CFO 1.16b) / TA 8.50b) |
| Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 123.53 with a total of 541,700 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.07%, over one month by +3.64%, over three months by -2.59% and over the past year by +2.82%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 119.80 (which is 3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Autoliv has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALV.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 134.7 | 9.1% |
P/E Trailing = 14.7875
P/E Forward = 11.8064
P/S = 0.8143
P/B = 3.6875
P/EG = 0.8491
Revenue TTM = 11.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.03b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.46b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 391.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.34b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 151.0m
Net Debt = 1.96b USD (calculated: Debt 2.34b - CCE 377.0m)
Enterprise Value = 11.0b USD (9.02b + Debt 2.34b - CCE 377.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.72 (Ebit TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 106.0m)
EV/FCF = 14.53x (Enterprise Value 11.0b / FCF TTM 756.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.88% (FCF TTM 756.0m / Enterprise Value 11.0b)
FCF Margin = 6.82% (FCF TTM 756.0m / Revenue TTM 11.1b)
Net Margin = 5.80% (Net Income TTM 643.0m / Revenue TTM 11.1b)
Gross Margin = 19.22% ((Revenue TTM 11.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.16% (prev 19.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.29 (Enterprise Value 11.0b / Total Assets 8.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.53% (Interest Expense 106.0m / Debt 2.34b)
Taxrate = 27.67% (246.0m / 889.0m)
NOPAT = 745.0m (EBIT 1.03b * (1 - 27.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 4.01b / Total Current Liabilities 3.90b)
Debt / Equity = 0.94 (Debt 2.34b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.34 (Net Debt 1.96b / EBITDA 1.46b)
Debt / FCF = 2.60 (Net Debt 1.96b / FCF TTM 756.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.58% (Net Income 643.0m / Total Assets 8.50b)
RoE = 25.10% (Net Income TTM 643.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.56b)
RoCE = 24.24% (EBIT 1.03b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.56b + L.T.Debt 1.69b))
RoIC = 16.15% (NOPAT 745.0m / Invested Capital 4.61b)
WACC = 7.55% (E(9.02b)/V(11.4b) * Re(8.66%) + D(2.34b)/V(11.4b) * Rd(4.53%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.67 | Cagr: -4.86%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈633.6m ; Y1≈726.3m ; Y5≈1.07b
[DCF] Fair Price = 192.8 (EV 16.1b - Net Debt 1.96b = Equity 14.1b / Shares 73.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 80.23 | EPS CAGR: 11.70% | SUE: 0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.26 | Revenue CAGR: 2.32% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=-20.82% | Revisions=-70% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.23 | Chg30d=-2.63% | Revisions=-69% | GrowthEPS=+3.9% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.80 | Chg30d=-0.67% | Revisions=-31% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64% (up=5, down=28)