ALV Stock Analysis: Autoliv | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.039m USD | 12M Return: -1.4% | US0528001094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 86.3M
EPS Trend: 80.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 78.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE: ALV) is a Swedish-founded supplier of passive safety systems to the global automotive industry, operating across the Americas, Europe, China, and Asia. Its product portfolio spans frontal and side-impact airbag systems, pedestrian protection systems, steering wheels, inflator technologies, battery cut-off switches, and seatbelts, alongside mobility safety solutions for commercial vehicles, motorcycles, and bicycles.
The company operates a business-to-business (B2B) model, selling primarily to vehicle original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), which makes its revenue closely tied to global vehicle production volumes. Founded in 1953 and headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, Autoliv is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Automotive Parts & Equipment sub-industry, where passive safety components are largely driven by regulatory crash-test requirements across major automotive markets.
- European vehicle production volume drives airbag and seatbelt orders
- China EV adoption lifts demand for advanced occupant safety systems
- Raw material and semiconductor cost inflation pressures passive safety margins
| Net Income: 643.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.01% < 20% (prev -2.92%; Δ 3.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.16b > Net Income 643.0m |
| Net Debt (1.96b) to EBITDA (1.43b): 1.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (74.2m) vs 12m ago -4.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.22% > 18% (prev 19.02%; Δ 0.20% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 130.5% > 50% (prev 123.4%; Δ 7.11% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.39 > 6 (EBIT TTM 995.0m / Interest Expense TTM 106.0m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.01b - Total Current Liabilities 3.90b) / Total Assets 8.50b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 2.25b / Total Assets 8.50b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 995.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.49b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 2.49b / Total Liabilities 6.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.17 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 2.39b/2.59b, Revenue 11.1b/10.5b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 19.02% / 19.22%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 11.1b / 10.5b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 643.0m - CFO 1.16b) / TA 8.50b) |
| Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 113.66 with a total of 542,359 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.84%, over one month by -4.08%, over three months by -5.77% and over the past year by -1.36%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 109.90 (which is 3.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Autoliv has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.94. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALV.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 134.3 | 18.2% |
P/E Trailing = 12.9434
P/E Forward = 10.1215
P/S = 0.7256
P/B = 3.4933
P/EG = 0.8491
Revenue TTM = 11.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 995.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.43b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 391.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.34b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 151.0m
Net Debt = 1.96b USD (calculated: Debt 2.34b - CCE 377.0m)
Enterprise Value = 10.0b USD (8.04b + Debt 2.34b - CCE 377.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.39 (Ebit TTM 995.0m / Interest Expense TTM 106.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.23x (Enterprise Value 10.0b / FCF TTM 756.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.56% (FCF TTM 756.0m / Enterprise Value 10.0b)
FCF Margin = 6.82% (FCF TTM 756.0m / Revenue TTM 11.1b)
Net Margin = 5.80% (Net Income TTM 643.0m / Revenue TTM 11.1b)
Gross Margin = 19.22% ((Revenue TTM 11.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.16% (prev 19.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 10.0b / Total Assets 8.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.53% (Interest Expense 106.0m / Debt 2.34b)
Taxrate = 27.67% (246.0m / 889.0m)
NOPAT = 719.7m (EBIT 995.0m * (1 - 27.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 4.01b / Total Current Liabilities 3.90b)
Debt / Equity = 0.94 (Debt 2.34b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.37 (Net Debt 1.96b / EBITDA 1.43b)
Debt / FCF = 2.60 (Net Debt 1.96b / FCF TTM 756.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.58% (Net Income 643.0m / Total Assets 8.50b)
RoE = 25.10% (Net Income TTM 643.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.56b)
RoCE = 23.42% (EBIT 995.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.56b + L.T.Debt 1.69b))
RoIC = 15.60% (NOPAT 719.7m / Invested Capital 4.61b)
WACC = 7.54% (E(8.04b)/V(10.4b) * Re(8.78%) + D(2.34b)/V(10.4b) * Rd(4.53%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.67 | Cagr: -4.86%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈633.6m ; Y1≈726.3m ; Y5≈1.07b
[DCF] Fair Price = 192.8 (EV 16.1b - Net Debt 1.96b = Equity 14.1b / Shares 73.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 80.23 | EPS CAGR: 11.70% | SUE: 0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.26 | Revenue CAGR: 2.32% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.24 | Chg30d=-0.23% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.23 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=-69% | GrowthEPS=+3.9% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.65 | Chg30d=-1.26% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+13.8% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -74% (up=1, down=15)