(AMCR) Amcor - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 18.586m USD | Total Return: -16.5% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -8.7
Avg Turnover: 155M
EPS Trend: -19.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 60.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Share dilution 59.7% YoY
High Debt/EBITDA (6.3) with thin interest coverage (1.7)
Altman Z'' 0.84 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Amcor PLC (NYSE: AMCR) is a global manufacturer of flexible and rigid packaging solutions, headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland. The company operates across major markets in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific, serving diverse end-markets such as food and beverage, healthcare, and personal care.
The business model is divided into two primary segments: Global Flexible Packaging Solutions, which utilizes polymers, aluminum, and fiber, and Global Rigid Packaging Solutions, which focuses on containers and closures. As a major player in the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers sub-industry, Amcor relies on a direct sales force to maintain long-term relationships with large-scale consumer goods companies.
The packaging sector is often characterized by defensive qualities, as demand for essential food and medical containers remains stable regardless of broader economic cycles. Investors seeking deeper insights into these defensive metrics should explore the data available on ValueRay. Founded in 1926, the company maintains a significant global footprint with a focus on material science innovation.
- Raw material price volatility impacts profit margins through pass-through pricing lags
- Global consumer demand for essential food and healthcare packaging drives revenue
- Expansion in emerging markets accelerates long-term growth in flexible packaging segments
- Increasing environmental regulations shift product mix toward recyclable and sustainable materials
- Rigid packaging volume fluctuates based on North American beverage consumption trends
| Net Income: 779.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.31% < 20% (prev 20.52%; Δ -7.20% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 1.38b > Net Income 779.0m |
| Net Debt (14.27b) to EBITDA (2.27b): 6.27 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (461.9m) vs 12m ago 59.72% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.83% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 1.86k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 81.46% > 50% (prev 74.61%; Δ 6.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.72 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.27b / Interest Expense TTM 643.0m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 9.83b - Total Current Liabilities 6.81b) / Total Assets 37.58b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 371.0m / Total Assets 37.58b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.11b / Avg Total Assets 27.81b) |
| D: 0.01 (Book Value of Equity 371.0m / Total Liabilities 25.92b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.84 = B |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 3.51b/1.97b, Revenue 22.66b/13.46b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 18.83% / 20.00%) |
| AQI: 1.30 (AQ_t 0.51 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 1.68 (Revenue 22.66b / 13.46b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 779.0m - CFO 1.38b) / TA 37.58b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.27 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.11%, over one month by -9.63%, over three months by -25.00% and over the past year by -16.50%.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 48.6 | 32.4% |
P/E Forward = 9.6993
P/S = 0.8376
P/B = 1.5845
P/EG = 0.5184
Revenue TTM = 22.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.27b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.20b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 653.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.85b USD (corrected: LT Debt 15.20b + ST Debt 653.0m)
Net Debt = 14.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 32.85b USD (18.59b + Debt 15.85b - CCE 1.59b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.72 (Ebit TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 643.0m)
EV/FCF = 43.24x (Enterprise Value 32.85b / FCF TTM 759.8m)
FCF Yield = 2.31% (FCF TTM 759.8m / Enterprise Value 32.85b)
FCF Margin = 3.35% (FCF TTM 759.8m / Revenue TTM 22.66b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 779.0m / Revenue TTM 22.66b)
Gross Margin = 18.83% ((Revenue TTM 22.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.12% (prev 17.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 32.85b / Total Assets 37.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 170.0m / Debt 15.85b)
Taxrate = 10.32% (32.0m / 310.0m)
NOPAT = 993.6m (EBIT 1.11b * (1 - 10.32%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 9.83b / Total Current Liabilities 6.81b)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 15.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.27 (Net Debt 14.27b / EBITDA 2.27b)
Debt / FCF = 18.78 (Net Debt 14.27b / FCF TTM 759.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.80% (Net Income 779.0m / Total Assets 37.58b)
RoE = 6.67% (Net Income TTM 779.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.69b)
RoCE = 4.12% (EBIT 1.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.69b + L.T.Debt 15.20b))
RoIC = 3.73% (NOPAT 993.6m / Invested Capital 26.66b)
WACC = 4.56% (E(18.59b)/V(34.44b) * Re(7.63%) + D(15.85b)/V(34.44b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 7.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.89 | Cagr: 23.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.13% ; FCFF base≈891.7m ; Y1≈969.6m ; Y5≈1.22b
[DCF] Fair Price = 46.60 (EV 35.81b - Net Debt 14.27b = Equity 21.55b / Shares 462.3m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 9.92% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -19.16 | EPS CAGR: -5.78% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.73 | Revenue CAGR: 11.67% | SUE: 1.01 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=+0.87% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=3.97 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=+11.6% | GrowthRev=+53.9%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=4.30 | Chg30d=-2.01% | Revisions=-23% | GrowthEPS=+8.3% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -23%