(AMH) American Homes 4 Rent - Ratings and Ratios
Single-Family Rentals, Leasing, Property Management
AMH EPS (Earnings per Share)
AMH Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.2% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.66 |
| Alpha | -24.07 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.418 |
| Beta | 0.755 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.78% |
| Mean DD | 6.85% |
Description: AMH American Homes 4 Rent October 30, 2025
American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE: AMH) is a vertically integrated, internally managed REIT that acquires, develops, renovates, leases, and manages single-family rental homes across the Southeast, Midwest, Southwest, and Mountain West. As of June 30 2025 the portfolio comprised more than 61,000 homes, and the company has earned recognitions such as a 2025 Great Place to Work award, a 2025 Top U.S. Homebuilder ranking from Builder100, and inclusion in Newsweek/Statista’s 2025 Most Trustworthy Companies list.
Key operating metrics (Q2 2025) show an occupancy rate of ~96 %, a funds-from-operations (FFO) growth of 9 % year-over-year, and a net rent-growth rate of roughly 4 % annualized, driven by a mix of new construction and unit-turn renovations. The balance sheet remains leveraged at a net debt-to-FFO ratio of 6.2×, comfortably above the REIT’s 5.5× target range, indicating capacity for additional acquisitions.
Sector-wide, single-family rentals are benefitting from a sustained housing-affordability gap, demographic shifts favoring renters (especially Millennials and Gen Z), and limited new-home supply in the targeted regions. However, rising interest rates could pressure acquisition financing costs and tenant cash-flow, making rent-growth and occupancy trends critical leading indicators.
For a deeper, data-driven view of AMH’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s analytical platform worth a quick look.
AMH Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 13,557m |
| Sub-Industry | Single-Family Residential REITs |
| IPO / Inception | 2013-08-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -24.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.83 of 5 |
AMH Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.68% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.39% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 51.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 94.0% |
AMH Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 3.12% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.15 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.45 |
| Current Volume | 1769.5k |
| Average Volume | 2921.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (410.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 25.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.86pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1105 % (prev 28.57%; Δ -1134 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 831.0m > Net Income 410.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.69b) to EBITDA (920.5m) ratio: 5.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (371.1m) change vs 12m ago 1.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -135.5% (prev 55.00%; Δ -190.5pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 3.29% (prev 12.61%; Δ -9.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.35 (EBITDA TTM 920.5m / Interest Expense TTM 181.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.42
| (A) -0.38 = (Total Current Assets 45.6m - Total Current Liabilities 4.73b) / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (B) -0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -400.4m / Total Assets 12.47b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 427.0m / Avg Total Assets 12.89b |
| (D) -0.07 = Book Value of Equity -389.8m / Total Liabilities 5.42b |
| Total Rating: -2.42 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.36
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.88% = 1.94 |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 = 2.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.09 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.68)% = -2.09 |
| 7. RoE 5.76% = 0.48 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -46.92% = -3.52 |
| 9. EPS Trend 25.35% = 1.27 |
What is the price of AMH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.72%, over one month by -3.10%, over three months by -7.04% and over the past year by -12.92%.
Is American Homes 4 Rent a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AMH is around 28.49 USD . This means that AMH is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.64%.
Is AMH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AMH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 39.8 | 26.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 39.8 | 26.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31.3 | -0.7% |
AMH Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.7797
P/E Forward = 35.7143
P/S = 7.401
P/B = 1.6917
P/EG = 29.82
Beta = 0.755
Revenue TTM = 424.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 427.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 920.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.16b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.73b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.69b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.97b USD (13.56b + Debt 4.73b - CCE 323.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.35 (Ebit TTM 427.0m / Interest Expense TTM 181.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.88% (FCF TTM 697.6m / Enterprise Value 17.97b)
FCF Margin = 164.5% (FCF TTM 697.6m / Revenue TTM 424.1m)
Net Margin = 96.71% (Net Income TTM 410.2m / Revenue TTM 424.1m)
Gross Margin = -135.5% ((Revenue TTM 424.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 998.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 55.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 17.97b / Total Assets 12.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 48.2m / Debt 4.73b)
Taxrate = -47.45% (negative due to tax credits) (-29.8m / 62.9m)
NOPAT = 629.6m (EBIT 427.0m * (1 - -47.45%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.01 (Total Current Assets 45.6m / Total Current Liabilities 4.73b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 4.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.09 (Net Debt 4.69b / EBITDA 920.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.72 (Net Debt 4.69b / FCF TTM 697.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.29% (Net Income 410.2m / Total Assets 12.47b)
RoE = 5.76% (Net Income TTM 410.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.12b)
RoCE = 3.48% (EBIT 427.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.12b + L.T.Debt 5.16b))
RoIC = 5.24% (NOPAT 629.6m / Invested Capital 12.03b)
WACC = 6.91% (E(13.56b)/V(18.29b) * Re(8.80%) + D(4.73b)/V(18.29b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(-0.47)))
Discount Rate = 8.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.54%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.20% ; FCFE base≈670.6m ; Y1≈746.3m ; Y5≈980.7m
Fair Price DCF = 39.94 (DCF Value 14.80b / Shares Outstanding 370.5m; 5y FCF grow 13.03% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 25.35 | EPS CAGR: 4.02% | SUE: 2.14 | # QB: 17
Revenue Correlation: -46.92 | Revenue CAGR: -71.63% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AMH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle