AMPY Stock Analysis: Energy | NYSE

Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 159m USD | 12M Return: 20.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oil, Natural Gas, Exploration, Production
Total Rating 17
Safety 16
Buy Signal -0.88
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: -0.3
Market Cap: 159M
Avg Turnover: 3.28M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility58.8%
VaR 5th Pctl10.6%
VaR vs Median9.06%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.54
Rel. Str. IBD10.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group5.9
Character TTM
Beta1.310
Beta Downside2.089
Hurst Exponent0.449
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.11%
CAGR/Max DD-0.23
CAGR/Mean DD-0.57
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AMPY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.28, "2021-09": -0.35, "2021-12": 0.94, "2022-03": -1.27, "2022-06": 0.73, "2022-09": 1.17, "2022-12": 0.74, "2023-03": 0.02, "2023-06": 0.25, "2023-09": 0.08, "2023-12": 1.07, "2024-03": 0.24, "2024-06": 0.22, "2024-09": -0.05, "2024-12": 0.1301, "2025-03": 0.1, "2025-06": -0.05, "2025-09": -0.15, "2025-12": -0.2416, "2026-03": 0.13,
Last SUE: 0.21
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AMPY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 80.393, 2021-09: 97.001, 2021-12: 93.053, 2022-03: 111.433, 2022-06: 121.777, 2022-09: 126.299, 2022-12: 98.947, 2023-03: 79.87, 2023-06: 71.971, 2023-09: 76.77, 2023-12: 78.985, 2024-03: 76.299, 2024-06: 79.503, 2024-09: 69.858, 2024-12: 69021, 2025-03: 72.05, 2025-06: 68.361, 2025-09: 66.396, 2025-12: 56.554, 2026-03: 37.464,
Rev. CAGR: 202.87%
Rev. Trend: 37.3%
Last SUE: -0.08
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 9.7 years of data

Jan +1.3% 8
Feb -6.3% 6
Mar -1.3% 19
Apr +5.6% 21
May -2.7% 19
Jun +2.2% 20
Jul -3.5% 12
Aug -0.8% 2
Sep +1.1% 2
Oct -4.0% 21
Nov -0.0% 11
Dec -4.4% 28

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AMPY Energy

Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) is a US-based upstream energy company focused on the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties. Its asset base is concentrated in two areas: the Beta field in federal waters offshore Long Beach, California, and the Bairoil complex in Wyoming, which includes the Lost Soldier and Wertz fields. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

As an oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) operator, Amplifys revenue is tied to commodity hydrocarbon prices, and its operations require ongoing capital investment to maintain and develop reserves. The companys California offshore Beta field is a relatively unusual asset, as the majority of US offshore oil production comes from the Gulf of Mexico, with federal West Coast offshore output representing a small share of domestic supply. Amplify is classified as a micro-cap stock, a market tier where small, single- or dual-asset E&P companies are commonly found due to the capital-intensive nature of the upstream sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude oil price swings directly impact Beta field revenue
  • California regulatory environment pressures offshore drilling operations
  • Natural gas production from Wyoming Bairoil properties faces low price headwinds
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 11.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.68 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.17% < 20% (prev -0.03%; Δ 5.20% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 28.2m > Net Income 11.7m
Net Debt (-38.1m) to EBITDA (64.7m): -0.59 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.1m) vs 12m ago 2.38% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.66% > 18% (prev 93.46%; Δ -48.81% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 34.28% > 50% (prev 9.19k%; Δ -9.15k% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 31.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.06
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 85.3m - Total Current Liabilities 73.4m) / Total Assets 581.1m
B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -25.6m / Total Assets 581.1m)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 31.6m / Avg Total Assets 667.4m)
D: 2.62 (Book Value of Equity 420.6m / Total Liabilities 160.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 3.06 = A
Beneish M -0.93
DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 19.9m/35.9m, Revenue 228.8m/69.2b)
GMI: 2.09 (GM 93.46% / 44.66%)
AQI: 1.30 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.38)
SGI: 0.00 (Revenue 228.8m / 69.2b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 11.7m - CFO 28.2m) / TA 581.1m)
Beneish M = -0.93 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of AMPY shares?

As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.05 with a total of 747,324 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.76%, over one month by -10.99%, over three months by -31.12% and over the past year by +20.18%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.70 (which is 8.6% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is AMPY a buy, sell or hold?

Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMPY.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AMPY price?
Analysts Target Price 9.1 125.4%
Energy (AMPY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 159.4m (159.4m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.44
P/E Forward = 28.3286
P/S = 0.6966
P/B = 0.3927
Revenue TTM = 228.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 31.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 64.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.34m USD (estimated: total debt 3.40m - short term 1.06m)
Short Term Debt = 1.06m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.40m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 3.40m already included)
Net Debt = -38.1m USD (calculated: Debt 3.40m - CCE 41.5m)
Enterprise Value = 121.3m USD (159.4m + Debt 3.40m - CCE 41.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.42 (Ebit TTM 31.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.0m)
EV/FCF = -2.38x (Enterprise Value 121.3m / FCF TTM -51.0m)
FCF Yield = -42.03% (FCF TTM -51.0m / Enterprise Value 121.3m)
FCF Margin = -22.28% (FCF TTM -51.0m / Revenue TTM 228.8m)
Net Margin = 5.12% (Net Income TTM 11.7m / Revenue TTM 228.8m)
Gross Margin = 44.66% ((Revenue TTM 228.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 126.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.40% (prev 32.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.21 (Enterprise Value 121.3m / Total Assets 581.1m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 383.1% (Interest Expense 13.0m / Debt 3.40m)
 Taxrate = 36.90% (6.85m / 18.6m)
NOPAT = 19.9m (EBIT 31.6m * (1 - 36.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 85.3m / Total Current Liabilities 73.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 3.40m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 420.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.59 (Net Debt -38.1m / EBITDA 64.7m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.75 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -38.1m / FCF TTM -51.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 420.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.76% (Net Income 11.7m / Total Assets 581.1m)
RoE = 2.78% (Net Income TTM 11.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 420.9m)
RoCE = 7.47% (EBIT 31.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 420.9m + L.T.Debt 2.34m))
RoIC = 4.01% (NOPAT 19.9m / Invested Capital 497.3m)
WACC = 10.37% (E(159.4m)/V(162.8m) * Re(10.59%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 10.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 46.67 | Cagr: 0.45%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -51.0m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 37.25 | Revenue CAGR: 202.9% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+50.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.16 | Chg30d=+100.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.50 | Chg30d=-238.89% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-303.6% | GrowthRev=-35.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=+4.55% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+284.0% | GrowthRev=+12.7%