Overview Dividends

(AMR) Alpha Metallurgical - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0207641061

Metallurgical, Thermal, Coke

AMR EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -27.79%
EPS Growth Momentum (3Y): -76.3%

AMR Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -26.44%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -80.9%
Revenue Growth Momentum (3Y): -30.7%

Description: AMR Alpha Metallurgical

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc (NYSE:AMR) is a US-based mining company specializing in the production and sale of metallurgical and thermal coal, primarily operating in Virginia and West Virginia. The company offers a range of metallurgical coal products, leveraging its twenty active mines and eight coal preparation and load-out facilities to meet market demands. Previously known as Contura Energy, Inc, the company rebranded as Alpha Metallurgical Resources in February 2021, marking a significant shift in its corporate identity.

With its headquarters in Bristol, Tennessee, Alpha Metallurgical Resources has established itself as a key player in the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry. The companys operational footprint and product offerings position it for potential growth in the energy and steel sectors, where metallurgical coal is a critical input. As the global demand for steel continues to evolve, Alpha Metallurgical Resources is poised to capitalize on emerging trends.

Analyzing the companys , we observe that the stock is currently trading at $112.62, below its SMA20 and SMA50 averages, indicating a potential short-term bearish trend. However, the ATR of 5.67 (5.03%) suggests moderate volatility, which may present trading opportunities. Considering the 52-week high of $328.47 and low of $107.64, the stock has demonstrated significant price swings, underscoring the need for careful risk management.

From a fundamental perspective, Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a market capitalization of $1.438 billion, with a P/E ratio of 54.02 and a forward P/E of 2.66, indicating potential undervaluation. The companys RoE of 1.62 suggests relatively low profitability. By integrating and , we can forecast that AMR may experience a short-term correction due to its current price being below key moving averages. However, if the company can improve its profitability and capitalize on the growing demand for metallurgical coal, its stock price may rebound in the long term, potentially reaching $150-$180 in the next 6-12 months, driven by improved fundamentals and a recovering market sentiment.

AMR Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,690m
Sector	Basic Materials
Industry	Coking Coal
GiC Sub-Industry	Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception	2017-03-24

AMR Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	49.7
Fundamental	40.8%
Dividend Rating	1.0
Rel. Strength	-42.4
Analysts	4.00 of 5
Fair Price Momentum	157.64 USD
Fair Price DCF	105.92 USD

AMR Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

AMR Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	31.2%
Growth Correlation 12m	-88.2%
Growth Correlation 5y	74.3%
CAGR 5y	103.16%
CAGR/Max DD 5y	1.33
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-2.26
Alpha	-75.10
Beta	1.693
Volatility	67.06%
Current Volume	918.8k
Average Volume 20d	337.2k
Stop Loss	141.1 (-5.9%)

What is the price of AMR shares?
As of August 10, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 149.91 with a total of 918,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +30.27%, over one month by +33.51%, over three months by +20.92% and over the past year by -41.48%.

Is Alpha Metallurgical a good stock to buy?
No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Alpha Metallurgical (NYSE:AMR) is currently (August 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 40.75 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AMR is around 157.64 USD . This means that AMR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.16%.

Is AMR a buy, sell or hold?
Alpha Metallurgical has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMR.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts for AMR share price target?
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, AMR Alpha Metallurgical will be worth about 183.4 in August 2026. The stock is currently trading at 149.91. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +22.31%.

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	140.5	-6.3%
Analysts Target Price	181	20.7%
ValueRay Target Price	183.4	22.3%

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income (26.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 157.5m TTM)

FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -17.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 28.47% (prev 21.47%; Δ 7.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 406.0m > Net Income 26.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-443.0m) to EBITDA (204.6m) ratio: -2.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (13.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 5.35% (prev 23.26%; Δ -17.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 108.0% (prev 139.2%; Δ -31.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 7.94 (EBITDA TTM 204.6m / Interest Expense TTM 3.49m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 7.77

(A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 1.01b - Total Current Liabilities 260.2m) / Total Assets 2.40b

(B) 0.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.12b / Total Assets 2.40b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.88 — check mapping/units

(D) 2.64 = Book Value of Equity 2.07b / Total Liabilities 785.7m

Total Rating: 7.77 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay Score 40.75

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0

2. FCF Yield 18.64% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 8.85% = 1.48

4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.02 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC -10.76% = -10.0

7. RoE 1.62% = 0.27

8. Rev. Trend -80.95% = -5.0

9. Rev. CAGR -26.44% = -2.50

11. EPS CAGR -27.79% = -2.50

AMR Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 1.69b (1.69b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 448.0m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 63.1463
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 0.6436
P/B = 0.9964
Beta = 0.613
Revenue TTM = 2.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 27.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 204.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.37m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.67m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.03m USD (Calculated: Short Term 2.67m + Long Term 2.37m)
Net Debt = -443.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.25b USD (1.69b + Debt 5.03m - CCE 448.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.94 (Ebit TTM 27.7m / Interest Expense TTM 3.49m)
FCF Yield = 18.64% (FCF TTM 232.3m / Enterprise Value 1.25b)
FCF Margin = 8.85% (FCF TTM 232.3m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Net Margin = 1.01% (Net Income TTM 26.6m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Gross Margin = 5.35% ((Revenue TTM 2.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 1.25b / Book Value Of Equity 2.07b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.16% (Interest Expense 763.0k / Debt 5.03m)
Taxrate = 10.99% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 23.2m / 210.8m)
NOPAT = 24.6m (EBIT 27.7m * (1 - 10.99%))
Current Ratio = 3.87 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 260.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 5.03m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt -443.0m / EBITDA 204.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.02 (Debt 5.03m / FCF TTM 232.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.64b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 1.11% (Net Income 26.6m, Total Assets 2.40b )
RoE = 1.62% (Net Income TTM 26.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.64b)
RoCE = 1.69% (Ebit 27.7m / (Equity 1.64b + L.T.Debt 2.37m))
RoIC = 1.50% (NOPAT 24.6m / Invested Capital 1.65b)
WACC = 12.25% (E(1.69b)/V(1.69b) * Re(12.25%)) + (D(5.03m)/V(1.69b) * Rd(15.16%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -90.0 | Cagr: -7.37%
Discount Rate = 12.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 53.70% ; FCFE base≈404.8m ; Y1≈265.0m ; Y5≈120.2m
Fair Price DCF = 105.9 (DCF Value 1.38b / Shares Outstanding 13.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.20% → 2.90% )
Revenue Correlation: -80.95 | Revenue CAGR: -26.44%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -30.68%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: -27.79%
EPS Growth Correlation: -76.27%

Additional Sources for AMR Stock

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