AMR Stock Analysis: Alpha Metallurgical | NYSE
Coking Coal | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.950m USD | 12M Return: -2.6% | US0207641061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 40.4M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -95.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 9.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) is a U.S.-based mining company that produces, processes, and sells metallurgical and thermal coal, with operations concentrated in Virginia and West Virginia. The company runs 19 active mines supported by 8 active coal preparation and load-out facilities. It was incorporated in 2016, originally as Contura Energy, Inc., before adopting its current name in February 2021, and is headquartered in Bristol, Tennessee. The business is classified within the Materials sector under the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry.
Metallurgical coal serves a distinct end market from thermal coal, as it is primarily used as a key input in steelmaking through the coke-making process, whereas thermal coal is burned to generate electricity. This dual exposure allows producers like AMR to balance demand across the steel and power generation industries.
- Met coal prices surge on Asian steel demand recovery
- Thermal coal export margins compress on weak European demand
- Share buyback program accelerates capital returns to shareholders
| Net Income: -46.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.50% < 20% (prev 31.41%; Δ -1.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 138.4m > Net Income -46.1m |
| Net Debt (-325.3m) to EBITDA (109.2m): -2.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.7m) vs 12m ago -2.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 3.24% > 18% (prev 2.69%; Δ 0.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 89.23% > 50% (prev 99.93%; Δ -10.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -20.55 > 6 (EBIT TTM -67.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m) |
| A: 0.27 (Total Current Assets 862.5m - Total Current Liabilities 253.3m) / Total Assets 2.26b |
| B: 0.92 (Retained Earnings 2.07b / Total Assets 2.26b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -67.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.31b) |
| D: 1.98 (Book Value of Equity 1.50b / Total Liabilities 756.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.65 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 230.6m/296.0m, Revenue 2.07b/2.37b) |
| GMI: 0.83 (GM 2.69% / 3.24%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 0.87 (Revenue 2.07b / 2.37b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -46.1m - CFO 138.4m) / TA 2.26b) |
| Beneish M = -3.34 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 159.52 with a total of 314,589 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.17%, over one month by +7.28%, over three months by -15.16% and over the past year by -2.61%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 147.80 (which is 7.3% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Alpha Metallurgical has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMR.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 169.8 | 6.4% |
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 0.9443
P/B = 1.3011
Revenue TTM = 2.07b USD
EBIT TTM = -67.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 109.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.20m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.20m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.81m
Net Debt = -325.3m USD (calculated: Debt 13.2m - CCE 338.5m)
Enterprise Value = 1.62b USD (1.95b + Debt 13.2m - CCE 338.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -20.55 (Ebit TTM -67.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 1.62b / FCF TTM -1.45m)
FCF Yield = -0.09% (FCF TTM -1.45m / Enterprise Value 1.62b)
FCF Margin = -0.07% (FCF TTM -1.45m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Net Margin = -2.23% (Net Income TTM -46.1m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Gross Margin = 3.24% ((Revenue TTM 2.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.98% (prev 0.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 1.62b / Total Assets 2.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 24.96% (Interest Expense 3.30m / Debt 13.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -53.5m (EBIT -67.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.41 (Total Current Assets 862.5m / Total Current Liabilities 253.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 13.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.98 (Net Debt -325.3m / EBITDA 109.2m)
Debt / FCF = 223.9 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -325.3m / FCF TTM -1.45m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.99% (Net Income -46.1m / Total Assets 2.26b)
RoE = -2.99% (Net Income TTM -46.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.54b)
RoCE = -4.38% (EBIT -67.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.54b + L.T.Debt 8.20m))
RoIC = -2.81% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -53.5m / Invested Capital 1.90b)
WACC = 10.39% (E(1.95b)/V(1.96b) * Re(10.33%) + D(13.2m)/V(1.96b) * Rd(24.96%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -93.51 | Cagr: -1.78%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.45m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -95.67 | Revenue CAGR: -20.28% | SUE: -1.30 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-95.13% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-96.87% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+104.5% | GrowthRev=-1.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=25.30 | Chg30d=-7.29% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+12547.5% | GrowthRev=+26.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)