(AMR) Alpha Metallurgical - NYSE
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Coking Coal | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.405m USD | Total Return: 78.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 53.3M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -93.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -16.2 is critical
Beneish M-Score -1.12 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) is a Tennessee-based mining company primarily focused on the production and processing of metallurgical and thermal coal. The company operates nineteen active mines and eight preparation facilities across Virginia and West Virginia. Formerly known as Contura Energy, AMR rebranded in 2021 to reflect its strategic emphasis on the metallurgical coal market.
Metallurgical coal is a critical input in the blast furnace steelmaking process, distinct from thermal coal used for power generation due to its high carbon content and caking properties. The companys business model relies on the extraction of high-quality coal seams that meet the specific chemical requirements of global steel producers. For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the latest data on ValueRay.
- Global steel production demand dictates benchmark metallurgical coal price realization
- Export logistics costs and rail performance impact quarterly shipment volumes
- Aggressive share buyback programs drive earnings per share and equity valuation
- Transition from thermal to metallurgical coal production improves long-term profit margins
- Federal mine safety regulations and labor availability influence operational cash costs
| Net Income: -38.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 31.17% < 20% (prev 28.47%; Δ 2.70% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 151.8m > Net Income -38.8m |
| Net Debt (-352.9m) to EBITDA (141.5m): -2.49 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.8m) vs 12m ago -1.90% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 1.71% > 18% (prev 5.35%; Δ -3.64% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 90.65% > 50% (prev 109.4%; Δ -18.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -16.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM -50.3m / Interest Expense TTM 3.10m) |
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 909.5m - Total Current Liabilities 248.0m) / Total Assets 2.28b |
| B: 0.91 (Retained Earnings 2.08b / Total Assets 2.28b) |
| C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -50.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.34b) |
| D: 1.98 (Book Value of Equity 1.52b / Total Liabilities 765.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.81 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 302.1m/342.0m, Revenue 2.12b/2.63b) |
| GMI: 3.13 (GM 5.35% / 1.71%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 0.81 (Revenue 2.12b / 2.63b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -38.8m - CFO 151.8m) / TA 2.28b) |
| Beneish M = -1.12 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of June 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 200.82 with a total of 286,724 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.77%,
over one month by +11.91%,
over three months by +6.90% and
over the past year by +78.32%.
Alpha Metallurgical has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMR.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 194.5 | -3.1% |
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 1.133
P/B = 1.6285
Revenue TTM = 2.12b USD
EBIT TTM = -50.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 141.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.98m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.23m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.81m
Net Debt = -352.9m USD (calculated: Debt 14.0m - CCE 366.9m)
Enterprise Value = 2.05b USD (2.40b + Debt 14.0m - CCE 366.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -16.23 (Ebit TTM -50.3m / Interest Expense TTM 3.10m)
EV/FCF = 91.52x (Enterprise Value 2.05b / FCF TTM 22.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.09% (FCF TTM 22.4m / Enterprise Value 2.05b)
FCF Margin = 1.06% (FCF TTM 22.4m / Revenue TTM 2.12b)
Net Margin = -1.83% (Net Income TTM -38.8m / Revenue TTM 2.12b)
Gross Margin = 1.71% ((Revenue TTM 2.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 0.87% (prev -1.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 2.05b / Total Assets 2.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.09% (Interest Expense 3.10m / Debt 14.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -39.7m (EBIT -50.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 909.5m / Total Current Liabilities 248.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 14.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.49 (Net Debt -352.9m / EBITDA 141.5m)
Debt / FCF = -15.74 (Net Debt -352.9m / FCF TTM 22.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.66% (Net Income -38.8m / Total Assets 2.28b)
RoE = -2.47% (Net Income TTM -38.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.57b)
RoCE = -3.19% (EBIT -50.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.57b + L.T.Debt 8.98m))
RoIC = -2.06% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -39.7m / Invested Capital 1.93b)
WACC = 9.99% (E(2.40b)/V(2.42b) * Re(9.95%) + D(14.0m)/V(2.42b) * Rd(22.09%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -2.86%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.21% ; FCFF base≈106.4m ; Y1≈93.3m ; Y5≈75.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 102.7 (EV 952.9m - Net Debt -352.9m = Equity 1.31b / Shares 12.7m; r=9.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -93.93 | Revenue CAGR: -19.18% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=-59.74% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.28 | Chg30d=-42.06% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.55 | Chg30d=-64.88% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+203.0% | GrowthRev=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=27.89 | Chg30d=+2.99% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+513.0% | GrowthRev=+18.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%