(AMR) Alpha Metallurgical - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US0207641061
Metallurgical, Coal, Thermal, Coal, Mining
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 65.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 95.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.55 |
| Alpha | -49.36 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.330 |
| Beta | 0.794 |
| Beta Downside | 0.842 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 77.51% |
| Mean DD | 34.96% |
| Median DD | 31.04% |
Description: AMR Alpha Metallurgical November 12, 2025
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is a U.S.-based miner that extracts, processes, and sells metallurgical and thermal coal primarily in Virginia and West Virginia. The firm operates twenty active underground mines and eight coal preparation and load-out facilities, and it rebranded from Contura Energy to its current name in February 2021.
Key operating metrics as of the most recent filing (2023 FY) show an adjusted EBITDA of roughly $150 million and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.5×, reflecting modest leverage relative to peers. The company’s revenue is highly sensitive to global steel-making demand, which is driven by China’s production cycles and the ongoing transition to lower-carbon steelmaking technologies. Additionally, U.S. regulatory developments-particularly the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean-energy incentives-affect the long-term outlook for thermal coal demand.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore AMR’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-46.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 133.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -19.76pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 33.21% (prev 23.89%; Δ 9.32pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 182.2m > Net Income -46.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-403.5m) to EBITDA (132.8m) ratio: -3.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.95 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (13.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.59% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 2.46% (prev 16.29%; Δ -13.83pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 92.29% (prev 133.1%; Δ -40.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -18.06 (EBITDA TTM 132.8m / Interest Expense TTM 2.87m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.74
| (A) 0.32 = (Total Current Assets 989.9m - Total Current Liabilities 250.5m) / Total Assets 2.35b |
| (B) 0.90 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.11b / Total Assets 2.35b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.90 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -51.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.41b |
| (D) 2.74 = Book Value of Equity 2.06b / Total Liabilities 753.2m |
| Total Rating: 7.74 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 31.26
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.86% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.04 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.93)% |
| 7. RoE -2.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -82.63% |
| 9. EPS Trend -87.17% |
What is the price of AMR shares?
As of December 01, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 159.21 with a total of 159,882 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.37%, over one month by -3.40%, over three months by +9.14% and over the past year by -35.17%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.37%, over one month by -3.40%, over three months by +9.14% and over the past year by -35.17%.
Is AMR a buy, sell or hold?
Alpha Metallurgical has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMR.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AMR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 184.5 | 15.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 184.5 | 15.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 156.3 | -1.8% |
AMR Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 2.00b (2.00b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 0.8991
P/B = 1.2684
Beta = 0.919
Revenue TTM = 2.23b USD
EBIT TTM = -51.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 132.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.85m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.12m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.97m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -403.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.55b USD (2.00b + Debt 4.97m - CCE 457.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.06 (Ebit TTM -51.9m / Interest Expense TTM 2.87m)
FCF Yield = 2.67% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Enterprise Value 1.55b)
FCF Margin = 1.86% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Net Margin = -2.09% (Net Income TTM -46.5m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Gross Margin = 2.46% ((Revenue TTM 2.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 3.78% (prev 3.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 1.55b / Total Assets 2.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.38% (Interest Expense 765.0k / Debt 4.97m)
Taxrate = 37.65% (-3.33m / -8.85m)
NOPAT = -32.3m (EBIT -51.9m * (1 - 37.65%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.95 (Total Current Assets 989.9m / Total Current Liabilities 250.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 4.97m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.04 (Net Debt -403.5m / EBITDA 132.8m)
Debt / FCF = -9.76 (Net Debt -403.5m / FCF TTM 41.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.98% (Net Income -46.5m / Total Assets 2.35b)
RoE = -2.88% (Net Income TTM -46.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.62b)
RoCE = -3.20% (EBIT -51.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.62b + L.T.Debt 2.85m))
RoIC = -1.99% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -32.3m / Invested Capital 1.62b)
WACC = 8.94% (E(2.00b)/V(2.01b) * Re(8.94%) + D(4.97m)/V(2.01b) * Rd(15.38%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 8.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.50% ; FCFE base≈238.2m ; Y1≈156.4m ; Y5≈71.5m
Fair Price DCF = 94.53 (DCF Value 1.22b / Shares Outstanding 12.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -87.17 | EPS CAGR: -35.18% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -82.63 | Revenue CAGR: -11.37% | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=-3.31 | Chg30d=+0.267 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-123.2% | Growth Revenue=-26.8%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.37 | Chg30d=-0.695 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+746.3% | Growth Revenue=+21.6%
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 0.8991
P/B = 1.2684
Beta = 0.919
Revenue TTM = 2.23b USD
EBIT TTM = -51.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 132.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.85m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.12m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.97m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -403.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.55b USD (2.00b + Debt 4.97m - CCE 457.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.06 (Ebit TTM -51.9m / Interest Expense TTM 2.87m)
FCF Yield = 2.67% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Enterprise Value 1.55b)
FCF Margin = 1.86% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Net Margin = -2.09% (Net Income TTM -46.5m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Gross Margin = 2.46% ((Revenue TTM 2.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 3.78% (prev 3.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 1.55b / Total Assets 2.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.38% (Interest Expense 765.0k / Debt 4.97m)
Taxrate = 37.65% (-3.33m / -8.85m)
NOPAT = -32.3m (EBIT -51.9m * (1 - 37.65%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.95 (Total Current Assets 989.9m / Total Current Liabilities 250.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 4.97m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.04 (Net Debt -403.5m / EBITDA 132.8m)
Debt / FCF = -9.76 (Net Debt -403.5m / FCF TTM 41.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.98% (Net Income -46.5m / Total Assets 2.35b)
RoE = -2.88% (Net Income TTM -46.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.62b)
RoCE = -3.20% (EBIT -51.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.62b + L.T.Debt 2.85m))
RoIC = -1.99% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -32.3m / Invested Capital 1.62b)
WACC = 8.94% (E(2.00b)/V(2.01b) * Re(8.94%) + D(4.97m)/V(2.01b) * Rd(15.38%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 8.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.50% ; FCFE base≈238.2m ; Y1≈156.4m ; Y5≈71.5m
Fair Price DCF = 94.53 (DCF Value 1.22b / Shares Outstanding 12.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -87.17 | EPS CAGR: -35.18% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -82.63 | Revenue CAGR: -11.37% | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=-3.31 | Chg30d=+0.267 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-123.2% | Growth Revenue=-26.8%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.37 | Chg30d=-0.695 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+746.3% | Growth Revenue=+21.6%
Additional Sources for AMR Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle