Overview Dividends

(AMR) Alpha Metallurgical - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0207641061

Metallurgical, Coal, Thermal, Coal, Mining

AMR EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -47.27%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -87.9%

AMR Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -15.34%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -80.9%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	66.4%
Value at Risk 5%th	97.1%

Reward
Sharpe Ratio	-0.40
Alpha Jensen	-43.39

Character
Hurst Exponent	0.369
Beta	0.961

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	77.51%
Mean DD	34.08%

Description: AMR Alpha Metallurgical November 12, 2025

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is a U.S.-based miner that extracts, processes, and sells metallurgical and thermal coal primarily in Virginia and West Virginia. The firm operates twenty active underground mines and eight coal preparation and load-out facilities, and it rebranded from Contura Energy to its current name in February 2021.

Key operating metrics as of the most recent filing (2023 FY) show an adjusted EBITDA of roughly $150 million and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.5×, reflecting modest leverage relative to peers. The company’s revenue is highly sensitive to global steel-making demand, which is driven by China’s production cycles and the ongoing transition to lower-carbon steelmaking technologies. Additionally, U.S. regulatory developments-particularly the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean-energy incentives-affect the long-term outlook for thermal coal demand.

For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore AMR’s metrics on ValueRay.

AMR Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	2,262m
Sub-Industry	Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception	2017-03-24
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-38.0%
Analyst Rating	4.0 of 5

AMR Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

AMR Growth Ratios

CAGR	3.14%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.04
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	0.09
Current Volume	214.8k
Average Volume	261.9k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-37.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 142.3m TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -11.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 31.41% (prev 23.36%; Δ 8.05pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 321.1m > Net Income -37.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-443.3m) to EBITDA (140.5m) ratio: -3.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 4.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (13.1m) change vs 12m ago -0.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 2.69% (prev 19.32%; Δ -16.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 97.47% (prev 135.2%; Δ -37.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -13.67 (EBITDA TTM 140.5m / Interest Expense TTM 3.15m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 7.71

(A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 988.2m - Total Current Liabilities 243.3m) / Total Assets 2.37b

(B) 0.89 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.12b / Total Assets 2.37b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.89 — check mapping/units

(D) 2.72 = Book Value of Equity 2.07b / Total Liabilities 759.4m

Total Rating: 7.71 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 36.27

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0

2. FCF Yield 9.56% = 4.78

3. FCF Margin 7.33% = 1.83

4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -3.15 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -11.66)% = -12.50

7. RoE -2.28% = -0.38

8. Rev. Trend -80.91% = -6.07

9. EPS Trend -87.94% = -4.40

What is the price of AMR shares?

As of November 13, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 169.92 with a total of 214,791 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.34%, over one month by +1.32%, over three months by +3.74% and over the past year by -28.14%.

Is Alpha Metallurgical a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Alpha Metallurgical (NYSE:AMR) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 36.27 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AMR is around 150.27 USD . This means that AMR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.56%.

Is AMR a buy, sell or hold?

Alpha Metallurgical has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMR.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AMR price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	184.5	8.6%
Analysts Target Price	184.5	8.6%
ValueRay Target Price	169.2	-0.5%

AMR Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025

Market Cap USD = 2.26b (2.26b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 0.9537
P/B = 1.3576
Beta = 0.961
Revenue TTM = 2.37b USD
EBIT TTM = -43.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 140.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.14m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.62m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.77m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -443.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.82b USD (2.26b + Debt 5.77m - CCE 449.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.67 (Ebit TTM -43.0m / Interest Expense TTM 3.15m)
FCF Yield = 9.56% (FCF TTM 173.9m / Enterprise Value 1.82b)
FCF Margin = 7.33% (FCF TTM 173.9m / Revenue TTM 2.37b)
Net Margin = -1.57% (Net Income TTM -37.2m / Revenue TTM 2.37b)
Gross Margin = 2.69% ((Revenue TTM 2.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 3.39% (prev -3.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 1.82b / Total Assets 2.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 13.19% (Interest Expense 761.0k / Debt 5.77m)
Taxrate = 20.12% (-1.25m / -6.20m)
NOPAT = -34.4m (EBIT -43.0m * (1 - 20.12%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.06 (Total Current Assets 988.2m / Total Current Liabilities 243.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 5.77m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.15 (Net Debt -443.3m / EBITDA 140.5m)
Debt / FCF = -2.55 (Net Debt -443.3m / FCF TTM 173.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.57% (Net Income -37.2m / Total Assets 2.37b)
RoE = -2.28% (Net Income TTM -37.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.63b)
RoCE = -2.63% (EBIT -43.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.63b + L.T.Debt 3.14m))
RoIC = -2.10% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -34.4m / Invested Capital 1.64b)
WACC = 9.56% (E(2.26b)/V(2.27b) * Re(9.56%) + D(5.77m)/V(2.27b) * Rd(13.19%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -15.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.92% ; FCFE base≈295.6m ; Y1≈194.0m ; Y5≈88.7m
Fair Price DCF = 105.8 (DCF Value 1.38b / Shares Outstanding 13.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -87.94 | EPS CAGR: -47.27% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -80.91 | Revenue CAGR: -15.34% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for AMR Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle