AMR Stock Analysis: Alpha Metallurgical | NYSE
Coking Coal | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.175m USD | 12M Return: 8.3% | US0207641061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 51.9M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -95.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.1 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is a U.S.-based mining company that produces, processes, and sells metallurgical and thermal coal from operations in Virginia and West Virginia. The company runs nineteen active mines supported by eight active coal preparation and load-out facilities, and is headquartered in Bristol, Tennessee. It was incorporated in 2016 and was previously known as Contura Energy, Inc., adopting its current name in February 2021.
Metallurgical coal, the companys primary product, is used as a key input in steel manufacturing through the coke-making process, while thermal coal is mainly burned for electricity generation. AMR is classified within the Materials sector under the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry.
- Met coal prices decline on weak Asian steel demand
- Export volumes to Asia drive metallurgical coal revenue
- Capital returns accelerate as debt levels continue declining
| Net Income: -46.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.50% < 20% (prev 31.41%; Δ -1.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 138.4m > Net Income -46.1m |
| Net Debt (-325.3m) to EBITDA (109.2m): -2.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.7m) vs 12m ago -2.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 3.24% > 18% (prev 2.69%; Δ 0.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 89.23% > 50% (prev 99.93%; Δ -10.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -20.55 > 6 (EBIT TTM -67.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m) |
| A: 0.27 (Total Current Assets 862.5m - Total Current Liabilities 253.3m) / Total Assets 2.26b |
| B: 0.92 (Retained Earnings 2.07b / Total Assets 2.26b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -67.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.31b) |
| D: 1.99 (Book Value of Equity 1.50b / Total Liabilities 752.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.66 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 230.6m/296.0m, Revenue 2.07b/2.37b) |
| GMI: 0.83 (GM 2.69% / 3.24%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 0.87 (Revenue 2.07b / 2.37b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -46.1m - CFO 138.4m) / TA 2.26b) |
| Beneish M = -3.34 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 181.57 with a total of 224,337 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.85%, over one month by -13.29%, over three months by +22.10% and over the past year by +8.26%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 169.80 (which is 6.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Alpha Metallurgical has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AMR.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 180 | -0.9% |
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 1.0532
P/B = 1.5261
Revenue TTM = 2.07b USD
EBIT TTM = -67.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 109.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.20m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.20m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.81m
Net Debt = -325.3m USD (calculated: Debt 13.2m - CCE 338.5m)
Enterprise Value = 1.85b USD (2.17b + Debt 13.2m - CCE 338.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -20.55 (Ebit TTM -67.8m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 1.85b / FCF TTM -1.45m)
FCF Yield = -0.08% (FCF TTM -1.45m / Enterprise Value 1.85b)
FCF Margin = -0.07% (FCF TTM -1.45m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Net Margin = -2.23% (Net Income TTM -46.1m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Gross Margin = 3.24% ((Revenue TTM 2.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.98% (prev 0.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 1.85b / Total Assets 2.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 24.96% (Interest Expense 3.30m / Debt 13.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -53.5m (EBIT -67.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.41 (Total Current Assets 862.5m / Total Current Liabilities 253.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 13.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.98 (Net Debt -325.3m / EBITDA 109.2m)
Debt / FCF = 223.9 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -325.3m / FCF TTM -1.45m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.99% (Net Income -46.1m / Total Assets 2.26b)
RoE = -2.99% (Net Income TTM -46.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.54b)
RoCE = -4.38% (EBIT -67.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.54b + L.T.Debt 8.20m))
RoIC = -2.81% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -53.5m / Invested Capital 1.90b)
WACC = 10.07% (E(2.17b)/V(2.19b) * Re(10.01%) + D(13.2m)/V(2.19b) * Rd(24.96%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -93.51 | Cagr: -1.78%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.45m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -95.67 | Revenue CAGR: -20.28% | SUE: -1.30 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-2.30 | Chg30d=-180.12% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-4.77 | Chg30d=-174.77% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-8.0% | GrowthRev=-0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=18.26 | Chg30d=-33.08% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+482.7% | GrowthRev=+22.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=0, down=6)