(AMR) Alpha Metallurgical - Ratings and Ratios
Coking Coal, Steelmaking Coal
AMR EPS (Earnings per Share)
AMR Revenue
Description: AMR Alpha Metallurgical
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc (NYSE:AMR) is a US-based company operating in the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry. The companys stock performance is characterized by its current price in relation to its historical trends and volatility.
To evaluate AMRs stock, key metrics such as Market Capitalization, Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, and Return on Equity (RoE) are crucial. With a Market Cap of $1.69B, AMRs size indicates a mid-cap company with potential for growth. The P/E ratio of 63.15 suggests that the stock might be overvalued relative to its earnings, while the Forward P/E of 2.66 indicates a significant expected increase in earnings. The RoE of 1.62% is relatively low, suggesting that the company may not be generating sufficient profits from shareholders equity.
Key economic drivers for AMR include coal prices, demand from the steel industry, and global economic conditions. As a metallurgical coal producer, AMRs revenue is heavily influenced by the steel industrys demand, which is in turn driven by construction and infrastructure projects. The companys profitability is also affected by production costs, including labor and transportation expenses. Monitoring KPIs such as revenue growth, EBITDA margins, and coal production volumes will be essential in assessing AMRs financial health and stock performance.
To make informed investment decisions, analyzing AMRs stock involves evaluating its technical indicators, such as trends and volatility, alongside fundamental data. The stocks beta of 0.613 indicates relatively lower volatility compared to the overall market. Understanding these factors, along with the companys operational efficiency and industry trends, will help investors make more informed decisions about AMRs stock.
AMR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,820m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| IPO / Inception | 2017-03-24 |
AMR Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 21.2% |
| Fundamental | 35.7% |
| Dividend Rating | 1.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -46.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
AMR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAMR Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 86.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -81.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 72.1% |
| CAGR 5y | 107.55% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 1.39 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -2.17 |
| Alpha | -62.31 |
| Beta | 1.693 |
| Volatility | 71.19% |
| Current Volume | 221.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 385.2k |
| Stop Loss | 140.8 (-5.6%) |
| Signal | 1.42 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-37.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 142.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -11.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 31.41% (prev 23.36%; Δ 8.05pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 321.1m > Net Income -37.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-443.3m) to EBITDA (140.5m) ratio: -3.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (13.1m) change vs 12m ago -0.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 2.69% (prev 19.32%; Δ -16.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 97.47% (prev 135.2%; Δ -37.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -13.67 (EBITDA TTM 140.5m / Interest Expense TTM 3.15m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.71
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 988.2m - Total Current Liabilities 243.3m) / Total Assets 2.37b |
| (B) 0.89 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.12b / Total Assets 2.37b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.89 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -43.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.43b |
| (D) 2.72 = Book Value of Equity 2.07b / Total Liabilities 759.4m |
| Total Rating: 7.71 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.71
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.63% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.33% = 1.83 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.04 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -14.88% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -2.28% = -0.38 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -80.91% = -4.05 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -15.34% = -2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend -87.98% = -2.20 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -29.29% = -2.50 |
What is the price of AMR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.49%, over one month by +18.34%, over three months by +29.01% and over the past year by -37.71%.
Is Alpha Metallurgical a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AMR is around 158.73 USD . This means that AMR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 6.39%.
Is AMR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AMR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 167.5 | 12.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 181 | 21.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 182.9 | 22.6% |
Last update: 2025-08-22 02:47
AMR Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 449.0m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 0.7674
P/B = 1.1062
Beta = 0.613
Revenue TTM = 2.37b USD
EBIT TTM = -43.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 140.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.14m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.62m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.77m USD (Calculated: Short Term 2.62m + Long Term 3.14m)
Net Debt = -443.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.38b USD (1.82b + Debt 5.77m - CCE 449.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.67 (Ebit TTM -43.0m / Interest Expense TTM 3.15m)
FCF Yield = 12.63% (FCF TTM 173.9m / Enterprise Value 1.38b)
FCF Margin = 7.33% (FCF TTM 173.9m / Revenue TTM 2.37b)
Net Margin = -1.57% (Net Income TTM -37.2m / Revenue TTM 2.37b)
Gross Margin = 2.69% ((Revenue TTM 2.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 1.38b / Book Value Of Equity 2.07b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 13.19% (Interest Expense 761.0k / Debt 5.77m)
Taxrate = 10.99% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 23.2m / 210.8m)
NOPAT = -43.0m (EBIT -43.0m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 4.06 (Total Current Assets 988.2m / Total Current Liabilities 243.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 5.77m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.04 (Net Debt -443.3m / EBITDA 140.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.03 (Debt 5.77m / FCF TTM 173.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.63b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -1.57% (Net Income -37.2m, Total Assets 2.37b )
RoE = -2.28% (Net Income TTM -37.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.63b)
RoCE = -2.63% (Ebit -43.0m / (Equity 1.63b + L.T.Debt 3.14m))
RoIC = -2.63% (NOPAT -43.0m / Invested Capital 1.64b)
WACC = 12.25% (E(1.82b)/V(1.83b) * Re(12.25%)) + (D(5.77m)/V(1.83b) * Rd(13.19%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -90.0 | Cagr: -9.11%
Discount Rate = 12.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 54.11% ; FCFE base≈295.6m ; Y1≈194.0m ; Y5≈88.7m
Fair Price DCF = 78.49 (DCF Value 1.02b / Shares Outstanding 13.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -80.91 | Revenue CAGR: -15.34%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -27.78
EPS Correlation: -87.98 | EPS CAGR: -29.29%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -114.1
Additional Sources for AMR Stock
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