Overview Dividends

(AMR) Alpha Metallurgical - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0207641061

Metallurgical, Coal, Thermal, Coal, Mining

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of AMR over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -3.75, "2020-12": -3, "2021-03": -1.79, "2021-06": -1.03, "2021-09": 4.4, "2021-12": 13.45, "2022-03": 20.52, "2022-06": 30.03, "2022-09": 14.21, "2022-12": 13.37, "2023-03": 17.01, "2023-06": 12.16, "2023-09": 6.65, "2023-12": 13.06, "2024-03": 9.59, "2024-06": 4.49, "2024-09": 0.29, "2024-12": -0.16, "2025-03": -2.6, "2025-06": -0.38, "2025-09": -0.3157,
EPS Growth (3y CAGR): -47.28%
EPS Trend (3y Corr): -89.5%
Last SUE: -0.32σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of AMR over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 335.592, 2020-12: 133.198, 2021-03: 386.253, 2021-06: 395.275, 2021-09: 648.841, 2021-12: 828.217, 2022-03: 1071.964, 2022-06: 1336.412, 2022-09: 869.768, 2022-12: 823.448, 2023-03: 911.235, 2023-06: 858.371, 2023-09: 741.82, 2023-12: 959.991, 2024-03: 864.072, 2024-06: 803.969, 2024-09: 671.897, 2024-12: 617.347, 2025-03: 531.957, 2025-06: 550.274, 2025-09: 526.778,
Revenue Growth (3y CAGR): -14.99%
Revenue Trend (3y Corr): -85.9%
Last SUE: -0.25σ
Qual. Beats: 0
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 64.0%
Value at Risk 5%th 93.1%
Relative Tail Risk -11.54%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.51
Alpha -44.27
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.408
Beta 0.793
Beta Downside 0.829
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 77.51%
Mean DD 34.50%
Median DD 30.30%

Description: AMR Alpha Metallurgical November 12, 2025

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is a U.S.-based miner that extracts, processes, and sells metallurgical and thermal coal primarily in Virginia and West Virginia. The firm operates twenty active underground mines and eight coal preparation and load-out facilities, and it rebranded from Contura Energy to its current name in February 2021.

Key operating metrics as of the most recent filing (2023 FY) show an adjusted EBITDA of roughly $150 million and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.5×, reflecting modest leverage relative to peers. The company’s revenue is highly sensitive to global steel-making demand, which is driven by China’s production cycles and the ongoing transition to lower-carbon steelmaking technologies. Additionally, U.S. regulatory developments-particularly the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean-energy incentives-affect the long-term outlook for thermal coal demand.

For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore AMR’s metrics on ValueRay.

AMR Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 2,050m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2017-03-24
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -41.6%
Analyst Rating 4.0 of 5

AMR Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

AMR Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y 0.50%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.01
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 0.01
Current Volume 182.5k
Average Volume 253.1k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-46.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 133.6m TTM)
FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -19.76pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 33.21% (prev 23.89%; Δ 9.32pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 182.2m > Net Income -46.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-403.5m) to EBITDA (132.8m) ratio: -3.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 3.95 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (13.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.59% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 2.46% (prev 16.29%; Δ -13.83pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 92.29% (prev 133.1%; Δ -40.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -18.06 (EBITDA TTM 132.8m / Interest Expense TTM 2.87m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 7.74

(A) 0.32 = (Total Current Assets 989.9m - Total Current Liabilities 250.5m) / Total Assets 2.35b
(B) 0.90 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.11b / Total Assets 2.35b
warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.90 — check mapping/units
(C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -51.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.41b
(D) 2.74 = Book Value of Equity 2.06b / Total Liabilities 753.2m
Total Rating: 7.74 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.86

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0
2. FCF Yield 2.59% = 1.29
3. FCF Margin 1.86% = 0.46
4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50
5. Debt/Ebitda -3.04 = 2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.93)% = -12.50
7. RoE -2.88% = -0.48
8. Rev. Trend -85.91% = -6.44
9. EPS Trend -89.48% = -4.47

What is the price of AMR shares?

As of November 20, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 160.16 with a total of 182,461 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.74%, over one month by -0.54%, over three months by +17.12% and over the past year by -33.63%.

Is AMR a buy, sell or hold?

Alpha Metallurgical has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMR.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AMR price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 184.5 15.2%
Analysts Target Price 184.5 15.2%
ValueRay Target Price 157.2 -1.8%

AMR Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025

Market Cap USD = 2.05b (2.05b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 2.6582
P/S = 0.9208
P/B = 1.2805
Beta = 0.919
Revenue TTM = 2.23b USD
EBIT TTM = -51.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 132.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.85m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.12m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.97m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -403.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.60b USD (2.05b + Debt 4.97m - CCE 457.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.06 (Ebit TTM -51.9m / Interest Expense TTM 2.87m)
FCF Yield = 2.59% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Enterprise Value 1.60b)
FCF Margin = 1.86% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Net Margin = -2.09% (Net Income TTM -46.5m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Gross Margin = 2.46% ((Revenue TTM 2.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 3.78% (prev 3.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 1.60b / Total Assets 2.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.38% (Interest Expense 765.0k / Debt 4.97m)
Taxrate = 37.65% (-3.33m / -8.85m)
NOPAT = -32.3m (EBIT -51.9m * (1 - 37.65%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.95 (Total Current Assets 989.9m / Total Current Liabilities 250.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 4.97m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.04 (Net Debt -403.5m / EBITDA 132.8m)
Debt / FCF = -9.76 (Net Debt -403.5m / FCF TTM 41.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.98% (Net Income -46.5m / Total Assets 2.35b)
RoE = -2.88% (Net Income TTM -46.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.62b)
RoCE = -3.20% (EBIT -51.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.62b + L.T.Debt 2.85m))
RoIC = -1.99% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -32.3m / Invested Capital 1.62b)
WACC = 8.94% (E(2.05b)/V(2.06b) * Re(8.94%) + D(4.97m)/V(2.06b) * Rd(15.38%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 8.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.50% ; FCFE base≈238.2m ; Y1≈156.4m ; Y5≈71.5m
Fair Price DCF = 94.53 (DCF Value 1.22b / Shares Outstanding 12.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -89.48 | EPS CAGR: -47.28% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -85.91 | Revenue CAGR: -14.99% | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for AMR Stock

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