AMTM Stock Analysis: Amentum Holdings | NYSE
Specialty Business Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.436m USD | 12M Return: -15.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 43.0M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.0%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 1.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Amentum Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: AMTM) is a U.S.-based provider of engineering and technology solutions serving federal, commercial, and allied-nation clients domestically and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Digital Solutions, which delivers intelligence analytics, space system development, cybersecurity, and IT services, and Global Engineering Solutions, which offers large-scale environmental remediation, nuclear power solutions, platform engineering, sustainment, and supply chain management.
The majority of Amentums revenue is tied to long-term U.S. government and allied contracts, a hallmark of the government services industry, which typically features high barriers to entry due to security clearance requirements. Incorporated in 2023 and headquartered in Chantilly, Virginia-within the Dulles technology corridor that hosts a concentration of federal contractors-Amentum completed its initial public offering on the NYSE on September 24, 2024. The company is classified under the GICS Industrials sector, within the Research & Consulting Services sub-industry.
- U.S. defense budget growth expands Digital Solutions segment revenue
- Nuclear cleanup backlog anchors Global Engineering multi-year contracts
- Federal contract competition and labor costs pressure operating margins
| Net Income: 148.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.08% < 20% (prev 8.80%; Δ -1.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 465.0m > Net Income 148.0m |
| Net Debt (3.72b) to EBITDA (961.0m): 3.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (245.0m) vs 12m ago 0.82% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 7.91% > 18% (prev 6.81%; Δ 1.10% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 122.6% > 50% (prev 110.7%; Δ 11.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 494.0m / Interest Expense TTM 327.0m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 3.10b - Total Current Liabilities 2.09b) / Total Assets 11.2b |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -363.0m / Total Assets 11.2b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 494.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.6b) |
| D: 0.71 (Book Value of Equity 4.61b / Total Liabilities 6.47b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.52 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 2.50b/2.51b, Revenue 14.2b/13.3b) |
| GMI: 0.86 (GM 6.81% / 7.91%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.71 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 14.2b / 13.3b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 148.0m - CFO 465.0m) / TA 11.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.43 with a total of 1,320,122 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.18%, over one month by -8.88%, over three months by -25.90% and over the past year by -15.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.30 (which is 5.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Amentum Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.44. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AMTM.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 32.3 | 58.2% |
P/E Trailing = 37.0833
P/E Forward = 7.6982
P/S = 0.3828
P/B = 1.1259
Revenue TTM = 14.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 494.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 961.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.89b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 40.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 224.0m
Net Debt = 3.72b USD (calculated: Debt 4.15b - CCE 428.0m)
Enterprise Value = 9.16b USD (5.44b + Debt 4.15b - CCE 428.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.51 (Ebit TTM 494.0m / Interest Expense TTM 327.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.35x (Enterprise Value 9.16b / FCF TTM 450.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.91% (FCF TTM 450.0m / Enterprise Value 9.16b)
FCF Margin = 3.17% (FCF TTM 450.0m / Revenue TTM 14.2b)
Net Margin = 1.04% (Net Income TTM 148.0m / Revenue TTM 14.2b)
Gross Margin = 7.91% ((Revenue TTM 14.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.22% (prev 10.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 9.16b / Total Assets 11.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.88% (Interest Expense 327.0m / Debt 4.15b)
Taxrate = 28.72% (54.0m / 188.0m)
NOPAT = 352.1m (EBIT 494.0m * (1 - 28.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 3.10b / Total Current Liabilities 2.09b)
Debt / Equity = 0.90 (Debt 4.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.87 (Net Debt 3.72b / EBITDA 961.0m)
Debt / FCF = 8.27 (Net Debt 3.72b / FCF TTM 450.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.53b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.28% (Net Income 148.0m / Total Assets 11.2b)
RoE = 3.27% (Net Income TTM 148.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.53b)
RoCE = 5.87% (EBIT 494.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.53b + L.T.Debt 3.89b))
RoIC = 4.05% (NOPAT 352.1m / Invested Capital 8.69b)
WACC = 8.03% (E(5.44b)/V(9.59b) * Re(9.87%) + D(4.15b)/V(9.59b) * Rd(7.88%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.28 | Cagr: 56.06%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈379.5m ; Y1≈435.1m ; Y5≈640.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 24.20 (EV 9.64b - Net Debt 3.72b = Equity 5.91b / Shares 244.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.04 | Revenue CAGR: 35.28% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.61 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+9.2% | GrowthRev=-1.8%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=2.78 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+14.5% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +19% (up=11, down=7)