(ANRO) Alto Neuroscience - Ratings and Ratios
Antidepressant, Cognitive, Schizophrenia, Depression, Clinical
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 94.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 141% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.96% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.41 |
| Alpha | 224.06 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.459 |
| Beta | 1.033 |
| Beta Downside | 1.756 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 91.74% |
| Mean DD | 61.48% |
| Median DD | 72.25% |
Description: ANRO Alto Neuroscience December 22, 2025
Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (NYSE: ANRO) is a clinical-stage biopharma firm founded in 2019 and based in Mountain View, California, focused on small-molecule therapeutics for neuropsychiatric disorders.
The company’s pipeline consists of five candidates: ALTO-100 (Phase 2b for bipolar depression), ALTO-300 (Phase 2b for major depressive disorder), ALTO-101 (Phase 2 proof-of-concept for cognitive impairment in schizophrenia), ALTO-203 (Phase 2 POC for MDD with high anhedonia), and ALTO-202 (Phase 1 for MDD as an oral GluN2B antagonist).
Key sector drivers include a global antidepressant market valued at roughly $30 billion and a growing demand for novel mechanisms of action, while historical Phase 2 success rates in CNS therapeutics hover around 30 %, underscoring the risk-reward profile of Alto’s programs. As of the latest filing, the company reported a cash runway of about $45 million, giving it roughly 12-month liquidity at its current burn rate of $15 million per quarter.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on Alto’s valuation and comparable peers, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-62.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 23.6k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.37 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -11.63pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 33.1k% (prev 45.6k%; Δ -12.5kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.36 (>3.0%) and CFO -53.3m > Net Income -62.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 15.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (27.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -53.55% (prev -31.45%; Δ -22.10pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 0.23% (prev 0.19%; Δ 0.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -26.96 (EBITDA TTM -59.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.23m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.17
| (A) 0.89 = (Total Current Assets 139.4m - Total Current Liabilities 9.04m) / Total Assets 147.0m |
| (B) -1.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -185.5m / Total Assets 147.0m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.26 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.35 = EBIT TTM -60.0m / Avg Total Assets 169.3m |
| (D) -5.23 = Book Value of Equity -185.4m / Total Liabilities 35.4m |
| Total Rating: -6.17 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.20
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -13.34% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.86 |
| 7. RoE -47.39% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 7.19% |
| 9. EPS Trend 68.09% |
What is the price of ANRO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -15.94%, over one month by +8.96%, over three months by +130.58% and over the past year by +247.47%.
Is ANRO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ANRO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 31.1 | 106.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 31.1 | 106.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 18 | 19.4% |
ANRO Fundamental Data Overview January 07, 2026
P/B = 4.62
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 394.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -60.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -59.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 22.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.12m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -110.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 403.2m USD (513.5m + Debt 27.5m - CCE 137.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -26.96 (Ebit TTM -60.0m / Interest Expense TTM 2.23m)
FCF Yield = -13.34% (FCF TTM -53.8m / Enterprise Value 403.2m)
FCF Margin = -13.7k% (FCF TTM -53.8m / Revenue TTM 394.0k)
Net Margin = -15.8k% (Net Income TTM -62.3m / Revenue TTM 394.0k)
Gross Margin = -53.55% ((Revenue TTM 394.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 605.0k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.74 (Enterprise Value 403.2m / Total Assets 147.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.36% (Interest Expense 650.0k / Debt 27.5m)
Taxrate = 100.0% (out of range, set to none) (-61.4m / -61.4m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 15.42 (Total Current Assets 139.4m / Total Current Liabilities 9.04m)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 27.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 111.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.86 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -110.3m / EBITDA -59.4m)
Debt / FCF = 2.05 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -110.3m / FCF TTM -53.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 131.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -42.35% (Net Income -62.3m / Total Assets 147.0m)
RoE = -47.39% (Net Income TTM -62.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 131.4m)
RoCE = -39.03% (EBIT -60.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 131.4m + L.T.Debt 22.4m))
RoIC = -41.4k% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -60.0m / (Assets 147.0m - Curr.Liab 9.04m - Cash 137.8m))
WACC = 9.32% (E(513.5m)/V(541.0m) * Re(9.82%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.41%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -53.8m)
EPS Correlation: 68.09 | EPS CAGR: 1042 % | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 7.19 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.48 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.13 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.4% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
Additional Sources for ANRO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle