(AON) Aon - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Ireland •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: IE00BLP1HW54
Stock: Risk, reinsurance, health, M&A, investment
Total Rating 35
Risk 72
Buy Signal -1.59
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.35% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.97% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 16.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 61.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.57% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.94 |
| Alpha | -26.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.326 |
| Beta Downside | 0.432 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.53% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.02 |
Description: AON Aon January 28, 2026
Aon plc (NYSE:AON) is a Dublin-based professional services firm that delivers risk-management, human-capital, and insurance-linked solutions globally. Its offerings span commercial risk (retail brokerage, specialty lines, captive management), health and talent advisory, reinsurance (treaty and facultative), and investment advisory for defined-benefit, defined-contribution, and other institutional plans.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue $13.6 bn, operating margin 13.2 %, and adjusted earnings per share of $21.15, reflecting a 5 % YoY revenue growth driven by strong demand for cyber-risk and climate-risk consulting. The insurance-brokerage sector is currently expanding at ~4 % CAGR, bolstered by higher corporate spending on ESG-linked coverage and pension-fund de-risking.
Given Aon’s diversified revenue mix and exposure to secular risk-management trends, a deeper quantitative dive could be valuable; ValueRay’s analytical tools may help you model scenario-based valuations and sensitivity to macro-drivers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 3.69b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.58 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.83% < 20% (prev 2.78%; Δ 12.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 3.48b > Net Income 3.69b |
| Net Debt (15.34b) to EBITDA (5.35b): 2.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (216.5m) vs 12m ago -0.82% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.70% > 18% (prev 0.47%; Δ 4723 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.45% > 50% (prev 32.06%; Δ 2.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.38 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.35b / Interest Expense TTM 815.0m) |
Altman Z'' 0.80
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 25.77b - Total Current Liabilities 23.23b) / Total Assets 50.78b |
| B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -245.0m / Total Assets 50.78b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 4.38b / Avg Total Assets 49.87b) |
| D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -4.09b / Total Liabilities 41.24b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.80 = B |
Beneish M -3.53
| DSRI: 0.35 (Receivables 4.21b/11.09b, Revenue 17.18b/15.70b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 47.70% / 47.24%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 17.18b / 15.70b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 3.69b - CFO 3.48b) / TA 50.78b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.53 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of AON shares?
As of February 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 310.34 with a total of 3,885,824 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.23%, over one month by -11.34%, over three months by -9.82% and over the past year by -18.83%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.23%, over one month by -11.34%, over three months by -9.82% and over the past year by -18.83%.
Is AON a buy, sell or hold?
Aon has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.55.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AON.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AON price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 398 | 28.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 398 | 28.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 304.5 | -1.9% |
AON Fundamental Data Overview February 09, 2026
P/E Trailing = 20.0846
P/E Forward = 17.9856
P/S = 4.2789
P/B = 7.8451
P/EG = 1.9252
Revenue TTM = 17.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.66b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 589.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 88.85b USD (73.52b + Debt 16.53b - CCE 1.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.38 (Ebit TTM 4.38b / Interest Expense TTM 815.0m)
EV/FCF = 27.61x (Enterprise Value 88.85b / FCF TTM 3.22b)
FCF Yield = 3.62% (FCF TTM 3.22b / Enterprise Value 88.85b)
FCF Margin = 18.73% (FCF TTM 3.22b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Net Margin = 21.51% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Gross Margin = 47.70% ((Revenue TTM 17.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.77% (prev 43.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.75 (Enterprise Value 88.85b / Total Assets 50.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.16% (Interest Expense 191.0m / Debt 16.53b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (505.0m / 2.21b)
NOPAT = 3.38b (EBIT 4.38b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 25.77b / Total Current Liabilities 23.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.77 (Debt 16.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 15.34b / EBITDA 5.35b)
Debt / FCF = 4.77 (Net Debt 15.34b / FCF TTM 3.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.41% (Net Income 3.69b / Total Assets 50.78b)
RoE = 45.99% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.03b)
RoCE = 19.31% (EBIT 4.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.03b + L.T.Debt 14.66b))
RoIC = 13.61% (NOPAT 3.38b / Invested Capital 24.83b)
WACC = 5.98% (E(73.52b)/V(90.05b) * Re(7.12%) + D(16.53b)/V(90.05b) * Rd(1.16%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.24% ; FCFF base≈3.06b ; Y1≈3.13b ; Y5≈3.46b
Fair Price DCF = 396.2 (EV 100.33b - Net Debt 15.34b = Equity 84.99b / Shares 214.5m; r=5.98% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 4.63 | EPS CAGR: 13.71% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 74.17 | Revenue CAGR: 4.32% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=6.42 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.09 | Chg30d=+0.040 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+11.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.50 | Chg30d=+0.032 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+12.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
P/E Forward = 17.9856
P/S = 4.2789
P/B = 7.8451
P/EG = 1.9252
Revenue TTM = 17.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.66b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 589.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 88.85b USD (73.52b + Debt 16.53b - CCE 1.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.38 (Ebit TTM 4.38b / Interest Expense TTM 815.0m)
EV/FCF = 27.61x (Enterprise Value 88.85b / FCF TTM 3.22b)
FCF Yield = 3.62% (FCF TTM 3.22b / Enterprise Value 88.85b)
FCF Margin = 18.73% (FCF TTM 3.22b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Net Margin = 21.51% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Gross Margin = 47.70% ((Revenue TTM 17.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.77% (prev 43.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.75 (Enterprise Value 88.85b / Total Assets 50.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.16% (Interest Expense 191.0m / Debt 16.53b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (505.0m / 2.21b)
NOPAT = 3.38b (EBIT 4.38b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 25.77b / Total Current Liabilities 23.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.77 (Debt 16.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 15.34b / EBITDA 5.35b)
Debt / FCF = 4.77 (Net Debt 15.34b / FCF TTM 3.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.41% (Net Income 3.69b / Total Assets 50.78b)
RoE = 45.99% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.03b)
RoCE = 19.31% (EBIT 4.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.03b + L.T.Debt 14.66b))
RoIC = 13.61% (NOPAT 3.38b / Invested Capital 24.83b)
WACC = 5.98% (E(73.52b)/V(90.05b) * Re(7.12%) + D(16.53b)/V(90.05b) * Rd(1.16%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.24% ; FCFF base≈3.06b ; Y1≈3.13b ; Y5≈3.46b
Fair Price DCF = 396.2 (EV 100.33b - Net Debt 15.34b = Equity 84.99b / Shares 214.5m; r=5.98% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 4.63 | EPS CAGR: 13.71% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 74.17 | Revenue CAGR: 4.32% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=6.42 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.09 | Chg30d=+0.040 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+11.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.50 | Chg30d=+0.032 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+12.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%