(AOS) Smith AO - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US8318652091
Stock: Water Heaters, Boilers, Heat Pumps, Water Treatment, Filtration
Total Rating 49
Risk 84
Buy Signal -0.75
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.10 |
| Alpha | -17.75 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.751 |
| Beta Downside | 0.681 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.08 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: AOS Smith AO February 25, 2026
A. O. Smith Corp. (NYSE:AOS) designs, manufactures and markets a broad portfolio of residential and commercial water-heating and water-treatment solutions-including gas and electric water heaters, boilers, heat-pump and solar systems, and filtration products-under brands such as A. O. Smith, Lochinvar and Aquasana. Its distribution network spans independent wholesale plumbers, big-box retailers, e-commerce platforms (including Amazon), and direct-to-consumer channels, serving markets in North America, China, Europe and India.
In its most recent fiscal quarter (Q4 FY 2025), AOS reported revenue of $1.52 billion, up 5 % year-over-year, and an adjusted EPS of $2.10, reflecting a 12 % operating margin. The company’s water-treatment segment grew 8 % on strong demand for point-of-use filtration driven by tightening water-quality regulations, while residential water-heater sales benefited from a 4 % rise in U.S. housing-renovation spending. Macro-level, the building-products sector is being buoyed by a 3 % YoY increase in U.S. construction activity and a gradual shift toward energy-efficient heating solutions.
For deeper insights, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst notes on AOS.
Headlines to watch out for
- North American water heater demand remains strong
- Global plumbing product sales boost international revenue
- Raw material costs impact manufacturing margins
- Residential new construction trends influence sales
- Energy efficiency regulations shape product development
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.5
| Net Income: 546.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.20% < 20% (prev 12.98%; Δ -1.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 616.8m > Net Income 546.2m |
| Net Debt (17.6m) to EBITDA (813.7m): 0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (139.9m) vs 12m ago -4.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.83% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 3.85k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 120.0% > 50% (prev 117.8%; Δ 2.17% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 53.97 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 813.7m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m) |
Altman Z'' 9.92
| A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 1.29b - Total Current Liabilities 862.5m) / Total Assets 3.14b |
| B: 1.26 (Retained Earnings 3.95b / Total Assets 3.14b) |
| C: 0.23 (EBIT TTM 728.6m / Avg Total Assets 3.19b) |
| D: 3.23 (Book Value of Equity 4.15b / Total Liabilities 1.28b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 9.92 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.99
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 582.3m/541.4m, Revenue 3.83b/3.82b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 38.83% / 38.10%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 3.83b / 3.82b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 546.2m - CFO 616.8m) / TA 3.14b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of AOS shares?
As of March 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 68.11 with a total of 1,874,783 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.87%, over one month by -16.93%, over three months by -2.40% and over the past year by +4.21%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.87%, over one month by -16.93%, over three months by -2.40% and over the past year by +4.21%.
Is AOS a buy, sell or hold?
Smith AO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AOS.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AOS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 79.9 | 17.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 79.9 | 17.3% |
AOS Fundamental Data Overview March 11, 2026
P/E Trailing = 18.3013
P/E Forward = 17.5439
P/S = 2.544
P/B = 5.2852
P/EG = 1.4611
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 728.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 813.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 112.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 42.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 192.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 17.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.76b USD (9.74b + Debt 192.1m - CCE 174.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 53.97 (Ebit TTM 728.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)
EV/FCF = 17.88x (Enterprise Value 9.76b / FCF TTM 546.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.59% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Enterprise Value 9.76b)
FCF Margin = 14.26% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 14.26% (Net Income TTM 546.2m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 38.83% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.40% (prev 38.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.11 (Enterprise Value 9.76b / Total Assets 3.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 2.40m / Debt 192.1m)
Taxrate = 21.92% (35.2m / 160.6m)
NOPAT = 568.9m (EBIT 728.6m * (1 - 21.92%))
Current Ratio = 1.50 (Total Current Assets 1.29b / Total Current Liabilities 862.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 192.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 17.6m / EBITDA 813.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.03 (Net Debt 17.6m / FCF TTM 546.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.11% (Net Income 546.2m / Total Assets 3.14b)
RoE = 29.51% (Net Income TTM 546.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.85b)
RoCE = 37.11% (EBIT 728.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.85b + L.T.Debt 112.7m))
RoIC = 27.36% (NOPAT 568.9m / Invested Capital 2.08b)
WACC = 8.53% (E(9.74b)/V(9.94b) * Re(8.68%) + D(192.1m)/V(9.94b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.33% ; FCFF base≈517.1m ; Y1≈558.5m ; Y5≈689.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 96.13 (EV 10.82b - Net Debt 17.6m = Equity 10.81b / Shares 112.4m; r=8.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 9.05% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 50.87 | EPS CAGR: 4.25% | SUE: 1.71 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 0.86 | Revenue CAGR: -1.82% | SUE: -0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.09 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.01 | Chg7d=-0.008 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+4.2% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.34 | Chg7d=-0.010 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+8.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.2% (Discount Rate 8.7% - Earnings Yield 5.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -0.9% (Analyst 2.3% - Implied 3.2%)
P/E Forward = 17.5439
P/S = 2.544
P/B = 5.2852
P/EG = 1.4611
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 728.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 813.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 112.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 42.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 192.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 17.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.76b USD (9.74b + Debt 192.1m - CCE 174.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 53.97 (Ebit TTM 728.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)
EV/FCF = 17.88x (Enterprise Value 9.76b / FCF TTM 546.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.59% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Enterprise Value 9.76b)
FCF Margin = 14.26% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 14.26% (Net Income TTM 546.2m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 38.83% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.40% (prev 38.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.11 (Enterprise Value 9.76b / Total Assets 3.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 2.40m / Debt 192.1m)
Taxrate = 21.92% (35.2m / 160.6m)
NOPAT = 568.9m (EBIT 728.6m * (1 - 21.92%))
Current Ratio = 1.50 (Total Current Assets 1.29b / Total Current Liabilities 862.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 192.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 17.6m / EBITDA 813.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.03 (Net Debt 17.6m / FCF TTM 546.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.11% (Net Income 546.2m / Total Assets 3.14b)
RoE = 29.51% (Net Income TTM 546.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.85b)
RoCE = 37.11% (EBIT 728.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.85b + L.T.Debt 112.7m))
RoIC = 27.36% (NOPAT 568.9m / Invested Capital 2.08b)
WACC = 8.53% (E(9.74b)/V(9.94b) * Re(8.68%) + D(192.1m)/V(9.94b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.33% ; FCFF base≈517.1m ; Y1≈558.5m ; Y5≈689.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 96.13 (EV 10.82b - Net Debt 17.6m = Equity 10.81b / Shares 112.4m; r=8.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 9.05% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 50.87 | EPS CAGR: 4.25% | SUE: 1.71 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 0.86 | Revenue CAGR: -1.82% | SUE: -0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.09 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.01 | Chg7d=-0.008 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+4.2% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.34 | Chg7d=-0.010 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+8.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.2% (Discount Rate 8.7% - Earnings Yield 5.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -0.9% (Analyst 2.3% - Implied 3.2%)