Overview Dividends

(AOS) Smith AO - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8318652091

Water Heaters,Boilers,Water Treatment,Heat Pumps,Tanks

AOS EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of AOS over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 0.66, "2020-12": 0.74, "2021-03": 0.6, "2021-06": 0.73, "2021-09": 0.82, "2021-12": 0.87, "2022-03": 0.77, "2022-06": 0.82, "2022-09": 0.69, "2022-12": 0.86, "2023-03": 0.94, "2023-06": 1.01, "2023-09": 0.9, "2023-12": 0.97, "2024-03": 1, "2024-06": 1.06, "2024-09": 0.82, "2024-12": 0.85, "2025-03": 0.95, "2025-06": 1.07, "2025-09": 0.94,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 3.29%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 14.6%

AOS Revenue

Revenue of AOS over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 760, 2020-12: 834.5, 2021-03: 769, 2021-06: 859.8, 2021-09: 914.6, 2021-12: 995.5, 2022-03: 977.7, 2022-06: 965.9, 2022-09: 874.2, 2022-12: 936.1, 2023-03: 966.4, 2023-06: 960.8, 2023-09: 937.5, 2023-12: 988.1, 2024-03: 978.8, 2024-06: 1024.3, 2024-09: 902.6, 2024-12: 912.4, 2025-03: 963.9, 2025-06: 1011.3, 2025-09: 942.5,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 0.25%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 4.8%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 23.5%
Value at Risk 5%th 37.5%
Reward
Sharpe Ratio -0.48
Alpha Jensen -28.99
Character
Hurst Exponent 0.321
Beta 1.336
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 34.30%
Mean DD 11.65%

Description: AOS Smith AO October 31, 2025

A. O. Smith (NYSE:AOS) designs, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of residential and commercial water-heating and water-treatment solutions-including gas/electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, solar heaters, and filtration systems-across North America, China, Europe, and India.

In fiscal 2023 the company generated roughly $4.5 billion in revenue and posted an adjusted EPS of about $5.00, with an operating margin near 14 %, reflecting strong pricing power in a market driven by tightening building-code efficiency standards and rising demand for low-carbon heating solutions.

Key growth catalysts include: (1) the U.S. residential construction rebound, which fuels water-heater replacements; (2) global ESG and water-conservation regulations that boost sales of high-efficiency heat-pump water heaters and point-of-entry filtration products; and (3) expanding e-commerce sales of the Aquasana brand, which now accounts for roughly 5 % of total net sales.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore AOS’s metrics on ValueRay, which aggregates peer-adjusted valuation and cash-flow data to help assess the company’s relative attractiveness.

AOS Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 9,226m
Sub-Industry Building Products
IPO / Inception 1984-09-07
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -20.1%
Analyst Rating 3.53 of 5

AOS Dividends

Dividend Yield 2.08%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.69%
Yield CAGR 5y 7.32%
Payout Consistency 95.2%
Payout Ratio 36.2%

AOS Growth Ratios

CAGR 5.64%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.16
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 0.48
Current Volume 824.8k
Average Volume 1172.8k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5

Net Income (530.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 229.8m TTM)
FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.69pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 12.10% (prev 14.59%; Δ -2.49pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.21 (>3.0%) and CFO 655.6m > Net Income 530.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (68.7m) to EBITDA (786.1m) ratio: 0.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (140.4m) change vs 12m ago -4.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 38.51% (prev 38.17%; Δ 0.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 121.1% (prev 123.4%; Δ -2.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 52.15 (EBITDA TTM 786.1m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 9.66

(A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 1.32b - Total Current Liabilities 852.5m) / Total Assets 3.17b
(B) 1.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.88b / Total Assets 3.17b
warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.22 — check mapping/units
(C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 704.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.16b
(D) 3.07 = Book Value of Equity 4.07b / Total Liabilities 1.33b
Total Rating: 9.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.27

1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50
2. FCF Yield 6.17% = 3.08
3. FCF Margin 14.93% = 3.73
4. Debt/Equity 0.12 = 2.49
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.09 = 2.49
6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.84)% = 12.50
7. RoE 28.56% = 2.38
8. Rev. Trend 4.76% = 0.36
9. EPS Trend 14.58% = 0.73

What is the price of AOS shares?

As of November 13, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 66.37 with a total of 824,754 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.51%, over one month by -1.40%, over three months by -6.45% and over the past year by -7.39%.

Is Smith AO a good stock to buy?

Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Smith AO (NYSE:AOS) is currently (November 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 81.27 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AOS is around 57.86 USD . This means that AOS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.82%.

Is AOS a buy, sell or hold?

Smith AO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53. Therefor, it is recommend to hold AOS.
  • Strong Buy: 4
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AOS price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 78.2 17.8%
Analysts Target Price 78.2 17.8%
ValueRay Target Price 65.8 -0.9%

AOS Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 9.23b (9.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.8598
P/E Forward = 17.3913
P/S = 2.4088
P/B = 5.5827
P/EG = 1.7907
Beta = 1.336
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 704.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 786.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 183.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 19.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 221.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 68.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.27b USD (9.23b + Debt 221.4m - CCE 172.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 52.15 (Ebit TTM 704.0m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.17% (FCF TTM 571.8m / Enterprise Value 9.27b)
FCF Margin = 14.93% (FCF TTM 571.8m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 13.85% (Net Income TTM 530.5m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 38.51% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.67% (prev 39.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.93 (Enterprise Value 9.27b / Total Assets 3.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 3.60m / Debt 221.4m)
Taxrate = 23.17% (39.8m / 171.8m)
NOPAT = 540.9m (EBIT 704.0m * (1 - 23.17%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 1.32b / Total Current Liabilities 852.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 221.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.09 (Net Debt 68.7m / EBITDA 786.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (Net Debt 68.7m / FCF TTM 571.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.73% (Net Income 530.5m / Total Assets 3.17b)
RoE = 28.56% (Net Income TTM 530.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.86b)
RoCE = 34.50% (EBIT 704.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.86b + L.T.Debt 183.2m))
RoIC = 25.55% (NOPAT 540.9m / Invested Capital 2.12b)
WACC = 10.71% (E(9.23b)/V(9.45b) * Re(10.94%) + D(221.4m)/V(9.45b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.94% ; FCFE base≈536.6m ; Y1≈523.5m ; Y5≈528.6m
Fair Price DCF = 52.98 (DCF Value 6.01b / Shares Outstanding 113.4m; 5y FCF grow -3.50% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 14.58 | EPS CAGR: 3.29% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 4.76 | Revenue CAGR: 0.25% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for AOS Stock

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