(AOS) Smith AO - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US8318652091
Water Heaters,Boilers,Water Treatment,Heat Pumps,Tanks
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.74% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.32% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 37.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.77% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.29 |
| Alpha | -16.52 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.477 |
| Beta | 0.571 |
| Beta Downside | 0.354 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.30% |
| Mean DD | 12.09% |
| Median DD | 8.37% |
Description: AOS Smith AO October 31, 2025
A. O. Smith (NYSE:AOS) designs, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of residential and commercial water-heating and water-treatment solutions-including gas/electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, solar heaters, and filtration systems-across North America, China, Europe, and India.
In fiscal 2023 the company generated roughly $4.5 billion in revenue and posted an adjusted EPS of about $5.00, with an operating margin near 14 %, reflecting strong pricing power in a market driven by tightening building-code efficiency standards and rising demand for low-carbon heating solutions.
Key growth catalysts include: (1) the U.S. residential construction rebound, which fuels water-heater replacements; (2) global ESG and water-conservation regulations that boost sales of high-efficiency heat-pump water heaters and point-of-entry filtration products; and (3) expanding e-commerce sales of the Aquasana brand, which now accounts for roughly 5 % of total net sales.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore AOS’s metrics on ValueRay, which aggregates peer-adjusted valuation and cash-flow data to help assess the company’s relative attractiveness.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (530.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 229.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.69pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.10% (prev 14.59%; Δ -2.49pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 (>3.0%) and CFO 655.6m > Net Income 530.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (68.7m) to EBITDA (786.1m) ratio: 0.09 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (140.4m) change vs 12m ago -4.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.51% (prev 38.17%; Δ 0.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 121.1% (prev 123.4%; Δ -2.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 52.15 (EBITDA TTM 786.1m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 9.66
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 1.32b - Total Current Liabilities 852.5m) / Total Assets 3.17b |
| (B) 1.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.88b / Total Assets 3.17b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.22 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 704.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.16b |
| (D) 3.07 = Book Value of Equity 4.07b / Total Liabilities 1.33b |
| Total Rating: 9.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.99
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.93% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.09 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 17.85)% |
| 7. RoE 28.56% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 2.07% |
| 9. EPS Trend 54.44% |
What is the price of AOS shares?
As of December 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 68.03 with a total of 1,619,122 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.11%, over one month by +3.03%, over three months by -7.17% and over the past year by -4.00%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.11%, over one month by +3.03%, over three months by -7.17% and over the past year by -4.00%.
Is AOS a buy, sell or hold?
Smith AO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.53.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AOS.
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AOS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 78.5 | 15.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 78.5 | 15.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 67.7 | -0.5% |
AOS Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
Market Cap USD = 9.43b (9.43b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.8095
P/E Forward = 15.8228
P/S = 2.463
P/B = 4.9837
P/EG = 1.5813
Beta = 1.336
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 704.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 786.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 166.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 221.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 68.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.48b USD (9.43b + Debt 221.4m - CCE 172.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 52.15 (Ebit TTM 704.0m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.03% (FCF TTM 571.8m / Enterprise Value 9.48b)
FCF Margin = 14.93% (FCF TTM 571.8m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 13.85% (Net Income TTM 530.5m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 38.51% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.67% (prev 39.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.99 (Enterprise Value 9.48b / Total Assets 3.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 3.60m / Debt 221.4m)
Taxrate = 23.17% (39.8m / 171.8m)
NOPAT = 540.9m (EBIT 704.0m * (1 - 23.17%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 1.32b / Total Current Liabilities 852.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 221.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.09 (Net Debt 68.7m / EBITDA 786.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (Net Debt 68.7m / FCF TTM 571.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.73% (Net Income 530.5m / Total Assets 3.17b)
RoE = 28.56% (Net Income TTM 530.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.86b)
RoCE = 34.78% (EBIT 704.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.86b + L.T.Debt 166.8m))
RoIC = 25.82% (NOPAT 540.9m / Invested Capital 2.10b)
WACC = 7.96% (E(9.43b)/V(9.65b) * Re(8.12%) + D(221.4m)/V(9.65b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.66% ; FCFE base≈536.6m ; Y1≈523.5m ; Y5≈528.6m
Fair Price DCF = 81.75 (DCF Value 9.27b / Shares Outstanding 113.4m; 5y FCF grow -3.50% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 54.44 | EPS CAGR: 2.09% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 2.07 | Revenue CAGR: -1.45% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=-0.022 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.12 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+8.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.4%
P/E Trailing = 17.8095
P/E Forward = 15.8228
P/S = 2.463
P/B = 4.9837
P/EG = 1.5813
Beta = 1.336
Revenue TTM = 3.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 704.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 786.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 166.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 221.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 68.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.48b USD (9.43b + Debt 221.4m - CCE 172.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 52.15 (Ebit TTM 704.0m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.03% (FCF TTM 571.8m / Enterprise Value 9.48b)
FCF Margin = 14.93% (FCF TTM 571.8m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Net Margin = 13.85% (Net Income TTM 530.5m / Revenue TTM 3.83b)
Gross Margin = 38.51% ((Revenue TTM 3.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.67% (prev 39.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.99 (Enterprise Value 9.48b / Total Assets 3.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 3.60m / Debt 221.4m)
Taxrate = 23.17% (39.8m / 171.8m)
NOPAT = 540.9m (EBIT 704.0m * (1 - 23.17%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 1.32b / Total Current Liabilities 852.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 221.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.09 (Net Debt 68.7m / EBITDA 786.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (Net Debt 68.7m / FCF TTM 571.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.73% (Net Income 530.5m / Total Assets 3.17b)
RoE = 28.56% (Net Income TTM 530.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.86b)
RoCE = 34.78% (EBIT 704.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.86b + L.T.Debt 166.8m))
RoIC = 25.82% (NOPAT 540.9m / Invested Capital 2.10b)
WACC = 7.96% (E(9.43b)/V(9.65b) * Re(8.12%) + D(221.4m)/V(9.65b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.66% ; FCFE base≈536.6m ; Y1≈523.5m ; Y5≈528.6m
Fair Price DCF = 81.75 (DCF Value 9.27b / Shares Outstanding 113.4m; 5y FCF grow -3.50% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 54.44 | EPS CAGR: 2.09% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 2.07 | Revenue CAGR: -1.45% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=-0.022 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.12 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+8.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.4%
Additional Sources for AOS Stock
News:
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Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle