(APD) Air Products Chemicals - Ratings and Ratios
Atmospheric Gases, Process Gases, Specialty Gases, Equipment, Services
APD EPS (Earnings per Share)
APD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.6% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.65 |
| Alpha Jensen | -28.46 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.391 |
| Beta | 0.871 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.77% |
| Mean DD | 12.79% |
Description: APD Air Products Chemicals September 26, 2025
Air Products and Chemicals Inc. (NYSE: APD) is a global industrial-gases company that manufactures and sells atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon), process gases (hydrogen, helium, CO₂, CO, syngas) and specialty gases to a broad customer base spanning refining, chemicals, electronics, energy, medical, food and metals. In addition to gases, the firm designs and builds equipment for air-separation units, hydrocarbon recovery, natural-gas liquefaction, and the transport/storage of liquid helium and hydrogen. Founded in 1940, the company is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania, and operates across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, India and Asia.
Key recent metrics: APD reported FY 2024 revenue of $15.2 billion, up ~4 % YoY, driven largely by a 9 % increase in hydrogen sales as demand from ammonia-based fertilizer and clean-energy projects accelerates. Free cash flow remained robust at $2.1 billion, supporting a 60 % payout ratio and a 5-year dividend growth track record. A material sector driver is the global push toward net-zero, which is expanding the market for low-carbon hydrogen and liquid-hydrogen logistics-areas where Air Products holds a leading technology position.
For a deeper, data-focused evaluation of APD’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analytical tools available on ValueRay.
APD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 57,806m |
| Sub-Industry | Industrial Gases |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-01-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -25.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
APD Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.73% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.03% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -0.23% |
| Payout Consistency | 29.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 59.4% |
APD Growth Ratios
| CAGR | -1.52% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.05 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.12 |
| Current Volume | 983.2k |
| Average Volume | 1143k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-394.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 722.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.97pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.35% (prev 18.04%; Δ -4.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.95b > Net Income -394.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (16.46b) to EBITDA (1.34b) ratio: 12.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (222.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.04% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.41% (prev 32.50%; Δ -1.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 29.86% (prev 30.58%; Δ -0.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.06 (EBITDA TTM 1.34b / Interest Expense TTM 214.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.31
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 5.83b - Total Current Liabilities 4.22b) / Total Assets 41.06b |
| (B) 0.44 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 17.95b / Total Assets 41.06b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -226.7m / Avg Total Assets 40.32b |
| (D) 0.63 = Book Value of Equity 15.02b / Total Liabilities 23.71b |
| Total Rating: 2.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.83
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -6.23% = -3.12 |
| 3. FCF Margin -38.44% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.22 = 1.80 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 12.31 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.07)% = -8.84 |
| 7. RoE -2.55% = -0.42 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -35.14% = -2.64 |
| 9. EPS Trend 50.74% = 2.54 |
What is the price of APD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.10%, over one month by +0.26%, over three months by -8.99% and over the past year by -13.79%.
Is Air Products Chemicals a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of APD is around 223.79 USD . This means that APD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -14.44%.
Is APD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the APD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 312.7 | 19.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 312.7 | 19.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 246.2 | -5.9% |
APD Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 20.7469
P/S = 4.8022
P/B = 3.876
P/EG = 6.6869
Beta = 0.871
Revenue TTM = 12.04b USD
EBIT TTM = -226.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.46b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 751.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.31b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.46b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 74.26b USD (57.81b + Debt 18.31b - CCE 1.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.06 (Ebit TTM -226.7m / Interest Expense TTM 214.0m)
FCF Yield = -6.23% (FCF TTM -4.63b / Enterprise Value 74.26b)
FCF Margin = -38.44% (FCF TTM -4.63b / Revenue TTM 12.04b)
Net Margin = -3.28% (Net Income TTM -394.5m / Revenue TTM 12.04b)
Gross Margin = 31.41% ((Revenue TTM 12.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.25% (prev 32.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 74.26b / Total Assets 41.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.37% (Interest Expense 67.8m / Debt 18.31b)
Taxrate = 91.67% (111.2m / 121.3m)
NOPAT = -18.9m (EBIT -226.7m * (1 - 91.67%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 5.83b / Total Current Liabilities 4.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 18.31b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.31 (Net Debt 16.46b / EBITDA 1.34b)
Debt / FCF = -3.56 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 16.46b / FCF TTM -4.63b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.96% (Net Income -394.5m / Total Assets 41.06b)
RoE = -2.55% (Net Income TTM -394.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 15.49b)
RoCE = -0.71% (EBIT -226.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 15.49b + L.T.Debt 16.46b))
RoIC = -0.06% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -18.9m / Invested Capital 31.65b)
WACC = 7.01% (E(57.81b)/V(76.12b) * Re(9.22%) + D(18.31b)/V(76.12b) * Rd(0.37%) * (1-Tc(0.92)))
Discount Rate = 9.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.02%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -4.63b)
EPS Correlation: 50.74 | EPS CAGR: 9.52% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -35.14 | Revenue CAGR: -0.09% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for APD Stock
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