APG Stock Analysis: Api | NYSE
Engineering & Construction | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 17.380m USD | 12M Return: 15.8% | US00187Y1001 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 136M
EPS Trend: 91.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 94.8%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 9.1 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
APi Group Corporation (NYSE: APG) is a large-cap industrial company classified within the Construction & Engineering sub-industry, headquartered in New Brighton, Minnesota. Founded in 1926 and originally known as J2 Acquisition Limited before rebranding in October 2019, the company went public on April 29, 2020.
The company operates through two reporting segments, Safety Services and Specialty Services, providing fire protection solutions, electronic security systems, and elevator and escalator services. These offerings span the design, installation, inspection, service, and monitoring of life safety systems for high tech services, advanced manufacturing, healthcare, fulfillment and distribution centers, and critical infrastructure end markets.
In addition to its core safety offerings, APi Group provides specialty contracting, fabrication and distribution, and infrastructure and utility services. Operations extend globally, with the companys recurring service and inspection work supported by regulatory and compliance requirements typical of life safety and infrastructure sectors.
- Safety Services segment revenue accelerates on fire protection demand
- Acquisitions drive specialty services margin expansion
- Commercial construction backlog growth lifts elevator and escalator installs
| Net Income: 367.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.94% < 20% (prev 12.74%; Δ -6.80% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 775.0m > Net Income 367.0m |
| Net Debt (3.84b) to EBITDA (971.0m): 3.95 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.18 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (432.0m) vs 12m ago 0.59% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.73% > 18% (prev 29.61%; Δ 0.11% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 93.75% > 50% (prev 87.78%; Δ 5.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 609.0m / Interest Expense TTM 114.0m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 3.40b - Total Current Liabilities 2.87b) / Total Assets 10.3b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 787.0m / Total Assets 10.3b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 609.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.50b) |
| D: 0.51 (Book Value of Equity 3.49b / Total Liabilities 6.79b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.56 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.77 (Receivables 1.91b/2.14b, Revenue 8.91b/7.66b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 29.61% / 29.73%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.60 / AQ_t-1 0.58) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 8.91b / 7.66b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 367.0m - CFO 775.0m) / TA 10.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.47 with a total of 1,546,242 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.36%, over one month by +7.02%, over three months by -0.02% and over the past year by +15.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 41.40 (which is 4.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Api has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.73. Therefore, it is recommended to buy APG.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 55.2 | 26.9% |
P/E Forward = 19.7628
P/S = 1.9513
P/B = 4.9829
Revenue TTM = 8.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 609.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 971.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 462.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 319.0m
Net Debt = 3.84b USD (calculated: Debt 4.21b - CCE 373.0m)
Enterprise Value = 21.2b USD (17.4b + Debt 4.21b - CCE 373.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.34 (Ebit TTM 609.0m / Interest Expense TTM 114.0m)
EV/FCF = 31.53x (Enterprise Value 21.2b / FCF TTM 673.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.17% (FCF TTM 673.0m / Enterprise Value 21.2b)
FCF Margin = 7.56% (FCF TTM 673.0m / Revenue TTM 8.91b)
Net Margin = 4.12% (Net Income TTM 367.0m / Revenue TTM 8.91b)
Gross Margin = 29.73% ((Revenue TTM 8.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.15% (prev 31.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.06 (Enterprise Value 21.2b / Total Assets 10.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.71% (Interest Expense 114.0m / Debt 4.21b)
Taxrate = 25.56% (126.0m / 493.0m)
NOPAT = 453.4m (EBIT 609.0m * (1 - 25.56%))
Current Ratio = 1.18 (Total Current Assets 3.40b / Total Current Liabilities 2.87b)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 4.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.95 (Net Debt 3.84b / EBITDA 971.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.70 (Net Debt 3.84b / FCF TTM 673.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.86% (Net Income 367.0m / Total Assets 10.3b)
RoE = 10.56% (Net Income TTM 367.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.47b)
RoCE = 9.11% (EBIT 609.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.47b + L.T.Debt 3.21b))
RoIC = 6.05% (NOPAT 453.4m / Invested Capital 7.50b)
WACC = 7.75% (E(17.4b)/V(21.6b) * Re(9.14%) + D(4.21b)/V(21.6b) * Rd(2.71%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 43.42 | Cagr: 1.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈632.6m ; Y1≈725.2m ; Y5≈1.07b
[DCF] Fair Price = 28.74 (EV 16.1b - Net Debt 3.84b = Equity 12.2b / Shares 425.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.55 | EPS CAGR: 14.98% | SUE: 2.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.81 | Revenue CAGR: 9.88% | SUE: 3.47 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.37 | Chg30d=+1.73% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=+11.15% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+256.2% | GrowthRev=+16.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=+3.02% | Revisions=+64% | GrowthEPS=+16.0% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +35% (up=12, down=5)