(APG) Api - Ratings and Ratios
Fire Protection, HVAC Systems, Elevator Services, Utility Maintenance, Industrial Infrastructure
APG EPS (Earnings per Share)
APG Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.9% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.40 |
| Alpha Jensen | 29.76 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.264 |
| Beta | 1.620 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.23% |
| Mean DD | 5.55% |
Description: APG Api October 30, 2025
APi Group Corp. (NYSE:APG) delivers integrated safety-and-specialty services across a broad range of built-environment markets. Its portfolio includes fire-protection systems, HVAC, and vertical-transport solutions (elevators/escalators), as well as infrastructure work such as underground utility maintenance, pipeline construction, and integrity management for public- and private-sector clients.
As of FY 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly $2.5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, reflecting the high-mix, labor-intensive nature of its contracts. Growth is closely tied to macro-drivers such as U.S. federal and state infrastructure spending (the bipartisan infrastructure law is projected to add $1.2 trillion in projects through 2027) and the ongoing need for compliance-driven fire-safety upgrades in commercial real estate. A recent back-log increase of about 8 % YoY suggests continued demand, but the business remains sensitive to construction-sector cyclicality and labor-cost inflation.
For a deeper, data-rich view of APG’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay, which aggregates sector-level benchmarks and forward-looking cash-flow models.
APG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 15,314m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction & Engineering |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-04-29 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 32.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.50 of 5 |
APG Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAPG Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 44.34% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 2.09 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 7.99 |
| Current Volume | 3052k |
| Average Volume | 2256.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (263.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 459.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.74% (prev 13.16%; Δ -0.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 660.0m > Net Income 263.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-550.0m) to EBITDA (830.0m) ratio: -0.66 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.48 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (429.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.65% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.14% (prev 30.52%; Δ 0.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.24% (prev 83.88%; Δ 6.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.50 (EBITDA TTM 830.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.29
| (A) 0.11 = (Total Current Assets 3.01b - Total Current Liabilities 2.03b) / Total Assets 8.72b |
| (B) 0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 420.0m / Total Assets 8.72b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 507.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.48b |
| (D) -0.00 = Book Value of Equity -8.00m / Total Liabilities 5.45b |
| Total Rating: 1.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.95
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.87% = 1.94 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.47% = 1.87 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.66 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.71)% = -7.14 |
| 7. RoE 8.50% = 0.71 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 70.55% = 5.29 |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.71% = 1.79 |
What is the price of APG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.93%, over one month by +8.59%, over three months by +7.35% and over the past year by +52.69%.
Is Api a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of APG is around 45.29 USD . This means that APG is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +20.68% (Margin of Safety).
Is APG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the APG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 41.5 | 10.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 41.5 | 10.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 52.1 | 38.8% |
APG Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 102.2778
P/E Forward = 21.4133
P/S = 2.0005
P/B = 4.5169
Beta = 1.62
Revenue TTM = 7.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 507.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 830.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -550.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.76b USD (15.31b + Debt 5.00m - CCE 555.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.50 (Ebit TTM 507.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.87% (FCF TTM 572.0m / Enterprise Value 14.76b)
FCF Margin = 7.47% (FCF TTM 572.0m / Revenue TTM 7.66b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 263.0m / Revenue TTM 7.66b)
Gross Margin = 31.14% ((Revenue TTM 7.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.27% (prev 30.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.69 (Enterprise Value 14.76b / Total Assets 8.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 680.0% (Interest Expense 34.0m / Debt 5.00m)
Taxrate = 28.46% (37.0m / 130.0m)
NOPAT = 362.7m (EBIT 507.0m * (1 - 28.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 3.01b / Total Current Liabilities 2.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 5.00m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.66 (Net Debt -550.0m / EBITDA 830.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.96 (Net Debt -550.0m / FCF TTM 572.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 263.0m / Total Assets 8.72b)
RoE = 8.50% (Net Income TTM 263.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.10b)
RoCE = 8.67% (EBIT 507.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.10b + L.T.Debt 2.75b))
RoIC = 6.26% (NOPAT 362.7m / Invested Capital 5.79b)
WACC = 11.98% (E(15.31b)/V(15.32b) * Re(11.98%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.71% ; FCFE base≈561.6m ; Y1≈692.8m ; Y5≈1.18b
Fair Price DCF = 26.56 (DCF Value 11.05b / Shares Outstanding 415.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.71 | EPS CAGR: 4.84% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 70.55 | Revenue CAGR: 7.64% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for APG Stock
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