(APG) Api - Ratings and Ratios
Fire Protection, HVAC, Elevators, Infrastructure, Industrial Services
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.89% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.36 |
| Alpha | 36.82 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.581 |
| Beta | 1.045 |
| Beta Downside | 1.054 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.23% |
| Mean DD | 5.50% |
| Median DD | 4.38% |
Description: APG Api October 30, 2025
APi Group Corp. (NYSE:APG) delivers integrated safety-and-specialty services across a broad range of built-environment markets. Its portfolio includes fire-protection systems, HVAC, and vertical-transport solutions (elevators/escalators), as well as infrastructure work such as underground utility maintenance, pipeline construction, and integrity management for public- and private-sector clients.
As of FY 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly $2.5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, reflecting the high-mix, labor-intensive nature of its contracts. Growth is closely tied to macro-drivers such as U.S. federal and state infrastructure spending (the bipartisan infrastructure law is projected to add $1.2 trillion in projects through 2027) and the ongoing need for compliance-driven fire-safety upgrades in commercial real estate. A recent back-log increase of about 8 % YoY suggests continued demand, but the business remains sensitive to construction-sector cyclicality and labor-cost inflation.
For a deeper, data-rich view of APG’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay, which aggregates sector-level benchmarks and forward-looking cash-flow models.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (263.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 459.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.74% (prev 13.16%; Δ -0.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 660.0m > Net Income 263.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.50b) to EBITDA (816.0m) ratio: 3.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.48 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (429.0m) change vs 12m ago 3.65% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.14% (prev 30.52%; Δ 0.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.24% (prev 83.88%; Δ 6.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.40 (EBITDA TTM 816.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.28
| (A) 0.11 = (Total Current Assets 3.01b - Total Current Liabilities 2.03b) / Total Assets 8.72b |
| (B) 0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 420.0m / Total Assets 8.72b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 493.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.48b |
| (D) -0.00 = Book Value of Equity -7.96m / Total Liabilities 5.45b |
| Total Rating: 1.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.88
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.06% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.47% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.40)% |
| 7. RoE 8.50% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 74.33% |
| 9. EPS Trend 59.34% |
What is the price of APG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.54%, over one month by +3.39%, over three months by +13.70% and over the past year by +55.73%.
Is APG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the APG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 42.5 | 7.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 42.5 | 7.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 56.5 | 42.4% |
APG Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 108.0556
P/E Forward = 21.4133
P/S = 2.1135
P/B = 4.9589
Beta = 1.722
Revenue TTM = 7.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 493.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 816.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.68b USD (16.18b + Debt 3.05b - CCE 555.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.40 (Ebit TTM 493.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.06% (FCF TTM 572.0m / Enterprise Value 18.68b)
FCF Margin = 7.47% (FCF TTM 572.0m / Revenue TTM 7.66b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 263.0m / Revenue TTM 7.66b)
Gross Margin = 31.14% ((Revenue TTM 7.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.27% (prev 30.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.14 (Enterprise Value 18.68b / Total Assets 8.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 34.0m / Debt 3.05b)
Taxrate = 28.46% (37.0m / 130.0m)
NOPAT = 352.7m (EBIT 493.0m * (1 - 28.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 3.01b / Total Current Liabilities 2.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 3.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.06 (Net Debt 2.50b / EBITDA 816.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.37 (Net Debt 2.50b / FCF TTM 572.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.02% (Net Income 263.0m / Total Assets 8.72b)
RoE = 8.50% (Net Income TTM 263.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.10b)
RoCE = 8.43% (EBIT 493.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.10b + L.T.Debt 2.75b))
RoIC = 6.03% (NOPAT 352.7m / Invested Capital 5.85b)
WACC = 8.43% (E(16.18b)/V(19.23b) * Re(9.87%) + D(3.05b)/V(19.23b) * Rd(1.11%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 10.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.74% ; FCFE base≈561.6m ; Y1≈692.8m ; Y5≈1.18b
Fair Price DCF = 35.14 (DCF Value 14.62b / Shares Outstanding 415.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 59.34 | EPS CAGR: 9.67% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.33 | Revenue CAGR: 18.25% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=+0.028 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+43.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%
Additional Sources for APG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle