APO Stock Analysis: Apollo Global Management | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 67.334m USD | 12M Return: -1.5% | US03769M1062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 364M
EPS Trend: 97.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 19.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Apollo Global Management is a large-cap alternative asset manager that invests across credit, private equity, infrastructure, secondaries, and real estate strategies for institutional and individual clients. Its private equity activity spans traditional buyouts, distressed buyouts, recapitalizations, growth, venture capital, and special situation transactions, while its credit platform focuses on direct lending, multi-sector credit, structured credit, and private credit. The firm invests globally across a wide range of industries, including energy, financial services, healthcare, technology, and industrials, with an expanding emphasis on energy transition and climate-related themes. As an alternative asset manager in the financials sector, Apollo typically generates revenue through management fees on assets under management plus performance-based incentive fees, and it serves clients such as sovereign wealth funds, endowments, and other institutions through pooled funds, hedge funds, and separately managed portfolios.
- Private credit origination expands as Athene insurance assets scale
- Share buyback program accelerates capital return to shareholders
- Rising competition in direct lending pressures spreads and origination volumes
| Net Income: 1.88b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -864.5% < 20% (prev -240.4%; Δ -624.0% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 7.99b > Net Income 1.88b |
| Net Debt (-12.4b) to EBITDA (9.45b): -1.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (610.0m) vs 12m ago 3.39% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 84.45% > 18% (prev 95.14%; Δ -10.69% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 7.87% > 50% (prev 6.06%; Δ 1.81% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.13 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.85b / Interest Expense TTM 433.0m) |
| A: -0.63 (Total Current Assets 29.4b - Total Current Liabilities 340b) / Total Assets 494b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 6.15b / Total Assets 494b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 7.85b / Avg Total Assets 457b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 21.0b / Total Liabilities 453b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -3.92 = D |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 118.65 with a total of 3,492,797 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.06%, over one month by -8.01%, over three months by +0.27% and over the past year by -1.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 110.80 (which is 6.6% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Apollo Global Management has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy APO.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 151.9 | 28% |
P/E Trailing = 40.7214
P/E Forward = 11.6959
P/S = 1.8915
P/B = 3.7454
P/EG = 0.4661
Revenue TTM = 36.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.85b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.45b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.7b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 14.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 701.2m
Net Debt = -12.4b USD (calculated: Debt 14.4b - CCE 26.8b)
Enterprise Value = 54.9b USD (67.3b + Debt 14.4b - CCE 26.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.13 (Ebit TTM 7.85b / Interest Expense TTM 433.0m)
EV/FCF = 6.88x (Enterprise Value 54.9b / FCF TTM 7.99b)
FCF Yield = 14.54% (FCF TTM 7.99b / Enterprise Value 54.9b)
FCF Margin = 22.22% (FCF TTM 7.99b / Revenue TTM 36.0b)
Net Margin = 5.22% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Revenue TTM 36.0b)
Gross Margin = 84.45% ((Revenue TTM 36.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.84% (prev 91.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.11 (Enterprise Value 54.9b / Total Assets 494b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.00% (Interest Expense 433.0m / Debt 14.4b)
Taxrate = 42.05% (3.12b / 7.42b)
NOPAT = 4.55b (EBIT 7.85b * (1 - 42.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.09 (Total Current Assets 29.4b / Total Current Liabilities 340b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 14.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.31 (Net Debt -12.4b / EBITDA 9.45b)
Debt / FCF = -1.55 (Net Debt -12.4b / FCF TTM 7.99b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 26.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.41% (Net Income 1.88b / Total Assets 494b)
RoE = 7.20% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 26.0b)
RoCE = 19.75% (EBIT 7.85b / Capital Employed (Equity 26.0b + L.T.Debt 13.7b))
RoIC = 0.94% (NOPAT 4.55b / Invested Capital 483b)
WACC = 8.90% (E(67.3b)/V(81.8b) * Re(10.44%) + D(14.4b)/V(81.8b) * Rd(3.00%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 10.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 39.52 | Cagr: 0.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.19% ; FCFF base≈6.44b ; Y1≈7.38b ; Y5≈10.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 273.3 (EV 149b - Net Debt -12.4b = Equity 161b / Shares 590.5m; r=8.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.69 | EPS CAGR: 11.11% | SUE: -1.36 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 19.23 | Revenue CAGR: 2.82% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.26 | Chg30d=-0.27% | Revisions=-31% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.74 | Chg30d=-0.29% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+4.3% | GrowthRev=+21.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.70 | Chg30d=-0.34% | Revisions=+45% | GrowthEPS=+22.4% | GrowthRev=+16.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -3% (up=17, down=18)