APO Stock Analysis: Apollo Global Management | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 72.510m USD | 12M Return: -8% | US03769M1062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 446M
EPS Trend: 92.9%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 11.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Apollo Global Management is a large-cap alternative asset manager that invests across credit, private equity, infrastructure, secondaries, and real estate strategies for institutional and individual clients. Its private equity activity spans traditional buyouts, distressed buyouts, recapitalizations, growth, venture capital, and special situation transactions, while its credit platform focuses on direct lending, multi-sector credit, structured credit, and private credit. The firm invests globally across a wide range of industries, including energy, financial services, healthcare, technology, and industrials, with an expanding emphasis on energy transition and climate-related themes. As an alternative asset manager in the financials sector, Apollo typically generates revenue through management fees on assets under management plus performance-based incentive fees, and it serves clients such as sovereign wealth funds, endowments, and other institutions through pooled funds, hedge funds, and separately managed portfolios.
- Private credit origination expands as Athene insurance assets scale
- Share buyback program accelerates capital return to shareholders
- Rising competition in direct lending pressures spreads and origination volumes
| Net Income: -918.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -961.4% < 20% (prev -235.6%; Δ -725.8% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 7.99b > Net Income -918.0m |
| Net Debt (-6.90b) to EBITDA (5.55b): -1.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (603.0m) vs 12m ago -0.82% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 6.51% > 50% (prev 6.11%; Δ 0.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.12b / Interest Expense TTM 423.0m) |
| A: -0.60 (Total Current Assets 35.1b - Total Current Liabilities 332b) / Total Assets 498b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 4.72b / Total Assets 498b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 4.12b / Avg Total Assets 474b) |
| D: 0.03 (Book Value of Equity 15.9b / Total Liabilities 462b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -3.78 = D |
As of November 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 116.75 with a total of 3,319,426 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.79%, over one month by +0.69%, over three months by -8.40% and over the past year by -7.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 108.40 (which is 7.2% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Apollo Global Management has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.23. Therefore, it is recommended to buy APO.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 147.9 | 26.7% |
P/E Forward = 10.7066
P/S = 2.3779
P/B = 3.4198
P/EG = 0.4268
Revenue TTM = 30.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.55b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 16.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 701.2m
Net Debt = -6.90b USD (calculated: Debt 16.0b - CCE 22.9b)
Enterprise Value = 65.6b USD (72.5b + Debt 16.0b - CCE 22.9b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.74 (Ebit TTM 4.12b / Interest Expense TTM 423.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.21x (Enterprise Value 65.6b / FCF TTM 7.99b)
FCF Yield = 12.17% (FCF TTM 7.99b / Enterprise Value 65.6b)
FCF Margin = 25.87% (FCF TTM 7.99b / Revenue TTM 30.9b)
Net Margin = -2.97% (Net Income TTM -918.0m / Revenue TTM 30.9b)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 30.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.13 (Enterprise Value 65.6b / Total Assets 498b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.65% (Interest Expense 423.0m / Debt 16.0b)
Taxrate = 19.11% (1.28b / 6.68b)
NOPAT = 3.33b (EBIT 4.12b * (1 - 19.11%))
Current Ratio = 0.11 (Total Current Assets 35.1b / Total Current Liabilities 332b)
Debt / Equity = 1.00 (Debt 16.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.24 (Net Debt -6.90b / EBITDA 5.55b)
Debt / FCF = -0.86 (Net Debt -6.90b / FCF TTM 7.99b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 20.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.19% (Net Income -918.0m / Total Assets 498b)
RoE = -4.58% (Net Income TTM -918.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 20.1b)
RoCE = 12.32% (EBIT 4.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 20.1b + L.T.Debt 13.4b))
RoIC = 2.02% (NOPAT 3.33b / Invested Capital 165b)
WACC = 8.28% (E(72.5b)/V(88.5b) * Re(9.63%) + D(16.0b)/V(88.5b) * Rd(2.65%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 63.07 | Cagr: 0.96%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈6.44b ; Y1≈7.38b ; Y5≈10.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 288.6 (EV 164b - Net Debt -6.90b = Equity 170b / Shares 590.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.87 | EPS CAGR: 8.60% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 11.63 | Revenue CAGR: 1.65% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=2.47 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=-15% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.58 | Chg30d=-1.94% | Revisions=-55% | GrowthEPS=+2.3% | GrowthRev=+20.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.68 | Chg30d=-0.31% | Revisions=-35% | GrowthEPS=+24.5% | GrowthRev=+17.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43% (up=12, down=32)