APO Stock Analysis: Apollo Global Management | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 75.536m USD | 12M Return: -3.9% | US03769M1062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 330M
EPS Trend: 97.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 19.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Apollo Global Management is a large-cap alternative asset manager operating across multiple investment verticals, including private equity, credit, infrastructure, secondaries, and real estate. The firm serves a diverse institutional client base, such as sovereign wealth funds and endowments, while also offering individual investor products. Its private equity activities span traditional buyouts, distressed acquisitions, growth capital, and venture investments, while its credit platform covers direct lending, structured credit, and opportunistic debt strategies. Apollo invests globally across a wide range of industries, with an increasing emphasis on energy transition and sustainability themes, positioning it within the broader alternative investments and asset management sector.
- Private credit AUM surges as institutional demand accelerates
- Athene spread income pressured by interest rate volatility
- Capital returns expand via buybacks and dividend hikes
| Net Income: 1.88b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -864.5% < 20% (prev -240.4%; Δ -624.0% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 7.99b > Net Income 1.88b |
| Net Debt (-12.4b) to EBITDA (9.45b): -1.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (610.0m) vs 12m ago 3.39% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 84.45% > 18% (prev 95.14%; Δ -10.69% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 7.87% > 50% (prev 6.06%; Δ 1.81% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.13 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.85b / Interest Expense TTM 433.0m) |
| A: -0.63 (Total Current Assets 29.4b - Total Current Liabilities 340b) / Total Assets 494b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 6.15b / Total Assets 494b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 7.85b / Avg Total Assets 457b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 21.0b / Total Liabilities 453b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -3.92 = D |
As of September 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 128.98 with a total of 1,871,951 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.10%, over one month by -7.67%, over three months by -3.28% and over the past year by -3.88%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 123.70 (which is 4.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Apollo Global Management has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.32. Therefore, it is recommended to buy APO.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 153.5 | 19% |
P/E Trailing = 46.5127
P/E Forward = 12.3153
P/S = 2.1219
P/B = 3.9448
P/EG = 0.4968
Revenue TTM = 36.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.85b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.45b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.7b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 14.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 701.2m
Net Debt = -12.4b USD (calculated: Debt 14.4b - CCE 26.8b)
Enterprise Value = 63.1b USD (75.5b + Debt 14.4b - CCE 26.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.13 (Ebit TTM 7.85b / Interest Expense TTM 433.0m)
EV/FCF = 7.91x (Enterprise Value 63.1b / FCF TTM 7.99b)
FCF Yield = 12.65% (FCF TTM 7.99b / Enterprise Value 63.1b)
FCF Margin = 22.22% (FCF TTM 7.99b / Revenue TTM 36.0b)
Net Margin = 5.22% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Revenue TTM 36.0b)
Gross Margin = 84.45% ((Revenue TTM 36.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.84% (prev 91.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.13 (Enterprise Value 63.1b / Total Assets 494b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.00% (Interest Expense 433.0m / Debt 14.4b)
Taxrate = 42.05% (3.12b / 7.42b)
NOPAT = 4.55b (EBIT 7.85b * (1 - 42.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.09 (Total Current Assets 29.4b / Total Current Liabilities 340b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 14.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.31 (Net Debt -12.4b / EBITDA 9.45b)
Debt / FCF = -1.55 (Net Debt -12.4b / FCF TTM 7.99b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 26.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.41% (Net Income 1.88b / Total Assets 494b)
RoE = 7.20% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 26.0b)
RoCE = 19.75% (EBIT 7.85b / Capital Employed (Equity 26.0b + L.T.Debt 13.7b))
RoIC = 0.94% (NOPAT 4.55b / Invested Capital 483b)
WACC = 9.09% (E(75.5b)/V(90.0b) * Re(10.50%) + D(14.4b)/V(90.0b) * Rd(3.00%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 10.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 39.52 | Cagr: 0.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.59% ; FCFF base≈6.44b ; Y1≈7.38b ; Y5≈10.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 265.8 (EV 145b - Net Debt -12.4b = Equity 157b / Shares 590.5m; r=9.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.69 | EPS CAGR: 11.11% | SUE: -1.36 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 19.23 | Revenue CAGR: 2.82% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.26 | Chg30d=-1.31% | Revisions=-31% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.77 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+4.6% | GrowthRev=+21.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.74 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+22.5% | GrowthRev=+17.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=20, down=29)