(AR) Antero Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US03674X1063
Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids, Oil, Appalachian Basin, Upper Devonian Shale
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.29% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.49 |
| Alpha | 3.44 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.464 |
| Beta | 1.106 |
| Beta Downside | 1.634 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.99% |
| Mean DD | 20.25% |
| Median DD | 21.70% |
Description: AR Antero Resources October 31, 2025
Antero Resources Corp. (NYSE: AR) is an independent U.S. oil and natural gas producer focused on the Appalachian Basin and the Upper Devonian Shale, where it holds roughly 521,000 net acres and 170,000 net acres respectively. The firm operates across three segments-Exploration & Production, Marketing, and an equity-method investment in Antero Midstream-and maintains about 708 miles of gathering and compression pipelines to support its gas-focused asset base.
As of the latest 2023 annual report, Antero generated approximately 1.3 billion cubic feet per day (Bcfd) of net natural gas production, with a cash flow conversion of roughly 85 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.3×, reflecting a balance between growth and leverage. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to Henry Hub gas prices, which have trended upward on the back of tighter U.S. storage levels and increased demand for LNG export capacity-key macro drivers for Appalachian producers.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s analyst tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (547.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 295.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.16pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -19.47% (prev -23.43%; Δ 3.96pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.54b > Net Income 547.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.57b) to EBITDA (1.52b) ratio: 2.35 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (311.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.39% (prev 8.98%; Δ 10.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 37.66% (prev 30.83%; Δ 6.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.97 (EBITDA TTM 1.52b / Interest Expense TTM 88.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.54
| (A) -0.07 = (Total Current Assets 427.8m - Total Current Liabilities 1.39b) / Total Assets 12.91b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.49b / Total Assets 12.91b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 706.2m / Avg Total Assets 13.07b |
| (D) 0.28 = Book Value of Equity 1.49b / Total Liabilities 5.39b |
| Total Rating: 0.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.23
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.29% |
| 3. FCF Margin 26.56% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.35 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.11)% |
| 7. RoE 7.58% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -63.71% |
| 9. EPS Trend -49.46% |
What is the price of AR shares?
As of December 09, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 37.30 with a total of 9,707,267 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.31%, over one month by +10.19%, over three months by +16.16% and over the past year by +19.59%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.31%, over one month by +10.19%, over three months by +16.16% and over the past year by +19.59%.
Is AR a buy, sell or hold?
Antero Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy AR.
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 42.1 | 12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 42.1 | 12.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37.6 | 0.7% |
AR Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 10.50b (10.50b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.2796
P/E Forward = 12.5
P/S = 2.0975
P/B = 1.4514
P/EG = 0.3708
Beta = 0.585
Revenue TTM = 4.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 706.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.52b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 509.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.57b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.07b USD (10.50b + Debt 3.57b - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 706.2m / Interest Expense TTM 88.6m)
FCF Yield = 9.29% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Enterprise Value 14.07b)
FCF Margin = 26.56% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Revenue TTM 4.92b)
Net Margin = 11.13% (Net Income TTM 547.7m / Revenue TTM 4.92b)
Gross Margin = 19.39% ((Revenue TTM 4.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.69% (prev 20.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 14.07b / Total Assets 12.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.51% (Interest Expense 18.2m / Debt 3.57b)
Taxrate = 33.60% (43.3m / 128.9m)
NOPAT = 468.9m (EBIT 706.2m * (1 - 33.60%))
Current Ratio = 0.31 (Total Current Assets 427.8m / Total Current Liabilities 1.39b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 3.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.35 (Net Debt 3.57b / EBITDA 1.52b)
Debt / FCF = 2.73 (Net Debt 3.57b / FCF TTM 1.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.24% (Net Income 547.7m / Total Assets 12.91b)
RoE = 7.58% (Net Income TTM 547.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.22b)
RoCE = 8.28% (EBIT 706.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.22b + L.T.Debt 1.31b))
RoIC = 5.50% (NOPAT 468.9m / Invested Capital 8.52b)
WACC = 7.62% (E(10.50b)/V(14.07b) * Re(10.09%) + D(3.57b)/V(14.07b) * Rd(0.51%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 10.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.78% ; FCFE base≈1.05b ; Y1≈1.15b ; Y5≈1.47b
Fair Price DCF = 58.86 (DCF Value 18.16b / Shares Outstanding 308.5m; 5y FCF grow 11.23% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -49.46 | EPS CAGR: -25.17% | SUE: -2.80 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.71 | Revenue CAGR: -12.07% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=-0.051 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=-0.104 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+68.7% | Growth Revenue=+7.1%
P/E Trailing = 18.2796
P/E Forward = 12.5
P/S = 2.0975
P/B = 1.4514
P/EG = 0.3708
Beta = 0.585
Revenue TTM = 4.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 706.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.52b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 509.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.57b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.07b USD (10.50b + Debt 3.57b - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 706.2m / Interest Expense TTM 88.6m)
FCF Yield = 9.29% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Enterprise Value 14.07b)
FCF Margin = 26.56% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Revenue TTM 4.92b)
Net Margin = 11.13% (Net Income TTM 547.7m / Revenue TTM 4.92b)
Gross Margin = 19.39% ((Revenue TTM 4.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.69% (prev 20.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 14.07b / Total Assets 12.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.51% (Interest Expense 18.2m / Debt 3.57b)
Taxrate = 33.60% (43.3m / 128.9m)
NOPAT = 468.9m (EBIT 706.2m * (1 - 33.60%))
Current Ratio = 0.31 (Total Current Assets 427.8m / Total Current Liabilities 1.39b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 3.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.35 (Net Debt 3.57b / EBITDA 1.52b)
Debt / FCF = 2.73 (Net Debt 3.57b / FCF TTM 1.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.24% (Net Income 547.7m / Total Assets 12.91b)
RoE = 7.58% (Net Income TTM 547.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.22b)
RoCE = 8.28% (EBIT 706.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.22b + L.T.Debt 1.31b))
RoIC = 5.50% (NOPAT 468.9m / Invested Capital 8.52b)
WACC = 7.62% (E(10.50b)/V(14.07b) * Re(10.09%) + D(3.57b)/V(14.07b) * Rd(0.51%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 10.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.78% ; FCFE base≈1.05b ; Y1≈1.15b ; Y5≈1.47b
Fair Price DCF = 58.86 (DCF Value 18.16b / Shares Outstanding 308.5m; 5y FCF grow 11.23% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -49.46 | EPS CAGR: -25.17% | SUE: -2.80 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.71 | Revenue CAGR: -12.07% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=-0.051 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=-0.104 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+68.7% | Growth Revenue=+7.1%
Additional Sources for AR Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle