(ARCO) Arcos Dorados Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Uruguay • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: VGG0457F1071

Burgers,Fries,Drinks,Breakfast,Desserts

ARCO EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of ARCO over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09-30": -0.14, "2020-12-31": 0.12, "2021-03-31": -0.14, "2021-06-30": 0.03, "2021-09-30": 0.12, "2021-12-31": 0.22, "2022-03-31": 0.12, "2022-06-30": 0.07, "2022-09-30": 0.23, "2022-12-31": 0.26, "2023-03-31": 0.18, "2023-06-30": 0.13, "2023-09-30": 0.28, "2023-12-31": 0.26, "2024-03-31": 0.14, "2024-06-30": 0.13, "2024-09-30": 0.17, "2024-12-31": 0.28, "2025-03-31": 0.07, "2025-06-30": 0.13,

ARCO Revenue

Revenue of ARCO over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09-30: 466.798, 2020-12-31: 607.393, 2021-03-31: 561.116, 2021-06-30: 592.696, 2021-09-30: 725.836, 2021-12-31: 780.293, 2022-03-31: 790.681, 2022-06-30: 887.895, 2022-09-30: 921.703, 2022-12-31: 1018.623, 2023-03-31: 990.792, 2023-06-30: 1040.521, 2023-09-30: 1125.11, 2023-12-31: 1175.455, 2024-03-31: 1081.356, 2024-06-30: 1110.901, 2024-09-30: 1133.685, 2024-12-31: 1144.22, 2025-03-31: 1076.592, 2025-06-30: 1142.296,

Description: ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (NYSE:ARCO) is a Uruguayan company operating in the Restaurants sub-industry, with a market capitalization of $1.44 billion. The companys stock performance is characterized by a relatively low beta of 0.595, indicating lower volatility compared to the overall market.

From a fundamental analysis perspective, ARCOs price-to-earnings ratio stands at 10.70, with a forward P/E of 14.51, suggesting potential for future earnings growth. The companys return on equity (RoE) is 26.77%, indicating a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Key drivers of ARCOs financial performance likely include same-store sales growth, restaurant expansion, and brand recognition in the Latin American market.

To further evaluate ARCOs investment potential, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, operating margin, and system-wide sales could be monitored. Economic drivers like GDP growth in Latin America, consumer spending habits, and competitive landscape in the fast-food industry may also impact ARCOs financials. Additionally, analyzing the companys debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage, and cash flow generation could provide insights into its financial health and ability to invest in growth initiatives.

Overall, a comprehensive analysis of ARCOs financials, industry trends, and competitive positioning would be necessary to determine its investment potential. By examining key metrics and drivers, investors can make informed decisions about the companys prospects for future growth and returns.

ARCO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 1,454m
Sub-Industry Restaurants
IPO / Inception 2011-04-14

ARCO Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -14.2%
Fundamental 54.4%
Dividend Rating 76.0%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -29.9%
Analyst Rating 4.13 of 5

ARCO Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 5.00%
Yield on Cost 5y 9.50%
Annual Growth 5y 16.89%
Payout Consistency 60.0%
Payout Ratio 36.9%

ARCO Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -72.9%
Growth Correlation 12m -71.5%
Growth Correlation 5y 73.7%
CAGR 5y -1.00%
CAGR/Max DD 3y -0.02
CAGR/Mean DD 3y -0.06
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.11
Alpha 0.00
Beta 0.933
Volatility 33.83%
Current Volume 2251.7k
Average Volume 20d 1411.6k
Stop Loss 6.5 (-4.3%)
Signal -0.54

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5

Net Income (130.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 269.8m TTM)
FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -3.44% (prev -6.75%; Δ 3.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 258.5m > Net Income 130.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (1.88b) to EBITDA (426.5m) ratio: 4.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.80 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (210.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 12.53% (prev 14.96%; Δ -2.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 143.5% (prev 155.1%; Δ -11.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 4.70 (EBITDA TTM 426.5m / Interest Expense TTM 51.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.07

(A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 623.7m - Total Current Liabilities 778.6m) / Total Assets 3.37b
(B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 650.3m / Total Assets 3.37b
(C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 243.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.13b
(D) 0.21 = Book Value of Equity 590.9m / Total Liabilities 2.79b
Total Rating: 1.07 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.43

1. Piotroski 1.50pt = -3.50
2. FCF Yield -2.64% = -1.32
3. FCF Margin -1.35% = -0.51
4. Debt/Equity 1.87 = 0.97
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.54 = -1.03
6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.75)% = 4.68
7. RoE 24.60% = 2.05
8. Rev. Trend 73.88% = 5.54
9. EPS Trend -49.17% = -2.46

What is the price of ARCO shares?

As of September 17, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.79 with a total of 2,251,726 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.59%, over one month by -7.99%, over three months by -10.76% and over the past year by -16.76%.

Is Arcos Dorados Holdings a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Arcos Dorados Holdings is currently (September 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 54.43 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ARCO is around 6.00 USD . This means that ARCO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.63%.

Is ARCO a buy, sell or hold?

Arcos Dorados Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARCO.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARCO price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 10.4 53.2%
Analysts Target Price 10.4 53.2%
ValueRay Target Price 6.5 -3.7%

Last update: 2025-09-11 04:31

ARCO Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 1.45b (1.45b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 233.9m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 11.129
P/E Forward = 14.5138
P/S = 0.3232
P/B = 2.4761
P/EG = 2.15
Beta = 0.639
Revenue TTM = 4.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 243.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 426.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 945.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 137.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.08b USD (Calculated: Short Term 137.2m + Long Term 945.4m)
Net Debt = 1.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.30b USD (1.45b + Debt 1.08b - CCE 233.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.70 (Ebit TTM 243.3m / Interest Expense TTM 51.7m)
FCF Yield = -2.64% (FCF TTM -60.8m / Enterprise Value 2.30b)
FCF Margin = -1.35% (FCF TTM -60.8m / Revenue TTM 4.50b)
Net Margin = 2.89% (Net Income TTM 130.1m / Revenue TTM 4.50b)
Gross Margin = 12.53% ((Revenue TTM 4.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.90 (Enterprise Value 2.30b / Book Value Of Equity 590.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.71% (Interest Expense 18.5m / Debt 1.08b)
Taxrate = 42.39% (109.9m / 259.3m)
NOPAT = 140.1m (EBIT 243.3m * (1 - 42.39%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 623.7m / Total Current Liabilities 778.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.87 (Debt 1.08b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 580.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.54 (Net Debt 1.88b / EBITDA 426.5m)
Debt / FCF = -17.81 (Debt 1.08b / FCF TTM -60.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 528.9m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.86% (Net Income 130.1m, Total Assets 3.37b )
RoE = 24.60% (Net Income TTM 130.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 528.9m)
RoCE = 16.50% (Ebit 243.3m / (Equity 528.9m + L.T.Debt 945.4m))
RoIC = 9.58% (NOPAT 140.1m / Invested Capital 1.46b)
WACC = 5.84% (E(1.45b)/V(2.54b) * Re(9.45%)) + (D(1.08b)/V(2.54b) * Rd(1.71%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 92.99 | Cagr: 0.00%
Discount Rate = 9.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -60.8m)
EPS Correlation: -49.17 | EPS CAGR: -18.74% | SUE: 1.23 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 73.88 | Revenue CAGR: 8.12% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None

Additional Sources for ARCO Stock

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