ARDT Stock Analysis: Ardent Health | NYSE

Medical Care Facilities | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.542m USD | 12M Return: -29.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Hospitals, Clinics, Surgery Centers, Urgent Care
Total Rating 38
Safety 69
Buy Signal -0.82
Medical Care Facilities
Industry Rotation: +11.6
Market Cap: 1.54B
Avg Turnover: 5.37M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility49.7%
VaR 5th Pctl8.52%
VaR vs Median4.25%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Rel. Str. IBD18.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group19.4
Character TTM
Beta0.837
Beta Downside0.997
Hurst Exponent0.486
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD61.22%
CAGR/Max DD-0.34
CAGR/Mean DD-0.61
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ARDT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-12": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": null, "2023-06": null, "2023-09": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": 0.21, "2024-06": 0.4, "2024-09": 0.24, "2024-12": 0.81, "2025-03": 0.19, "2025-06": 0.55, "2025-09": 0.83, "2025-12": 0.3636, "2026-03": 0.3,
Last SUE: 0.70
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ARDT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-12: 4870.396, 2022-12: 5129.687, 2023-03: 1316.988, 2023-06: 1368.734, 2023-09: 1377.727, 2023-12: 1346.034, 2024-03: 1439.046, 2024-06: 1470.92, 2024-09: 1449.817, 2024-12: 1606.289, 2025-03: 1497.234, 2025-06: 1645.28, 2025-09: 1576.746, 2025-12: 1605.079, 2026-03: 1601.87,
Rev. CAGR: 8.13%
Rev. Trend: 98.9%
Last SUE: 0.36
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 1.9 years of data

Jan -3.6% -
Feb +18.0% -
Mar -6.4% -
Apr +11.3% -
May -3.0% -
Jun +0.4% -
Jul -17.5% -
Aug +27.3% -
Sep +10.5% -
Oct +14.4% -
Nov -37.2% -
Dec +4.7% -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ARDT Ardent Health

Ardent Health, Inc. (NYSE: ARDT) is a U.S. healthcare operator that owns and runs a network of hospitals, clinics, and ambulatory facilities delivering both general and specialty services - including internal medicine, general surgery, cardiology, oncology, orthopedics, womens health, neurology, urology, and emergency care. Its footprint spans acute care hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, surgical hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, urgent care centers, freestanding emergency departments, diagnostic imaging centers, primary and specialty care clinics, and telehealth services, covering both inpatient and outpatient settings.

The company operates within the Health Care Facilities sub-industry of the broader Health Care sector, a grouping that includes for-profit and non-profit operators of hospitals, outpatient centers, and ancillary care sites. Ardents model reflects a common industry approach of pairing higher-acuity inpatient services (acute and surgical hospitals) with lower-acuity ambulatory and digital channels to broaden patient access and diversify revenue. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, the company is a subsidiary of EGI-AM Investments, L.L.C., and adopted its current corporate name in June 2025 after listing on the NYSE in July 2024.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Same-hospital admissions growth drives quarterly revenue outperformance
  • Rising nursing labor and contract staffing costs pressure operating margins
  • Commercial and Medicaid reimbursement rate negotiations impact net patient revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 134.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.66 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 16.62% < 20% (prev 15.46%; Δ 1.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 430.9m > Net Income 134.3m
Net Debt (2.85b) to EBITDA (505.8m): 5.64 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.12 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (141.8m) vs 12m ago 0.76% < -2%
Gross Margin: 49.72% > 18% (prev 76.36%; Δ -26.64% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 126.5% > 50% (prev 122.7%; Δ 3.84% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.63 > 6 (EBIT TTM 343.3m / Interest Expense TTM 51.8m)
Altman Z'' 2.64
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 2.02b - Total Current Liabilities 951.5m) / Total Assets 5.25b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 541.5m / Total Assets 5.25b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 343.3m / Avg Total Assets 5.08b)
D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 3.52b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.64 = A
Beneish M -2.65
DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 709.2m/776.5m, Revenue 6.43b/6.02b)
GMI: 1.54 (GM 76.36% / 49.72%)
AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.22)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 6.43b / 6.02b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 134.3m - CFO 430.9m) / TA 5.25b)
Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ARDT shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.08 with a total of 337,766 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.32%, over one month by +8.15%, over three months by +7.23% and over the past year by -29.36%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 9.40 (which is 6.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is ARDT a buy, sell or hold?

Ardent Health has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.45. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARDT.

  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARDT price?
Analysts Target Price 12.3 22.2%
Ardent Health (ARDT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.54b (1.54b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.4468
P/E Forward = 9.2937
P/S = 0.2399
P/B = 1.0863
Revenue TTM = 6.43b USD
EBIT TTM = 343.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 505.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.07b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.46b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.18b
Net Debt = 2.85b USD (calculated: Debt 3.46b - CCE 609.7m)
Enterprise Value = 4.39b USD (1.54b + Debt 3.46b - CCE 609.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.63 (Ebit TTM 343.3m / Interest Expense TTM 51.8m)
EV/FCF = 20.55x (Enterprise Value 4.39b / FCF TTM 213.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.87% (FCF TTM 213.8m / Enterprise Value 4.39b)
FCF Margin = 3.33% (FCF TTM 213.8m / Revenue TTM 6.43b)
Net Margin = 2.09% (Net Income TTM 134.3m / Revenue TTM 6.43b)
Gross Margin = 49.72% ((Revenue TTM 6.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.36% (prev 42.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 4.39b / Total Assets 5.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 51.8m / Debt 3.46b)
Taxrate = 19.91% (57.1m / 286.8m)
NOPAT = 274.9m (EBIT 343.3m * (1 - 19.91%))
Current Ratio = 2.12 (Total Current Assets 2.02b / Total Current Liabilities 951.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 3.46b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.64 (Net Debt 2.85b / EBITDA 505.8m)
Debt / FCF = 13.34 (Net Debt 2.85b / FCF TTM 213.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.64% (Net Income 134.3m / Total Assets 5.25b)
RoE = 9.08% (Net Income TTM 134.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.48b)
RoCE = 13.45% (EBIT 343.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.48b + L.T.Debt 1.07b))
RoIC = 6.84% (NOPAT 274.9m / Invested Capital 4.02b)
WACC = 3.58% (E(1.54b)/V(5.00b) * Re(8.93%) + D(3.46b)/V(5.00b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -2.22 | Cagr: -0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈175.6m ; Y1≈201.3m ; Y5≈296.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.21 (EV 4.46b - Net Debt 2.85b = Equity 1.61b / Shares 143.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.95 | Revenue CAGR: 8.13% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-11.65% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=+4.00% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-2.84% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=-18.8% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.31 | Chg30d=-0.57% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+4.7% | GrowthRev=+4.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +13% (up=7, down=5)