ARE Stock Analysis: Alexandria Real Estate | NYSE

REIT - Office | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 9.623m USD | 12M Return: -22.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Life Science Real Estate, Megacampus Ecosystems, Lab Space, REIT Development
Total Rating 17
Safety 33
Buy Signal -0.80
REIT - Office
Industry Rotation: +1.6
Market Cap: 9.62B
Avg Turnover: 106M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility43.3%
VaR 5th Pctl7.45%
VaR vs Median4.42%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.34
Rel. Str. IBD20.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group14
Character TTM
Beta0.638
Beta Downside0.959
Hurst Exponent0.446
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD65.64%
CAGR/Max DD-0.27
CAGR/Mean DD-0.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ARE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.73, "2021-09": 0.7, "2021-12": 0.58, "2022-03": 0.71, "2022-06": 0.78, "2022-09": 0.35, "2022-12": 0.31, "2023-03": 0.83, "2023-06": 0.51, "2023-09": 0.87, "2023-12": 0.82, "2024-03": 0.89, "2024-06": 0.88, "2024-09": 0.87, "2024-12": 0.69, "2025-03": 0.51, "2025-06": 0.48, "2025-09": 0.5, "2025-12": -6.35, "2026-03": 2.1,
Last SUE: 0.83
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ARE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 508.371, 2021-09: 550.85, 2021-12: 574.656, 2022-03: 612.554, 2022-06: 640.959, 2022-09: 656.853, 2022-12: 665.674, 2023-03: 687.949, 2023-06: 704.339, 2023-09: 707.531, 2023-12: 742.637, 2024-03: 755.551, 2024-06: 755.162, 2024-09: 775.744, 2024-12: 763.249, 2025-03: 743.175, 2025-06: 737.279, 2025-09: 735.849, 2025-12: 754.414, 2026-03: 671.022,
Rev. CAGR: 2.78%
Rev. Trend: 65.4%
Last SUE: -1.40
Qual. Beats: -3

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +0.4% 2
Feb -2.2% 15
Mar +0.9% 3
Apr -0.3% 3
May -0.1% 2
Jun +1.8% 16
Jul +6.7% 32
Aug -0.8% 11
Sep -2.0% 27
Oct -2.9% 28
Nov -0.1% 1
Dec +0.5% 2

Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.

Description: ARE Alexandria Real Estate

Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) is an S&P 500 mission-driven life science REIT and a pioneer of the life science real estate niche. The company owns, operates, and develops large-scale Megacampus ecosystems clustered in top-tier innovation hubs, including Greater Boston, the San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego, Seattle, Maryland, Research Triangle, and New York City. Headquartered in Pasadena, California, Alexandria was established on January 5, 1994, and is incorporated in Maryland.

As a REIT in the Diversified REITs sub-industry, Alexandria is structured to benefit from U.S. tax rules that require it to distribute the majority of its taxable income to shareholders as dividends. Its core business model focuses on providing highly specialized laboratory and research facilities tailored to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device tenants, a niche distinct from traditional office or residential REITs.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Biotech funding recovery drives life science lab space demand
  • Interest rate cuts pressure REIT cap rates and valuation
  • Megacampus development pipeline expands future rental revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -1.02b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.46 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -72.86% < 20% (prev -39.10%; Δ -33.75% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 1.40b > Net Income -1.02b
Net Debt (12.8b) to EBITDA (405.6m): 31.60 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.29 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (188.4m) vs 12m ago 10.47% < -2%
Gross Margin: 68.25% > 18% (prev 69.80%; Δ -1.55% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 8.08% > 50% (prev 8.08%; Δ -0.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.78 > 6 (EBIT TTM -908.2m / Interest Expense TTM 240.4m)
Beneish M -2.86
DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 327.0m/280.2m, Revenue 2.90b/3.04b)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 69.80% / 68.25%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.94 / AQ_t-1 0.95)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 2.90b / 3.04b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI -1.02b - CFO 1.40b) / TA 34.2b)
Beneish M = -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ARE shares?

As of July 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 55.59 with a total of 2,127,291 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.77%, over one month by +10.10%, over three months by +15.35% and over the past year by -22.80%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 52.30 (which is 5.9% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is ARE a buy, sell or hold?

Alexandria Real Estate has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.54. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ARE.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARE price?
Analysts Target Price 51.5 -7.4%
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 29 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 9.62b (9.62b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 16.6945
P/S = 3.2842
P/B = 0.6116
P/EG = 3.2356
Revenue TTM = 2.90b USD
EBIT TTM = -908.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 405.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 11.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.35b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 358.6m
Net Debt = 12.8b USD (calculated: Debt 13.2b - CCE 418.7m)
Enterprise Value = 22.4b USD (9.62b + Debt 13.2b - CCE 418.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.78 (Ebit TTM -908.2m / Interest Expense TTM 240.4m)
EV/FCF = 16.00x (Enterprise Value 22.4b / FCF TTM 1.40b)
FCF Yield = 6.25% (FCF TTM 1.40b / Enterprise Value 22.4b)
FCF Margin = 48.39% (FCF TTM 1.40b / Revenue TTM 2.90b)
Net Margin = -35.30% (Net Income TTM -1.02b / Revenue TTM 2.90b)
Gross Margin = 68.25% ((Revenue TTM 2.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 920.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.60% (prev 69.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 22.4b / Total Assets 34.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.82% (Interest Expense 240.4m / Debt 13.2b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -717.5m (EBIT -908.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.29 (Total Current Assets 843.1m / Total Current Liabilities 2.95b)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 13.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 31.60 (Net Debt 12.8b / EBITDA 405.6m)
Debt / FCF = 9.14 (Net Debt 12.8b / FCF TTM 1.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.85% (Net Income -1.02b / Total Assets 34.2b)
RoE = -6.29% (Net Income TTM -1.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.3b)
RoCE = -3.31% (EBIT -908.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 16.3b + L.T.Debt 11.2b))
 RoIC = -2.21% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -717.5m / Invested Capital 32.4b)
 WACC = 4.30% (E(9.62b)/V(22.9b) * Re(8.23%) + D(13.2b)/V(22.9b) * Rd(1.82%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -6.82 | Cagr: 4.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.74% ; FCFF base≈1.39b ; Y1≈1.42b ; Y5≈1.56b
[DCF] Fair Price = 65.55 (EV 24.2b - Net Debt 12.8b = Equity 11.4b / Shares 174.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 2.29% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.41 | Revenue CAGR: 2.78% | SUE: -1.40 | # QB: -3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.85 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+121.9% | GrowthRev=-13.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.88 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=-134.7% | GrowthRev=+0.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%