(ARI) Apollo Commercial Real - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US03762U1051

ARI EPS (Earnings per Share)

This chart shows the EPS (Earnings per Share) of ARI over the last 5 years for every Quarter.

ARI Revenue

This chart shows the Revenue of ARI over the last 5 years for every Quarter.

ARI: Commercial Mortgage Loans, Subordinate Financings, Real Estate Debt Investments

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) is a mortgage REIT that specializes in originating and managing commercial real estate debt investments, including first mortgage loans and subordinate financings. As a REIT, it is exempt from federal income taxes provided it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders. With its headquarters in New York, the company has been operating since 2009, navigating the complex landscape of commercial real estate finance.

From a technical analysis perspective, ARIs stock is currently trading at $9.82, slightly below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of $9.84. However, it is above both its 50-day SMA of $9.34 and 200-day SMA of $9.03, indicating a potential bullish trend. The stocks average true range (ATR) is $0.17, representing a 1.72% daily volatility. Given its current price and technical indicators, a potential short-term target could be the 52-week high of $10.21, while the 52-week low of $7.98 serves as a key support level.

Fundamentally, ARI has a market capitalization of $1.392 billion and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.53, suggesting a relatively stable valuation. The companys return on equity (RoE) is 0.57, indicating a modest level of profitability. As a mortgage REIT, ARIs financial performance is closely tied to the overall health of the commercial real estate market and interest rates.

Combining technical and fundamental insights, a potential forecast for ARI is that it may continue to trade within a narrow range in the short term, potentially testing the $10.21 level in the coming weeks. However, its long-term performance will be influenced by the broader commercial real estate market trends, interest rate movements, and the companys ability to maintain a stable dividend payout. If ARI can continue to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders, it is likely to remain an attractive option for income-seeking investors.

Additional Sources for ARI Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle

ARI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 1,392m
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
GiC Sub-Industry Mortgage REITs
IPO / Inception 2009-09-24

ARI Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 39.5
Fundamental 8.70
Dividend Rating 53.1
Rel. Strength -2.89
Analysts 3.33 of 5
Fair Price Momentum 10.51 USD
Fair Price DCF 4.67 USD

ARI Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 11.62%
Yield on Cost 5y 20.75%
Annual Growth 5y -3.71%
Payout Consistency 94.3%
Payout Ratio 3.4%

ARI Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 71.7%
Growth Correlation 12m 18.4%
Growth Correlation 5y 36.7%
CAGR 5y 13.23%
CAGR/Max DD 5y 0.32
Sharpe Ratio 12m 0.83
Alpha 3.21
Beta 0.362
Volatility 26.19%
Current Volume 3468.1k
Average Volume 20d 1026.6k
What is the price of ARI shares?
As of June 22, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 9.87 with a total of 3,468,089 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.51%, over one month by +0.41%, over three months by +1.53% and over the past year by +9.52%.
Is Apollo Commercial Real a good stock to buy?
Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Apollo Commercial Real is currently (June 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 8.70 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ARI is around 10.51 USD . This means that ARI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 6.48%.
Is ARI a buy, sell or hold?
Apollo Commercial Real has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefor, it is recommend to hold ARI.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts for ARI share price target?
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, ARI Apollo Commercial Real will be worth about 11.4 in June 2026. The stock is currently trading at 9.87. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +14.99%.
Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 10 1.3%
Analysts Target Price 9.8 -0.7%
ValueRay Target Price 11.4 15%