(ARIS) Aris Mining - Overview
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Gold | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 4.066m USD | Total Return: 228.9% in 12m
Gold, Silver, Copper
Total Rating 61
Safety 51
Buy Signal -0.62
Gold
Industry Rotation: -13.4
Industry Rotation: -13.4
Market Cap:
4.07B
Avg Turnover: 20.1M
Avg Turnover: 20.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility59.4%
VaR 5th Pctl10.6%
VaR vs Median8.62%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.32
Rel. Str. IBD94.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group89.4
Character TTM
Beta0.738
Beta Downside0.441
Hurst Exponent0.570
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.56%
CAGR/Max DD3.57
CAGR/Mean DD13.49
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: 10.87%
EPS Trend: 33.7%
EPS Trend: 33.7%
Last SUE: -3.07
Qual. Beats: -1
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 41.49%
Rev. Trend: 91.6%
Rev. Trend: 91.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Share dilution 21.4% YoY
Tailwinds
Leader
Description: ARIS Aris Mining
Aris Mining Corporation is a Vancouver-based precious metals producer focused on the acquisition, exploration, and operation of mining properties in Colombia, Guyana, and Canada. Primarily a gold producer, the company also maintains exploration interests in silver and copper deposits. Formerly known as GCM Mining Corp., the firm rebranded in late 2022 to reflect its current corporate structure and project portfolio.
The company operates within the intermediate gold mining sector, where business models typically focus on transitioning exploration assets into cash-flow-positive production phases. Mining companies in this category are subject to regional geopolitical risks and fluctuations in global commodity prices, which directly impact profit margins and capital expenditure budgets. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for deeper insights into the companys valuation and peers.
- Segovia and Marmato expansion projects drive significant gold production growth targets
- Elevated all-in sustaining costs in Colombia impact quarterly free cash flow
- Gold price fluctuations directly influence revenue and valuation of South American assets
- Regulatory stability in Colombia affects long-term mining license and permit security
- Marmato Lower Mine development timeline determines future high-grade ore processing capacity
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
8.0
| Net Income: 173.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.59% < 20% (prev 33.65%; Δ -9.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 431.8m > Net Income 173.6m |
| Net Debt (72.2m) to EBITDA (432.5m): 0.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (209.1m) vs 12m ago 21.36% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.64% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 5.33k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.66% > 50% (prev 26.95%; Δ 20.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.77 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 432.5m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m) |
Altman Z''
2.73
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 639.7m - Total Current Liabilities 358.7m) / Total Assets 2.72b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -14.9m / Total Assets 2.72b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 361.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.40b) |
| D: 1.01 (Book Value of Equity 1.15b / Total Liabilities 1.14b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.73 = A |
Beneish M
-2.22
| DSRI: 0.72 (Receivables 93.1m/63.6m, Revenue 1.14b/560.5m) |
| GMI: 0.66 (GM 53.64% / 35.19%) |
| AQI: 2.18 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 2.04 (Revenue 1.14b / 560.5m) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 173.6m - CFO 431.8m) / TA 2.72b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.22 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of ARIS shares?
As of May 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.18 with a total of 987,611 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.72%, over one month by -10.40%, over three months by -1.89% and over the past year by +228.93%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.72%, over one month by -10.40%, over three months by -1.89% and over the past year by +228.93%.
Is ARIS a buy, sell or hold?
Aris Mining has no consensus analysts rating.
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARIS price?
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
Aris Mining (ARIS) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 11 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 22.6437 P/E Forward = 8.5106
P/S = 3.5586
P/B = 2.587
Revenue TTM = 1.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 361.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 432.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 464.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 544.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 72.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.14b USD (4.07b + Debt 544.3m - CCE 472.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.77 (Ebit TTM 361.4m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m)
EV/FCF = 23.33x (Enterprise Value 4.14b / FCF TTM 177.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.29% (FCF TTM 177.4m / Enterprise Value 4.14b)
FCF Margin = 15.53% (FCF TTM 177.4m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Net Margin = 15.19% (Net Income TTM 173.6m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Gross Margin = 53.64% ((Revenue TTM 1.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 529.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.27% (prev 54.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.52 (Enterprise Value 4.14b / Total Assets 2.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.36% (Interest Expense 7.41m / Debt 544.3m)
Taxrate = 39.62% (64.1m / 161.7m)
NOPAT = 218.2m (EBIT 361.4m * (1 - 39.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 639.7m / Total Current Liabilities 358.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 544.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.17 (Net Debt 72.2m / EBITDA 432.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.41 (Net Debt 72.2m / FCF TTM 177.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.24% (Net Income 173.6m / Total Assets 2.72b)
RoE = 13.69% (Net Income TTM 173.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.27b)
RoCE = 20.86% (EBIT 361.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.27b + L.T.Debt 464.1m))
RoIC = 11.45% (NOPAT 218.2m / Invested Capital 1.91b)
WACC = 7.66% (E(4.07b)/V(4.61b) * Re(8.58%) + D(544.3m)/V(4.61b) * Rd(1.36%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 8.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 20.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.27% ; FCFF base≈177.4m ; Y1≈116.5m ; Y5≈53.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.10 (EV 1.13b - Net Debt 72.2m = Equity 1.05b / Shares 206.4m; r=7.66% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 33.68 | EPS CAGR: 10.87% | SUE: -3.07 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 91.57 | Revenue CAGR: 41.49% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0