ARIS Stock Analysis: Aris Mining | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.306m USD | 12M Return: 151.1% | CA04040Y1097 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 26.8M
EPS Trend: 87.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 94.6%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Aris Mining Corporation (NYSE: ARIS) is a Canada-based precious metals company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties across Canada, Colombia, and Guyana, with additional exploration activities targeting silver and copper deposits. The company was originally listed in 2007 and rebranded from GCM Mining Corp. to its current name in September 2022, and it is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. As a GICS-classified Materials sector stock within the Gold sub-industry, Aris Mining operates in a capital-intensive, commodity-price-sensitive business where revenue is largely tied to prevailing gold prices, foreign exchange rates, and the regulatory and political conditions of its host countries.
- Gold price rallies boost segment revenue and margins
- Marmato expansion and Torpens project drive production growth
- Colombia regulatory risk threatens Segovia mine operations
| Net Income: 284.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.07% < 20% (prev 33.55%; Δ -12.48% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 430.2m > Net Income 284.7m |
| Net Debt (87.0m) to EBITDA (575.5m): 0.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (209.4m) vs 12m ago 16.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 55.76% > 18% (prev 40.61%; Δ 15.14% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 50.55% > 50% (prev 29.41%; Δ 21.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 510.2m / Interest Expense TTM 33.4m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 562.2m - Total Current Liabilities 294.8m) / Total Assets 2.82b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 79.3m / Total Assets 2.82b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 510.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.51b) |
| D: 1.66 (Book Value of Equity 1.76b / Total Liabilities 1.06b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.82 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 51.6m/31.3m, Revenue 1.27b/646.8m) |
| GMI: 0.73 (GM 40.61% / 55.76%) |
| AQI: 2.16 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.96 (Revenue 1.27b / 646.8m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 284.7m - CFO 430.2m) / TA 2.82b) |
| Beneish M = -2.03 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of August 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.27 with a total of 2,024,304 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.83%, over one month by +40.08%, over three months by +18.26% and over the past year by +151.06%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.00 (which is 6.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Aris Mining has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 14.7943
P/E Forward = 9.99
P/S = 3.3923
P/B = 2.4392
Revenue TTM = 1.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 510.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 575.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 448.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 512.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.85m
Net Debt = 87.0m USD (calculated: Debt 512.1m - CCE 425.0m)
Enterprise Value = 4.39b USD (4.31b + Debt 512.1m - CCE 425.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.30 (Ebit TTM 510.2m / Interest Expense TTM 33.4m)
EV/FCF = 37.12x (Enterprise Value 4.39b / FCF TTM 118.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.69% (FCF TTM 118.4m / Enterprise Value 4.39b)
FCF Margin = 9.32% (FCF TTM 118.4m / Revenue TTM 1.27b)
Net Margin = 22.43% (Net Income TTM 284.7m / Revenue TTM 1.27b)
Gross Margin = 55.76% ((Revenue TTM 1.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 561.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.34% (prev 62.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.56 (Enterprise Value 4.39b / Total Assets 2.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.51% (Interest Expense 33.4m / Debt 512.1m)
Taxrate = 40.24% (191.9m / 476.9m)
NOPAT = 304.9m (EBIT 510.2m * (1 - 40.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 562.2m / Total Current Liabilities 294.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 512.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.15 (Net Debt 87.0m / EBITDA 575.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.74 (Net Debt 87.0m / FCF TTM 118.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.34% (Net Income 284.7m / Total Assets 2.82b)
RoE = 19.29% (Net Income TTM 284.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.48b)
RoCE = 26.52% (EBIT 510.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.48b + L.T.Debt 448.0m))
RoIC = 12.10% (NOPAT 304.9m / Invested Capital 2.52b)
WACC = 8.27% (E(4.31b)/V(4.82b) * Re(8.79%) + D(512.1m)/V(4.82b) * Rd(6.51%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 8.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.22 | Cagr: 20.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈79.2m ; Y1≈90.8m ; Y5≈133.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.32 (EV 2.01b - Net Debt 87.0m = Equity 1.92b / Shares 206.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.05 | EPS CAGR: 54.27% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.64 | Revenue CAGR: 49.70% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.55 | Chg30d=-9.35% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=-6.04% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+64.1% | GrowthRev=+66.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.89 | Chg30d=-17.31% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+37.4% | GrowthRev=+30.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -73% (up=0, down=8)