ARIS Stock Analysis: Aris Mining | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.302m USD | 12M Return: 126.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 24.4M
EPS Trend: 81.3%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 93.2%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Aris Mining Corporation (NYSE: ARIS) is a Canada-based precious metals company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties across Canada, Colombia, and Guyana, with additional exploration activities targeting silver and copper deposits. The company was originally listed in 2007 and rebranded from GCM Mining Corp. to its current name in September 2022, and it is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. As a GICS-classified Materials sector stock within the Gold sub-industry, Aris Mining operates in a capital-intensive, commodity-price-sensitive business where revenue is largely tied to prevailing gold prices, foreign exchange rates, and the regulatory and political conditions of its host countries.
- Gold price rallies boost segment revenue and margins
- Marmato expansion and Torpens project drive production growth
- Colombia regulatory risk threatens Segovia mine operations
| Net Income: 173.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.59% < 20% (prev 33.65%; Δ -9.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 431.8m > Net Income 173.6m |
| Net Debt (77.9m) to EBITDA (432.5m): 0.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (209.1m) vs 12m ago 21.36% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.64% > 18% (prev 35.19%; Δ 18.46% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.66% > 50% (prev 26.95%; Δ 20.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.06 > 6 (EBIT TTM 372.1m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 639.7m - Total Current Liabilities 358.7m) / Total Assets 2.72b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -14.9m / Total Assets 2.72b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 372.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.40b) |
| D: 1.37 (Book Value of Equity 1.57b / Total Liabilities 1.14b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.15 = A |
| DSRI: 0.72 (Receivables 93.1m/63.6m, Revenue 1.14b/560.5m) |
| GMI: 0.66 (GM 35.19% / 53.64%) |
| AQI: 2.18 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 2.04 (Revenue 1.14b / 560.5m) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 173.6m - CFO 431.8m) / TA 2.72b) |
| Beneish M = -2.14 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.98 with a total of 697,145 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.34%, over one month by +3.10%, over three months by -17.20% and over the past year by +126.67%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.40 (which is 9.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Aris Mining has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 18.3908
P/E Forward = 6.1087
P/S = 2.8902
P/B = 2.1011
Revenue TTM = 1.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 372.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 432.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 464.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 550.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.69m
Net Debt = 77.9m USD (calculated: Debt 550.0m - CCE 472.1m)
Enterprise Value = 3.38b USD (3.30b + Debt 550.0m - CCE 472.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.06 (Ebit TTM 372.1m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.05x (Enterprise Value 3.38b / FCF TTM 177.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.25% (FCF TTM 177.4m / Enterprise Value 3.38b)
FCF Margin = 15.53% (FCF TTM 177.4m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Net Margin = 15.19% (Net Income TTM 173.6m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Gross Margin = 53.64% ((Revenue TTM 1.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 529.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.27% (prev 54.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 3.38b / Total Assets 2.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.72% (Interest Expense 37.0m / Debt 550.0m)
Taxrate = 39.62% (64.1m / 161.7m)
NOPAT = 224.7m (EBIT 372.1m * (1 - 39.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 639.7m / Total Current Liabilities 358.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 550.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.18 (Net Debt 77.9m / EBITDA 432.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.44 (Net Debt 77.9m / FCF TTM 177.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.24% (Net Income 173.6m / Total Assets 2.72b)
RoE = 13.69% (Net Income TTM 173.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.27b)
RoCE = 21.48% (EBIT 372.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.27b + L.T.Debt 464.1m))
RoIC = 9.46% (NOPAT 224.7m / Invested Capital 2.38b)
WACC = 8.76% (E(3.30b)/V(3.85b) * Re(9.54%) + D(550.0m)/V(3.85b) * Rd(6.72%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 9.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 20.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.02% ; FCFF base≈177.4m ; Y1≈178.1m ; Y5≈188.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 12.92 (EV 2.74b - Net Debt 77.9m = Equity 2.67b / Shares 206.4m; r=8.76% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.31 | EPS CAGR: 41.27% | SUE: -1.24 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 93.17 | Revenue CAGR: 41.02% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.57 | Chg30d=-5.52% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.61 | Chg30d=-1.08% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.55 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+99.0% | GrowthRev=+78.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.76 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+47.7% | GrowthRev=+37.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)