(ARLO) Arlo Technologies - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US04206A1016

Camera, Doorbell, Security, Subscription, Cloud

Stock: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Age 7.5y
MCap 1,493m
Avg Vol 1.08M (14.8M USD)
Beta 1.418
Volatility 51.74%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of ARLO over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": -0.08, "2021-03": -0.03, "2021-06": -0.04, "2021-09": -0.08, "2021-12": 0.04, "2022-03": 0.01, "2022-06": 0.01, "2022-09": -0.05, "2022-12": -0.04, "2023-03": 0.01, "2023-06": 0.06, "2023-09": 0.09, "2023-12": 0.11, "2024-03": 0.09, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": 0.11, "2024-12": 0.1, "2025-03": 0.15, "2025-06": 0.03, "2025-09": 0.16, "2025-12": 0,
EPS CAGR: -4.19%
EPS Trend: 57.4%
Last SUE: -3.34
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of ARLO over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 114.836, 2021-03: 82.556, 2021-06: 98.571, 2021-09: 111.149, 2021-12: 142.861, 2022-03: 124.751, 2022-06: 118.979, 2022-09: 128.157, 2022-12: 118.527, 2023-03: 111.004, 2023-06: 115.076, 2023-09: 130.003, 2023-12: 135.093, 2024-03: 124.2, 2024-06: 127.447, 2024-09: 137.667, 2024-12: 121.572, 2025-03: 119.066, 2025-06: 129.405, 2025-09: 139.529, 2025-12: null,
Rev. CAGR: -0.63%
Rev. Trend: 16.4%
Last SUE: 0.45
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 51.7%
Value at Risk 5%th 80.2%
Relative Tail Risk -5.78%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.50
Alpha -2.64
CAGR/Max DD 1.06
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.499
Beta 1.418
Beta Downside 1.524
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 50.82%
Mean DD 16.67%
Median DD 14.54%

Description: ARLO Arlo Technologies January 16, 2026

Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) is a cloud-based home-security firm that sells smart cameras, doorbells, floodlights and related accessories across the Americas, EMEA and APAC, and monetizes them through hardware sales and recurring “Arlo Secure” subscriptions.

Its product suite now spans entry-level Essential cameras (2K video, 180° view), mid-tier Pro 5S, 4K Ultra 2 with HDR and auto-tracking, battery-powered Go 2 for off-grid sites, and a wire-free Floodlight Camera. The subscription ladder includes 2K and 4K cloud recording, advanced AI object detection, smoke/CO alerts and 24/7 professional monitoring via the Total Security plan, while the Arlo Safe app adds personal-safety features such as crash detection.

From a financial standpoint, Arlo reported FY 2023 revenue of $462 million, with subscription ARR rising ~38% YoY to $115 million-a key driver of margin expansion as gross profit improved from 31% to 38% over the same period. The smart-home security market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~12% through 2028, fueled by increased remote-work adoption and consumer demand for integrated IoT safety solutions; however, the company’s cash burn remains elevated (~$70 million in Q4 2023), implying a need for continued capital efficiency.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay analyst platform useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (4.30m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 30.6m TTM)
FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 17.56% (prev 15.69%; Δ 1.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 65.6m > Net Income 4.30m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-78.8m) to EBITDA (5.81m) ratio: -13.57 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (109.6m) change vs 12m ago 9.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 41.64% (prev 36.23%; Δ 5.40pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 153.7% (prev 167.9%; Δ -14.22pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -1.00 (EBITDA TTM 5.81m / Interest Expense TTM -2.42m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -3.73

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 301.7m - Total Current Liabilities 212.2m) / Total Assets 350.9m
(B) -1.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -388.8m / Total Assets 350.9m
warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.11 — check mapping/units
(C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 2.42m / Avg Total Assets 331.6m
(D) -1.75 = Book Value of Equity -388.7m / Total Liabilities 221.6m
Total Rating: -3.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.33

1. Piotroski 3.50pt
2. FCF Yield 4.09%
3. FCF Margin 10.71%
4. Debt/Equity 0.06
5. Debt/Ebitda -13.57
6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.04)%
7. RoE 3.81%
8. Rev. Trend 16.38%
9. EPS Trend 57.40%

What is the price of ARLO shares?

As of January 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.09 with a total of 1,217,165 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.06%, over one month by +1.15%, over three months by -22.20% and over the past year by +15.59%.

Is ARLO a buy, sell or hold?

Arlo Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARLO.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARLO price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 23.2 64.7%
Analysts Target Price 23.2 64.7%
ValueRay Target Price 17.9 26.8%

ARLO Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026

P/E Trailing = 469.6667
P/E Forward = 18.0505
P/S = 2.9308
P/B = 11.5566
Revenue TTM = 509.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 2.42m USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.81m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.21m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.69m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.21m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -78.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.34b USD (1.49b + Debt 7.21m - CCE 165.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.00 (Ebit TTM 2.42m / Interest Expense TTM -2.42m)
EV/FCF = 24.47x (Enterprise Value 1.34b / FCF TTM 54.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.09% (FCF TTM 54.6m / Enterprise Value 1.34b)
FCF Margin = 10.71% (FCF TTM 54.6m / Revenue TTM 509.6m)
Net Margin = 0.84% (Net Income TTM 4.30m / Revenue TTM 509.6m)
Gross Margin = 41.64% ((Revenue TTM 509.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 297.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.50% (prev 44.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.81 (Enterprise Value 1.34b / Total Assets 350.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.07% (Interest Expense 726.0k / Debt 7.21m)
Taxrate = 2.19% (154.0k / 7.03m)
NOPAT = 2.37m (EBIT 2.42m * (1 - 2.19%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 301.7m / Total Current Liabilities 212.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 7.21m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 129.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -13.57 (Net Debt -78.8m / EBITDA 5.81m)
Debt / FCF = -1.44 (Net Debt -78.8m / FCF TTM 54.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 112.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.30% (Net Income 4.30m / Total Assets 350.9m)
RoE = 3.81% (Net Income TTM 4.30m / Total Stockholder Equity 112.9m)
RoCE = 2.01% (EBIT 2.42m / Capital Employed (Equity 112.9m + L.T.Debt 7.21m))
RoIC = 2.09% (NOPAT 2.37m / Invested Capital 112.9m)
WACC = 11.13% (E(1.49b)/V(1.50b) * Re(11.14%) + D(7.21m)/V(1.50b) * Rd(10.07%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 11.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.71%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.98% ; FCFF base≈53.0m ; Y1≈60.6m ; Y5≈84.0m
Fair Price DCF = 9.10 (EV 885.3m - Net Debt -78.8m = Equity 964.1m / Shares 106.0m; r=11.13% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.90% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 57.40 | EPS CAGR: -4.19% | SUE: -3.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 16.38 | Revenue CAGR: -0.63% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+19.5% | Growth Revenue=+7.6%

Additional Sources for ARLO Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle