(ARLO) Arlo Technologies - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products & Equipment | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.429m USD | Total Return: -3% in 12m

Security Cameras, Smart Doorbells, Monitoring Services, Cloud Storage
Total Rating 35
Safety 21
Buy Signal -0.77
Building Products & Equipment
Industry Rotation: -6.2
Market Cap: 1.43B
Avg Turnover: 17.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility51.2%
VaR 5th Pctl8.71%
VaR vs Median3.46%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.11
Rel. Str. IBD13.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group22.4
Character TTM
Beta1.666
Beta Downside1.823
Hurst Exponent0.530
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD50.82%
CAGR/Max DD0.21
CAGR/Mean DD0.53
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ARLO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.03, "2021-06": -0.04, "2021-09": -0.08, "2021-12": 0.04, "2022-03": 0.01, "2022-06": 0.01, "2022-09": -0.05, "2022-12": -0.04, "2023-03": 0.01, "2023-06": 0.06, "2023-09": 0.09, "2023-12": 0.11, "2024-03": 0.09, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": 0.11, "2024-12": 0.1, "2025-03": 0.15, "2025-06": 0.17, "2025-09": 0.16, "2025-12": 0.22, "2026-03": 0.28,
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of ARLO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 82.556, 2021-06: 98.571, 2021-09: 111.149, 2021-12: 142.861, 2022-03: 124.751, 2022-06: 118.979, 2022-09: 128.157, 2022-12: 118.527, 2023-03: 111.004, 2023-06: 115.076, 2023-09: 130.003, 2023-12: 135.093, 2024-03: 124.2, 2024-06: 127.447, 2024-09: 137.667, 2024-12: 121.572, 2025-03: 119.066, 2025-06: 129.405, 2025-09: 139.529, 2025-12: 141.297, 2026-03: 150.382,
Rev. CAGR: 4.37%
Rev. Trend: 83.0%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Altman Z'' -3.24 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Choppy Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Pead

Description: ARLO Arlo Technologies

Arlo Technologies, Inc. designs and sells cloud-based security hardware and software solutions globally. Its product portfolio includes wireless smart cameras, video doorbells, and integrated home security systems featuring multi-sensor technology. The company operates a recurring revenue model by pairing its hardware with Arlo Secure, a subscription-based platform providing AI-driven object detection, professional monitoring, and cloud storage.

The consumer security sector is increasingly shifting toward Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) models to drive higher margins and customer lifetime value. Arlo distributes its products through a diverse network of retail partners, wholesale distributors, wireless carriers, and direct-to-consumer digital channels. For deeper insights into these revenue streams, consider exploring the financial metrics on ValueRay.

Headquartered in Carlsbad, California, the company also offers specialized solutions like Arlo Safe for personal emergency response and Arlo SmartCloud for enterprise-level security applications. This multi-tiered approach allows the firm to compete across hardware sales, professional security monitoring, and mobile safety software markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Paid subscriber growth accelerates recurring service revenue and expands gross margins
  • Hardware sales volume through retail channels dictates new customer acquisition costs
  • Strategic partnerships with wireless carriers and security providers drive platform scale
  • High research and development spending impacts path toward consistent GAAP profitability
  • Consumer discretionary spending levels influence demand for premium home security hardware
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 30.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 16.76% < 20% (prev 14.43%; Δ 2.33% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 75.7m > Net Income 30.6m
Net Debt (-159.4m) to EBITDA (19.9m): -8.02 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.52 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (110.5m) vs 12m ago 8.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.09% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 4.47k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 170.7% > 50% (prev 170.5%; Δ 0.19% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' -3.24
A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 275.7m - Total Current Liabilities 181.7m) / Total Assets 360.2m
B: -1.02 (Retained Earnings -368.2m / Total Assets 360.2m)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 15.1m / Avg Total Assets 328.4m)
D: -1.83 (Book Value of Equity -368.1m / Total Liabilities 200.8m)
Altman-Z'' = -3.24 = D
Beneish M -2.72
DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 52.2m/46.1m, Revenue 560.6m/505.8m)
GMI: 0.85 (GM 45.09% / 38.13%)
AQI: 1.80 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 560.6m / 505.8m)
TATA: -0.13 (NI 30.6m - CFO 75.7m) / TA 360.2m)
Beneish M = -2.72 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ARLO shares?

As of May 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.34 with a total of 609,543 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.79%, over one month by -4.85%, over three months by -14.98% and over the past year by -2.98%.

Is ARLO a buy, sell or hold?

Arlo Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARLO.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARLO price?
Analysts Target Price 21.4 60.4%
Arlo Technologies (ARLO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.43b (1.43b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 47.0
P/E Forward = 15.1286
P/S = 2.5495
P/B = 8.9667
P/EG = 0.6051
Revenue TTM = 560.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 15.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.9m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 6.23m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 6.23m already included)
Net Debt = -159.4m USD (calculated: Debt 6.23m - CCE 165.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.27b USD (1.43b + Debt 6.23m - CCE 165.6m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 15.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 14.26x (Enterprise Value 1.27b / FCF TTM 89.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.01% (FCF TTM 89.0m / Enterprise Value 1.27b)
FCF Margin = 15.88% (FCF TTM 89.0m / Revenue TTM 560.6m)
Net Margin = 5.47% (Net Income TTM 30.6m / Revenue TTM 560.6m)
Gross Margin = 45.09% ((Revenue TTM 560.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 307.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.32% (prev 46.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.53 (Enterprise Value 1.27b / Total Assets 360.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 6.23m)
Taxrate = 2.71% (415k / 15.3m)
NOPAT = 14.7m (EBIT 15.1m * (1 - 2.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 275.7m / Total Current Liabilities 221.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 6.23m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 159.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -8.02 (Net Debt -159.4m / EBITDA 19.9m)
Debt / FCF = -1.79 (Net Debt -159.4m / FCF TTM 89.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 133.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.33% (Net Income 30.6m / Total Assets 360.2m)
RoE = 6.11% (Net Income TTM 30.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 501.8m)
RoCE = 8.45% (EBIT 15.1m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 360.2m - Current Liab 181.7m))
RoIC = 8.22% (NOPAT 14.7m / Invested Capital 178.5m)
WACC = 11.79% (E(1.43b)/V(1.44b) * Re(11.84%) + D(6.23m)/V(1.44b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 11.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 82.22 | Cagr: 3.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.68% ; FCFF base≈70.8m ; Y1≈81.2m ; Y5≈119.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.74 (EV 1.12b - Net Debt -159.4m = Equity 1.27b / Shares 108.6m; r=11.79% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 82.96 | Revenue CAGR: 4.37% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=-3.00% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-11.00% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+4.35% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+20.0% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=+3.64% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+17.6% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%