Overview Dividends

(ARLO) Arlo Technologies - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US04206A1016

Cameras, Doorbells, Security, Subscriptions, Cloud

ARLO EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 202.56%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 90.4%

ARLO Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 6.11%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 55.2%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	55.0%
Value at Risk 5%th	82.0%

Reward
Sharpe Ratio	0.65
Alpha Jensen	6.97

Character
Hurst Exponent	0.703
Beta	1.709

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	50.82%
Mean DD	15.75%

Description: ARLO Arlo Technologies November 13, 2025

Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) delivers a cloud-based security platform across the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific, offering a breadth of hardware-from entry-level Essential cameras and Doorbells to premium Ultra 2 4K units-and a suite of SaaS subscriptions that include video storage, AI-driven object detection, and 24/7 professional monitoring.

In its most recent fiscal year, Arlo reported approximately $1.1 billion in total revenue, with subscription services contributing roughly 20% of that figure and showing a year-over-year growth rate of 12% (ARR ≈ $200 million). The company’s gross margin has stabilized near 55%, while churn on its core subscription tier remains around 10% annually-both metrics that are modestly better than the broader smart-home hardware average. Key macro drivers include rising consumer demand for integrated IoT security solutions, accelerated adoption of remote-work lifestyles that increase home-security spending, and expanding broadband penetration that lowers barriers to cloud-based monitoring.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Arlo’s valuation and risk profile, you may find it useful to explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.

ARLO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,572m
Sub-Industry	Electronic Equipment & Instruments
IPO / Inception	2018-08-03
Return 12m vs S&P 500	14.7%
Analyst Rating	4.40 of 5

ARLO Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

ARLO Growth Ratios

CAGR	56.19%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	1.11
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	3.57
Current Volume	1456k
Average Volume	1231.2k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income (4.30m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 30.6m TTM)

FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 17.56% (prev 15.69%; Δ 1.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 65.6m > Net Income 4.30m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)

Current Ratio 1.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (109.6m) change vs 12m ago 9.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 41.64% (prev 36.23%; Δ 5.40pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 153.7% (prev 167.9%; Δ -14.22pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -0.49 (EBITDA TTM -1.25m / Interest Expense TTM -9.44m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -3.87

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 301.7m - Total Current Liabilities 212.2m) / Total Assets 350.9m

(B) -1.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -388.8m / Total Assets 350.9m

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.11 — check mapping/units

(D) -1.75 = Book Value of Equity -388.7m / Total Liabilities 221.6m

Total Rating: -3.87 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.58

1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50

2. FCF Yield 3.86% = 1.93

3. FCF Margin 10.71% = 2.68

4. Debt/Equity 0.06 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 63.29 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -16.49)% = -12.50

7. RoE 3.81% = 0.32

8. Rev. Trend 55.17% = 4.14

9. EPS Trend 90.44% = 4.52

What is the price of ARLO shares?

As of November 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 15.58 with a total of 1,456,018 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.03%, over one month by -9.31%, over three months by -14.11% and over the past year by +32.94%.

Is Arlo Technologies a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 48.58 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ARLO is around 18.76 USD . This means that ARLO is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +20.41% (Margin of Safety).

Is ARLO a buy, sell or hold?

Arlo Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARLO.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 3
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARLO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	23.2	48.9%
Analysts Target Price	23.2	48.9%
ValueRay Target Price	21.6	38.9%

ARLO Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 1.57b (1.57b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 494.3333
P/E Forward = 21.5517
P/S = 3.0847
P/B = 15.0722
Beta = 1.709
Revenue TTM = 509.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -4.61m USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.25m USD
Long Term Debt = 18.4m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.69m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.21m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -78.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.41b USD (1.57b + Debt 7.21m - CCE 165.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.49 (Ebit TTM -4.61m / Interest Expense TTM -9.44m)
FCF Yield = 3.86% (FCF TTM 54.6m / Enterprise Value 1.41b)
FCF Margin = 10.71% (FCF TTM 54.6m / Revenue TTM 509.6m)
Net Margin = 0.84% (Net Income TTM 4.30m / Revenue TTM 509.6m)
Gross Margin = 41.64% ((Revenue TTM 509.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 297.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.50% (prev 44.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.03 (Enterprise Value 1.41b / Total Assets 350.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.07% (Interest Expense 726.0k / Debt 7.21m)
Taxrate = 2.19% (154.0k / 7.03m)
NOPAT = -4.51m (EBIT -4.61m * (1 - 2.19%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 301.7m / Total Current Liabilities 212.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 7.21m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 129.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 63.29 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -78.8m / EBITDA -1.25m)
Debt / FCF = -1.44 (Net Debt -78.8m / FCF TTM 54.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 112.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.23% (Net Income 4.30m / Total Assets 350.9m)
RoE = 3.81% (Net Income TTM 4.30m / Total Stockholder Equity 112.9m)
RoCE = -3.51% (EBIT -4.61m / Capital Employed (Equity 112.9m + L.T.Debt 18.4m))
RoIC = -4.19% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -4.51m / Invested Capital 107.5m)
WACC = 12.30% (E(1.57b)/V(1.58b) * Re(12.31%) + D(7.21m)/V(1.58b) * Rd(10.07%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 12.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.71%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.91% ; FCFE base≈53.0m ; Y1≈60.6m ; Y5≈84.2m
Fair Price DCF = 7.35 (DCF Value 779.5m / Shares Outstanding 106.0m; 5y FCF grow 16.90% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 90.44 | EPS CAGR: 202.6% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 55.17 | Revenue CAGR: 6.11% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ARLO Stock

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