(ARLO) Arlo Technologies - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US04206A1016
Stock: Security Cameras, Home Security, Cloud Services, Safety App
Total Rating 47
Risk 23
Buy Signal 0.38
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.76 |
| Alpha | 10.45 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.716 |
| Beta Downside | 2.574 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.77 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
Fundamental:
P/E ratio: 100.6429
Description: ARLO Arlo Technologies March 04, 2026
Arlo Technologies, Inc. provides connected security devices and cloud-based services globally. The company offers a range of security cameras and doorbells, including models with advanced features like 2K and 4K video resolution, wide fields of view, and automated privacy shields. These products are part of the broader smart home security market, which has seen increasing adoption due to advancements in IoT technology.
Beyond hardware, Arlo also provides various subscription services such as Arlo Secure, Arlo Total Security, and Arlo Safe. These subscriptions offer features like cloud video recording, professional monitoring, advanced object detection, and emergency response. This subscription-based model is common in the security industry, providing recurring revenue streams alongside hardware sales.
Arlo distributes its products through multiple channels, including retailers, wholesale distributors, and its own website. This multi-channel approach helps reach a diverse customer base. For a deeper dive into Arlos financial performance and competitive landscape, consider exploring ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Subscription growth drives recurring revenue expansion
- New product launches boost hardware sales
- Supply chain disruptions increase component costs
- Competition intensifies in smart home security market
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 14.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.65% < 20% (prev 16.80%; Δ -0.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 78.7m > Net Income 14.9m |
| Net Debt (-139.7m) to EBITDA (18.5m): -7.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (110.4m) vs 12m ago 9.60% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.99% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 4.36k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 173.8% > 50% (prev 171.2%; Δ 2.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -13.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 18.5m / Interest Expense TTM -1.12m) |
Altman Z'' -4.04
| A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 260.5m - Total Current Liabilities 172.3m) / Total Assets 310.5m |
| B: -1.23 (Retained Earnings -383.0m / Total Assets 310.5m) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 14.5m / Avg Total Assets 304.5m) |
| D: -2.10 (Book Value of Equity -382.9m / Total Liabilities 182.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -4.04 = D |
Beneish M -3.20
| DSRI: 0.67 (Receivables 39.7m/57.3m, Revenue 529.3m/510.9m) |
| GMI: 0.83 (GM 43.99% / 36.70%) |
| AQI: 1.74 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 529.3m / 510.9m) |
| TATA: -0.21 (NI 14.9m - CFO 78.7m) / TA 310.5m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.20 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ARLO shares?
As of March 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.85 with a total of 1,219,615 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.92%, over one month by +27.80%, over three months by +5.69% and over the past year by +36.61%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.92%, over one month by +27.80%, over three months by +5.69% and over the past year by +36.61%.
Is ARLO a buy, sell or hold?
Arlo Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARLO.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 22.4 | 50.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 22.4 | 50.8% |
ARLO Fundamental Data Overview March 19, 2026
P/E Trailing = 100.6429
P/E Forward = 17.1233
P/S = 2.8445
P/B = 11.5932
Revenue TTM = 529.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 14.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 18.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.74m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 6.74m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -139.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.35b USD (1.51b + Debt 6.74m - CCE 166.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.01 (Ebit TTM 14.5m / Interest Expense TTM -1.12m)
EV/FCF = 20.12x (Enterprise Value 1.35b / FCF TTM 66.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.97% (FCF TTM 66.9m / Enterprise Value 1.35b)
FCF Margin = 12.64% (FCF TTM 66.9m / Revenue TTM 529.3m)
Net Margin = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 14.9m / Revenue TTM 529.3m)
Gross Margin = 43.99% ((Revenue TTM 529.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 296.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.38% (prev 40.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.33 (Enterprise Value 1.35b / Total Assets 310.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.77% (Interest Expense 726k / Debt 6.74m)
Taxrate = 5.55% (339k / 6.10m)
NOPAT = 13.7m (EBIT 14.5m * (1 - 5.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 260.5m / Total Current Liabilities 172.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 6.74m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 127.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -7.56 (Net Debt -139.7m / EBITDA 18.5m)
Debt / FCF = -2.09 (Net Debt -139.7m / FCF TTM 66.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 119.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.90% (Net Income 14.9m / Total Assets 310.5m)
RoE = 12.47% (Net Income TTM 14.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 119.7m)
RoCE = 11.51% (EBIT 14.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 119.7m + L.T.Debt 6.74m))
RoIC = 11.48% (NOPAT 13.7m / Invested Capital 119.7m)
WACC = 12.23% (E(1.51b)/V(1.51b) * Re(12.24%) + D(6.74m)/V(1.51b) * Rd(10.77%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 12.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 4.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.84% ; FCFF base≈59.6m ; Y1≈68.2m ; Y5≈94.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.51 (EV 876.2m - Net Debt -139.7m = Equity 1.02b / Shares 106.9m; r=12.23% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.90% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 92.40 | EPS CAGR: 128.0% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 54.26 | Revenue CAGR: 3.38% | SUE: 3.06 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg7d=+0.002 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg7d=+0.023 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+15.5% | Growth Revenue=+6.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.95 | Chg7d=+0.038 | Chg30d=+0.038 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+18.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 11.2% (Discount Rate 12.2% - Earnings Yield 1.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +0.2% (Analyst 11.4% - Implied 11.2%)
P/E Forward = 17.1233
P/S = 2.8445
P/B = 11.5932
Revenue TTM = 529.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 14.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 18.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.74m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 6.74m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -139.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.35b USD (1.51b + Debt 6.74m - CCE 166.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.01 (Ebit TTM 14.5m / Interest Expense TTM -1.12m)
EV/FCF = 20.12x (Enterprise Value 1.35b / FCF TTM 66.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.97% (FCF TTM 66.9m / Enterprise Value 1.35b)
FCF Margin = 12.64% (FCF TTM 66.9m / Revenue TTM 529.3m)
Net Margin = 2.82% (Net Income TTM 14.9m / Revenue TTM 529.3m)
Gross Margin = 43.99% ((Revenue TTM 529.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 296.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.38% (prev 40.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.33 (Enterprise Value 1.35b / Total Assets 310.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.77% (Interest Expense 726k / Debt 6.74m)
Taxrate = 5.55% (339k / 6.10m)
NOPAT = 13.7m (EBIT 14.5m * (1 - 5.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 260.5m / Total Current Liabilities 172.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 6.74m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 127.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -7.56 (Net Debt -139.7m / EBITDA 18.5m)
Debt / FCF = -2.09 (Net Debt -139.7m / FCF TTM 66.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 119.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.90% (Net Income 14.9m / Total Assets 310.5m)
RoE = 12.47% (Net Income TTM 14.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 119.7m)
RoCE = 11.51% (EBIT 14.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 119.7m + L.T.Debt 6.74m))
RoIC = 11.48% (NOPAT 13.7m / Invested Capital 119.7m)
WACC = 12.23% (E(1.51b)/V(1.51b) * Re(12.24%) + D(6.74m)/V(1.51b) * Rd(10.77%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 12.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 4.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.84% ; FCFF base≈59.6m ; Y1≈68.2m ; Y5≈94.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.51 (EV 876.2m - Net Debt -139.7m = Equity 1.02b / Shares 106.9m; r=12.23% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.90% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 92.40 | EPS CAGR: 128.0% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 54.26 | Revenue CAGR: 3.38% | SUE: 3.06 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg7d=+0.002 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg7d=+0.023 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+15.5% | Growth Revenue=+6.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.95 | Chg7d=+0.038 | Chg30d=+0.038 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+18.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 11.2% (Discount Rate 12.2% - Earnings Yield 1.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +0.2% (Analyst 11.4% - Implied 11.2%)