ASR Stock Analysis: Grupo Aeroportuario del | NYSE
Airports & Air Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.596m USD | 12M Return: -7.1% | US40051E2028 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 14.3M
EPS Trend: -61.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) operates, maintains, and develops airports under concessions in southeastern Mexico, Colombia, and Puerto Rico. Its services include passenger and aircraft operations, security, cargo handling, and ground transport, alongside commercial activities such as leasing space to retailers and restaurants.
Airport operators typically earn revenue from aviation-related services and commercial sources, including concessions and parking. ASR was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City.
- Cancún tourism and airline capacity drive passenger and commercial revenue
- Mexican tariff regulation limits pricing flexibility and margin growth
- Peso swings and traffic trends in Colombia and Puerto Rico shape earnings
| Net Income: 10.0b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.79 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.59% < 20% (prev 38.06%; Δ -28.47% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 17.4b > Net Income 10.0b |
| Net Debt (75.6b) to EBITDA (20.1b): 3.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.0m) vs 12m ago -45.37% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.76% > 18% (prev 71.37%; Δ -26.60% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.02% > 50% (prev 45.94%; Δ -10.92% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.36 > 6 (EBIT TTM 16.5b / Interest Expense TTM 2.59b) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 29.5b - Total Current Liabilities 25.7b) / Total Assets 151b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 34.7b / Total Assets 151b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 16.5b / Avg Total Assets 114b) |
| D: 0.46 (Book Value of Equity 45.5b / Total Liabilities 98.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.37 = BBB |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 8.53b/1.61b, Revenue 39.9b/35.3b) |
| GMI: 1.59 (GM 71.37% / 44.76%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.80 / AQ_t-1 0.72) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 39.9b / 35.3b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 10.0b - CFO 17.4b) / TA 151b) |
| Beneish M = -0.69 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 268.42 with a total of 25,635 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.96%, over one month by +13.05%, over three months by -2.26% and over the past year by -7.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 252.40 (which is 6% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Grupo Aeroportuario del has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASR.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 324.2 | 20.8% |
Market Cap MXN = 141b (7.60b USD * 18.5257 USD.MXN)
P/E Trailing = 13.9952
P/E Forward = 11.2867
P/S = 3.7046
P/B = 3.2782
P/EG = 18.2488
Revenue TTM = 39.9b MXN
EBIT TTM = 16.5b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 20.1b MXN
Long Term Debt = 52.2b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.3b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 96.2b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.84b
Net Debt = 75.6b MXN (calculated: Debt 96.2b - CCE 20.6b)
Enterprise Value = 216b MXN (141b + Debt 96.2b - CCE 20.6b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.36 (Ebit TTM 16.5b / Interest Expense TTM 2.59b)
EV/FCF = 19.62x (Enterprise Value 216b / FCF TTM 11.0b)
FCF Yield = 5.10% (FCF TTM 11.0b / Enterprise Value 216b)
FCF Margin = 27.66% (FCF TTM 11.0b / Revenue TTM 39.9b)
Net Margin = 25.11% (Net Income TTM 10.0b / Revenue TTM 39.9b)
Gross Margin = 44.76% ((Revenue TTM 39.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.03% (prev 41.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.43 (Enterprise Value 216b / Total Assets 151b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.70% (Interest Expense 2.59b / Debt 96.2b)
Taxrate = 25.77% (3.63b / 14.1b)
NOPAT = 12.2b (EBIT 16.5b * (1 - 25.77%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 29.5b / Total Current Liabilities 25.7b)
Debt / Equity = 2.12 (Debt 96.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.76 (Net Debt 75.6b / EBITDA 20.1b)
Debt / FCF = 6.86 (Net Debt 75.6b / FCF TTM 11.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 42.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.79% (Net Income 10.0b / Total Assets 151b)
RoE = 23.77% (Net Income TTM 10.0b / Total Stockholder Equity 42.1b)
RoCE = 17.48% (EBIT 16.5b / Capital Employed (Equity 42.1b + L.T.Debt 52.2b))
RoIC = 8.58% (NOPAT 12.2b / Invested Capital 143b)
WACC = 5.27% (E(141b)/V(237b) * Re(7.51%) + D(96.2b)/V(237b) * Rd(2.70%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 5.80 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈9.10b ; Y1≈10.4b ; Y5≈15.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.61k (EV 231b - Net Debt 75.6b = Equity 156b / Shares 27.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -61.06 | EPS CAGR: -7.36% | SUE: -0.78 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.17 | Revenue CAGR: 17.70% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=5.91 | Chg30d=-3.09% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=18.34 | Chg30d=-4.74% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-5.5% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=22.49 | Chg30d=-4.85% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+22.6% | GrowthRev=+22.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=0, down=5)