ATHM Stock Analysis: Autohome | NYSE
Internet Content & Information | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.138m USD | 12M Return: -22.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 16.0M
EPS Trend: -95.1%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -83.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autohome Inc. (NYSE: ATHM) operates a leading online platform serving automobile consumers in China, distributing interactive content and tools across multiple websites (autohome.com.cn, che168.com, ttpai.cn) and across PC, mobile, apps, and mini-programs. Its revenue model spans three principal streams: media services (automaker advertising and regional marketing campaigns), lead generation (dealer subscriptions, dealer advertising, and used-vehicle listings), and transaction-related services including the Autohome Mall online platform, a used-car bidding platform, and commissions on auto-financing and insurance products facilitated through its ecosystem.
The company sits within the GICS Communication Services sector and the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry, a category dominated by ad-supported internet platforms. As Chinas auto market is among the worlds largest by vehicle sales, online auto media platforms like Autohome function as a bridge between automakers, dealers, and consumers, monetising user traffic through a mix of advertising subscriptions and transaction commissions. Autohome was founded in 2004, originally as Sequel Limited, adopted its current name in October 2011, and is headquartered in Beijing; it has traded on the NYSE since its December 2013 IPO.
- China auto sales weakness pressures automaker advertising revenue
- Dealer subscription services drive recurring lead generation growth
- Used car platform expansion boosts transaction commissions
| Net Income: 1.28b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 297.9% < 20% (prev 301.2%; Δ -3.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 889.5m > Net Income 1.28b |
| Net Debt (-18.3b) to EBITDA (681.3m): -26.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 8.15 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (117.4m) vs 12m ago -1.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 71.47% > 18% (prev 78.24%; Δ -6.78% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 21.52% > 50% (prev 23.73%; Δ -2.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.66 (Total Current Assets 20.5b - Total Current Liabilities 2.52b) / Total Assets 27.2b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 16.6b / Total Assets 27.2b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 501.5m / Avg Total Assets 28.1b) |
| D: 7.56 (Book Value of Equity 22.9b / Total Liabilities 3.03b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 14.40 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 1.72b/1.65b, Revenue 6.05b/6.88b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 78.24% / 71.47%) |
| AQI: 1.42 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 6.05b / 6.88b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 1.28b - CFO 889.5m) / TA 27.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.62 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.18 with a total of 572,900 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.27%, over one month by +3.58%, over three months by +7.73% and over the past year by -22.82%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.10 (which is 5.9% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Autohome has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.57. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ATHM.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 19.3 | 5.9% |
Market Cap CNY = 14.5b (2.14b USD * 6.7891 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 13.5474
P/E Forward = 13.8504
P/S = 0.3535
P/B = 0.6334
P/EG = 33.7642
Revenue TTM = 6.05b CNY
EBIT TTM = 501.5m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 681.3m CNY
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 39.2m CNY (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 98.5m CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 42.1m
Net Debt = -18.3b CNY (calculated: Debt 98.5m - CCE 18.4b)
Enterprise Value = 14.5b CNY (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 501.5m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 18.81x (Enterprise Value 14.5b / FCF TTM 771.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.32% (FCF TTM 771.4m / Enterprise Value 14.5b)
FCF Margin = 12.76% (FCF TTM 771.4m / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Net Margin = 21.21% (Net Income TTM 1.28b / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Gross Margin = 71.47% ((Revenue TTM 6.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.48% (prev 78.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 14.5b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 98.5m)
Taxrate = 9.33% (110.6m / 1.19b)
NOPAT = 454.7m (EBIT 501.5m * (1 - 9.33%))
Current Ratio = 8.15 (Total Current Assets 20.5b / Total Current Liabilities 2.52b)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 98.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = -26.88 (Net Debt -18.3b / EBITDA 681.3m)
Debt / FCF = -23.74 (Net Debt -18.3b / FCF TTM 771.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.56% (Net Income 1.28b / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 5.45% (Net Income TTM 1.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.5b)
RoCE = 2.03% (EBIT 501.5m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 27.2b - Current Liab 2.52b))
RoIC = 1.86% (NOPAT 454.7m / Invested Capital 24.4b)
WACC = 8.74% (E(14.5b)/V(14.6b) * Re(8.80%) + D(98.5m)/V(14.6b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 8.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -47.74 | Cagr: -1.49%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.64% ; FCFF base≈956.1m ; Y1≈838.4m ; Y5≈677.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 247.7 (EV 10.2b - Net Debt -18.3b = Equity 28.5b / Shares 115.2m; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.11 | EPS CAGR: -15.25% | SUE: -2.03 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -83.18 | Revenue CAGR: -5.00% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-12.98% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=-4.42% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.31 | Chg30d=-16.65% | Revisions=-36% | GrowthEPS=-33.7% | GrowthRev=-16.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.50 | Chg30d=-13.03% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=+15.1% | GrowthRev=+2.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -52% (up=4, down=16)