AU Stock Analysis: AngloGold Ashanti | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 42.801m USD | 12M Return: 85.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 314M
EPS Trend: 88.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 82.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AngloGold Ashanti plc (NYSE: AU) is a large-cap gold mining company that explores for and produces gold, along with by-products such as silver and sulphuric acid. Its operations span Africa, Australia, and the Americas, with the Geita mine in northwestern Tanzania serving as its flagship property. The company is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, and has been in operation since its incorporation in 1944, though it has traded publicly since 1972.
As a producer in the GICS Materials sector and Gold sub-industry, AngloGold Ashanti benefits from golds role as a precious metal and inflation hedge, while silver and sulphuric acid by-products provide supplementary revenue streams tied to industrial demand.
- Gold price rally boosts margins and free cash flow
- Geita mine production growth anchors output guidance
- Capital returns expand as all-in sustaining costs decline
| Net Income: 3.47b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 17.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 27.06% < 20% (prev 28.96%; Δ -1.90% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.37 > 3% & CFO 5.75b > Net Income 3.47b |
| Net Debt (-685.0m) to EBITDA (6.39b): -0.11 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (504.9m) vs 12m ago 0.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.17% > 18% (prev 38.57%; Δ 13.59% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 76.75% > 50% (prev 47.61%; Δ 29.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 26.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.37b / Interest Expense TTM 204.0m) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 4.79b - Total Current Liabilities 1.77b) / Total Assets 15.7b |
| B: 0.51 (Retained Earnings 7.97b / Total Assets 15.7b) |
| C: 0.37 (EBIT TTM 5.37b / Avg Total Assets 14.5b) |
| D: 1.60 (Book Value of Equity 8.53b / Total Liabilities 5.33b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.08 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 30.0m/643.0m, Revenue 11.2b/6.38b) |
| GMI: 0.74 (GM 38.57% / 52.17%) |
| AQI: 1.25 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.75 (Revenue 11.2b / 6.38b) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI 3.47b - CFO 5.75b) / TA 15.7b) |
| Beneish M = -3.33 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 84.05 with a total of 2,583,608 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.98%, over one month by -0.50%, over three months by -16.17% and over the past year by +85.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 74.20 (which is 11.7% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
AngloGold Ashanti has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.38. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AU.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 118.4 | 40.8% |
P/E Trailing = 12.4303
P/E Forward = 10.2249
P/S = 3.8332
P/B = 4.792
P/EG = 0.782
Revenue TTM = 11.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.37b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 112.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 207.0m
Net Debt = -685.0m USD (calculated: Debt 2.49b - CCE 3.18b)
Enterprise Value = 42.1b USD (42.8b + Debt 2.49b - CCE 3.18b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 26.33 (Ebit TTM 5.37b / Interest Expense TTM 204.0m)
EV/FCF = 10.53x (Enterprise Value 42.1b / FCF TTM 4.00b)
FCF Yield = 9.50% (FCF TTM 4.00b / Enterprise Value 42.1b)
FCF Margin = 35.83% (FCF TTM 4.00b / Revenue TTM 11.2b)
Net Margin = 31.11% (Net Income TTM 3.47b / Revenue TTM 11.2b)
Gross Margin = 52.17% ((Revenue TTM 11.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.19% (prev 50.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.68 (Enterprise Value 42.1b / Total Assets 15.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.18% (Interest Expense 204.0m / Debt 2.49b)
Taxrate = 25.51% (1.40b / 5.50b)
NOPAT = 4.00b (EBIT 5.37b * (1 - 25.51%))
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 4.79b / Total Current Liabilities 1.77b)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 2.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.11 (Net Debt -685.0m / EBITDA 6.39b)
Debt / FCF = -0.17 (Net Debt -685.0m / FCF TTM 4.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.93b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.88% (Net Income 3.47b / Total Assets 15.7b)
RoE = 43.79% (Net Income TTM 3.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.93b)
RoCE = 53.97% (EBIT 5.37b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.93b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 29.67% (NOPAT 4.00b / Invested Capital 13.5b)
WACC = 8.87% (E(42.8b)/V(45.3b) * Re(9.03%) + D(2.49b)/V(45.3b) * Rd(8.18%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 70.47 | Cagr: 8.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.31% ; FCFF base≈2.85b ; Y1≈3.26b ; Y5≈4.80b
[DCF] Fair Price = 132.3 (EV 66.2b - Net Debt -685.0m = Equity 66.9b / Shares 505.6m; r=8.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 88.27 | EPS CAGR: 119.0% | SUE: 3.50 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 82.18 | Revenue CAGR: 23.76% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.11 | Chg30d=-0.83% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.32 | Chg30d=+38.10% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.45 | Chg30d=-5.04% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+75.9% | GrowthRev=+35.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.63 | Chg30d=-2.34% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+12.5% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -36% (up=2, down=6)