(AU) AngloGold Ashanti - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Sulphuric Acid
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.06% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 12.60% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 38.95% |
| Payout Consistency | 68.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 78.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.54 |
| Alpha | 228.89 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.44 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.344 |
| Beta | 0.392 |
| Beta Downside | 0.247 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.33% |
| Mean DD | 16.48% |
| Median DD | 13.93% |
Description: AU AngloGold Ashanti October 08, 2025
AngloGold Ashanti plc (NYSE:AU) is a publicly traded gold mining company headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, with operations spanning Africa, Australia, and the Americas. Its core activities include gold exploration and production, complemented by by-products such as silver and sulphuric acid. The companys flagship asset is the 100 % owned Geita mine, situated in the Lake Victoria goldfields of north-western Tanzania.
As of its 2023 annual report, AngloGold produced roughly 2.5 million ounces of gold, reporting an all-in sustaining cash cost of about US$950 per ounce-well below the industry average of ~US$1,100. The firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to the global gold price, which has been buoyed by sustained central-bank buying and inflation-hedge demand, driving the sector’s average price to around US$1,950/oz in 2024. However, geopolitical risk in Tanzania and tightening ESG regulations pose material uncertainties that could affect future output and cost structures.
For a deeper dive into AngloGold Ashanti’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a structured data set worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (2.00b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 499.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 33.47% (prev 16.55%; Δ 16.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.85b > Net Income 2.00b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-231.0m) to EBITDA (3.76b) ratio: -0.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.58 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (510.7m) change vs 12m ago 21.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.32% (prev 25.83%; Δ 19.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 70.36% (prev 70.78%; Δ -0.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.0 (EBITDA TTM 3.76b / Interest Expense TTM 208.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.63
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 4.54b - Total Current Liabilities 1.76b) / Total Assets 14.84b |
| (B) 0.48 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.14b / Total Assets 14.84b |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 2.29b / Avg Total Assets 11.82b |
| (D) 1.46 = Book Value of Equity 7.69b / Total Liabilities 5.28b |
| Total Rating: 5.63 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.36
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.73% |
| 3. FCF Margin 30.77% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 11.94)% |
| 7. RoE 28.12% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 42.55% |
| 9. EPS Trend 60.15% |
What is the price of AU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.77%, over one month by +24.26%, over three months by +39.37% and over the past year by +237.69%.
Is AU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 90.6 | 9.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 90.6 | 9.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 124.2 | 50.6% |
AU Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.4978
P/E Forward = 25.3807
P/S = 5.2349
P/B = 5.8374
Beta = 0.612
Revenue TTM = 8.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.29b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 164.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.31b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -231.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 44.66b USD (44.89b + Debt 2.31b - CCE 2.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.0 (Ebit TTM 2.29b / Interest Expense TTM 208.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.73% (FCF TTM 2.56b / Enterprise Value 44.66b)
FCF Margin = 30.77% (FCF TTM 2.56b / Revenue TTM 8.32b)
Net Margin = 24.10% (Net Income TTM 2.00b / Revenue TTM 8.32b)
Gross Margin = 45.32% ((Revenue TTM 8.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.32% (prev 48.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.01 (Enterprise Value 44.66b / Total Assets 14.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.50% (Interest Expense 81.0m / Debt 2.31b)
Taxrate = 22.89% (242.0m / 1.06b)
NOPAT = 1.76b (EBIT 2.29b * (1 - 22.89%))
Current Ratio = 2.58 (Total Current Assets 4.54b / Total Current Liabilities 1.76b)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 2.31b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.06 (Net Debt -231.0m / EBITDA 3.76b)
Debt / FCF = -0.09 (Net Debt -231.0m / FCF TTM 2.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.51% (Net Income 2.00b / Total Assets 14.84b)
RoE = 28.12% (Net Income TTM 2.00b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.13b)
RoCE = 25.00% (EBIT 2.29b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.13b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 19.16% (NOPAT 1.76b / Invested Capital 9.21b)
WACC = 7.23% (E(44.89b)/V(47.20b) * Re(7.46%) + D(2.31b)/V(47.20b) * Rd(3.50%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 10.09%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈1.71b ; Y1≈1.12b ; Y5≈512.9m
Fair Price DCF = 19.97 (DCF Value 10.08b / Shares Outstanding 504.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 60.15 | EPS CAGR: 44.73% | SUE: 0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.55 | Revenue CAGR: 25.48% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.01 | Chg30d=-0.205 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.12 | Chg30d=-0.022 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+33.8% | Growth Revenue=+13.5%
Additional Sources for AU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle