(AU) AngloGold Ashanti - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Sulphuric Acid
AU EPS (Earnings per Share)
AU Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 87.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.13% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.59 |
| Alpha | 227.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.486 |
| Beta | 0.370 |
| Beta Downside | 0.212 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.33% |
| Mean DD | 16.42% |
| Median DD | 13.93% |
Description: AU AngloGold Ashanti October 08, 2025
AngloGold Ashanti plc (NYSE:AU) is a publicly traded gold mining company headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, with operations spanning Africa, Australia, and the Americas. Its core activities include gold exploration and production, complemented by by-products such as silver and sulphuric acid. The companys flagship asset is the 100 % owned Geita mine, situated in the Lake Victoria goldfields of north-western Tanzania.
As of its 2023 annual report, AngloGold produced roughly 2.5 million ounces of gold, reporting an all-in sustaining cash cost of about US$950 per ounce-well below the industry average of ~US$1,100. The firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to the global gold price, which has been buoyed by sustained central-bank buying and inflation-hedge demand, driving the sector’s average price to around US$1,950/oz in 2024. However, geopolitical risk in Tanzania and tightening ESG regulations pose material uncertainties that could affect future output and cost structures.
For a deeper dive into AngloGold Ashanti’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a structured data set worth exploring.
AU Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 35,034m |
| Sub-Industry | Gold |
| IPO / Inception | 1972-12-15 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 200% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.38 of 5 |
AU Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.72% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 38.95% |
| Payout Consistency | 70.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 53.5% |
AU Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 71.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.47 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 4.33 |
| Current Volume | 2500.3k |
| Average Volume | 3080.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.80b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 458.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 34.91% (prev 13.82%; Δ 21.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.04b > Net Income 1.80b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (311.0m) to EBITDA (3.26b) ratio: 0.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.99 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (503.4m) change vs 12m ago 19.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.95% (prev 25.20%; Δ 17.75pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 68.00% (prev 86.76%; Δ -18.75pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.58 (EBITDA TTM 3.26b / Interest Expense TTM 162.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.36
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 4.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.34b) / Total Assets 14.13b |
| (B) 0.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.87b / Total Assets 14.13b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 1.55b / Avg Total Assets 11.25b |
| (D) 1.53 = Book Value of Equity 7.42b / Total Liabilities 4.84b |
| Total Rating: 5.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.23
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.05% = 2.53 |
| 3. FCF Margin 23.35% = 5.84 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.31 = 2.45 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.10 = 2.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.36)% = 9.21 |
| 7. RoE 28.94% = 2.41 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 36.49% = 2.74 |
| 9. EPS Trend 31.28% = 1.56 |
What is the price of AU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.38%, over one month by +8.09%, over three months by +47.26% and over the past year by +243.81%.
Is AngloGold Ashanti a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AU is around 107.28 USD . This means that AU is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +35.13% (Margin of Safety).
Is AU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 88.3 | 11.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 88.3 | 11.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 118 | 48.7% |
AU Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 18.3624
P/E Forward = 20.5761
P/S = 4.5802
P/B = 4.9317
Beta = 0.612
Revenue TTM = 7.65b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 167.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.31b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 311.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 35.35b USD (35.03b + Debt 2.31b - CCE 2.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.58 (Ebit TTM 1.55b / Interest Expense TTM 162.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.05% (FCF TTM 1.79b / Enterprise Value 35.35b)
FCF Margin = 23.35% (FCF TTM 1.79b / Revenue TTM 7.65b)
Net Margin = 23.60% (Net Income TTM 1.80b / Revenue TTM 7.65b)
Gross Margin = 42.95% ((Revenue TTM 7.65b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.36b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.96% (prev 42.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.50 (Enterprise Value 35.35b / Total Assets 14.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.90% (Interest Expense 44.0m / Debt 2.31b)
Taxrate = 22.94% (240.0m / 1.05b)
NOPAT = 1.20b (EBIT 1.55b * (1 - 22.94%))
Current Ratio = 2.99 (Total Current Assets 4.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.31 (Debt 2.31b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.42b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.10 (Net Debt 311.0m / EBITDA 3.26b)
Debt / FCF = 0.17 (Net Debt 311.0m / FCF TTM 1.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.78% (Net Income 1.80b / Total Assets 14.13b)
RoE = 28.94% (Net Income TTM 1.80b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.24b)
RoCE = 18.80% (EBIT 1.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.24b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 14.38% (NOPAT 1.20b / Invested Capital 8.32b)
WACC = 7.01% (E(35.03b)/V(37.35b) * Re(7.38%) + D(2.31b)/V(37.35b) * Rd(1.90%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 9.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈1.23b ; Y1≈809.5m ; Y5≈370.2m
Fair Price DCF = 14.42 (DCF Value 7.28b / Shares Outstanding 504.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 31.28 | EPS CAGR: -35.01% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 36.49 | Revenue CAGR: 30.61% | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle