AVA Stock Analysis: Avista | NYSE
Utilities - Diversified | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.071m USD | 12M Return: 0.1% | US05379B1070 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 25.2M
EPS Trend: 42.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 72.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Avista Corporation (NYSE: AVA) is a U.S. multi-utility company headquartered in Spokane, Washington, operating through two segments: Avista Utilities and Alaska Electric Light and Power Company (AEL&P). Avista Utilities provides electric distribution, transmission, and natural gas distribution services in parts of eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and Oregon, and also engages in the wholesale purchase and sale of electricity and natural gas. AEL&P provides electric services in Juneau, Alaska. Multi-utilities like Avista typically operate as regulated entities, with rates set by state public utility commissions.
The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, thermal, wind, and solar facilities. As of December 31, 2025, it served approximately 429,000 retail electrical customers, 386,000 retail natural gas customers, and 17,600 electrical customers in Alaska. Its owned generation includes five hydroelectric facilities totaling 102.7 MW and four diesel generating facilities totaling 107.5 MW. The company also holds venture fund, real estate, and other investments as supplementary lines of business.
Avista was incorporated in 1889 and was formerly known as Washington Water Power before adopting its current name in January 1999. The stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker AVA and is classified within the Utilities sector under the Multi-Utilities sub-industry.
- Washington rate case approval sets electric and gas ROE
- Hydroelectric output varies with Pacific Northwest water conditions
- Natural gas commodity costs pressure distribution margins
| Net Income: 227.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.14 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.39% < 20% (prev -0.05%; Δ 3.44% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 546.0m > Net Income 227.0m |
| Net Debt (3.36b) to EBITDA (659.0m): 5.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (83.1m) vs 12m ago 2.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.19% > 18% (prev 61.80%; Δ -17.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 23.12% > 50% (prev 24.23%; Δ -1.11% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.49 > 6 (EBIT TTM 378.0m / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 715.0m - Total Current Liabilities 650.0m) / Total Assets 8.54b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 951.0m / Total Assets 8.54b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 378.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.30b) |
| D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 2.82b / Total Liabilities 5.71b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.24 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.73 (Receivables 169.0m/236.0m, Revenue 1.92b/1.95b) |
| GMI: 1.40 (GM 61.80% / 44.19%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 1.92b / 1.95b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 227.0m - CFO 546.0m) / TA 8.54b) |
| Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 36.67 with a total of 642,926 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.32%, over one month by -0.24%, over three months by -11.15% and over the past year by +0.12%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 35.20 (which is 4% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Avista has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.14. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AVA.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 41 | 11.8% |
P/E Trailing = 13.2383
P/E Forward = 13.0378
P/S = 1.6004
P/B = 1.0688
P/EG = 2.2729
Revenue TTM = 1.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 378.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 659.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 226.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.38b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 92.0m
Net Debt = 3.36b USD (calculated: Debt 3.38b - CCE 25.0m)
Enterprise Value = 6.43b USD (3.07b + Debt 3.38b - CCE 25.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.49 (Ebit TTM 378.0m / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m)
EV/FCF = -61.81x (Enterprise Value 6.43b / FCF TTM -104.0m)
FCF Yield = -1.62% (FCF TTM -104.0m / Enterprise Value 6.43b)
FCF Margin = -5.42% (FCF TTM -104.0m / Revenue TTM 1.92b)
Net Margin = 11.83% (Net Income TTM 227.0m / Revenue TTM 1.92b)
Gross Margin = 44.19% ((Revenue TTM 1.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.08% (prev 63.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 6.43b / Total Assets 8.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.49% (Interest Expense 152.0m / Debt 3.38b)
Taxrate = 3.81% (9.00m / 236.0m)
NOPAT = 363.6m (EBIT 378.0m * (1 - 3.81%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 715.0m / Total Current Liabilities 650.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.20 (Debt 3.38b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.09 (Net Debt 3.36b / EBITDA 659.0m)
Debt / FCF = -32.28 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.36b / FCF TTM -104.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.73% (Net Income 227.0m / Total Assets 8.54b)
RoE = 8.29% (Net Income TTM 227.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.74b)
RoCE = 6.82% (EBIT 378.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.74b + L.T.Debt 2.81b))
RoIC = 4.50% (NOPAT 363.6m / Invested Capital 8.09b)
WACC = 4.43% (E(3.07b)/V(6.45b) * Re(4.55%) + D(3.38b)/V(6.45b) * Rd(4.49%) * (1-Tc(0.04)))
Discount Rate = 4.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 99.26 | Cagr: 2.74%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -104.0m)
EPS Correlation: 42.21 | EPS CAGR: 2.37% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.58 | Revenue CAGR: 3.33% | SUE: -0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=+30.45% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.63 | Chg30d=+0.63% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+10.5% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.79 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+6.0% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)