(AVA) Avista - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Hydroelectric, Thermal, Wind
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.33% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.07% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 83.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.44% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.40 |
| Alpha | 3.35 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.392 |
| Beta | 0.142 |
| Beta Downside | 0.238 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.74% |
| Mean DD | 11.29% |
| Median DD | 10.08% |
Description: AVA Avista November 08, 2025
Avista Corporation (NYSE:AVA) operates as a regulated electric and natural-gas utility through two segments: Avista Utilities, serving eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and parts of Oregon and Montana, and Alaska Electric Light & Power (AEL&P), which provides electric service in Juneau, Alaska. The company delivers retail electricity to ~422,000 customers, natural-gas service to ~383,000 customers, and wholesale electricity to ~17,800 customers.
Generation assets include five hydroelectric plants (102.7 MW) and four diesel facilities (107.5 MW), complemented by a growing mix of wind and solar projects. As of FY 2024, Avista reported adjusted EBITDA of roughly $1.2 billion and a regulated rate base of about $7.5 billion, supporting a target ROE near 9 %-both metrics that are closely watched by utility investors.
Key economic drivers for Avista are the regional demand for clean energy, the ongoing decarbonization mandates in the Pacific Northwest, and the sensitivity of regulated rates to federal interest-rate trends. The company’s 2025 capital-expenditure plan targets $800 million, with a focus on expanding renewable capacity and modernizing grid infrastructure.
For a deeper dive into Avista’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform offers a data-rich overview worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (189.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 117.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.32pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.26% (prev -9.11%; Δ 5.85pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 483.8m > Net Income 189.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.15b) to EBITDA (639.1m) ratio: 4.92 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (81.3m) change vs 12m ago 2.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 63.36% (prev 58.43%; Δ 4.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 24.64% (prev 24.70%; Δ -0.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.38 (EBITDA TTM 639.1m / Interest Expense TTM 147.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.10
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 665.0m - Total Current Liabilities 729.0m) / Total Assets 8.16b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 874.0m / Total Assets 8.16b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 352.8m / Avg Total Assets 7.97b |
| (D) 0.48 = Book Value of Equity 2.65b / Total Liabilities 5.52b |
| Total Rating: 1.10 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.21
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.36% |
| 3. FCF Margin -1.16% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.21 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.92 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.03)% |
| 7. RoE 7.19% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 21.84% |
| 9. EPS Trend -5.30% |
What is the price of AVA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.39%, over one month by -6.33%, over three months by +7.24% and over the past year by +11.19%.
Is AVA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AVA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 41.2 | 6.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 41.2 | 6.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41.1 | 6.6% |
AVA Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.2076
P/E Forward = 13.8122
P/S = 1.5848
P/B = 1.1767
P/EG = 2.5107
Beta = 0.287
Revenue TTM = 1.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 352.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 639.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 287.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.15b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.26b USD (3.11b + Debt 3.19b - CCE 44.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.38 (Ebit TTM 352.8m / Interest Expense TTM 147.9m)
FCF Yield = -0.36% (FCF TTM -22.8m / Enterprise Value 6.26b)
FCF Margin = -1.16% (FCF TTM -22.8m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Net Margin = 9.63% (Net Income TTM 189.2m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Gross Margin = 63.36% ((Revenue TTM 1.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 719.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.46% (prev 68.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 6.26b / Total Assets 8.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.19% (Interest Expense 38.0m / Debt 3.19b)
Taxrate = 6.45% (2.00m / 31.0m)
NOPAT = 330.0m (EBIT 352.8m * (1 - 6.45%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 665.0m / Total Current Liabilities 729.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 3.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.92 (Net Debt 3.15b / EBITDA 639.1m)
Debt / FCF = -138.1 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 3.15b / FCF TTM -22.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.32% (Net Income 189.2m / Total Assets 8.16b)
RoE = 7.19% (Net Income TTM 189.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 6.49% (EBIT 352.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 2.81b))
RoIC = 5.82% (NOPAT 330.0m / Invested Capital 5.67b)
WACC = 3.79% (E(3.11b)/V(6.30b) * Re(6.54%) + D(3.19b)/V(6.30b) * Rd(1.19%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 6.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.03%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -22.8m)
EPS Correlation: -5.30 | EPS CAGR: -16.57% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 21.84 | Revenue CAGR: -1.82% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=-0.067 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.74 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+10.1% | Growth Revenue=-0.1%
Additional Sources for AVA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle