AWI Stock Analysis: Armstrong World Industries | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.959m USD | 12M Return: -14.9% | US04247X1028 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 53.8M
EPS Trend: 99.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Armstrong World Industries (NYSE: AWI) designs, manufactures, and sells ceiling and wall solutions primarily across the Americas, operating through two segments: Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties. Its product portfolio spans mineral fiber, fiberglass, metal, wood, felt, architectural resin and glass, wood fiber, and glass-reinforced-gypsum panels, along with ceiling perimeter/trim components and suspension grid systems that support drywall ceiling installations.
The Architectural Specialties segment focuses on higher-end, design-driven interior and exterior architectural applications mainly for commercial settings, while the broader business serves both new commercial and residential construction and the renovation of existing buildings. Products are sold through resale distributors, ceiling system contractors, wholesalers, retailers, and large home centers, reflecting a mix of specification-driven commercial sales and more channel-based residential demand typical of the building products industry.
Founded in 1860 and headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, AWI is classified within the Industrials sector (Building Products sub-industry) and trades as a mid-cap stock following its 2006 IPO. As a long-established ceiling systems specialist, the companys earnings tend to track North American non-residential construction activity, renovation cycles, and input cost trends for materials such as mineral fiber and steel used in grid products.
- Non-residential construction recovery boosts ceiling system demand
- Architectural Specialties margins expand on premium product mix shift
- Raw material cost inflation pressures Mineral Fiber segment profitability
| Net Income: 315.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.57% < 20% (prev 9.14%; Δ -0.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 358.8m > Net Income 315.3m |
| Net Debt (588.2m) to EBITDA (561.5m): 1.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.52 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.7m) vs 12m ago -2.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.30% > 18% (prev 40.58%; Δ -0.28% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 87.64% > 50% (prev 83.87%; Δ 3.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.04 > 6 (EBIT TTM 441.0m / Interest Expense TTM 31.4m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 425.3m - Total Current Liabilities 280.0m) / Total Assets 2.01b |
| B: 0.97 (Retained Earnings 1.95b / Total Assets 2.01b) |
| C: 0.23 (EBIT TTM 441.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.93b) |
| D: 0.79 (Book Value of Equity 884.3m / Total Liabilities 1.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.00 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 193.3m/159.0m, Revenue 1.70b/1.56b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 40.58% / 40.30%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.43 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 1.70b / 1.56b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 315.3m - CFO 358.8m) / TA 2.01b) |
| Beneish M = -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 168.16 with a total of 282,026 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.89%, over one month by +5.17%, over three months by +8.02% and over the past year by -14.94%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 158.60 (which is 5.7% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Armstrong World Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.30. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AWI.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 210.2 | 25% |
P/E Trailing = 22.5253
P/E Forward = 17.094
P/S = 4.1046
P/B = 7.8365
P/EG = 2.0241
Revenue TTM = 1.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 441.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 561.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 666.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 87.4m
Net Debt = 588.2m USD (calculated: Debt 666.8m - CCE 78.6m)
Enterprise Value = 7.55b USD (6.96b + Debt 666.8m - CCE 78.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.04 (Ebit TTM 441.0m / Interest Expense TTM 31.4m)
EV/FCF = 29.54x (Enterprise Value 7.55b / FCF TTM 255.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.39% (FCF TTM 255.5m / Enterprise Value 7.55b)
FCF Margin = 15.07% (FCF TTM 255.5m / Revenue TTM 1.70b)
Net Margin = 18.60% (Net Income TTM 315.3m / Revenue TTM 1.70b)
Gross Margin = 40.30% ((Revenue TTM 1.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.31% (prev 37.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.76 (Enterprise Value 7.55b / Total Assets 2.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.71% (Interest Expense 31.4m / Debt 666.8m)
Taxrate = 23.02% (94.3m / 409.6m)
NOPAT = 339.5m (EBIT 441.0m * (1 - 23.02%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 425.3m / Total Current Liabilities 280.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.75 (Debt 666.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 884.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.05 (Net Debt 588.2m / EBITDA 561.5m)
Debt / FCF = 2.30 (Net Debt 588.2m / FCF TTM 255.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 891.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.30% (Net Income 315.3m / Total Assets 2.01b)
RoE = 35.36% (Net Income TTM 315.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 891.8m)
RoCE = 32.11% (EBIT 441.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 891.8m + L.T.Debt 481.7m))
RoIC = 20.25% (NOPAT 339.5m / Invested Capital 1.68b)
WACC = 7.90% (E(6.96b)/V(7.63b) * Re(8.31%) + D(666.8m)/V(7.63b) * Rd(4.71%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.16 | Cagr: -1.42%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈240.7m ; Y1≈275.9m ; Y5≈406.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 130.7 (EV 6.11b - Net Debt 588.2m = Equity 5.52b / Shares 42.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.00 | EPS CAGR: 16.68% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.10 | Revenue CAGR: 11.70% | SUE: 0.98 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.39 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-8% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.44 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+13.8% | GrowthRev=+10.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.58 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+13.6% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -21% (up=4, down=7)