(AWI) Armstrong World Industries - Ratings and Ratios
Ceiling Panels, Wall Panels, Suspension Grid, Mineral Fiber, Architectural Trim
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.68% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.71% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.11% |
| Payout Consistency | 45.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 17.3% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.64% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 |
| Alpha | 8.14 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.71 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.560 |
| Beta | 0.867 |
| Beta Downside | 0.876 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.25% |
| Mean DD | 6.29% |
| Median DD | 5.52% |
Description: AWI Armstrong World Industries November 03, 2025
Armstrong World Industries (AWI) designs, manufactures, and sells a broad portfolio of ceiling and wall solutions-including mineral-fiber, fiberglass, metal, wood, and glass-reinforced gypsum products-through its Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments, serving both new construction and renovation markets across the Americas.
In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $2 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 12%, while its exposure to U.S. commercial construction spending makes it sensitive to the broader building-products cycle and to input-cost volatility in fiberglass and resin commodities; recent trends toward sustainable, low-VOC interior finishes are adding incremental demand for its specialty ceiling systems.
For a deeper, data-driven view of AWI’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay to see how its fundamentals stack up against sector peers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (305.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 96.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.41% (prev 10.02%; Δ -1.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 332.1m > Net Income 305.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (19.8m) to EBITDA (544.4m) ratio: 0.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (43.6m) change vs 12m ago -0.68% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.50% (prev 40.08%; Δ 0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 86.56% (prev 77.07%; Δ 9.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.97 (EBITDA TTM 544.4m / Interest Expense TTM 35.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.79
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 395.7m - Total Current Liabilities 261.1m) / Total Assets 1.89b |
| (B) 0.93 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.76b / Total Assets 1.89b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.93 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 427.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.85b |
| (D) 1.65 = Book Value of Equity 1.65b / Total Liabilities 1.00b |
| Total Rating: 6.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 90.07
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.97% |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.10% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.04 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 16.66)% |
| 7. RoE 37.27% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.07% |
| 9. EPS Trend 78.33% |
What is the price of AWI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.33%, over one month by -1.17%, over three months by -5.03% and over the past year by +20.86%.
Is AWI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AWI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 207.1 | 11.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 207.1 | 11.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 223.4 | 19.9% |
AWI Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.9498
P/E Forward = 22.8833
P/S = 5.0779
P/B = 9.1325
P/EG = 1.66
Beta = 1.298
Revenue TTM = 1.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 427.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 544.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 386.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 38.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 109.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 19.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.15b USD (8.13b + Debt 109.9m - CCE 90.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.97 (Ebit TTM 427.2m / Interest Expense TTM 35.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.97% (FCF TTM 241.7m / Enterprise Value 8.15b)
FCF Margin = 15.10% (FCF TTM 241.7m / Revenue TTM 1.60b)
Net Margin = 19.09% (Net Income TTM 305.4m / Revenue TTM 1.60b)
Gross Margin = 40.50% ((Revenue TTM 1.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 952.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.98% (prev 41.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.30 (Enterprise Value 8.15b / Total Assets 1.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.46% (Interest Expense 8.20m / Debt 109.9m)
Taxrate = 21.19% (23.2m / 109.5m)
NOPAT = 336.7m (EBIT 427.2m * (1 - 21.19%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 395.7m / Total Current Liabilities 261.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 109.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 889.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.04 (Net Debt 19.8m / EBITDA 544.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.08 (Net Debt 19.8m / FCF TTM 241.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 819.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.13% (Net Income 305.4m / Total Assets 1.89b)
RoE = 37.27% (Net Income TTM 305.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 819.4m)
RoCE = 35.43% (EBIT 427.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 819.4m + L.T.Debt 386.4m))
RoIC = 25.82% (NOPAT 336.7m / Invested Capital 1.30b)
WACC = 9.17% (E(8.13b)/V(8.24b) * Re(9.21%) + D(109.9m)/V(8.24b) * Rd(7.46%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.68%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.74% ; FCFE base≈212.9m ; Y1≈262.6m ; Y5≈448.0m
Fair Price DCF = 142.7 (DCF Value 6.15b / Shares Outstanding 43.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.33 | EPS CAGR: 18.35% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.07 | Revenue CAGR: 11.52% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=+0.006 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.44 | Chg30d=+0.091 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.9%
Additional Sources for AWI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle