(AWK) American Water Works - Ratings and Ratios
Water, Wastewater, Treatment, Distribution, Services
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.52% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.38% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.71% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 57.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.04% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.11 |
| Alpha | -4.67 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.366 |
| Beta | -0.200 |
| Beta Downside | -0.212 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.67% |
| Mean DD | 12.47% |
| Median DD | 11.16% |
Description: AWK American Water Works October 14, 2025
American Water Works Company (NYSE: AWK) is the largest publicly-owned U.S. water and wastewater utility, operating in 14 states and serving roughly 3.5 million customers across residential, commercial, industrial, and public-sector segments.
The firm’s infrastructure portfolio includes about 80 surface-water treatment plants, 520 groundwater treatment plants, 190 wastewater treatment plants, 54,500 mi of pipelines, 1,200 wells, 1,800 pumping stations, 1,100 storage facilities, and 75 dams, reflecting a highly capital-intensive, regulated business model.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of $4.4 bn, an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~58 %, and a regulated rate-base growth of roughly 6 % YoY, driven largely by inflation pass-through mechanisms and ongoing capital-investment programs approved by state regulators.
Sector-wide, water utilities benefit from secular demand growth (U.S. population +0.7 % YoY), increasing water-use efficiency mandates, and heightened climate-resilience spending, all of which support stable cash-flow generation for companies like AWK.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard for AWK’s forward cash-flow projections and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (1.11b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 304.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.05pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -42.11% (prev -19.82%; Δ -22.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.04b > Net Income 1.11b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.20b) to EBITDA (2.90b) ratio: 5.24 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (195.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 60.75% (prev 59.89%; Δ 0.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 15.24% (prev 14.20%; Δ 1.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.45 (EBITDA TTM 2.90b / Interest Expense TTM 589.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.37
| (A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 1.55b - Total Current Liabilities 3.69b) / Total Assets 34.75b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.66b / Total Assets 34.75b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 2.03b / Avg Total Assets 33.27b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 2.67b / Total Liabilities 23.84b |
| Total Rating: 0.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.87
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.40% |
| 3. FCF Margin -19.27% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.24 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.56)% |
| 7. RoE 10.48% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.20% |
| 9. EPS Trend 54.94% |
What is the price of AWK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.88%, over one month by +1.31%, over three months by -8.34% and over the past year by +0.83%.
Is AWK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AWK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 142.1 | 10.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 142.1 | 10.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 130.8 | 1.5% |
AWK Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.1125
P/E Forward = 21.7391
P/S = 5.0613
P/B = 2.3747
P/EG = 2.6918
Beta = 0.753
Revenue TTM = 5.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.03b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 40.78b USD (25.66b + Debt 15.37b - CCE 256.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.45 (Ebit TTM 2.03b / Interest Expense TTM 589.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.40% (FCF TTM -977.0m / Enterprise Value 40.78b)
FCF Margin = -19.27% (FCF TTM -977.0m / Revenue TTM 5.07b)
Net Margin = 21.93% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 5.07b)
Gross Margin = 60.75% ((Revenue TTM 5.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.96% (prev 62.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 40.78b / Total Assets 34.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 158.0m / Debt 15.37b)
Taxrate = 23.28% (115.0m / 494.0m)
NOPAT = 1.56b (EBIT 2.03b * (1 - 23.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.42 (Total Current Assets 1.55b / Total Current Liabilities 3.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.41 (Debt 15.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.24 (Net Debt 15.20b / EBITDA 2.90b)
Debt / FCF = -15.55 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.20b / FCF TTM -977.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.61b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.20% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 34.75b)
RoE = 10.48% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.61b)
RoCE = 8.60% (EBIT 2.03b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.61b + L.T.Debt 13.02b))
RoIC = 6.16% (NOPAT 1.56b / Invested Capital 25.30b)
WACC = 3.60% (E(25.66b)/V(41.03b) * Re(5.28%) + D(15.37b)/V(41.03b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -977.0m)
EPS Correlation: 54.94 | EPS CAGR: 37.36% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.20 | Revenue CAGR: 11.93% | SUE: 3.56 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=+0.048 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.09 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+6.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.7%
Additional Sources for AWK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle