AWK Stock Analysis: American Water Works | NYSE

Utilities - Regulated Water | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 30.348m USD | 12M Return: 18.9% | US0304201033 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Water Supply, Wastewater Treatment, Military Services, Municipal Contracts
Total Rating 42
Safety 63
Buy Signal 0.67
Utilities - Regulated Water
Industry Rotation: +16.1
Market Cap: 30.3B
Avg Turnover: 290M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility22.1%
VaR 5th Pctl3.77%
VaR vs Median3.46%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.64
Rel. Str. IBD80.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group85 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.631
Beta Downside-0.539
Hurst Exponent0.453
Choppyness47.3%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD18.81%
CAGR/Max DD0.51
CAGR/Mean DD1.20
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AWK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.53, "2021-12": 0.59, "2022-03": 0.87, "2022-06": 1.2, "2022-09": 1.63, "2022-12": 0.73, "2023-03": 0.91, "2023-06": 1.44, "2023-09": 1.66, "2023-12": 0.88, "2024-03": 0.95, "2024-06": 1.42, "2024-09": 1.8, "2024-12": 1.22, "2025-03": 1.05, "2025-06": 1.48, "2025-09": 1.94, "2025-12": 1.24, "2026-03": 1.01, "2026-06": 1.61, "2026-09": 2,
EPS CAGR: 7.62%
EPS Trend: 95.6%
Last SUE: -1.42
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of AWK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1092, 2021-12: 951, 2022-03: 842, 2022-06: 937, 2022-09: 1082, 2022-12: 931, 2023-03: 938, 2023-06: 1097, 2023-09: 1167, 2023-12: 1032, 2024-03: 1011, 2024-06: 1149, 2024-09: 1323, 2024-12: 1201, 2025-03: 1142, 2025-06: 1276, 2025-09: 1451, 2025-12: 1271, 2026-03: 1207, 2026-06: 1355, 2026-09: 1510,
Rev. CAGR: 9.60%
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Last SUE: -1.64
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Idiosyncratic Leader
Tailwind

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.7% 15
Feb -2.3% 18
Mar +3.4% 37
Apr +1.1% 27
May -1.4% 33
Jun -0.1% 10
Jul +2.4% 43
Aug +0.2% 7
Sep -2.7% 34
Oct -1.4% 2
Nov +1.1% 14
Dec -0.9% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AWK American Water Works

American Water Works Company (NYSE: AWK) is the largest publicly traded water and wastewater utility in the United States, headquartered in Camden, New Jersey, and founded in 1886. The company provides water and wastewater services across 14 states to approximately 3.6 million active customers, including residential, commercial, industrial, fire service, and public authority customers. It also operates and manages water and wastewater facilities on military installations and under municipal contracts.

AWK operates an extensive infrastructure network that includes surface water treatment plants, groundwater treatment plants, wastewater treatment plants, tens of thousands of miles of transmission and distribution mains, groundwater wells, pumping stations, treated water storage facilities, and dams. As a regulated water utility under the GICS Utilities sector, the company earns revenue primarily through rates approved by state public utility commissions, which permit regulated returns on its invested rate base. This regulated structure typically delivers predictable, recurring cash flows tied to the essential nature of water service and ongoing capital investment in system upgrades.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Rate case approvals increase allowed ROE and revenue recovery
  • Municipal system acquisitions expand customer base and rate base
  • Federal lead and PFAS mandates accelerate infrastructure capital spending
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 1.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.30 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -43.08% < 20% (prev -42.11%; Δ -0.97% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 2.30b > Net Income 1.14b
Net Debt (16.4b) to EBITDA (2.90b): 5.65 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.39 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (199.0m) vs 12m ago 2.05% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.31% > 18% (prev 60.75%; Δ -19.44% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 14.85% > 50% (prev 14.59%; Δ 0.26% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.95 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.95b / Interest Expense TTM 659.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.73
A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.48b - Total Current Liabilities 3.79b) / Total Assets 37.2b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 3.12b / Total Assets 37.2b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 1.95b / Avg Total Assets 36.0b)
D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 11.9b / Total Liabilities 25.3b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.73 = B
Beneish M -2.77
DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 853.0m/899.0m, Revenue 5.34b/5.07b)
GMI: 1.47 (GM 60.75% / 41.31%)
AQI: 0.79 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 5.34b / 5.07b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.14b - CFO 2.30b) / TA 37.2b)
Beneish M = -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AWK shares?

As of November 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 149.22 with a total of 2,424,688 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.21%, over one month by +15.78%, over three months by +10.90% and over the past year by +18.89%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 144.60 (which is 3.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is AWK a buy, sell or hold?

American Water Works has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.38. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AWK.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AWK price?
Analysts Target Price 141.1 -5.4%
American Water Works (AWK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 30.3b (30.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.8778
P/E Forward = 22.5225
P/S = 5.6799
P/B = 2.497
P/EG = 2.6511
Revenue TTM = 5.34b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.95b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.0b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.35b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 81.0m
Net Debt = 16.4b USD (calculated: Debt 16.5b - CCE 121.0m)
Enterprise Value = 46.7b USD (30.3b + Debt 16.5b - CCE 121.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.95 (Ebit TTM 1.95b / Interest Expense TTM 659.0m)
EV/FCF = -40.39x (Enterprise Value 46.7b / FCF TTM -1.16b)
FCF Yield = -2.48% (FCF TTM -1.16b / Enterprise Value 46.7b)
FCF Margin = -21.65% (FCF TTM -1.16b / Revenue TTM 5.34b)
Net Margin = 21.26% (Net Income TTM 1.14b / Revenue TTM 5.34b)
Gross Margin = 41.31% ((Revenue TTM 5.34b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.14b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.45% (prev 75.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.26 (Enterprise Value 46.7b / Total Assets 37.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.99% (Interest Expense 659.0m / Debt 16.5b)
Taxrate = 21.38% (309.0m / 1.45b)
NOPAT = 1.53b (EBIT 1.95b * (1 - 21.38%))
Current Ratio = 0.39 (Total Current Assets 1.48b / Total Current Liabilities 3.79b)
Debt / Equity = 1.38 (Debt 16.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.65 (Net Debt 16.4b / EBITDA 2.90b)
 Debt / FCF = -14.16 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 16.4b / FCF TTM -1.16b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 11.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.16% (Net Income 1.14b / Total Assets 37.2b)
RoE = 9.99% (Net Income TTM 1.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.4b)
RoCE = 7.68% (EBIT 1.95b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.4b + L.T.Debt 14.0b))
RoIC = 4.29% (NOPAT 1.53b / Invested Capital 35.7b)
WACC = 3.40% (E(30.3b)/V(46.8b) * Re(3.54%) + D(16.5b)/V(46.8b) * Rd(3.99%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 3.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 3.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 62.16 | Cagr: 0.91%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.16b)
 EPS Correlation: 95.57 | EPS CAGR: 7.62% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 98.81 | Revenue CAGR: 9.60% | SUE: -1.64 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.55 | Chg30d=-0.90% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.08 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.9% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.59 | Chg30d=+0.40% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)