(AWR) American States Water - NYSE

Sector: Utilities | Industry: Utilities - Regulated Water | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.072m USD | Total Return: 0.9% in 12m

Potable Water, Electricity, Wastewater Services, Utility Management
Total Rating 45
Safety 55
Buy Signal -0.66
Utilities - Regulated Water
Industry Rotation: +3.2
Market Cap: 3.07B
Avg Turnover: 20.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility21.2%
VaR 5th Pctl3.67%
VaR vs Median5.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.06
Rel. Str. IBD41.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group75
Character TTM
Beta-0.201
Beta Downside-0.167
Hurst Exponent0.397
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.74%
CAGR/Max DD-0.08
CAGR/Mean DD-0.18
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AWR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.72, "2021-09": 0.76, "2021-12": 0.55, "2022-03": 0.47, "2022-06": 0.71, "2022-09": 0.82, "2022-12": 0.5, "2023-03": 0.57, "2023-06": 0.86, "2023-09": 0.85, "2023-12": 0.55, "2024-03": 0.62, "2024-06": 0.85, "2024-09": 0.95, "2024-12": 0.75, "2025-03": 0.7, "2025-06": 0.87, "2025-09": 1.06, "2025-12": 0.7355, "2026-03": 0.76,
EPS CAGR: 9.44%
EPS Trend: 97.7%
Last SUE: -0.19
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AWR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 128.414, 2021-09: 136.755, 2021-12: 116.624, 2022-03: 108.57, 2022-06: 122.607, 2022-09: 134.984, 2022-12: 125.367, 2023-03: 161.423, 2023-06: 157.4, 2023-09: 151.696, 2023-12: 125.18, 2024-03: 135.251, 2024-06: 155.328, 2024-09: 161.782, 2024-12: 143.098, 2025-03: 148.013, 2025-06: 163.066, 2025-09: 182.716, 2025-12: 164.278, 2026-03: 169.191,
Rev. CAGR: 5.38%
Rev. Trend: 82.6%
Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: AWR American States Water

American States Water Company (NYSE: AWR) is a public utility holding company operating through three primary segments: Water, Electric, and Contracted Services. Headquartered in California, the firm provides regulated water services to approximately 265,100 customers and electric services to roughly 24,900 customers. Its contracted services division manages water and wastewater systems at various United States military installations under long-term municipal-type privatized contracts.

The company operates within the regulated utility sector, a capital-intensive industry where rates are typically overseen by state commissions to ensure a fair return on infrastructure investment. Unlike many domestic peers, AWR’s business model is diversified by its military privatization segment, which provides a steady, non-regulated revenue stream through 50-year service agreements. For a deeper look into these long-term contract structures, visit ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • California Public Utilities Commission rate case decisions dictate regulated utility revenue growth
  • Long term military wastewater contracts provide stable non regulated recurring cash flows
  • Rising interest rates increase debt servicing costs and pressure dividend yield valuation
  • California wildfire risks and drought conditions impact operational costs and infrastructure spending
  • Sustained dividend growth record attracts income focused investors amidst macroeconomic volatility
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 133.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.51 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.85% < 20% (prev -9.22%; Δ 15.07% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 256.3m > Net Income 133.5m
Net Debt (916.0m) to EBITDA (257.3m): 3.56 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (39.2m) vs 12m ago 2.23% < -2%
Gross Margin: 57.52% > 18% (prev 75.56%; Δ -18.03% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 25.73% > 50% (prev 23.89%; Δ 1.84% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 207.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.8m)
Altman Z'' 2.04
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 221.4m - Total Current Liabilities 181.6m) / Total Assets 2.73b
B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 630.6m / Total Assets 2.73b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 207.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.64b)
D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 1.06b / Total Liabilities 1.67b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.04 = BBB
Beneish M -2.44
DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 140.7m/133.5m, Revenue 679.3m/608.2m)
GMI: 1.31 (GM 75.56% / 57.52%)
AQI: 1.45 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.04)
SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 679.3m / 608.2m)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 133.5m - CFO 256.3m) / TA 2.73b)
Beneish M = -2.44 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of AWR shares?

As of June 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 76.88 with a total of 647,283 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.18%, over one month by +0.32%, over three months by +6.11% and over the past year by +0.92%.

Is AWR a buy, sell or hold?

American States Water has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.75. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AWR.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the AWR price?
Analysts Target Price 76 -1.1%
American States Water (AWR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.07b (3.07b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.8484
P/E Forward = 21.1864
P/S = 4.5219
P/B = 2.8872
P/EG = 2.8241
Revenue TTM = 679.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 207.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 257.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 914.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 938.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.60m
Net Debt = 916.0m USD (calculated: Debt 938.2m - CCE 22.2m)
Enterprise Value = 3.99b USD (3.07b + Debt 938.2m - CCE 22.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.43 (Ebit TTM 207.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.8m)
EV/FCF = 104.9x (Enterprise Value 3.99b / FCF TTM 38.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.95% (FCF TTM 38.0m / Enterprise Value 3.99b)
FCF Margin = 5.59% (FCF TTM 38.0m / Revenue TTM 679.3m)
Net Margin = 19.66% (Net Income TTM 133.5m / Revenue TTM 679.3m)
Gross Margin = 57.52% ((Revenue TTM 679.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 288.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.75% (prev 46.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 3.99b / Total Assets 2.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.99% (Interest Expense 46.8m / Debt 938.2m)
Taxrate = 23.39% (40.8m / 174.3m)
NOPAT = 158.8m (EBIT 207.3m * (1 - 23.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 221.4m / Total Current Liabilities 181.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.88 (Debt 938.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.56 (Net Debt 916.0m / EBITDA 257.3m)
Debt / FCF = 24.11 (Net Debt 916.0m / FCF TTM 38.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.06% (Net Income 133.5m / Total Assets 2.73b)
RoE = 13.06% (Net Income TTM 133.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.02b)
RoCE = 10.70% (EBIT 207.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.02b + L.T.Debt 914.7m))
RoIC = 6.25% (NOPAT 158.8m / Invested Capital 2.54b)
WACC = 4.94% (E(3.07b)/V(4.01b) * Re(5.28%) + D(938.2m)/V(4.01b) * Rd(4.99%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 2.51%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈38.0m ; Y1≈38.2m ; Y5≈40.4m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 628.6m - Net Debt 916.0m = -287.4m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 97.70 | EPS CAGR: 9.44% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.55 | Revenue CAGR: 5.38% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.71 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+10.1% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.81 | Chg30d=+1.73% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+2.8% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%