(AWR) American States Water - Overview
Stock: Water, Electricity, Wastewater
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.55% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.65% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.48% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 73.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.20 |
| Alpha | -4.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | -0.046 |
| Beta Downside | -0.228 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.09% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.25 |
Description: AWR American States Water January 11, 2026
American States Water Company (NYSE:AWR) is a regulated utility that delivers water to roughly 264,600 customers across 80 communities in Northern, Coastal, and Southern California and supplies electricity to about 24,900 customers in the Big Bear Lake area of San Bernardino County. Its operations are organized into three segments-Water, Electric, and Contracted Services-and it also provides water and wastewater treatment at select U.S. military installations. Founded in 1929, the firm is headquartered in San Dimas, California.
Key metrics that investors watch include a 2023 operating cash flow of approximately $460 million and a dividend yield near 2.5%, reflecting the company’s stable cash generation and commitment to returning capital. The water segment’s rate base grew about 5% year-over-year, driven by modest population growth in California’s high-value residential markets and ongoing infrastructure upgrades. A primary sector driver is the state’s drought-risk environment, which can lead to higher water rates but also raises regulatory scrutiny and capital-intensive conservation projects.
For a deeper, data-rich view of AWR’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 130.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.37% < 20% (prev -17.15%; Δ 25.52% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 266.5m > Net Income 130.1m |
| Net Debt (895.7m) to EBITDA (258.5m): 3.46 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (38.7m) vs 12m ago 2.70% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 70.11% > 18% (prev 0.70%; Δ 6941 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 25.09% > 50% (prev 23.86%; Δ 1.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.49 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 258.5m / Interest Expense TTM 47.1m) |
Altman Z'' 2.09
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 250.8m - Total Current Liabilities 197.5m) / Total Assets 2.66b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 611.3m / Total Assets 2.66b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 211.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.54b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 1.01b / Total Liabilities 1.65b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.09 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.78
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 150.2m/140.5m, Revenue 636.9m/577.5m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 70.11% / 70.23%) |
| AQI: 1.42 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 636.9m / 577.5m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 130.1m - CFO 266.5m) / TA 2.66b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of AWR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.41%, over one month by -2.85%, over three months by -5.32% and over the past year by -1.67%.
Is AWR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AWR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 72 | 2.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 72 | 2.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 73 | 3.6% |
AWR Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.79
P/S = 4.435
P/B = 2.7748
P/EG = 3.057
Revenue TTM = 636.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 211.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 258.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 909.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.56m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 921.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 895.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.72b USD (2.82b + Debt 921.8m - CCE 26.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.49 (Ebit TTM 211.2m / Interest Expense TTM 47.1m)
EV/FCF = 106.5x (Enterprise Value 3.72b / FCF TTM 34.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.94% (FCF TTM 34.9m / Enterprise Value 3.72b)
FCF Margin = 5.48% (FCF TTM 34.9m / Revenue TTM 636.9m)
Net Margin = 20.43% (Net Income TTM 130.1m / Revenue TTM 636.9m)
Gross Margin = 70.11% ((Revenue TTM 636.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 190.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.28% (prev 73.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.40 (Enterprise Value 3.72b / Total Assets 2.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.27% (Interest Expense 11.7m / Debt 921.8m)
Taxrate = 23.89% (12.9m / 54.1m)
NOPAT = 160.7m (EBIT 211.2m * (1 - 23.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 250.8m / Total Current Liabilities 197.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.91 (Debt 921.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.46 (Net Debt 895.7m / EBITDA 258.5m)
Debt / FCF = 25.65 (Net Debt 895.7m / FCF TTM 34.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 964.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.13% (Net Income 130.1m / Total Assets 2.66b)
RoE = 13.49% (Net Income TTM 130.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 964.6m)
RoCE = 11.27% (EBIT 211.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 964.6m + L.T.Debt 909.3m))
RoIC = 8.48% (NOPAT 160.7m / Invested Capital 1.90b)
WACC = 4.57% (E(2.82b)/V(3.75b) * Re(5.74%) + D(921.8m)/V(3.75b) * Rd(1.27%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.16%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.18% ; FCFF base≈34.9m ; Y1≈31.3m ; Y5≈26.7m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 808.4m - Net Debt 895.7m = -87.3m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 4.75 | EPS CAGR: -38.63% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.91 | Revenue CAGR: 12.72% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.72 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.48 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+4.8% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%