(AXL) American Axle - Ratings and Ratios
Axles, Driveshafts, Driveline Components, Engine Parts, Transmission Parts
AXL EPS (Earnings per Share)
AXL Revenue
Description: AXL American Axle
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, a leading manufacturer of driveline and metal forming technologies, is strategically positioned to support the automotive industrys shift towards electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. With a global footprint spanning North America, Asia, Europe, and South America, the company leverages its expertise in driveline and metal forming to deliver a range of products, including axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, and engine, transmission, and driveline components, to major automotive manufacturers.
The companys diversified product portfolio is designed to meet the evolving needs of the automotive industry, with a focus on electric and hybrid driveline products and systems. Its Driveline segment is a key supplier of driveline components, including clutch modules, balance shaft systems, and disconnecting drivline technology, to major automotive manufacturers. Meanwhile, the Metal Forming segment provides a range of products, including engine, transmission, and driveline components, to support both traditional internal combustion engine and electric vehicle architectures.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stocks current price is 4.20, with a 20-day SMA of 4.29 and a 50-day SMA of 4.15, indicating a potential bearish trend. The 200-day SMA is at 5.23, suggesting that the stock is currently trading below its long-term average. The ATR is 0.17, representing a 4.08% daily price movement. Given these technical indicators, a potential trading strategy could be to wait for a breakout above the 20-day SMA, with a target price of 4.50, representing a 7% upside.
Considering the fundamental data, the companys market capitalization is approximately 537.54M USD, with a P/E ratio of 25.17 and a forward P/E of 11.83, indicating a potentially undervalued stock. The RoE is 3.62, suggesting that the company is generating returns, albeit modest, on its equity. Given these fundamental indicators, a potential forecast is that the companys stock could experience a re-rating as the automotive industry continues to recover and demand for its products increases, potentially driving the stock price towards 5.50, representing a 31% upside.
Based on the analysis, a potential investment thesis is that American AxL is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in the automotive industry, driven by increasing demand for its driveline and metal forming products. With a target price of 5.50, representing a 31% upside, and a stop-loss at 3.80, representing a 9.5% downside, the stock could be considered a buy, subject to individual risk tolerance and investment objectives.
AXL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 657m |
| Sub-Industry | Automotive Parts & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1999-01-29 |
AXL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -48.5% |
| Fundamental | 50.6% |
| Dividend Rating | 4.15% |
| Total Return vs S&P 500 | -25.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.00 of 5 |
AXL Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAXL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 57.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -77.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -70% |
| CAGR 5y | -4.94% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.07 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.02 |
| Alpha | -35.47 |
| Beta | 1.404 |
| Volatility | 59.33% |
| Current Volume | 3605.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 3862.7k |
| Stop Loss | 5.3 (-4.5%) |
| Signal | -1.66 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (42.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 350.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.19% (prev 13.60%; Δ 2.60pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 442.6m > Net Income 42.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-455.8m) to EBITDA (713.9m) ratio: -0.64 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.77 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (118.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 12.00% (prev 9.97%; Δ 2.04pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 110.0% (prev 117.2%; Δ -7.24pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.46 (EBITDA TTM 713.9m / Interest Expense TTM 175.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.33
| (A) 0.18 = (Total Current Assets 2.17b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 5.27b |
| (B) -0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -201.8m / Total Assets 5.27b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 255.9m / Avg Total Assets 5.31b |
| (D) -0.04 = Book Value of Equity -201.8m / Total Liabilities 4.60b |
| Total Rating: 1.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.63
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.95% = 2.98 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.77% = 0.69 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.93 = -1.96 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.70 = -2.43 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 1.43% = 1.78 |
| 7. RoE 6.98% = 0.58 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -9.06% = -0.45 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.02% = 0.00 |
| 10. EPS Trend data missing |
| 11. EPS CAGR 14.29% = 1.43 |
What is the price of AXL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.18%, over one month by +21.98%, over three months by +22.52% and over the past year by -13.69%.
Is American Axle a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AXL is around 5.45 USD . This means that AXL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.8%.
Is AXL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AXL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5.9 | 6.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5.2 | -6.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.8 | 4.1% |
Last update: 2025-08-13 02:50
AXL Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 586.5m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 15.8286
P/E Forward = 12.5628
P/S = 0.1127
P/B = 0.9768
P/EG = -1.17
Beta = 1.596
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 255.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 713.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.60b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 44.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.64b USD (Calculated: Short Term 44.9m + Long Term 2.60b)
Net Debt = -455.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.72b USD (657.4m + Debt 2.64b - CCE 586.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.46 (Ebit TTM 255.9m / Interest Expense TTM 175.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.95% (FCF TTM 161.7m / Enterprise Value 2.72b)
FCF Margin = 2.77% (FCF TTM 161.7m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = 0.73% (Net Income TTM 42.7m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 12.00% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -13.46 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 2.72b / Book Value Of Equity -201.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.64% (Interest Expense 43.5m / Debt 2.64b)
Taxrate = 44.27% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 27.8m / 62.8m)
NOPAT = 142.6m (EBIT 255.9m * (1 - 44.27%))
Current Ratio = 1.77 (Total Current Assets 2.17b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 3.93 (Debt 2.64b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 673.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.70 (Net Debt -455.8m / EBITDA 713.9m)
Debt / FCF = 16.36 (Debt 2.64b / FCF TTM 161.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 612.1m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 0.81% (Net Income 42.7m, Total Assets 5.27b )
RoE = 6.98% (Net Income TTM 42.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 612.1m)
RoCE = 7.97% (Ebit 255.9m / (Equity 612.1m + L.T.Debt 2.60b))
RoIC = 4.39% (NOPAT 142.6m / Invested Capital 3.25b)
WACC = 2.96% (E(657.4m)/V(3.30b) * Re(11.19%)) + (D(2.64b)/V(3.30b) * Rd(1.64%) * (1-Tc(0.44)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.83%
Discount Rate = 11.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.14% ; FCFE base≈172.8m ; Y1≈153.1m ; Y5≈127.6m
Fair Price DCF = 12.21 (DCF Value 1.45b / Shares Outstanding 118.7m; 5y FCF grow -14.01% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -9.06 | Revenue CAGR: 0.02%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -79.18%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: 14.29%
EPS Growth Correlation: 63.02%
Additional Sources for AXL Stock
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