(AXP) American Express - Ratings and Ratios
Credit Cards, Charge Cards, Banking, Payment Services, Travel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.88% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.10% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Alpha | -2.23 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.555 |
| Beta | 1.315 |
| Beta Downside | 1.328 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.76% |
| Mean DD | 5.93% |
| Median DD | 3.89% |
Description: AXP American Express December 01, 2025
American Express (AXP) is an integrated payments firm operating globally across four segments-U.S. Consumer Services, Commercial Services, International Card Services, and Global Merchant & Network Services-offering credit and charge cards, banking, expense-management tools, travel-lifestyle perks, and merchant-acquisition solutions.
Key operational highlights include a 2023 net revenue of roughly $57 billion, a fee-to-interest revenue mix of about 70 % (driven by its premium charge-card model), and a net interest margin that consistently outperforms the broader consumer-finance sector.
Macro-level drivers for AXP are discretionary-spending trends and travel demand; a 5 % rise in U.S. consumer travel expenditures typically lifts its “Travel & Lifestyle” fee revenue by an estimated 0.8 %-1 %.
For a deeper dive into AXP’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, check out the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 10.54b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.50 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -141.6% < 20% (prev -139.4%; Δ -2.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 21.14b > Net Income 10.54b |
| Net Debt (5.80b) to EBITDA (15.21b): 0.38 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (693.0m) vs 12m ago -2.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 83.03% > 18% (prev 0.81%; Δ 8221 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 27.66% > 50% (prev 26.84%; Δ 0.83% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.64 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 15.21b / Interest Expense TTM 8.21b) |
Altman Z'' -1.78
| A: -0.37 (Total Current Assets 54.71b - Total Current Liabilities 166.04b) / Total Assets 297.55b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 24.47b / Total Assets 297.55b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 13.46b / Avg Total Assets 284.26b) |
| D: 0.08 (Book Value of Equity 21.36b / Total Liabilities 265.13b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.78= D |
Beneish M -3.06
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 60.82b/58.89b, Revenue 78.64b/72.72b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 83.03% / 81.45%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.80 / AQ_t-1 0.80) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 78.64b / 72.72b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 10.54b - CFO 21.14b) / TA 297.55b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.06 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.15
| 1. Piotroski: 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 7.35% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 24.08% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 1.83 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 0.38 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 2.49% |
| 7. RoE: 33.41% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 96.07% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 84.48% |
What is the price of AXP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.98%, over one month by -3.15%, over three months by +4.78% and over the past year by +15.42%.
Is AXP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AXP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 374 | 1.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 374 | 1.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 466.1 | 26.6% |
AXP Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.4499
P/S = 3.8087
P/B = 7.6129
P/EG = 1.8101
Revenue TTM = 78.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 13.46b USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 57.79b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.45b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 59.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.80b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 257.72b USD (248.69b + Debt 59.23b - CCE 50.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.64 (Ebit TTM 13.46b / Interest Expense TTM 8.21b)
EV/FCF = 13.61x (Enterprise Value 257.72b / FCF TTM 18.94b)
FCF Yield = 7.35% (FCF TTM 18.94b / Enterprise Value 257.72b)
FCF Margin = 24.08% (FCF TTM 18.94b / Revenue TTM 78.64b)
Net Margin = 13.40% (Net Income TTM 10.54b / Revenue TTM 78.64b)
Gross Margin = 83.03% ((Revenue TTM 78.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.37% (prev 82.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 257.72b / Total Assets 297.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.60% (Interest Expense 2.13b / Debt 59.23b)
Taxrate = 24.13% (923.0m / 3.83b)
NOPAT = 10.21b (EBIT 13.46b * (1 - 24.13%))
Current Ratio = 0.33 (Total Current Assets 54.71b / Total Current Liabilities 166.04b)
Debt / Equity = 1.83 (Debt 59.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 32.42b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.38 (Net Debt 5.80b / EBITDA 15.21b)
Debt / FCF = 0.31 (Net Debt 5.80b / FCF TTM 18.94b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 31.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.71% (Net Income 10.54b / Total Assets 297.55b)
RoE = 33.41% (Net Income TTM 10.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 31.55b)
RoCE = 15.07% (EBIT 13.46b / Capital Employed (Equity 31.55b + L.T.Debt 57.79b))
RoIC = 11.70% (NOPAT 10.21b / Invested Capital 87.25b)
WACC = 9.22% (E(248.69b)/V(307.92b) * Re(10.76%) + D(59.23b)/V(307.92b) * Rd(3.60%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.77% ; FCFF base≈16.64b ; Y1≈16.65b ; Y5≈17.63b
Fair Price DCF = 355.5 (EV 250.67b - Net Debt 5.80b = Equity 244.87b / Shares 688.9m; r=9.22% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.54% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 84.48 | EPS CAGR: 18.65% | SUE: 1.16 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 96.07 | Revenue CAGR: 14.35% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.98 | Chg30d=-0.024 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=17.39 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.0%
Additional Sources for AXP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle