AZO Stock Analysis: AutoZone | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 49.483m USD | 12M Return: -22.6% | US0533321024 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 858M
EPS Trend: 93.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) is a major U.S.-based retailer and distributor of automotive aftermarket replacement parts and accessories, with operations spanning the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company sells a broad assortment of new and remanufactured hard parts, maintenance items, and accessories for cars, SUVs, vans, and light-duty trucks, covering categories such as batteries, brakes, filters, ignition components, fluids, and tires. Beyond parts, it offers non-automotive merchandise (air fresheners, snacks, tools, seat covers, etc.) and towing services. AutoZone also runs a commercial program providing credit and delivery of parts to repair shops, sells automotive diagnostic and shop management software under the ALLDATA brand, and operates e-commerce sites including autozone.com and duralastparts.com. Founded in 1979 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, AutoZone is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector and is one of the largest large-cap names in the Automotive Retail sub-industry, serving both DIY consumers and professional installers in the vehicle aftermarket.
- Commercial segment drives same-store sales growth
- Aggressive share buybacks boost earnings per share
- Aging US vehicle fleet supports replacement parts demand
| Net Income: 2.57b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.97 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.92% < 20% (prev -6.22%; Δ 1.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 3.12b > Net Income 2.57b |
| Net Debt (15.6b) to EBITDA (4.34b): 3.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (16.9m) vs 12m ago -1.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.34% > 18% (prev 52.62%; Δ -0.29% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 99.25% > 50% (prev 97.85%; Δ 1.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.72b / Interest Expense TTM 472.6m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 9.11b - Total Current Liabilities 10.1b) / Total Assets 21.6b |
| B: -0.17 (Retained Earnings -3.75b / Total Assets 21.6b) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 3.72b / Avg Total Assets 20.5b) |
| D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -2.50b / Total Liabilities 24.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.24 = B |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3120.59 with a total of 258,618 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.15%, over one month by +9.71%, over three months by +2.43% and over the past year by -22.57%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3006.30 (which is 3.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
AutoZone has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.52. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AZO.
- StrongBuy: 18
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 3720 | 19.2% |
P/E Trailing = 20.0565
P/E Forward = 16.5017
P/S = 2.433
P/B = 13.383
P/EG = 1.3095
Revenue TTM = 20.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.72b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.0b USD (estimated: total debt 12.4b - short term 417.3m)
Short Term Debt = 417.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.50b
Net Debt = 15.6b USD (calculated: Debt 16.0b - CCE 326.1m)
Enterprise Value = 65.1b USD (49.5b + Debt 16.0b - CCE 326.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.88 (Ebit TTM 3.72b / Interest Expense TTM 472.6m)
EV/FCF = 36.37x (Enterprise Value 65.1b / FCF TTM 1.79b)
FCF Yield = 2.75% (FCF TTM 1.79b / Enterprise Value 65.1b)
FCF Margin = 8.80% (FCF TTM 1.79b / Revenue TTM 20.3b)
Net Margin = 12.65% (Net Income TTM 2.57b / Revenue TTM 20.3b)
Gross Margin = 52.34% ((Revenue TTM 20.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.69b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.34% (prev 52.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.01 (Enterprise Value 65.1b / Total Assets 21.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.96% (Interest Expense 472.6m / Debt 16.0b)
Taxrate = 20.85% (677.9m / 3.25b)
NOPAT = 2.95b (EBIT 3.72b * (1 - 20.85%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 9.11b / Total Current Liabilities 10.1b)
Debt / Equity = -6.37 (negative equity) (Debt 16.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.60 (Net Debt 15.6b / EBITDA 4.34b)
Debt / FCF = 8.73 (Net Debt 15.6b / FCF TTM 1.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.55% (Net Income 2.57b / Total Assets 21.6b)
RoE = -90.08% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.57b / Total Stockholder Equity -2.86b)
RoCE = 40.59% (EBIT 3.72b / Capital Employed (Equity -2.86b + L.T.Debt 12.0b))
RoIC = 25.37% (NOPAT 2.95b / Invested Capital 11.6b)
WACC = 5.05% (E(49.5b)/V(65.4b) * Re(5.92%) + D(16.0b)/V(65.4b) * Rd(2.96%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.17 | Cagr: -2.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.79b ; Y1≈1.80b ; Y5≈1.90b
[DCF] Fair Price = 865.0 (EV 29.6b - Net Debt 15.6b = Equity 14.0b / Shares 16.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.85 | EPS CAGR: 4.81% | SUE: 0.64 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.76 | Revenue CAGR: 4.97% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-11-30): EPS=35.38 | Chg30d=-6.91% | Revisions=-61% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2027-02-28): EPS=31.72 | Chg30d=-1.54% | Revisions=-39% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2027-08-31): EPS=169.69 | Chg30d=-2.90% | Revisions=-72% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
EPS next Year (2028-08-31): EPS=190.92 | Chg30d=-2.13% | Revisions=-47% | GrowthEPS=+12.5% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64% (up=11, down=55)