(AZO) AutoZone - Overview
Stock: Automotive Parts, Accessories, Fluids, Tools, Maintenance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 |
| Alpha | -0.01 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.163 |
| Beta Downside | -0.007 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.48% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.54 |
Description: AZO AutoZone January 29, 2026
AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories across the United States, Mexico, and Brazil, serving passenger cars, SUVs, vans, and light-duty trucks with a broad assortment that includes both new and remanufactured hard parts, maintenance items, and non-automotive merchandise.
Key recent performance metrics (FY 2024 Q3): revenue of $4.2 billion, up 5.8% year-over-year; comparable-store sales grew 4.3% driven by higher DIY demand and a 2.1% increase in average transaction size; inventory turnover accelerated to 5.9×, reflecting tighter supply-chain management.
Sector drivers that underpin AutoZone’s outlook include the rising average age of the U.S. vehicle fleet (now 12.1 years, a 12-month high), which fuels parts-replacement demand, and a sustained labor-shortage in independent repair shops that pushes consumers toward DIY purchases.
For a deeper quantitative view, see the AZO profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 2.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.11% < 20% (prev -7.90%; Δ 0.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 3.25b > Net Income 2.46b |
| Net Debt (11.76b) to EBITDA (4.18b): 2.81 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.86 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (17.1m) vs 12m ago -1.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.15% > 18% (prev 0.53%; Δ 5161 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 103.9% > 50% (prev 106.4%; Δ -2.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.49 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.18b / Interest Expense TTM 474.5m) |
Altman Z'' 0.09
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 8.44b - Total Current Liabilities 9.81b) / Total Assets 19.67b |
| B: -0.18 (Retained Earnings -3.45b / Total Assets 19.67b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 3.55b / Avg Total Assets 18.57b) |
| D: -0.16 (Book Value of Equity -3.71b / Total Liabilities 22.89b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.09 = B |
Beneish M -2.92
| DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 637.8m/533.5m, Revenue 19.29b/18.58b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 52.15% / 53.13%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 19.29b / 18.58b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.46b - CFO 3.25b) / TA 19.67b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of AZO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.62%, over one month by +13.45%, over three months by +0.21% and over the past year by +6.19%.
Is AZO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AZO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4210.1 | 14.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4210.1 | 14.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4085 | 11% |
AZO Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 23.9234
P/S = 3.21
P/B = 13.383
P/EG = 1.9455
Revenue TTM = 19.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 287.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.76b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 73.68b USD (61.91b + Debt 12.05b - CCE 287.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.49 (Ebit TTM 3.55b / Interest Expense TTM 474.5m)
EV/FCF = 39.71x (Enterprise Value 73.68b / FCF TTM 1.86b)
FCF Yield = 2.52% (FCF TTM 1.86b / Enterprise Value 73.68b)
FCF Margin = 9.62% (FCF TTM 1.86b / Revenue TTM 19.29b)
Net Margin = 12.78% (Net Income TTM 2.46b / Revenue TTM 19.29b)
Gross Margin = 52.15% ((Revenue TTM 19.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.97% (prev 51.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.75 (Enterprise Value 73.68b / Total Assets 19.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 106.3m / Debt 12.05b)
Taxrate = 21.70% (147.1m / 677.9m)
NOPAT = 2.78b (EBIT 3.55b * (1 - 21.70%))
Current Ratio = 0.86 (Total Current Assets 8.44b / Total Current Liabilities 9.81b)
Debt / Equity = -3.73 (negative equity) (Debt 12.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.81 (Net Debt 11.76b / EBITDA 4.18b)
Debt / FCF = 6.34 (Net Debt 11.76b / FCF TTM 1.86b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.27% (Net Income 2.46b / Total Assets 19.67b)
RoE = -65.38% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.46b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.77b)
RoCE = 73.20% (EBIT 3.55b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.77b + L.T.Debt 8.62b))
RoIC = 54.95% (NOPAT 2.78b / Invested Capital 5.06b)
WACC = 5.56% (E(61.91b)/V(73.96b) * Re(6.51%) + D(12.05b)/V(73.96b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.42% ; FCFF base≈1.87b ; Y1≈1.72b ; Y5≈1.53b
Fair Price DCF = 2073 (EV 46.11b - Net Debt 11.76b = Equity 34.35b / Shares 16.6m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -10.39% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 48.09 | EPS CAGR: 9.22% | SUE: -2.51 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.24 | Revenue CAGR: 8.83% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-05-31): EPS=35.80 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=147.90 | Chg30d=+0.810 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+2.1% | Growth Revenue=+8.4%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=174.63 | Chg30d=-0.964 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+18.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%