(AZO) AutoZone - Ratings and Ratios
Parts, Accessories, Fluids, Tools, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.43% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.91 |
| Alpha | 16.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.495 |
| Beta | 0.158 |
| Beta Downside | 0.131 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.88% |
| Mean DD | 5.13% |
| Median DD | 4.40% |
Description: AZO AutoZone September 26, 2025
AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) operates a network of retail and distribution outlets that sell a broad assortment of automotive replacement parts, accessories, and related services across the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. Its product mix spans hard-goods such as engines, brakes, and batteries, consumables like fluids and filters, and ancillary items ranging from car-care chemicals to snack foods, complemented by commercial credit, delivery services, and digital offerings under the ALLDATA and Duralast brands.
In its most recent fiscal year (FY 2024), AutoZone generated approximately $14.5 billion in revenue, delivering a same-store sales growth of 7.2% and an operating margin of roughly 15.5%, both comfortably above the automotive retail peer average. Free cash flow stood at $2.1 billion, supporting a dividend yield near 2.1% and a share-repurchase program that has returned over $1 billion to shareholders since 2022. Inventory turnover improved to 5.8×, indicating efficient stock management amid lingering supply-chain constraints.
The company’s performance is closely tied to macro-level trends: the U.S. vehicle fleet’s average age has risen to about 12.1 years, fueling DIY and professional-shop demand for aftermarket parts; inflation-driven labor cost pressures have made cost-conscious consumers favor parts-instead-of-service solutions; and a tight new-car supply has accelerated parts sales for older models. AutoZone’s extensive store footprint (≈ 6,600 locations) and its robust e-commerce platform (autozone.com) position it to capture both in-store foot traffic and the growing online aftermarket market, which is projected to expand at a 5-6% CAGR through 2028.
Given these dynamics, a deeper dive into AutoZone’s valuation metrics and competitive positioning on ValueRay could help clarify whether its current premium is justified relative to sector peers.
AZO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 63,469m |
| Sub-Industry | Automotive Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1991-04-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 12.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.34 of 5 |
AZO Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAZO Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 14.68% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.82 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.86 |
| Current Volume | 123.4k |
| Average Volume | 127k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (2.62b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.17b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.00pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -6.06% (prev -7.61%; Δ 1.56pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.12b > Net Income 2.62b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.91b) to EBITDA (3.38b) ratio: 3.52 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.88 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (17.2m) change vs 12m ago -1.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.40% (prev 53.09%; Δ -0.70pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 106.5% (prev 107.6%; Δ -1.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.07 (EBITDA TTM 3.38b / Interest Expense TTM 478.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.20
| (A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 8.34b - Total Current Liabilities 9.52b) / Total Assets 19.36b |
| (B) -0.21 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.98b / Total Assets 19.36b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 2.90b / Avg Total Assets 18.27b |
| (D) -0.19 = Book Value of Equity -4.26b / Total Liabilities 22.77b |
| Total Rating: -0.20 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.59
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.37% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.20% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -3.57 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.52 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 42.62)% |
| 7. RoE -63.41% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 49.36% |
| 9. EPS Trend 54.54% |
What is the price of AZO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.80%, over one month by -2.99%, over three months by -7.41% and over the past year by +26.24%.
Is AZO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AZO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4579.1 | 18.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4579.1 | 18.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4244.3 | 10.2% |
AZO Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.3167
P/E Forward = 24.8139
P/S = 3.3513
P/B = 13.383
P/EG = 1.9754
Beta = 0.41
Revenue TTM = 19.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.90b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.80b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 283.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.91b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 75.37b USD (63.47b + Debt 12.18b - CCE 271.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.07 (Ebit TTM 2.90b / Interest Expense TTM 478.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.37% (FCF TTM 1.79b / Enterprise Value 75.37b)
FCF Margin = 9.20% (FCF TTM 1.79b / Revenue TTM 19.45b)
Net Margin = 13.46% (Net Income TTM 2.62b / Revenue TTM 19.45b)
Gross Margin = 52.40% ((Revenue TTM 19.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.52% (prev 52.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.89 (Enterprise Value 75.37b / Total Assets 19.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.22% (Interest Expense 148.1m / Debt 12.18b)
Taxrate = 20.14% (211.0m / 1.05b)
NOPAT = 2.32b (EBIT 2.90b * (1 - 20.14%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 8.34b / Total Current Liabilities 9.52b)
Debt / Equity = -3.57 (negative equity) (Debt 12.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.52 (Net Debt 11.91b / EBITDA 3.38b)
Debt / FCF = 6.65 (Net Debt 11.91b / FCF TTM 1.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -4.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.53% (Net Income 2.62b / Total Assets 19.36b)
RoE = -63.41% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.62b / Total Stockholder Equity -4.13b)
RoCE = 62.17% (EBIT 2.90b / Capital Employed (Equity -4.13b + L.T.Debt 8.80b))
RoIC = 48.31% (NOPAT 2.32b / Invested Capital 4.80b)
WACC = 5.69% (E(63.47b)/V(75.65b) * Re(6.60%) + D(12.18b)/V(75.65b) * Rd(1.22%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 6.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.93%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.53% ; FCFE base≈1.85b ; Y1≈1.65b ; Y5≈1.40b
Fair Price DCF = 1522 (DCF Value 25.31b / Shares Outstanding 16.6m; 5y FCF grow -13.12% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 54.54 | EPS CAGR: 23.19% | SUE: -0.80 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 49.36 | Revenue CAGR: 17.73% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AZO Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle