(BABA) Alibaba Holding - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Internet Retail | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 315.414m USD | Total Return: 9.6% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 1.40B
EPS Trend: -68.1%
Qual. Beats: -3
Rev. Trend: 17.6%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Alibaba Group Holding Limited operates a diversified global ecosystem centered on e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital media. Its core business includes domestic Chinese retail through Taobao and Tmall, alongside international platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada. Beyond retail, the company maintains a significant presence in logistics via Cainiao, provides enterprise cloud infrastructure through Alibaba Cloud, and develops artificial intelligence technologies through its Qwen and MaaS business units.
The company utilizes an asset-light marketplace model for its primary retail segments, connecting third-party sellers with consumers rather than holding extensive inventory. As a major player in the Broadline Retail sector, Alibaba integrates financial services, local delivery, and digital entertainment to drive user engagement across its various platforms. For a more granular analysis of these business segments, investors may find ValueRay to be a useful resource.
- Domestic e-commerce growth slows amid rising competition from Pinduoduo and JD.com
- Cloud Intelligence Group margin expansion depends on large-scale AI infrastructure adoption
- International commerce revenue scales through AliExpress and Lazada global market penetration
- Chinese regulatory environment and geopolitical tensions impact institutional investor sentiment
- Logistics efficiency improvements at Cainiao drive down overall fulfillment and delivery costs
| Net Income: 81.5b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -12.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.50% < 20% (prev 23.46%; Δ -6.96% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 75.1b > Net Income 81.5b |
| Net Debt (-76.8b) to EBITDA (112b): -0.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.40b) vs 12m ago 0.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.02% > 18% (prev 0.40%; Δ 4.06k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 43.75% > 50% (prev 55.14%; Δ -11.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.43 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 112b / Interest Expense TTM 7.84b) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 608b - Total Current Liabilities 475b) / Total Assets 1902b |
| B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 706b / Total Assets 1902b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 97.5b / Avg Total Assets 1855b) |
| D: 0.91 (Book Value of Equity 709b / Total Liabilities 780b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.98 = A |
| DSRI: 0.58 (Receivables 36.0b/76.2b, Revenue 812b/996b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 41.02% / 39.95%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.53 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 0.81 (Revenue 812b / 996b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 81.5b - CFO 75.1b) / TA 1902b) |
| Beneish M = -3.48 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 130.00 with a total of 11,848,300 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.95%,
over one month by -1.90%,
over three months by -14.63% and
over the past year by +9.63%.
Alibaba Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.70. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BABA.
- StrongBuy: 30
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 191.3 | 47.2% |
Market Cap CNY = 2143b (315b USD * 6.7948 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 20.3514
P/E Forward = 19.9601
P/S = 0.3081
P/B = 2.0263
P/EG = 0.4411
Revenue TTM = 812b CNY
EBIT TTM = 97.5b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 112b CNY
Long Term Debt = 232b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.1b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 281b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 21.7b
Net Debt = -76.8b CNY (calculated: Debt 281b - CCE 358b)
Enterprise Value = 2066b CNY (2143b + Debt 281b - CCE 358b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.43 (Ebit TTM 97.5b / Interest Expense TTM 7.84b)
EV/FCF = -13.79x (Enterprise Value 2066b / FCF TTM -150b)
FCF Yield = -7.25% (FCF TTM -150b / Enterprise Value 2066b)
FCF Margin = -18.47% (FCF TTM -150b / Revenue TTM 812b)
Net Margin = 10.04% (Net Income TTM 81.5b / Revenue TTM 812b)
Gross Margin = 41.02% ((Revenue TTM 812b - Cost of Revenue TTM 479b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.44% (prev 40.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 2066b / Total Assets 1902b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.79% (Interest Expense 7.84b / Debt 281b)
Taxrate = 23.38% (1.04b / 4.43b)
NOPAT = 74.7b (EBIT 97.5b * (1 - 23.38%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 608b / Total Current Liabilities 475b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 281b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1057b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.68 (Net Debt -76.8b / EBITDA 112b)
Debt / FCF = 0.51 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -76.8b / FCF TTM -150b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1036b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.39% (Net Income 81.5b / Total Assets 1902b)
RoE = 7.87% (Net Income TTM 81.5b / Total Stockholder Equity 1036b)
RoCE = 7.69% (EBIT 97.5b / Capital Employed (Equity 1036b + L.T.Debt 232b))
RoIC = 5.13% (NOPAT 74.7b / Invested Capital 1456b)
WACC = 8.67% (E(2143b)/V(2424b) * Re(9.53%) + D(281b)/V(2424b) * Rd(2.79%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -43.19 | Cagr: -2.41%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -150b)
EPS Correlation: -68.07 | EPS CAGR: -18.20% | SUE: -3.61 | # QB: -3
Revenue Correlation: 17.65 | Revenue CAGR: 1.25% | SUE: -3.10 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=10.20 | Chg30d=-14.82% | Revisions=-27% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=9.55 | Chg30d=-12.20% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=46.07 | Chg30d=-9.21% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+71.9% | GrowthRev=+10.6%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=62.57 | Chg30d=-6.56% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+35.8% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%