(BABA) Alibaba Holding - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Internet Retail | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 310.616m USD | Total Return: 10.2% in 12m

E-commerce, Cloud Computing, Logistics, Digital Media, Artificial Intelligence
Total Rating 32
Safety 86
Buy Signal -0.97
Internet Retail
Industry Rotation: +2.6
Market Cap: 311B
Avg Turnover: 1.48B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility42.8%
VaR 5th Pctl6.55%
VaR vs Median-7.15%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.36
Rel. Str. IBD16.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group36.1
Character TTM
Beta0.992
Beta Downside0.836
Hurst Exponent0.522
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.77%
CAGR/Max DD0.42
CAGR/Mean DD0.83
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BABA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 16.6, "2021-09": 11.2, "2021-12": 16.87, "2022-03": 7.95, "2022-06": 11.68, "2022-09": 12.92, "2022-12": 19.26, "2023-03": 10.71, "2023-06": 17.37, "2023-09": 15.63, "2023-12": 18.97, "2024-03": 10.14, "2024-06": 16.44, "2024-09": 15.06, "2024-12": 21.39, "2025-03": 12.52, "2025-06": 14.75, "2025-09": 4.36, "2025-12": 7.09, "2026-03": 0.62,
EPS CAGR: -17.88%
EPS Trend: -66.3%
Last SUE: -2.82
Qual. Beats: -3
Revenue Revenue of BABA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 205740, 2021-09: 200690, 2021-12: 242580, 2022-03: 204052, 2022-06: 205555, 2022-09: 207176, 2022-12: 247756, 2023-03: 208200, 2023-06: 234156, 2023-09: 224790, 2023-12: 260348, 2024-03: 221874, 2024-06: 243236, 2024-09: 236503, 2024-12: 280154, 2025-03: 236454, 2025-06: 247652, 2025-09: 247795, 2025-12: 284843, 2026-03: 243380,
Rev. CAGR: 4.99%
Rev. Trend: 99.0%
Last SUE: -0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: BABA Alibaba Holding

Alibaba Group Holding Limited operates a diversified global ecosystem centered on e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital media. Its core business includes domestic Chinese retail through Taobao and Tmall, alongside international platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada. Beyond retail, the company maintains a significant presence in logistics via Cainiao, provides enterprise cloud infrastructure through Alibaba Cloud, and develops artificial intelligence technologies through its Qwen and MaaS business units.

The company utilizes an asset-light marketplace model for its primary retail segments, connecting third-party sellers with consumers rather than holding extensive inventory. As a major player in the Broadline Retail sector, Alibaba integrates financial services, local delivery, and digital entertainment to drive user engagement across its various platforms. For a more granular analysis of these business segments, investors may find ValueRay to be a useful resource.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Domestic e-commerce growth slows amid rising competition from Pinduoduo and JD.com
  • Cloud Intelligence Group margin expansion depends on large-scale AI infrastructure adoption
  • International commerce revenue scales through AliExpress and Lazada global market penetration
  • Chinese regulatory environment and geopolitical tensions impact institutional investor sentiment
  • Logistics efficiency improvements at Cainiao drive down overall fulfillment and delivery costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 104b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.93 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.08% < 20% (prev 23.46%; Δ -10.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 75.4b > Net Income 104b
Net Debt (-76.8b) to EBITDA (110b): -0.70 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.40b) vs 12m ago 0.43% < -2%
Gross Margin: 39.81% > 18% (prev 0.40%; Δ 3.94k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 55.19% > 50% (prev 55.14%; Δ 0.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.77 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 110b / Interest Expense TTM 9.79b)
Altman Z'' 3.01
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 608b - Total Current Liabilities 475b) / Total Assets 1902b
B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 706b / Total Assets 1902b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 105b / Avg Total Assets 1855b)
D: 0.91 (Book Value of Equity 709b / Total Liabilities 780b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.01 = A
Beneish M -3.38
DSRI: 0.46 (Receivables 36.0b/76.2b, Revenue 1024b/996b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 39.81% / 39.95%)
AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.53 / AQ_t-1 0.49)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 1024b / 996b)
TATA: 0.01 (NI 104b - CFO 75.4b) / TA 1902b)
Beneish M = -3.38 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BABA shares?

As of June 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 125.40 with a total of 9,158,692 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.54%, over one month by -4.64%, over three months by -12.04% and over the past year by +10.15%.

Is BABA a buy, sell or hold?

Alibaba Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.70. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BABA.

  • StrongBuy: 30
  • Buy: 8
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BABA price?
Analysts Target Price 191.6 52.8%
Alibaba Holding (BABA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 311b (311b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CNY = 2102b (311b USD * 6.7663 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 20.0108
P/E Forward = 19.3798
P/S = 0.2994
P/B = 1.9632
P/EG = 0.4285
Revenue TTM = 1024b CNY
EBIT TTM = 105b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 110b CNY
Long Term Debt = 232b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.1b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 281b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 21.7b
Net Debt = -76.8b CNY (calculated: Debt 281b - CCE 358b)
Enterprise Value = 2025b CNY (2102b + Debt 281b - CCE 358b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.77 (Ebit TTM 105b / Interest Expense TTM 9.79b)
EV/FCF = -40.13x (Enterprise Value 2025b / FCF TTM -50.5b)
FCF Yield = -2.49% (FCF TTM -50.5b / Enterprise Value 2025b)
FCF Margin = -4.93% (FCF TTM -50.5b / Revenue TTM 1024b)
Net Margin = 10.12% (Net Income TTM 104b / Revenue TTM 1024b)
Gross Margin = 39.81% ((Revenue TTM 1024b - Cost of Revenue TTM 616b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.51% (prev 40.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 2025b / Total Assets 1902b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.49% (Interest Expense 9.79b / Debt 281b)
Taxrate = 3.30% (1.04b / 31.4b)
NOPAT = 102b (EBIT 105b * (1 - 3.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 608b / Total Current Liabilities 475b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 281b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1057b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.70 (Net Debt -76.8b / EBITDA 110b)
 Debt / FCF = 1.52 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -76.8b / FCF TTM -50.5b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1036b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.59% (Net Income 104b / Total Assets 1902b)
RoE = 10.00% (Net Income TTM 104b / Total Stockholder Equity 1036b)
RoCE = 8.32% (EBIT 105b / Capital Employed (Equity 1036b + L.T.Debt 232b))
RoIC = 7.00% (NOPAT 102b / Invested Capital 1456b)
WACC = 8.75% (E(2102b)/V(2382b) * Re(9.47%) + D(281b)/V(2382b) * Rd(3.49%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 9.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -43.19 | Cagr: -2.41%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -50.5b)
 EPS Correlation: -66.27 | EPS CAGR: -17.88% | SUE: -2.82 | # QB: -3
Revenue Correlation: 99.00 | Revenue CAGR: 4.99% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=10.20 | Chg30d=-14.82% | Revisions=-27% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=9.55 | Chg30d=-12.20% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=46.07 | Chg30d=-9.00% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+71.9% | GrowthRev=+10.6%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=62.57 | Chg30d=-6.37% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+35.8% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%