(BABA) Alibaba Holding - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Internet Retail | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 318.966m USD | Total Return: 8.7% in 12m

E-commerce, Cloud Computing, Logistics, Digital Media, Artificial Intelligence
Total Rating 34
Safety 86
Buy Signal -0.96
Internet Retail
Industry Rotation: -1.1
Market Cap: 319B
Avg Turnover: 1.34B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility49.5%
VaR 5th Pctl7.72%
VaR vs Median-5.38%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.31
Rel. Str. IBD24.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group52.8
Character TTM
Beta1.032
Beta Downside0.872
Hurst Exponent0.417
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.77%
CAGR/Max DD0.46
CAGR/Mean DD0.94
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BABA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 10.32, "2021-06": 16.6, "2021-09": 11.2, "2021-12": 16.87, "2022-03": 7.95, "2022-06": 11.68, "2022-09": 12.92, "2022-12": 19.26, "2023-03": 10.71, "2023-06": 17.37, "2023-09": 15.63, "2023-12": 18.97, "2024-03": 10.14, "2024-06": 16.44, "2024-09": 15.06, "2024-12": 20.39, "2025-03": 12.52, "2025-06": 14.75, "2025-09": 4.36, "2025-12": 7.09, "2026-03": 0.62,
EPS CAGR: -54.29%
EPS Trend: -54.3%
Last SUE: -3.61
Qual. Beats: -2
Revenue Revenue of BABA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 187395, 2021-06: 205740, 2021-09: 200690, 2021-12: 242580, 2022-03: 204052, 2022-06: 205555, 2022-09: 207176, 2022-12: 247756, 2023-03: 208200, 2023-06: 234156, 2023-09: 224790, 2023-12: 260348, 2024-03: 221874, 2024-06: 243236, 2024-09: 236503, 2024-12: 280154, 2025-03: 236454, 2025-06: 247652, 2025-09: 247795, 2025-12: 280911.577, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 8.90%
Rev. Trend: 75.3%
Last SUE: -0.03
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: BABA Alibaba Holding

Alibaba Group Holding Limited operates a diversified global ecosystem centered on e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital media. Its core business includes domestic Chinese retail through Taobao and Tmall, alongside international platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada. Beyond retail, the company maintains a significant presence in logistics via Cainiao, provides enterprise cloud infrastructure through Alibaba Cloud, and develops artificial intelligence technologies through its Qwen and MaaS business units.

The company utilizes an asset-light marketplace model for its primary retail segments, connecting third-party sellers with consumers rather than holding extensive inventory. As a major player in the Broadline Retail sector, Alibaba integrates financial services, local delivery, and digital entertainment to drive user engagement across its various platforms. For a more granular analysis of these business segments, investors may find ValueRay to be a useful resource.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Domestic e-commerce growth slows amid rising competition from Pinduoduo and JD.com
  • Cloud Intelligence Group margin expansion depends on large-scale AI infrastructure adoption
  • International commerce revenue scales through AliExpress and Lazada global market penetration
  • Chinese regulatory environment and geopolitical tensions impact institutional investor sentiment
  • Logistics efficiency improvements at Cainiao drive down overall fulfillment and delivery costs
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 90.38b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.88 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.06% < 20% (prev 22.46%; Δ -7.40% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 91.58b > Net Income 90.38b
Net Debt (92.28b) to EBITDA (132.37b): 0.70 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.33 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.41b) vs 12m ago 0.57% < -2%
Gross Margin: 40.67% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 4.03k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 54.24% > 50% (prev 52.93%; Δ 1.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.84 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 132.37b / Interest Expense TTM 10.01b)
Altman Z'' 3.09
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 612.61b - Total Current Liabilities 460.10b) / Total Assets 1879.50b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 683.26b / Total Assets 1879.50b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 118.56b / Avg Total Assets 1867.23b)
D: 0.90 (Book Value of Equity 693.47b / Total Liabilities 772.86b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 3.09 = A
Beneish M -3.50
DSRI: 0.41 (Receivables 76.22b/181.38b, Revenue 1012.81b/981.77b)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 40.67% / 38.81%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.54 / AQ_t-1 0.51)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 1012.81b / 981.77b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 90.38b - CFO 91.58b) / TA 1879.50b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.50 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of BABA shares? As of May 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 133.26 with a total of 9,908,689 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.33%, over one month by -5.97%, over three months by -14.69% and over the past year by +8.69%.
Is BABA a buy, sell or hold? Alibaba Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.70. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BABA.
  • StrongBuy: 30
  • Buy: 8
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BABA price?
Analysts Target Price 190.8 43.2%
Alibaba Holding (BABA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 May 2026
Market Cap CNY = 2171.90b (318.97b USD * 6.8092 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 20.5178
P/E Forward = 21.0084
P/S = 0.3116
P/B = 2.2014
P/EG = 0.8573
Revenue TTM = 1012.81b CNY
EBIT TTM = 118.56b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 132.37b CNY
Long Term Debt = 238.09b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.67b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 262.91b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 92.28b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2306.64b CNY (2171.90b + Debt 262.91b - CCE 128.17b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.84 (Ebit TTM 118.56b / Interest Expense TTM 10.01b)
EV/FCF = -38.33x (Enterprise Value 2306.64b / FCF TTM -60.18b)
FCF Yield = -2.61% (FCF TTM -60.18b / Enterprise Value 2306.64b)
FCF Margin = -5.94% (FCF TTM -60.18b / Revenue TTM 1012.81b)
Net Margin = 8.92% (Net Income TTM 90.38b / Revenue TTM 1012.81b)
Gross Margin = 40.67% ((Revenue TTM 1012.81b - Cost of Revenue TTM 600.86b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.19% (prev 39.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.23 (Enterprise Value 2306.64b / Total Assets 1879.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 2.52b / Debt 262.91b)
Taxrate = 35.12% (8.34b / 23.76b)
NOPAT = 76.93b (EBIT 118.56b * (1 - 35.12%))
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 612.61b / Total Current Liabilities 460.10b)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 262.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1040.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.70 (Net Debt 92.28b / EBITDA 132.37b)
 Debt / FCF = -1.53 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 92.28b / FCF TTM -60.18b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1024.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.84% (Net Income 90.38b / Total Assets 1879.50b)
RoE = 8.82% (Net Income TTM 90.38b / Total Stockholder Equity 1024.47b)
RoCE = 9.39% (EBIT 118.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 1024.47b + L.T.Debt 238.09b))
RoIC = 6.03% (NOPAT 76.93b / Invested Capital 1275.70b)
WACC = 8.64% (E(2171.90b)/V(2434.81b) * Re(9.61%) + D(262.91b)/V(2434.81b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 9.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -59.81 | Cagr: -2.24%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -60.18b)
 EPS Correlation: -54.27 | EPS CAGR: -54.29% | SUE: -3.61 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 75.30 | Revenue CAGR: 8.90% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=10.16 | Chg30d=-15.12% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=13
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=9.66 | Chg30d=-11.22% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=46.53 | Chg30d=-9.30% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+73.6% | GrowthRev=+10.8%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=63.43 | Chg30d=-7.16% | Revisions=-71% | GrowthEPS=+36.3% | GrowthRev=+11.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -71%