BALL Stock Analysis: Ball | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 16.425m USD | 12M Return: 9.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 156M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 28.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) is a large-cap U.S. materials company that manufactures and sells aluminum packaging products, primarily serving the beverage, personal care, and household products industries across the United States, Brazil, and other international markets. Its product portfolio includes aluminum beverage containers sold to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, and energy drinks, as well as extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Founded in 1880 and headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, Ball operates within the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers sub-industry of the broader materials sector.
Aluminum packaging has become a core segment of the global metal containers industry due to its lightweight properties, durability, and recyclability, which align with growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions. Manufacturers like Ball typically operate long-term supply contracts with major beverage fillers, creating a business model characterized by high capital intensity, recurring revenue streams, and sensitivity to aluminum input costs and global beverage consumption trends.
- Beverage can demand grows as aluminum replaces plastic packaging
- Aluminum input costs pressure margins amid commodity volatility
- Brazil operations face currency headwinds and demand cyclicality
| Net Income: 937.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.84% < 20% (prev 1.62%; Δ 3.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.15b > Net Income 937.0m |
| Net Debt (7.08b) to EBITDA (2.13b): 3.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (267.4m) vs 12m ago -6.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.69% > 18% (prev 15.48%; Δ 0.21% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.17% > 50% (prev 66.74%; Δ 5.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 322.0m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 6.22b - Total Current Liabilities 5.56b) / Total Assets 19.8b |
| B: 0.63 (Retained Earnings 12.4b / Total Assets 19.8b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 1.50b / Avg Total Assets 18.9b) |
| D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 5.60b / Total Liabilities 14.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.21 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.90b/2.64b, Revenue 13.6b/12.0b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 15.48% / 15.69%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 13.6b / 12.0b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 937.0m - CFO 1.15b) / TA 19.8b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 63.15 with a total of 1,905,492 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.52%, over one month by +8.52%, over three months by +0.02% and over the past year by +9.93%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 59.00 (which is 6.6% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Ball has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.76. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BALL.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 70.9 | 12.3% |
P/E Trailing = 17.9854
P/E Forward = 15.6006
P/S = 1.2018
P/B = 2.933
P/EG = 1.3108
Revenue TTM = 13.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.13b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 786.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.08b USD (calculated: Debt 7.81b - CCE 730.0m)
Enterprise Value = 23.5b USD (16.4b + Debt 7.81b - CCE 730.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.65 (Ebit TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 322.0m)
EV/FCF = 39.43x (Enterprise Value 23.5b / FCF TTM 596.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.54% (FCF TTM 596.0m / Enterprise Value 23.5b)
FCF Margin = 4.37% (FCF TTM 596.0m / Revenue TTM 13.6b)
Net Margin = 6.87% (Net Income TTM 937.0m / Revenue TTM 13.6b)
Gross Margin = 15.69% ((Revenue TTM 13.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.93% (prev 14.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 23.5b / Total Assets 19.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.12% (Interest Expense 322.0m / Debt 7.81b)
Taxrate = 20.96% (249.0m / 1.19b)
NOPAT = 1.18b (EBIT 1.50b * (1 - 20.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 6.22b / Total Current Liabilities 5.56b)
Debt / Equity = 1.39 (Debt 7.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.33 (Net Debt 7.08b / EBITDA 2.13b)
Debt / FCF = 11.87 (Net Debt 7.08b / FCF TTM 596.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.96% (Net Income 937.0m / Total Assets 19.8b)
RoE = 17.29% (Net Income TTM 937.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.42b)
RoCE = 12.03% (EBIT 1.50b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.42b + L.T.Debt 7.02b))
RoIC = 8.26% (NOPAT 1.18b / Invested Capital 14.3b)
WACC = 5.56% (E(16.4b)/V(24.2b) * Re(6.65%) + D(7.81b)/V(24.2b) * Rd(4.12%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.51 | Cagr: -7.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈472.0m ; Y1≈541.1m ; Y5≈796.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.43 (EV 12.0b - Net Debt 7.08b = Equity 4.91b / Shares 266.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.44 | EPS CAGR: 14.11% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 28.72 | Revenue CAGR: 1.68% | SUE: 1.26 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=-47% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=-15% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.00 | Chg30d=+0.09% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+12.1% | GrowthRev=+9.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=+0.03% | Revisions=+27% | GrowthEPS=+13.0% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +8% (up=26, down=22)