BALL Stock Analysis: Ball | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 15.451m USD | 12M Return: 28.8% | US0584981064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 125M
EPS Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 74.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ball Corporation is a U.S.-based manufacturer of aluminum packaging products serving the beverage, personal care, and household products industries, with operations spanning the United States, Brazil, and other international markets. The companys core business centers on producing aluminum beverage containers for carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages, alongside a diversified product line that includes extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Founded in 1880 and headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, Ball is classified as a large-cap stock in the Materials sector under the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers sub-industry.
As a major player in the global metal packaging industry, Ball benefits from aluminums strong sustainability profile, as the material is infinitely recyclable and increasingly favored by beverage brands shifting away from single-use plastics. The companys product diversification across aerosols, personal care, and household goods provides some insulation from volatility in any single end market, while its exposure to the global beverage industry ties performance closely to consumer spending trends and packaging format preferences.
- Aluminum can demand grows amid plastic ban legislation
- Aluminum input costs pressure packaging segment margins
- Aerospace divestiture refocuses capital on core packaging business
| Net Income: 946.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.09 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.00% < 20% (prev -0.06%; Δ 3.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.43b > Net Income 946.0m |
| Net Debt (6.73b) to EBITDA (2.14b): 3.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (267.3m) vs 12m ago -3.78% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.45% > 18% (prev 15.13%; Δ 1.32% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.97% > 50% (prev 66.54%; Δ 7.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 320.0m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 6.65b - Total Current Liabilities 6.22b) / Total Assets 20.1b |
| B: 0.62 (Retained Earnings 12.5b / Total Assets 20.1b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 1.50b / Avg Total Assets 19.4b) |
| D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 5.75b / Total Liabilities 14.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.11 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 3.26b/2.90b, Revenue 14.3b/12.4b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 15.13% / 16.45%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 14.3b / 12.4b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 946.0m - CFO 1.43b) / TA 20.1b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 60.43 with a total of 2,600,585 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.13%, over one month by -0.46%, over three months by +0.27% and over the past year by +28.78%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 58.90 (which is 2.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Ball has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BALL.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 71.9 | 18.9% |
P/E Trailing = 16.6296
P/E Forward = 13.245
P/S = 1.0848
P/B = 2.7627
P/EG = 1.0106
Revenue TTM = 14.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.53b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 692.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.22b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.73b USD (calculated: Debt 7.22b - CCE 491.0m)
Enterprise Value = 22.2b USD (15.5b + Debt 7.22b - CCE 491.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.69 (Ebit TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 320.0m)
EV/FCF = 26.82x (Enterprise Value 22.2b / FCF TTM 827.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.73% (FCF TTM 827.0m / Enterprise Value 22.2b)
FCF Margin = 5.78% (FCF TTM 827.0m / Revenue TTM 14.3b)
Net Margin = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 946.0m / Revenue TTM 14.3b)
Gross Margin = 16.45% ((Revenue TTM 14.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.44% (prev 17.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 22.2b / Total Assets 20.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.43% (Interest Expense 320.0m / Debt 7.22b)
Taxrate = 21.26% (253.0m / 1.19b)
NOPAT = 1.18b (EBIT 1.50b * (1 - 21.26%))
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 6.65b / Total Current Liabilities 6.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 7.22b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.14 (Net Debt 6.73b / EBITDA 2.14b)
Debt / FCF = 8.14 (Net Debt 6.73b / FCF TTM 827.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.89% (Net Income 946.0m / Total Assets 20.1b)
RoE = 17.04% (Net Income TTM 946.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.55b)
RoCE = 12.42% (EBIT 1.50b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.55b + L.T.Debt 6.53b))
RoIC = 8.39% (NOPAT 1.18b / Invested Capital 14.1b)
WACC = 5.32% (E(15.5b)/V(22.7b) * Re(6.17%) + D(7.22b)/V(22.7b) * Rd(4.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.11 | Cagr: -7.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈646.6m ; Y1≈741.2m ; Y5≈1.09b
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.60 (EV 16.4b - Net Debt 6.73b = Equity 9.69b / Shares 264.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.46 | EPS CAGR: 14.15% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 74.32 | Revenue CAGR: 5.36% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=+0.35% | Revisions=-7% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.02 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=+12.7% | GrowthRev=+13.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=-0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+12.4% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +31% (up=22, down=11)