(BALL) Ball - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0584981064

Aluminum Cans, Aerosol Containers, Bottles, Cups, Slugs

Stock: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers
Age 41.4y

MCap 15,137m
Avg Vol 1.72M (95.7M USD)

Beta 0.441
Volatility 26.33%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 1.35%
EPS Trend: 23.2%

Last SUE: -0.21
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -2.48%
Rev. Trend: -59.8%

Last SUE: 0.18
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.56%
Yield on Cost 5y	0.94%
Yield CAGR 5y	3.39%
Payout Consistency	95.7%
Payout Ratio	23.7%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	26.3%
Value at Risk 5%th	40.8%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.90%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.16
Alpha	-5.29
CAGR/Max DD	-0.01

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.354
Beta	0.441
Beta Downside	0.434

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	35.62%
Mean DD	14.60%
Median DD	13.55%

Description: BALL Ball January 02, 2026

Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) is a global supplier of aluminum packaging, serving beverage, personal-care, and household-product manufacturers across the United States, Brazil, and other markets. Its product line includes carbonated-drink cans, beer cans, energy-drink cans, extruded aerosol containers, resealable bottles, cups, and aluminum slugs. Founded in 1880, the company is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, and operates within the GICS sub-industry “Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers.”

Key metrics (FY 2024): revenue ≈ $15.8 bn, adjusted EBITDA margin ≈ 14%, and free cash flow conversion ≈ 75%. The business is highly sensitive to aluminum commodity prices and benefits from the “circular economy” trend-U.S. recycling rates for aluminum cans have risen to ~53%, supporting cost-efficiency and ESG positioning. Demand drivers include steady growth in carbonated-soft-drink volumes (+2% YoY) and a robust rebound in beer consumption in Brazil (+5% YoY), both of which boost container sales.

For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard to assess BALL’s valuation and risk profile.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (680.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 760.4m TTM)

FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.03pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 4.01% (prev 4.09%; Δ -0.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 551.0m <= Net Income 680.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (6.97b) to EBITDA (1.82b) ratio: 3.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.10 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (272.9m) change vs 12m ago -10.59% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 15.04% (prev 15.70%; Δ -0.66pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 67.51% (prev 62.79%; Δ 4.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4.00 (EBITDA TTM 1.82b / Interest Expense TTM 302.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.71

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 5.35b - Total Current Liabilities 4.84b) / Total Assets 18.72b

(B) 0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 12.07b / Total Assets 18.72b

(D) 0.95 = Book Value of Equity 12.58b / Total Liabilities 13.27b

Total Rating: 3.71 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.82

1. Piotroski 3.0pt

2. FCF Yield 0.63%

3. FCF Margin 1.10%

4. Debt/Equity 1.39

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.82

6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.72)%

7. RoE 12.36%

8. Rev. Trend -59.84%

9. EPS Trend 23.18%

What is the price of BALL shares?

As of January 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 56.08 with a total of 2,401,006 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.83%, over one month by +8.35%, over three months by +17.16% and over the past year by +4.99%.

Is BALL a buy, sell or hold?

Ball has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.76. Therefor, it is recommend to hold BALL.

Strong Buy: 6
Buy: 3
Hold: 7
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the BALL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	62.2	10.8%
Analysts Target Price	62.2	10.8%
ValueRay Target Price	61.1	8.9%

BALL Fundamental Data Overview January 12, 2026

P/E Trailing = 21.642
P/E Forward = 13.624
P/S = 1.1924
P/B = 2.737
P/EG = 1.3568
Revenue TTM = 12.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.21b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.82b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.86b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 422.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.97b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.11b USD (15.14b + Debt 7.55b - CCE 576.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.00 (Ebit TTM 1.21b / Interest Expense TTM 302.0m)
EV/FCF = 157.9x (Enterprise Value 22.11b / FCF TTM 140.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.63% (FCF TTM 140.0m / Enterprise Value 22.11b)
FCF Margin = 1.10% (FCF TTM 140.0m / Revenue TTM 12.67b)
Net Margin = 5.37% (Net Income TTM 680.0m / Revenue TTM 12.67b)
Gross Margin = 15.04% ((Revenue TTM 12.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.51% (prev 14.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 22.11b / Total Assets 18.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 86.0m / Debt 7.55b)
Taxrate = 19.10% (76.0m / 398.0m)
NOPAT = 978.1m (EBIT 1.21b * (1 - 19.10%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 5.35b / Total Current Liabilities 4.84b)
Debt / Equity = 1.39 (Debt 7.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.82 (Net Debt 6.97b / EBITDA 1.82b)
Debt / FCF = 49.79 (Net Debt 6.97b / FCF TTM 140.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.62% (Net Income 680.0m / Total Assets 18.72b)
RoE = 12.36% (Net Income TTM 680.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.50b)
RoCE = 9.78% (EBIT 1.21b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.50b + L.T.Debt 6.86b))
RoIC = 8.05% (NOPAT 978.1m / Invested Capital 12.15b)
WACC = 5.33% (E(15.14b)/V(22.68b) * Re(7.53%) + D(7.55b)/V(22.68b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 7.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈140.0m ; Y1≈91.9m ; Y5≈41.9m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.34b - Net Debt 6.97b = -5.63b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 23.18 | EPS CAGR: 1.35% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.84 | Revenue CAGR: -2.48% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.98 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+11.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%

Additional Sources for BALL Stock

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