BALL Stock Analysis: Ball | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 16.565m USD | 12M Return: 17% | US0584981064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 120M
EPS Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 74.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) is a large-cap U.S. materials company that manufactures and sells aluminum packaging products, primarily serving the beverage, personal care, and household products industries across the United States, Brazil, and other international markets. Its product portfolio includes aluminum beverage containers sold to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, and energy drinks, as well as extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Founded in 1880 and headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, Ball operates within the Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers sub-industry of the broader materials sector.
Aluminum packaging has become a core segment of the global metal containers industry due to its lightweight properties, durability, and recyclability, which align with growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions. Manufacturers like Ball typically operate long-term supply contracts with major beverage fillers, creating a business model characterized by high capital intensity, recurring revenue streams, and sensitivity to aluminum input costs and global beverage consumption trends.
- Beverage can demand grows as aluminum replaces plastic packaging
- Aluminum input costs pressure margins amid commodity volatility
- Brazil operations face currency headwinds and demand cyclicality
| Net Income: 946.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.09 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.00% < 20% (prev -0.06%; Δ 3.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.43b > Net Income 946.0m |
| Net Debt (6.73b) to EBITDA (2.14b): 3.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (267.3m) vs 12m ago -3.78% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.45% > 18% (prev 15.13%; Δ 1.32% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.97% > 50% (prev 66.54%; Δ 7.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 320.0m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 6.65b - Total Current Liabilities 6.22b) / Total Assets 20.1b |
| B: 0.62 (Retained Earnings 12.5b / Total Assets 20.1b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 1.50b / Avg Total Assets 19.4b) |
| D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 5.75b / Total Liabilities 14.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.11 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 3.26b/2.90b, Revenue 14.3b/12.4b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 15.13% / 16.45%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 14.3b / 12.4b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 946.0m - CFO 1.43b) / TA 20.1b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 61.82 with a total of 866,924 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.57%, over one month by +2.25%, over three months by +9.58% and over the past year by +16.95%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 59.00 (which is 4.6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Ball has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.76. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BALL.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 72.6 | 17.4% |
P/E Trailing = 17.9312
P/E Forward = 16.129
P/S = 1.1563
P/B = 2.923
P/EG = 1.2309
Revenue TTM = 14.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.53b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 692.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.22b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.73b USD (calculated: Debt 7.22b - CCE 491.0m)
Enterprise Value = 23.3b USD (16.6b + Debt 7.22b - CCE 491.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.69 (Ebit TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 320.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.17x (Enterprise Value 23.3b / FCF TTM 827.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.55% (FCF TTM 827.0m / Enterprise Value 23.3b)
FCF Margin = 5.78% (FCF TTM 827.0m / Revenue TTM 14.3b)
Net Margin = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 946.0m / Revenue TTM 14.3b)
Gross Margin = 16.45% ((Revenue TTM 14.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.44% (prev 17.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 23.3b / Total Assets 20.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.43% (Interest Expense 320.0m / Debt 7.22b)
Taxrate = 21.26% (253.0m / 1.19b)
NOPAT = 1.18b (EBIT 1.50b * (1 - 21.26%))
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 6.65b / Total Current Liabilities 6.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 7.22b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.14 (Net Debt 6.73b / EBITDA 2.14b)
Debt / FCF = 8.14 (Net Debt 6.73b / FCF TTM 827.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.89% (Net Income 946.0m / Total Assets 20.1b)
RoE = 17.04% (Net Income TTM 946.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.55b)
RoCE = 12.42% (EBIT 1.50b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.55b + L.T.Debt 6.53b))
RoIC = 8.39% (NOPAT 1.18b / Invested Capital 14.1b)
WACC = 5.38% (E(16.6b)/V(23.8b) * Re(6.20%) + D(7.22b)/V(23.8b) * Rd(4.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.11 | Cagr: -7.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈646.6m ; Y1≈741.2m ; Y5≈1.09b
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.60 (EV 16.4b - Net Debt 6.73b = Equity 9.69b / Shares 264.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.46 | EPS CAGR: 14.15% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 74.32 | Revenue CAGR: 5.36% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-0.69% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.02 | Chg30d=+0.65% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+12.7% | GrowthRev=+13.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+12.4% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +12% (up=8, down=6)