(BALL) Ball - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 14.697m USD | Total Return: 3.1% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -8.7
Avg Turnover: 165M
EPS Trend: 59.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -21.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Ball Corporation is a global supplier of aluminum packaging, specializing in beverage containers, aerosol cans, and slugs for the personal care and household sectors. Headquartered in Colorado, the company operates across the United States, Brazil, and international markets, catering to large-scale fillers of carbonated drinks, beer, and energy drinks.
The company operates within the metal packaging industry, a sector increasingly driven by the recyclability of aluminum compared to single-use plastics. Aluminum packaging follows a circular business model, as the material can be recycled indefinitely without loss of quality, often returning to retail shelves in as little as 60 days.
Investors can evaluate the company’s long-term valuation metrics and historical performance by reviewing the data on ValueRay. Founded in 1880, Ball Corporation has transitioned from its origins in glass canning jars to become one of the worlds largest dedicated producers of sustainable metal packaging solutions.
- Global shift toward sustainable aluminum packaging boosts beverage container volume
- Volatile aluminum ingot prices and energy costs impact manufacturing margins
- Divestment of aerospace division refocuses capital on core aluminum packaging growth
- Increasing consumer demand for energy drinks and craft beer drives revenue
- Regional economic conditions in Brazil and North America dictate shipment forecasts
| Net Income: 937.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.84% < 20% (prev 1.62%; Δ 3.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.15b > Net Income 937.0m |
| Net Debt (7.08b) to EBITDA (2.13b): 3.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (267.4m) vs 12m ago -6.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.69% > 18% (prev 0.15%; Δ 1.55k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.17% > 50% (prev 66.74%; Δ 5.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.65 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.13b / Interest Expense TTM 322.0m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 6.22b - Total Current Liabilities 5.56b) / Total Assets 19.77b |
| B: 0.63 (Retained Earnings 12.37b / Total Assets 19.77b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 1.50b / Avg Total Assets 18.90b) |
| D: 0.91 (Book Value of Equity 12.94b / Total Liabilities 14.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.75 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.90b/2.64b, Revenue 13.64b/12.04b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 15.69% / 15.48%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 13.64b / 12.04b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 937.0m - CFO 1.15b) / TA 19.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.67%, over one month by -14.39%, over three months by -16.81% and over the past year by +3.11%.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 70.8 | 28.2% |
P/E Forward = 14.7929
P/S = 1.0753
P/B = 2.7823
P/EG = 1.2434
Revenue TTM = 13.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.13b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 786.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.77b USD (14.70b + Debt 7.81b - CCE 730.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.65 (Ebit TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 322.0m)
EV/FCF = 36.53x (Enterprise Value 21.77b / FCF TTM 596.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.74% (FCF TTM 596.0m / Enterprise Value 21.77b)
FCF Margin = 4.37% (FCF TTM 596.0m / Revenue TTM 13.64b)
Net Margin = 6.87% (Net Income TTM 937.0m / Revenue TTM 13.64b)
Gross Margin = 15.69% ((Revenue TTM 13.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.93% (prev 14.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 21.77b / Total Assets 19.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 78.0m / Debt 7.81b)
Taxrate = 23.22% (62.0m / 267.0m)
NOPAT = 1.15b (EBIT 1.50b * (1 - 23.22%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 6.22b / Total Current Liabilities 5.56b)
Debt / Equity = 1.39 (Debt 7.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.33 (Net Debt 7.08b / EBITDA 2.13b)
Debt / FCF = 11.87 (Net Debt 7.08b / FCF TTM 596.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.96% (Net Income 937.0m / Total Assets 19.77b)
RoE = 17.29% (Net Income TTM 937.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.42b)
RoCE = 12.03% (EBIT 1.50b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.42b + L.T.Debt 7.02b))
RoIC = 9.06% (NOPAT 1.15b / Invested Capital 12.68b)
WACC = 4.68% (E(14.70b)/V(22.50b) * Re(6.76%) + D(7.81b)/V(22.50b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -7.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈472.0m ; Y1≈309.9m ; Y5≈141.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 4.50b - Net Debt 7.08b = -2.58b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 59.44 | EPS CAGR: 3.71% | SUE: 1.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -21.41 | Revenue CAGR: -3.60% | SUE: 1.26 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=-2.38% | Revisions=-44% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.00 | Chg30d=+0.89% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+9.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=+0.63% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+13.1% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62%