(BBAI) BigBearai Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US08975B1098

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Description: BBAI BigBearai Holdings

BigBearai Holdings Inc (NYSE:BBAI) is a US-based company operating in the Internet Services & Infrastructure sub-industry. The companys quarterly tax provision is being analyzed, suggesting a focus on financial performance and potential tax implications.

From a fundamental analysis perspective, BBAIs market capitalization stands at $2.27 billion, indicating a significant presence in the market. However, the companys Return on Equity (ROE) is -196.25%, suggesting substantial losses. The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is not available, likely due to negative earnings. Key drivers to watch include revenue growth, operating expenses, and cash flow management.

To assess the companys financial health, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth rate, gross margin, operating margin, and cash conversion cycle should be monitored. Additionally, the companys ability to manage its tax liabilities and optimize its capital structure will be crucial in determining its future financial performance.

The stocks support levels are identified at $5.0, $4.4, $3.5, $3.0, and $2.4, indicating potential areas of buying interest. With a current price of $6.61, the stock is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA50) of $5.87 and below its 20-day SMA of $7.10. The high beta of 3.212 suggests that the stock is highly sensitive to market movements, making it a potentially high-risk investment.

Economic drivers that may impact BBAIs performance include overall market trends, technological advancements, and changes in regulatory policies. As a company in the internet services and infrastructure space, BBAI may be influenced by factors such as cloud computing adoption, data center demand, and cybersecurity concerns.

BBAI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 2,039m
Sub-Industry Internet Services & Infrastructure
IPO / Inception 2021-04-05

BBAI Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 6.54%
Fundamental 16.1%
Dividend Rating -
Return 12m vs S&P 500 168%
Analyst Rating 3.75 of 5

BBAI Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

BBAI Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 33.8%
Growth Correlation 12m 76.9%
Growth Correlation 5y -41.4%
CAGR 5y -13.99%
CAGR/Max DD 5y -0.15
Sharpe Ratio 12m -1.22
Alpha 183.38
Beta 2.766
Volatility 74.41%
Current Volume 37971.8k
Average Volume 20d 61499.1k
Stop Loss 4.7 (-7.3%)
Signal -0.49

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5

Net Income (-410.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.15m TTM)
FCFTA -0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.37pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 132.8% (prev 39.64%; Δ 93.18pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO -31.9m > Net Income -410.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (320.6m) change vs 12m ago 30.16% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 27.97% (prev 26.77%; Δ 1.20pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 31.78% (prev 40.86%; Δ -9.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -7.78 (EBITDA TTM -171.1m / Interest Expense TTM 28.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -8.25

(A) 0.34 = (Total Current Assets 424.3m - Total Current Liabilities 221.6m) / Total Assets 599.4m
(B) -1.44 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -862.2m / Total Assets 599.4m
warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.44 — check mapping/units
(C) -0.45 = EBIT TTM -218.4m / Avg Total Assets 480.1m
(D) -2.59 = Book Value of Equity -862.4m / Total Liabilities 332.8m
Total Rating: -8.25 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 16.10

1. Piotroski 1.50pt = -3.50
2. FCF Yield -2.20% = -1.10
3. FCF Margin -25.30% = -7.50
4. Debt/Equity 0.39 = 2.43
5. Debt/Ebitda -0.61 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC -95.35% = -12.50
7. RoE -293.9% = -2.50
8. Rev. Trend -35.37% = -1.77
9. Rev. CAGR -7.84% = -1.31
10. EPS Trend -45.86% = -1.15
11. EPS CAGR -86.74% = -2.50

What is the price of BBAI shares?

As of August 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 5.07 with a total of 37,971,827 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.82%, over one month by -23.41%, over three months by +31.01% and over the past year by +212.96%.

Is BigBearai Holdings a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, BigBearai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) is currently (August 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 16.10 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of BBAI is around 4.43 USD . This means that BBAI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.62%.

Is BBAI a buy, sell or hold?

BigBearai Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold BBAI.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BBAI price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 5.8 15%
Analysts Target Price 5.8 15%
ValueRay Target Price 5.3 3.6%

Last update: 2025-08-25 02:04

BBAI Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 2.04b (2.04b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 390.8m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 13.3643
P/B = 7.6491
Beta = 3.192
Revenue TTM = 152.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -218.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -171.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 102.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.46m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 104.1m USD (Calculated: Short Term 1.46m + Long Term 102.7m)
Net Debt = -380.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.75b USD (2.04b + Debt 104.1m - CCE 390.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.78 (Ebit TTM -218.4m / Interest Expense TTM 28.1m)
FCF Yield = -2.20% (FCF TTM -38.6m / Enterprise Value 1.75b)
FCF Margin = -25.30% (FCF TTM -38.6m / Revenue TTM 152.6m)
Net Margin = -269.3% (Net Income TTM -410.8m / Revenue TTM 152.6m)
Gross Margin = 27.97% ((Revenue TTM 152.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 109.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -2.03 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 1.75b / Book Value Of Equity -862.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.24% (Interest Expense 4.42m / Debt 104.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -218.4m (EBIT -218.4m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 424.3m / Total Current Liabilities 221.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 104.1m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 266.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.61 (Net Debt -380.9m / EBITDA -171.1m)
Debt / FCF = -2.70 (Debt 104.1m / FCF TTM -38.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 139.8m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -68.54% (Net Income -410.8m, Total Assets 599.4m )
RoE = -293.9% (Net Income TTM -410.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 139.8m)
RoCE = -90.10% (Ebit -218.4m / (Equity 139.8m + L.T.Debt 102.7m))
RoIC = -79.76% (NOPAT -218.4m / Invested Capital 273.9m)
WACC = 15.59% (E(2.04b)/V(2.14b) * Re(16.21%)) + (D(104.1m)/V(2.14b) * Rd(4.24%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 22.18%
Discount Rate = 16.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -38.6m)
Revenue Correlation: -35.37 | Revenue CAGR: -7.84%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 5.55
EPS Correlation: -45.86 | EPS CAGR: -86.74%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -127.0

Additional Sources for BBAI Stock

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