(BBAI) BigBearai Holdings - Overview

Sector: Technology | Industry: Information Technology Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.581m USD | Total Return: 50.6% in 12m

AI, Analytics, Software, Security, Logistics
Total Rating 11
Safety 32
Buy Signal -1.11
Information Technology Services
Industry Rotation: +3.0
Market Cap: 1.58B
Avg Turnover: 88.1M USD
ATR: 6.71%
Peers RS (IBD): 30.6
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility101%
Rel. Tail Risk-20.8%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.82
Alpha-59.27
Character TTM
Beta3.583
Beta Downside4.797
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD75.56%
CAGR/Max DD0.12
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BBAI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.01, "2021-06": -0.02, "2021-09": -0.02, "2021-12": -1.02, "2022-03": -0.14, "2022-06": -0.45, "2022-09": -0.13, "2022-12": -0.23, "2023-03": -0.19, "2023-06": -0.12, "2023-09": 0.03, "2023-12": -0.14, "2024-03": -0.21, "2024-06": -0.05, "2024-09": -0.05, "2024-12": -0.43, "2025-03": -0.25, "2025-06": -0.71, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": -0.01,
EPS CAGR: 5.51%
EPS Trend: -1.4%
Last SUE: 0.26
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BBAI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 35.57, 2021-06: 36.311, 2021-09: 40.219, 2021-12: 33.478, 2022-03: 36.39, 2022-06: 37.613, 2022-09: 40.651, 2022-12: 40.357, 2023-03: 42.154, 2023-06: 38.459, 2023-09: 33.988, 2023-12: 40.563, 2024-03: 33.121, 2024-06: 39.783, 2024-09: 41.505, 2024-12: 43.827, 2025-03: 34.757, 2025-06: 32.472, 2025-09: 33.143, 2025-12: 27.3,
Rev. CAGR: -7.38%
Rev. Trend: -50.1%
Last SUE: -1.40
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Share dilution 1331.9% YoY - potential capital distress

Interest Coverage Ratio -15.2 is critical

Altman Z'' -8.30 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: BBAI BigBearai Holdings

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) develops AI-powered decision intelligence solutions. These solutions support national security, supply chain management, and digital identity/biometrics. The companys offerings include data ingestion, AI/ML, and predictive analytics. The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, with applications expanding across various industries.

BBAI serves U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, as well as commercial sectors like manufacturing, logistics, and travel. Their business model focuses on providing advanced analytical tools to improve operational efficiency and decision-making. A strategic partnership with Maqta Technologies expands their reach in customs and border operations globally. Understanding the competitive landscape and specific market penetration for AI solutions can offer deeper insights. ValueRay provides comprehensive data to support further investigation.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Government contract awards boost national security revenue
  • Supply chain solution adoption drives commercial growth
  • AI development costs impact profitability
  • Global economic slowdown reduces enterprise tech spending
  • Partnership with Maqta Technologies expands international reach
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: -293.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.20 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 113.6% < 20% (prev -69.02%; Δ 182.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -42.0m > Net Income -293.9m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.59b) vs 12m ago 1.33k% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.31% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 2.20k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 20.62% > 50% (prev 46.03%; Δ -25.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -15.22 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -226.7m / Interest Expense TTM 18.1m)
Altman Z'' -8.30
A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 330.5m - Total Current Liabilities 185.5m) / Total Assets 894.5m
B: -0.97 (Retained Earnings -865.6m / Total Assets 894.5m)
C: -0.45 (EBIT TTM -275.8m / Avg Total Assets 619.2m)
D: -3.06 (Book Value of Equity -865.6m / Total Liabilities 282.7m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -8.30 = D
Beneish M -3.51
DSRI: 0.71 (Receivables 22.7m/39.8m, Revenue 127.7m/158.2m)
GMI: 1.28 (GM 22.31% / 28.58%)
AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.70)
SGI: 0.81 (Revenue 127.7m / 158.2m)
TATA: -0.28 (NI -293.9m - CFO -42.0m) / TA 894.5m)
Beneish M-Score: -3.51 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of BBAI shares? As of April 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.75 with a total of 35,981,739 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.98%, over one month by -5.06%, over three months by -38.73% and over the past year by +50.60%.
Is BBAI a buy, sell or hold? BigBearai Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold BBAI.
  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BBAI price?
Analysts Target Price 5.3 42.1%
BigBearai Holdings (BBAI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 April 2026
P/S = 12.3794
P/B = 2.5831
Revenue TTM = 127.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -275.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -226.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 90.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 108.1m USD (corrected: LT Debt 90.5m + ST Debt 17.7m)
Net Debt = 21.0m USD (recalculated: Debt 108.1m - CCE 87.1m)
Enterprise Value = 1.60b USD (1.58b + Debt 108.1m - CCE 87.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -15.22 (Ebit TTM -275.8m / Interest Expense TTM 18.1m)
EV/FCF = -34.58x (Enterprise Value 1.60b / FCF TTM -46.3m)
FCF Yield = -2.89% (FCF TTM -46.3m / Enterprise Value 1.60b)
FCF Margin = -36.28% (FCF TTM -46.3m / Revenue TTM 127.7m)
 Net Margin = -230.2% (Net Income TTM -293.9m / Revenue TTM 127.7m)
 Gross Margin = 22.31% ((Revenue TTM 127.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 99.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.32% (prev 22.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.79 (Enterprise Value 1.60b / Total Assets 894.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.68% (Interest Expense 3.98m / Debt 108.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -217.9m (EBIT -275.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 330.5m / Total Current Liabilities 185.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 108.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 611.9m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -0.09 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 21.0m / EBITDA -226.7m)
 Debt / FCF = -0.45 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 21.0m / FCF TTM -46.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 421.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -47.47% (Net Income -293.9m / Total Assets 894.5m)
RoE = -69.72% (Net Income TTM -293.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 421.6m)
RoCE = -53.86% (EBIT -275.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 421.6m + L.T.Debt 90.5m))
 RoIC = -41.45% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -217.9m / Invested Capital 525.6m)
 WACC = 17.59% (E(1.58b)/V(1.69b) * Re(18.59%) + D(108.1m)/V(1.69b) * Rd(3.68%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 18.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 17.38%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 378.3%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -46.3m)
 EPS Correlation: -1.38 | EPS CAGR: 5.51% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.06 | Revenue CAGR: -7.38% | SUE: -1.40 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.08 | Chg7d=+0.003 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.30 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+63.4% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.38 | Chg7d=+0.005 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-25.0% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
External Resources
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