(BBAI) BigBearai Holdings - Overview

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US08975B1098

Stock: AI, Analytics, Software, Security, Logistics

Total Rating 10
Risk 32
Buy Signal -0.81
Information Technology Services +9.3
Internet Services & Infrastructure +17.1
Market Cap: 1,850m
Avg Trading Vol: 170M USD
ATR: 8.72%
Peers RS (IBD): 34.4
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility 97.9%
Relative Tail Risk -19.9%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.50
Alpha -61.74
Character TTM
Beta 3.672
Beta Downside 4.789
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 75.56%
CAGR/Max DD 0.34

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of BBAI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.01, "2021-06": -0.02, "2021-09": -0.02, "2021-12": -1.02, "2022-03": -0.14, "2022-06": -0.45, "2022-09": -0.13, "2022-12": -0.23, "2023-03": -0.19, "2023-06": -0.12, "2023-09": 0.03, "2023-12": -0.14, "2024-03": -0.21, "2024-06": -0.05, "2024-09": -0.05, "2024-12": -0.43, "2025-03": -0.25, "2025-06": -0.71, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": -0.01,
EPS CAGR: 5.51%
EPS Trend: -1.4%
Last SUE: 0.26
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of BBAI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 35.57, 2021-06: 36.311, 2021-09: 40.219, 2021-12: 33.478, 2022-03: 36.39, 2022-06: 37.613, 2022-09: 40.651, 2022-12: 40.357, 2023-03: 42.154, 2023-06: 38.459, 2023-09: 33.988, 2023-12: 40.563, 2024-03: 33.121, 2024-06: 39.783, 2024-09: 41.505, 2024-12: 43.827, 2025-03: 34.757, 2025-06: 32.472, 2025-09: 33.143, 2025-12: 27.3,
Rev. CAGR: -7.38%
Rev. Trend: -50.1%
Last SUE: -1.40
Qual. Beats: 0

Risks

Technicals: volatile

Description: BBAI BigBearai Holdings March 05, 2026

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) develops AI-powered decision intelligence solutions. These solutions support national security, supply chain management, and digital identity/biometrics. The companys offerings include data ingestion, AI/ML, and predictive analytics. The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, with applications expanding across various industries.

BBAI serves U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, as well as commercial sectors like manufacturing, logistics, and travel. Their business model focuses on providing advanced analytical tools to improve operational efficiency and decision-making. A strategic partnership with Maqta Technologies expands their reach in customs and border operations globally. Understanding the competitive landscape and specific market penetration for AI solutions can offer deeper insights. ValueRay provides comprehensive data to support further investigation.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5

Net Income: -293.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.20 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 113.6% < 20% (prev -69.02%; Δ 182.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -42.0m > Net Income -293.9m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.59b) vs 12m ago 1332 % < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.31% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 2202 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 20.62% > 50% (prev 46.03%; Δ -25.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -15.22 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -226.7m / Interest Expense TTM 18.1m)

Altman Z'' -8.30

A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 330.5m - Total Current Liabilities 185.5m) / Total Assets 894.5m
B: -0.97 (Retained Earnings -865.6m / Total Assets 894.5m)
C: -0.45 (EBIT TTM -275.8m / Avg Total Assets 619.2m)
D: -3.06 (Book Value of Equity -865.6m / Total Liabilities 282.7m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -8.30 = D

Beneish M -3.51

DSRI: 0.71 (Receivables 22.7m/39.8m, Revenue 127.7m/158.2m)
GMI: 1.28 (GM 22.31% / 28.58%)
AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.70)
SGI: 0.81 (Revenue 127.7m / 158.2m)
TATA: -0.28 (NI -293.9m - CFO -42.0m) / TA 894.5m)
Beneish M-Score: -3.51 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA

What is the price of BBAI shares?

As of March 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.25 with a total of 66,750,684 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.32%, over one month by -9.96%, over three months by -35.21% and over the past year by +1.19%.

Is BBAI a buy, sell or hold?

BigBearai Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold BBAI.
  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BBAI price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 5.3 25.4%
Analysts Target Price 5.3 25.4%

BBAI Fundamental Data Overview March 07, 2026

P/S = 14.4894
P/B = 2.8749
Revenue TTM = 127.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -275.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -226.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 104.9m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 17.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 24.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -62.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.79b USD (1.85b + Debt 24.3m - CCE 87.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -15.22 (Ebit TTM -275.8m / Interest Expense TTM 18.1m)
EV/FCF = -38.58x (Enterprise Value 1.79b / FCF TTM -46.3m)
FCF Yield = -2.59% (FCF TTM -46.3m / Enterprise Value 1.79b)
FCF Margin = -36.28% (FCF TTM -46.3m / Revenue TTM 127.7m)
Net Margin = -230.2% (Net Income TTM -293.9m / Revenue TTM 127.7m)
Gross Margin = 22.31% ((Revenue TTM 127.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 99.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.32% (prev 22.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.00 (Enterprise Value 1.79b / Total Assets 894.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.35% (Interest Expense 3.98m / Debt 24.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -217.9m (EBIT -275.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 330.5m / Total Current Liabilities 185.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 24.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 611.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -62.8m / EBITDA -226.7m)
Debt / FCF = 1.36 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -62.8m / FCF TTM -46.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 421.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -47.47% (Net Income -293.9m / Total Assets 894.5m)
RoE = -69.72% (Net Income TTM -293.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 421.6m)
RoCE = -52.39% (EBIT -275.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 421.6m + L.T.Debt 104.9m))
RoIC = -47.24% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -217.9m / Invested Capital 461.2m)
WACC = 19.37% (E(1.85b)/V(1.87b) * Re(19.45%) + D(24.3m)/V(1.87b) * Rd(16.35%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 19.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 17.85%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 378.3%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -46.3m)
EPS Correlation: -1.38 | EPS CAGR: 5.51% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.06 | Revenue CAGR: -7.38% | SUE: -1.40 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.14 | Chg7d=-0.060 | Chg30d=-0.060 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.52 | Chg7d=-0.270 | Chg30d=-0.270 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+36.6% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.56 | Chg7d=-0.180 | Chg30d=-0.180 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-7.7% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%

Additional Sources for BBAI Stock

Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle