(BBDC) Barings BDC - Ratings and Ratios
Senior Loans, Unitranche, Mezzanine, Equity Co-Investments
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.69% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 12.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 59.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.80% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.13 |
| Alpha | -11.42 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.54 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.491 |
| Beta | 0.593 |
| Beta Downside | 0.568 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.45% |
| Mean DD | 6.35% |
| Median DD | 4.44% |
Description: BBDC Barings BDC November 17, 2025
Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC) is an externally managed business development company that focuses on senior secured and mezzanine-type credit, as well as equity co-investments, in U.S. middle-market firms. Its target universe consists of privately held companies with EBITDA of $10 M–$75 M and revenues up to $200 M, often backed by private-equity sponsors, across sectors such as manufacturing, business services, technology, logistics, and consumer products.
Key market data (as of Q3 2024) shows BBDC trading at a ~10 % discount to its net asset value, while delivering an annualized dividend yield of roughly 9 %, reflecting its high-yield, credit-focused strategy. The firm’s performance is tightly linked to the health of the U.S. private-credit market, which has expanded by about 15 % YoY driven by sustained demand for non-bank financing in a low-interest-rate environment; however, a rise in Fed rates could compress spreads and increase default risk in the lower-middle-market segment.
For a deeper dive into BBDC’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform offers a data-rich view that can help you assess the risk-return profile.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (101.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 10.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 105.1% (prev 43.67%; Δ 61.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO 534.0k <= Net Income 101.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.55b) to EBITDA (97.0m) ratio: 15.97 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 10.56 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (105.2m) change vs 12m ago -0.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 64.28% (prev 67.93%; Δ -3.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 6.55% (prev 9.08%; Δ -2.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.95 (EBITDA TTM 97.0m / Interest Expense TTM 85.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.58
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 206.2m - Total Current Liabilities 19.5m) / Total Assets 2.82b |
| (B) -0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -677.9m / Total Assets 2.82b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 81.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.71b |
| (D) -0.41 = Book Value of Equity -677.8m / Total Liabilities 1.66b |
| Total Rating: -0.58 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.65
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.02% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.39 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 15.97 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.98)% |
| 7. RoE 8.60% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -4.62% |
| 9. EPS Trend 36.38% |
What is the price of BBDC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.33%, over one month by +5.79%, over three months by +1.04% and over the past year by +0.89%.
Is BBDC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BBDC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.7 | 8.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.7 | 8.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.5 | 16.7% |
BBDC Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 9.2917
P/E Forward = 8.285
P/S = 3.3279
P/B = 0.7994
Beta = 0.674
Revenue TTM = 177.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 81.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 97.0m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 542.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 1.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.49b USD (938.0m + Debt 1.62b - CCE 70.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.95 (Ebit TTM 81.0m / Interest Expense TTM 85.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.02% (FCF TTM 534.0k / Enterprise Value 2.49b)
FCF Margin = 0.30% (FCF TTM 534.0k / Revenue TTM 177.7m)
Net Margin = 57.14% (Net Income TTM 101.5m / Revenue TTM 177.7m)
Gross Margin = 64.28% ((Revenue TTM 177.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 63.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 51.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 2.49b / Total Assets 2.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 21.5m / Debt 1.62b)
Taxrate = 5.38% (1.34m / 24.9m)
NOPAT = 76.7m (EBIT 81.0m * (1 - 5.38%))
Current Ratio = 10.56 (Total Current Assets 206.2m / Total Current Liabilities 19.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.39 (Debt 1.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.97 (Net Debt 1.55b / EBITDA 97.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2901 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 1.55b / FCF TTM 534.0k)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.60% (Net Income 101.5m / Total Assets 2.82b)
RoE = 8.60% (Net Income TTM 101.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.18b)
RoCE = 2.89% (EBIT 81.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 2.82b - Current Liab 19.5m))
RoIC = 2.82% (NOPAT 76.7m / Invested Capital 2.72b)
WACC = 3.80% (E(938.0m)/V(2.56b) * Re(8.20%) + D(1.62b)/V(2.56b) * Rd(1.33%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.77% ; FCFE base≈82.0m ; Y1≈53.8m ; Y5≈24.6m
Fair Price DCF = 4.48 (DCF Value 471.4m / Shares Outstanding 105.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 36.38 | EPS CAGR: 9.21% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -4.62 | Revenue CAGR: 3.64% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-12.7% | Growth Revenue=-7.7%
Additional Sources for BBDC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle