BBDC Stock Analysis: Barings BDC | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 893m USD | 12M Return: 0.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.62M
EPS Trend: -47.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -77.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Barings BDC, Inc. (BBDC) is an externally managed business development company (BDC) that invests primarily in private, U.S. middle-market companies, with a focus on senior secured loans, first lien debt, unitranche facilities, second lien debt, and subordinated debt, alongside select equity co-investments. As a BDC regulated under the Investment Company Act of 1940, the firm is required to distribute substantially all of its taxable income to shareholders, which generally allows it to qualify for pass-through tax treatment.
The firm targets companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $75 million (typically private equity sponsor-backed) and concentrates on manufacturing and distribution, business services and technology, transportation and logistics, and consumer products and services. It structures investments around mezzanine financings, leveraged and management buyouts, ESOPs, change-of-control transactions, acquisition financings, growth capital, and recapitalizations. Because BBDC is externally managed by an affiliate of Barings, it relies on its manager for deal sourcing, underwriting, and portfolio servicing rather than maintaining an in-house investment team.
- Net interest income driven by floating rate loan portfolio
- Credit quality deterioration raises non-accrual provisions
- Base rate movements directly impact investment income margins
| Net Income: 89.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.18% < 20% (prev 33.46%; Δ -10.28% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 236.3m > Net Income 89.3m |
| Net Debt (1.33b) to EBITDA (84.8m): 15.74 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (104.7m) vs 12m ago -0.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 67.80% > 18% (prev 56.81%; Δ 10.99% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 8.12% > 50% (prev 7.02%; Δ 1.10% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 133.5m / Interest Expense TTM 83.8m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 79.8m - Total Current Liabilities 29.1m) / Total Assets 2.60b |
| B: -0.27 (Retained Earnings -709.5m / Total Assets 2.60b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 133.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.70b) |
| D: 0.80 (Book Value of Equity 1.15b / Total Liabilities 1.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.41 = B |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.46 with a total of 507,107 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.82%, over one month by +0.71%, over three months by +2.57% and over the past year by +0.52%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.10 (which is 4.3% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Barings BDC has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BBDC.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 9.6 | 13.8% |
P/E Trailing = 10.0353
P/E Forward = 8.569
P/S = 3.2438
P/B = 0.778
P/EG = 3.1449
Revenue TTM = 218.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 133.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 84.8m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.33b USD (calculated: Debt 1.41b - CCE 79.8m)
Enterprise Value = 2.23b USD (893.1m + Debt 1.41b - CCE 79.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.59 (Ebit TTM 133.5m / Interest Expense TTM 83.8m)
EV/FCF = 9.43x (Enterprise Value 2.23b / FCF TTM 236.3m)
FCF Yield = 10.61% (FCF TTM 236.3m / Enterprise Value 2.23b)
FCF Margin = 108.0% (FCF TTM 236.3m / Revenue TTM 218.8m)
Net Margin = 40.84% (Net Income TTM 89.3m / Revenue TTM 218.8m)
Gross Margin = 67.80% ((Revenue TTM 218.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 70.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.07% (prev 57.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 2.23b / Total Assets 2.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.93% (Interest Expense 83.8m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 4.16% (3.88m / 93.2m)
NOPAT = 127.9m (EBIT 133.5m * (1 - 4.16%))
Current Ratio = 2.74 (Total Current Assets 79.8m / Total Current Liabilities 29.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.74 (Net Debt 1.33b / EBITDA 84.8m)
Debt / FCF = 5.65 (Net Debt 1.33b / FCF TTM 236.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.31% (Net Income 89.3m / Total Assets 2.60b)
RoE = 7.67% (Net Income TTM 89.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.16b)
RoCE = 5.19% (EBIT 133.5m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 2.60b - Current Liab 29.1m))
RoIC = 5.00% (NOPAT 127.9m / Invested Capital 2.56b)
WACC = 6.61% (E(893.1m)/V(2.31b) * Re(8.09%) + D(1.41b)/V(2.31b) * Rd(5.93%) * (1-Tc(0.04)))
Discount Rate = 8.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.08 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈183.7m ; Y1≈210.6m ; Y5≈310.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 31.81 (EV 4.66b - Net Debt 1.33b = Equity 3.33b / Shares 104.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -47.32 | EPS CAGR: -2.86% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -77.66 | Revenue CAGR: -11.49% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=+2.08% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=+1.94% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+0.95% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-12.2% | GrowthRev=-13.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=+0.07% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-1.7% | GrowthRev=-0.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)