BCC Stock Analysis: Boise Cascad | NYSE
Lumber & Wood Production | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.671m USD | 12M Return: -18.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 30.2M
EPS Trend: -94.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -94.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Boise Cascade Company (NYSE: BCC) is a U.S.-headquartered producer and distributor of wood-based building products, organized into two segments: Wood Products (manufacturing) and Building Materials Distribution (wholesale). The Wood Products segment produces laminated veneer lumber (LVL), I-joists, plywood panels, and ponderosa pine lumber used in residential and light commercial construction. The Building Materials Distribution segment resells oriented strand board (OSB), plywood, lumber, engineered wood, and general line products such as siding, decking, insulation, and roofing to dealers, home improvement centers, and specialty distributors across the United States and Canada.
As a Forest Products company within the GICS Materials sector, Boise Cascades financial performance is closely tied to North American housing starts, repair-and-remodel activity, and commodity wood panel prices. The combination of in-house manufacturing and a national wholesale distribution footprint gives the company a channel to reach professional builders and dealers beyond its own product lines, distributing third-party brands alongside its own.
The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker BCC and has been listed since its February 2013 IPO. End markets for its products span new residential construction, repair and remodeling, light industrial and commercial buildings, and various industrial applications.
- Housing starts and repair-remodel demand drive engineered wood volumes
- Lumber and OSB commodity prices swing Wood Products margins
- Building Materials Distribution margins expand on commodity price lag
| Net Income: 110.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.39% < 20% (prev 19.30%; Δ -1.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 266.6m > Net Income 110.3m |
| Net Debt (304.7m) to EBITDA (334.7m): 0.91 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.77 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (36.0m) vs 12m ago -5.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 14.98% > 18% (prev 18.94%; Δ -3.97% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 186.6% > 50% (prev 190.0%; Δ -3.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.66 > 6 (EBIT TTM 172.7m / Interest Expense TTM 22.6m) |
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 1.73b - Total Current Liabilities 627.0m) / Total Assets 3.34b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 1.45b / Total Assets 3.34b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 172.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.41b) |
| D: 1.52 (Book Value of Equity 2.02b / Total Liabilities 1.33b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.52 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 490.2m/474.2m, Revenue 6.37b/6.62b) |
| GMI: 1.26 (GM 18.94% / 14.98%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 6.37b / 6.62b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 110.3m - CFO 266.6m) / TA 3.34b) |
| Beneish M = -2.73 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 75.93 with a total of 218,459 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.80%, over one month by +9.69%, over three months by +4.06% and over the past year by -18.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 70.20 (which is 7.5% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Boise Cascad has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BCC.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 92 | 21.2% |
P/E Trailing = 25.5556
P/E Forward = 4.7326
P/S = 0.4291
P/B = 1.3835
P/EG = 2.9351
Revenue TTM = 6.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 172.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 334.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 448.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 643.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 91.4m
Net Debt = 304.7m USD (calculated: Debt 643.4m - CCE 338.7m)
Enterprise Value = 2.98b USD (2.67b + Debt 643.4m - CCE 338.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.66 (Ebit TTM 172.7m / Interest Expense TTM 22.6m)
EV/FCF = 77.10x (Enterprise Value 2.98b / FCF TTM 38.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.30% (FCF TTM 38.6m / Enterprise Value 2.98b)
FCF Margin = 0.61% (FCF TTM 38.6m / Revenue TTM 6.37b)
Net Margin = 1.73% (Net Income TTM 110.3m / Revenue TTM 6.37b)
Gross Margin = 14.98% ((Revenue TTM 6.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.41b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.25% (prev 13.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 2.98b / Total Assets 3.34b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.51% (Interest Expense 22.6m / Debt 643.4m)
Taxrate = 26.54% (39.9m / 150.2m)
NOPAT = 126.9m (EBIT 172.7m * (1 - 26.54%))
Current Ratio = 2.77 (Total Current Assets 1.73b / Total Current Liabilities 627.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 643.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (Net Debt 304.7m / EBITDA 334.7m)
Debt / FCF = 7.90 (Net Debt 304.7m / FCF TTM 38.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.23% (Net Income 110.3m / Total Assets 3.34b)
RoE = 5.26% (Net Income TTM 110.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.10b)
RoCE = 6.79% (EBIT 172.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.10b + L.T.Debt 448.1m))
RoIC = 5.27% (NOPAT 126.9m / Invested Capital 2.41b)
WACC = 8.38% (E(2.67b)/V(3.31b) * Re(9.78%) + D(643.4m)/V(3.31b) * Rd(3.51%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -4.57%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.98% ; FCFF base≈76.7m ; Y1≈67.3m ; Y5≈54.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.01 (EV 868.1m - Net Debt 304.7m = Equity 563.4m / Shares 35.2m; r=8.38% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -94.11 | EPS CAGR: -42.24% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.26 | Revenue CAGR: -3.58% | SUE: 1.27 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-8.37% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.65 | Chg30d=-4.94% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+3.5% | GrowthRev=+2.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.40 | Chg30d=-2.53% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+47.9% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%