BCC Stock Analysis: Boise Cascad | NYSE
Lumber & Wood Production | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.957m USD | 12M Return: 1.1% | US09739D1000 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 30.3M
EPS Trend: -95.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -92.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Boise Cascade Company (NYSE: BCC) is a U.S.-headquartered producer and distributor of wood-based building products, organized into two segments: Wood Products (manufacturing) and Building Materials Distribution (wholesale). The Wood Products segment produces laminated veneer lumber (LVL), I-joists, plywood panels, and ponderosa pine lumber used in residential and light commercial construction. The Building Materials Distribution segment resells oriented strand board (OSB), plywood, lumber, engineered wood, and general line products such as siding, decking, insulation, and roofing to dealers, home improvement centers, and specialty distributors across the United States and Canada.
As a Forest Products company within the GICS Materials sector, Boise Cascades financial performance is closely tied to North American housing starts, repair-and-remodel activity, and commodity wood panel prices. The combination of in-house manufacturing and a national wholesale distribution footprint gives the company a channel to reach professional builders and dealers beyond its own product lines, distributing third-party brands alongside its own.
The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker BCC and has been listed since its February 2013 IPO. End markets for its products span new residential construction, repair and remodeling, light industrial and commercial buildings, and various industrial applications.
- Housing starts and repair-remodel demand drive engineered wood volumes
- Lumber and OSB commodity prices swing Wood Products margins
- Building Materials Distribution margins expand on commodity price lag
| Net Income: 105.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.59% < 20% (prev 19.30%; Δ -1.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 275.8m > Net Income 105.7m |
| Net Debt (320.1m) to EBITDA (282.3m): 1.13 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.2m) vs 12m ago -6.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.22% > 18% (prev 18.22%; Δ -3.00% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 189.0% > 50% (prev 190.3%; Δ -1.33% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM 116.0m / Interest Expense TTM 24.5m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.80b - Total Current Liabilities 664.3m) / Total Assets 3.39b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 1.45b / Total Assets 3.39b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 116.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.42b) |
| D: 1.49 (Book Value of Equity 2.03b / Total Liabilities 1.36b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.39 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 531.1m/480.7m, Revenue 6.46b/6.56b) |
| GMI: 1.20 (GM 18.22% / 15.22%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 6.46b / 6.56b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 105.7m - CFO 275.8m) / TA 3.39b) |
| Beneish M = -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 84.25 with a total of 271,123 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.65%, over one month by +12.75%, over three months by +24.42% and over the past year by +1.12%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 79.30 (which is 5.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Boise Cascad has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BCC.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 96.5 | 14.5% |
P/E Trailing = 29.3253
P/E Forward = 4.7326
P/S = 0.4579
P/B = 1.4917
P/EG = 2.9351
Revenue TTM = 6.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 116.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 282.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 448.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 624.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 88.2m
Net Debt = 320.1m USD (calculated: Debt 624.9m - CCE 304.8m)
Enterprise Value = 3.28b USD (2.96b + Debt 624.9m - CCE 304.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.74 (Ebit TTM 116.0m / Interest Expense TTM 24.5m)
EV/FCF = 31.72x (Enterprise Value 3.28b / FCF TTM 103.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.15% (FCF TTM 103.3m / Enterprise Value 3.28b)
FCF Margin = 1.60% (FCF TTM 103.3m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Net Margin = 1.64% (Net Income TTM 105.7m / Revenue TTM 6.46b)
Gross Margin = 15.22% ((Revenue TTM 6.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.90% (prev 16.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 3.28b / Total Assets 3.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.92% (Interest Expense 24.5m / Debt 624.9m)
Taxrate = 28.67% (42.5m / 148.2m)
NOPAT = 82.7m (EBIT 116.0m * (1 - 28.67%))
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 1.80b / Total Current Liabilities 664.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.31 (Debt 624.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.13 (Net Debt 320.1m / EBITDA 282.3m)
Debt / FCF = 3.10 (Net Debt 320.1m / FCF TTM 103.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.09% (Net Income 105.7m / Total Assets 3.39b)
RoE = 5.12% (Net Income TTM 105.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.06b)
RoCE = 4.61% (EBIT 116.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.06b + L.T.Debt 448.4m))
RoIC = 3.40% (NOPAT 82.7m / Invested Capital 2.43b)
WACC = 8.58% (E(2.96b)/V(3.58b) * Re(9.80%) + D(624.9m)/V(3.58b) * Rd(3.92%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.79 | Cagr: -5.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.64% ; FCFF base≈103.3m ; Y1≈103.7m ; Y5≈109.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 37.98 (EV 1.65b - Net Debt 320.1m = Equity 1.33b / Shares 34.9m; r=8.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.53 | EPS CAGR: -45.14% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -92.33 | Revenue CAGR: -3.08% | SUE: 2.99 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=-8.06% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.93 | Chg30d=+7.57% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+11.3% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.29 | Chg30d=-2.10% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+34.6% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)