BCO Stock Analysis: Brinks | NYSE
Security & Protection Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.568m USD | 12M Return: -12.3% | US1096961040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 47.9M
EPS Trend: 71.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 95.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Brinks Company (BCO) is a global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services, operating across North America, Latin America, and Europe. The company is classified within the Industrials sector under the Security & Alarm Services sub-industry, reflecting its position in the cash-in-transit (CIT) and physical security market. Brinks is one of the most established players in the armored transportation industry, a segment characterized by high regulatory oversight, labor-intensive operations, and long-standing client relationships with banks, retailers, and government entities.
The companys service portfolio spans the full cash lifecycle, including armored vehicle transportation, ATM cash replenishment and forecasting, international shipping of high-value commodities, customs clearance, secure vault storage, and cash processing services such as counting, sorting, counterfeit detection, and electronic account consolidation. It also offers vaulting and electronic reporting technologies for financial institutions, commercial guarding and payment services, cash management hardware and software (marketed under the Complete and CompuSafe brands), and end-to-end ATM management covering installation, remote monitoring, maintenance, and funds settlement.
Founded in 1859 and headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Brinks is among the oldest continuously operating security companies in the United States. The company was originally known as The Pittston Company before adopting its current name in May 2003, following a strategic refocus on its security and cash handling operations.
- Strong US dollar weighs on Latin America reported revenue
- Digital Retail Solutions segment accelerates on ATM managed services demand
- Labor and fuel cost inflation pressures operating margins
| Net Income: 180.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.52% < 20% (prev 20.46%; Δ 3.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 560.9m > Net Income 180.9m |
| Net Debt (2.90b) to EBITDA (898.1m): 3.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.5m) vs 12m ago -2.12% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.43% > 18% (prev 25.16%; Δ 1.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 76.04% > 50% (prev 71.55%; Δ 4.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 579.0m / Interest Expense TTM 250.7m) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 3.37b - Total Current Liabilities 2.08b) / Total Assets 7.33b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 299.4m / Total Assets 7.33b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 579.0m / Avg Total Assets 7.21b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 310.5m / Total Liabilities 6.89b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.87 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 865.7m/811.5m, Revenue 5.48b/5.07b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 25.16% / 26.43%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.36) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 5.48b / 5.07b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 180.9m - CFO 560.9m) / TA 7.33b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 100.19 with a total of 801,229 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.85%, over one month by -4.35%, over three months by -15.26% and over the past year by -12.32%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 96.00 (which is 4.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Brinks has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BCO.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 146.3 | 46.1% |
P/E Trailing = 25.7884
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 0.8331
P/B = 14.7606
P/EG = 1.1585
Revenue TTM = 5.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 579.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 898.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.90b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 347.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.56b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 313.3m
Net Debt = 2.90b USD (calculated: Debt 4.56b - CCE 1.66b)
Enterprise Value = 7.46b USD (4.57b + Debt 4.56b - CCE 1.66b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.31 (Ebit TTM 579.0m / Interest Expense TTM 250.7m)
EV/FCF = 18.97x (Enterprise Value 7.46b / FCF TTM 393.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.27% (FCF TTM 393.6m / Enterprise Value 7.46b)
FCF Margin = 7.18% (FCF TTM 393.6m / Revenue TTM 5.48b)
Net Margin = 3.30% (Net Income TTM 180.9m / Revenue TTM 5.48b)
Gross Margin = 26.43% ((Revenue TTM 5.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.29% (prev 25.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 7.46b / Total Assets 7.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.50% (Interest Expense 250.7m / Debt 4.56b)
Taxrate = 40.83% (132.0m / 323.3m)
NOPAT = 342.6m (EBIT 579.0m * (1 - 40.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 3.37b / Total Current Liabilities 2.08b)
Debt / Equity = 14.67 (Debt 4.56b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 310.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.23 (Net Debt 2.90b / EBITDA 898.1m)
Debt / FCF = 7.36 (Net Debt 2.90b / FCF TTM 393.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 279.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.51% (Net Income 180.9m / Total Assets 7.33b)
RoE = 64.68% (Net Income TTM 180.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 279.7m)
RoCE = 13.87% (EBIT 579.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 279.7m + L.T.Debt 3.90b))
RoIC = 6.43% (NOPAT 342.6m / Invested Capital 5.33b)
WACC = 5.07% (E(4.57b)/V(9.12b) * Re(6.88%) + D(4.56b)/V(9.12b) * Rd(5.50%) * (1-Tc(0.41)))
Discount Rate = 6.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.88 | Cagr: -3.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.69% ; FCFF base≈375.2m ; Y1≈423.6m ; Y5≈599.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 149.4 (EV 9.05b - Net Debt 2.90b = Equity 6.15b / Shares 41.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 13.20% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 71.82 | EPS CAGR: 7.14% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.81 | Revenue CAGR: 4.30% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.20 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+14.2% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.35 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+12.6% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -42% (up=2, down=7)