(BCO) Brinks - Overview
Stock: Armored Transport, ATM Services, Cash Management, Vault Storage, Retail
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.27% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.47% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.19 |
| Alpha | 30.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.848 |
| Beta Downside | 0.863 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.48% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.03 |
Description: BCO Brinks January 10, 2026
Brinks Company (NYSE:BCO) is a global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services, operating across North America, Latin America, Europe, and other international markets.
Its core offerings include armored vehicle transportation, ATM cash replenishment, treasury management, remote monitoring, maintenance, and settlement services, as well as a suite of cash-handling functions such as counting, sorting, counterfeit detection, and electronic reporting.
The firm also delivers vaulting and secure storage for high-value items-diamonds, precious metals, securities, pharmaceuticals-and offers guarding, commercial security, and payment services to banks, retailers, governments, mints, and jewelers.
Founded in 1859 (originally The Pittston Company) and headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Brinks rebranded in 2003 and now reports under the GICS sub-industry “Security & Alarm Services.”
Recent KPI highlights (FY 2023) show revenue of $4.2 billion, a 3.5 % YoY increase driven largely by higher ATM transaction volumes (+4 %) and expanded digital-retail contracts; adjusted EBITDA margin held at 12.8 %, reflecting stable pricing despite modest inflationary pressure on labor costs.
Key macro drivers include the lingering demand for physical cash in emerging markets, the gradual shift toward cash-less payments in the U.S. (which compresses ATM volumes but raises opportunities for value-added services), and heightened regulatory scrutiny on secure transport of high-value goods, all of which affect Brinks growth outlook.
For a data-rich, unbiased view of how these trends translate into valuation metrics, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst dashboard can help you test the assumptions before making an investment decision.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 170.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.47 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.89% < 20% (prev 20.71%; Δ -2.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 635.7m > Net Income 170.1m |
| Net Debt (2.52b) to EBITDA (820.8m): 3.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.1m) vs 12m ago -5.64% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.36% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 2511 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 75.55% > 50% (prev 74.86%; Δ 0.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.22 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 820.8m / Interest Expense TTM 242.9m) |
Altman Z'' 1.46
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 2.94b - Total Current Liabilities 2.02b) / Total Assets 6.95b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 260.2m / Total Assets 6.95b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 539.1m / Avg Total Assets 6.81b) |
| D: -0.06 (Book Value of Equity -368.3m / Total Liabilities 6.56b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.46 = BB |
Beneish M -3.16
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 808.8m/849.4m, Revenue 5.15b/4.99b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 25.36% / 25.29%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 5.15b / 4.99b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 170.1m - CFO 635.7m) / TA 6.95b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of BCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.25%, over one month by +9.09%, over three months by +16.84% and over the past year by +43.57%.
Is BCO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 133.5 | 2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 133.5 | 2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 164.7 | 25.8% |
BCO Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 1.0284
P/B = 19.5937
P/EG = 2.83
Revenue TTM = 5.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 539.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 820.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 368.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.32b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.27b USD (5.29b + Debt 4.32b - CCE 1.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.22 (Ebit TTM 539.1m / Interest Expense TTM 242.9m)
EV/FCF = 19.80x (Enterprise Value 8.27b / FCF TTM 417.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.05% (FCF TTM 417.7m / Enterprise Value 8.27b)
FCF Margin = 8.12% (FCF TTM 417.7m / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Net Margin = 3.31% (Net Income TTM 170.1m / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Gross Margin = 25.36% ((Revenue TTM 5.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.81% (prev 24.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 8.27b / Total Assets 6.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.47% (Interest Expense 63.4m / Debt 4.32b)
Taxrate = 34.81% (92.7m / 266.3m)
NOPAT = 351.4m (EBIT 539.1m * (1 - 34.81%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 2.94b / Total Current Liabilities 2.02b)
Debt / Equity = 16.09 (Debt 4.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 268.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.07 (Net Debt 2.52b / EBITDA 820.8m)
Debt / FCF = 6.03 (Net Debt 2.52b / FCF TTM 417.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 228.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.50% (Net Income 170.1m / Total Assets 6.95b)
RoE = 74.46% (Net Income TTM 170.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 228.4m)
RoCE = 14.00% (EBIT 539.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 228.4m + L.T.Debt 3.62b))
RoIC = 8.36% (NOPAT 351.4m / Invested Capital 4.20b)
WACC = 5.41% (E(5.29b)/V(9.61b) * Re(9.04%) + D(4.32b)/V(9.61b) * Rd(1.47%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.26% ; FCFF base≈345.1m ; Y1≈380.7m ; Y5≈490.8m
Fair Price DCF = 288.0 (EV 14.48b - Net Debt 2.52b = Equity 11.97b / Shares 41.5m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 11.89% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -23.48 | EPS CAGR: -43.65% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.62 | Revenue CAGR: 5.34% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.17 | Chg30d=-0.107 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%