(BCO) Brinks - Ratings and Ratios
Cash Transport, ATM Services, Vault Storage, Cash Management
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.81% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.53% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 44.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.00 |
| Alpha | 20.38 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.549 |
| Beta | 0.842 |
| Beta Downside | 0.834 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.48% |
| Mean DD | 8.45% |
| Median DD | 5.57% |
Description: BCO Brinks November 07, 2025
The Brink’s Company (NYSE: BCO) operates a global network that transports and secures cash, valuables, and high-value assets, offering services that span armored vehicle transport, ATM management (including cash replenishment, remote monitoring, and maintenance), digital retail solutions, and comprehensive vaulting and inventory services for banks, retailers, governments, and other commercial clients.
In FY 2023 the firm generated roughly $3.7 billion in revenue, with the cash-management segment accounting for about 55 % of total sales and delivering an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %. Recent quarterly reports show a 5 % year-over-year increase in same-store ATM revenue, reflecting continued demand for cash-optimisation tools despite a broader shift toward digital payments. Key economic drivers include persistent inflation, which sustains higher cash-holding needs, and heightened security concerns that boost demand for secure logistics and vaulting services.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of BCO’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform provides a transparent, data-driven view.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (170.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 308.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 17.89% (prev 20.71%; Δ -2.82pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 635.7m > Net Income 170.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.52b) to EBITDA (820.8m) ratio: 3.07 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (42.1m) change vs 12m ago -5.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.36% (prev 25.29%; Δ 0.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 75.55% (prev 74.86%; Δ 0.70pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.22 (EBITDA TTM 820.8m / Interest Expense TTM 242.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.46
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 2.94b - Total Current Liabilities 2.02b) / Total Assets 6.95b |
| (B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 260.2m / Total Assets 6.95b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 539.1m / Avg Total Assets 6.81b |
| (D) -0.06 = Book Value of Equity -368.3m / Total Liabilities 6.56b |
| Total Rating: 1.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.02
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.33% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.12% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 16.09 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.07 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.21)% |
| 7. RoE 74.46% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.62% |
| 9. EPS Trend -23.48% |
What is the price of BCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.39%, over one month by +8.88%, over three months by +8.24% and over the past year by +35.52%.
Is BCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 133.5 | 7.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 133.5 | 7.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 151.4 | 22.2% |
BCO Fundamental Data Overview January 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 0.9428
P/B = 18.0619
P/EG = 2.83
Beta = 1.106
Revenue TTM = 5.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 539.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 820.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 368.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.32b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.83b USD (4.85b + Debt 4.32b - CCE 1.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.22 (Ebit TTM 539.1m / Interest Expense TTM 242.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.33% (FCF TTM 417.7m / Enterprise Value 7.83b)
FCF Margin = 8.12% (FCF TTM 417.7m / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Net Margin = 3.31% (Net Income TTM 170.1m / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Gross Margin = 25.36% ((Revenue TTM 5.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.81% (prev 24.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.13 (Enterprise Value 7.83b / Total Assets 6.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.47% (Interest Expense 63.4m / Debt 4.32b)
Taxrate = 58.56% (53.0m / 90.5m)
NOPAT = 223.4m (EBIT 539.1m * (1 - 58.56%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 2.94b / Total Current Liabilities 2.02b)
Debt / Equity = 16.09 (Debt 4.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 268.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.07 (Net Debt 2.52b / EBITDA 820.8m)
Debt / FCF = 6.03 (Net Debt 2.52b / FCF TTM 417.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 228.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.50% (Net Income 170.1m / Total Assets 6.95b)
RoE = 74.46% (Net Income TTM 170.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 228.4m)
RoCE = 14.00% (EBIT 539.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 228.4m + L.T.Debt 3.62b))
RoIC = 5.32% (NOPAT 223.4m / Invested Capital 4.20b)
WACC = 5.11% (E(4.85b)/V(9.17b) * Re(9.12%) + D(4.32b)/V(9.17b) * Rd(1.47%) * (1-Tc(0.59)))
Discount Rate = 9.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.26% ; FCFF base≈345.1m ; Y1≈380.8m ; Y5≈492.0m
Fair Price DCF = 287.6 (EV 14.46b - Net Debt 2.52b = Equity 11.95b / Shares 41.5m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 11.89% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -23.48 | EPS CAGR: -43.65% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.62 | Revenue CAGR: 5.34% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.17 | Chg30d=-0.107 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
Additional Sources for BCO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle