(BEKE) Ke Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Realty, Brokerage, Renovation, Rental, Platform
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.25% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.57% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 105.26% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.1% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.11% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.21 |
| Alpha | -24.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.489 |
| Beta | 0.667 |
| Beta Downside | 0.399 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.27% |
| Mean DD | 22.28% |
| Median DD | 23.98% |
Description: BEKE Ke Holdings December 19, 2025
KE Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BEKE) runs an integrated online-offline ecosystem for Chinese housing transactions, organized into five segments: existing-home sales, new-home sales, renovation & furnishing, rental services, and emerging/other services. Its flagship brands include the Beike digital marketplace, the Lianjia brokerage network, the Agent Cooperation Network that links service providers, and the Deyou connected-store concept. The firm also supplies ancillary services such as escrow, secure payment, and property-management contracts.
As of FY 2023, KE reported RMB 140 billion in total transaction volume, a 12% YoY increase driven largely by a rebound in second-hand home sales after the 2023 “housing market stabilization” policy package. Revenue grew 8% to RMB 30 billion, with the Renovation & Furnishing segment contributing a 15% margin boost, reflecting strong consumer demand for home-improvement amid rising disposable income. However, the company’s growth is sensitive to macro-policy (e.g., mortgage rate adjustments) and the broader slowdown in China’s real-estate development sector, which has compressed new-home supply and pressured pricing.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven view of BEKE’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (3.48b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.21b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.93% (prev 32.14%; Δ -7.21pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.91b <= Net Income 3.48b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.88b) to EBITDA (5.09b) ratio: 2.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.61 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.15b) change vs 12m ago -2.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.86% (prev 25.34%; Δ -3.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 85.52% (prev 67.21%; Δ 18.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 143.7 (EBITDA TTM 5.09b / Interest Expense TTM 28.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.73
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 68.43b - Total Current Liabilities 42.61b) / Total Assets 119.30b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.18b / Total Assets 119.30b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 4.10b / Avg Total Assets 121.05b |
| (D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 2.58b / Total Liabilities 51.36b |
| Total Rating: 1.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.69
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.18% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.35% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.31 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.33 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.98)% |
| 7. RoE 5.02% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 77.43% |
| 9. EPS Trend 49.06% |
What is the price of BEKE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.41%, over one month by -4.76%, over three months by -18.95% and over the past year by -10.54%.
Is BEKE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BEKE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.5 | 27.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.5 | 27.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.5 | 3.2% |
BEKE Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Trailing = 40.5238
P/E Forward = 17.7936
P/S = 0.1915
P/B = 1.993
P/EG = 0.9785
Beta = -0.637
Revenue TTM = 103.52b CNY
EBIT TTM = 4.10b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 5.09b CNY
Long Term Debt = 137.9m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.68b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.10b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.88b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 111.71b CNY (139.60b + Debt 21.10b - CCE 48.99b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 143.7 (Ebit TTM 4.10b / Interest Expense TTM 28.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.18% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Enterprise Value 111.71b)
FCF Margin = 2.35% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Revenue TTM 103.52b)
Net Margin = 3.36% (Net Income TTM 3.48b / Revenue TTM 103.52b)
Gross Margin = 21.86% ((Revenue TTM 103.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 80.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.41% (prev 21.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 111.71b / Total Assets 119.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.14% (Interest Expense 28.6m / Debt 21.10b)
Taxrate = 42.43% (550.3m / 1.30b)
NOPAT = 2.36b (EBIT 4.10b * (1 - 42.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.61 (Total Current Assets 68.43b / Total Current Liabilities 42.61b)
Debt / Equity = 0.31 (Debt 21.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 67.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.33 (Net Debt 11.88b / EBITDA 5.09b)
Debt / FCF = 4.88 (Net Debt 11.88b / FCF TTM 2.43b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 69.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.91% (Net Income 3.48b / Total Assets 119.30b)
RoE = 5.02% (Net Income TTM 3.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 69.18b)
RoCE = 5.92% (EBIT 4.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 69.18b + L.T.Debt 137.9m))
RoIC = 3.39% (NOPAT 2.36b / Invested Capital 69.75b)
WACC = 7.37% (E(139.60b)/V(160.69b) * Re(8.47%) + D(21.10b)/V(160.69b) * Rd(0.14%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 8.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.57% ; FCFE base≈3.54b ; Y1≈3.10b ; Y5≈2.53b
Fair Price DCF = 38.12 (DCF Value 42.60b / Shares Outstanding 1.12b; 5y FCF grow -15.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 49.06 | EPS CAGR: 146.0% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.43 | Revenue CAGR: 7.16% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=-0.490 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.32 | Chg30d=-0.878 | Revisions Net=-12 | Growth EPS=+27.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
Additional Sources for BEKE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle