(BEKE) Ke Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Real Estate, Brokerage, Renovation, Rental, Escrow
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.58% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 105.26% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 61.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.19% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.01 |
| Alpha | -20.81 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.611 |
| Beta | 0.634 |
| Beta Downside | 0.467 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.27% |
| Mean DD | 21.96% |
| Median DD | 23.63% |
Description: BEKE Ke Holdings October 16, 2025
KE Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BEKE) runs an integrated online-offline ecosystem for Chinese housing transactions, covering five business lines: existing-home sales, new-home sales, renovation & furnishing, rentals, and emerging services. Its flagship platforms include Beike (digital marketplace), Lianjia (brick-and-mortar brokerage), and the Agent Cooperation Network that links independent agents, plus the Deyou brand for connected brokerage stores. The company also provides ancillary services such as escrow, secure payments, and property-management for rentals.
Recent data (Q3 2024) show BEKE’s revenue at ¥13.2 billion, down 12 % YoY, reflecting a broader slowdown in China’s residential market as mortgage-rate hikes and tighter credit constraints curb buyer activity. Transaction volume fell 9 % year-over-year, but the firm’s “Agent Cooperation Network” now supports over 1.1 million registered agents, helping it maintain a roughly 30 % market-share in online-offline brokerage services. A key sector driver remains government policy on housing affordability, where any easing of purchase restrictions could materially boost BEKE’s top line.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of BEKE’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (3.48b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.21b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.93% (prev 32.14%; Δ -7.21pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.91b <= Net Income 3.48b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.88b) to EBITDA (5.09b) ratio: 2.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.61 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.15b) change vs 12m ago -2.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.86% (prev 25.34%; Δ -3.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 85.52% (prev 67.21%; Δ 18.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 143.7 (EBITDA TTM 5.09b / Interest Expense TTM 28.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.73
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 68.43b - Total Current Liabilities 42.61b) / Total Assets 119.30b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.18b / Total Assets 119.30b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 4.10b / Avg Total Assets 121.05b |
| (D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 2.58b / Total Liabilities 51.36b |
| Total Rating: 1.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.77
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.35% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.31 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.33 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.89)% |
| 7. RoE 5.02% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 77.48% |
| 9. EPS Trend 48.49% |
What is the price of BEKE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.12%, over one month by -4.34%, over three months by -3.26% and over the past year by -7.57%.
Is BEKE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BEKE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.3 | 18.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.3 | 18.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17.8 | 3.5% |
BEKE Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 40.5238
P/E Forward = 18.2815
P/S = 0.1918
P/B = 2.0537
P/EG = 1.0036
Beta = -0.636
Revenue TTM = 103.52b CNY
EBIT TTM = 4.10b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 5.09b CNY
Long Term Debt = 137.9m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.68b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.10b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.88b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 112.70b CNY (140.59b + Debt 21.10b - CCE 48.99b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 143.7 (Ebit TTM 4.10b / Interest Expense TTM 28.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.16% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Enterprise Value 112.70b)
FCF Margin = 2.35% (FCF TTM 2.43b / Revenue TTM 103.52b)
Net Margin = 3.36% (Net Income TTM 3.48b / Revenue TTM 103.52b)
Gross Margin = 21.86% ((Revenue TTM 103.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 80.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.41% (prev 21.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 112.70b / Total Assets 119.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.14% (Interest Expense 28.6m / Debt 21.10b)
Taxrate = 42.43% (550.3m / 1.30b)
NOPAT = 2.36b (EBIT 4.10b * (1 - 42.43%))
Current Ratio = 1.61 (Total Current Assets 68.43b / Total Current Liabilities 42.61b)
Debt / Equity = 0.31 (Debt 21.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 67.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.33 (Net Debt 11.88b / EBITDA 5.09b)
Debt / FCF = 4.88 (Net Debt 11.88b / FCF TTM 2.43b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 69.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.91% (Net Income 3.48b / Total Assets 119.30b)
RoE = 5.02% (Net Income TTM 3.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 69.18b)
RoCE = 5.92% (EBIT 4.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 69.18b + L.T.Debt 137.9m))
RoIC = 3.39% (NOPAT 2.36b / Invested Capital 69.75b)
WACC = 7.27% (E(140.59b)/V(161.69b) * Re(8.35%) + D(21.10b)/V(161.69b) * Rd(0.14%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 8.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.03% ; FCFE base≈3.54b ; Y1≈3.10b ; Y5≈2.53b
Fair Price DCF = 38.85 (DCF Value 43.53b / Shares Outstanding 1.12b; 5y FCF grow -15.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 48.49 | EPS CAGR: 143.2% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.48 | Revenue CAGR: 7.16% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for BEKE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle