(BFAM) Bright Horizons Family - Ratings and Ratios
Early Education, Childcare, Back-Up Care, Advisory
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.21 |
| Alpha | -22.08 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.484 |
| Beta | 0.676 |
| Beta Downside | 0.729 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.42% |
| Mean DD | 11.05% |
| Median DD | 9.77% |
Description: BFAM Bright Horizons Family January 08, 2026
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) delivers employer-focused early-education and childcare services across the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Australia, and India. The business is organized into three segments: (1) Full-Service Center-Based Child Care, which runs traditional preschool and elementary programs; (2) Back-Up Care, offering on-demand center-based, in-home, and marketplace solutions (including the Sittercity platform); and (3) Educational Advisory, providing tuition assistance, student-loan repayment administration, and college-admissions consulting.
In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $2.2 billion in revenue, with same-store enrollment up 4.5% year-over-year, reflecting strong employer demand for “work-life benefits” amid a tight labor market. EBITDA margin hovered near 15%, supported by scalable back-up care services that have higher contribution rates than traditional centers. Key macro drivers include rising corporate investment in employee benefits, demographic trends that keep demand for early-childhood education resilient, and inflation-linked cost pressures that are being mitigated through price escalations and operational efficiencies.
If you want a data-rich, unbiased deep-dive on BFAM’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a concise analyst-grade overview worth checking out.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (200.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 172.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -13.45% (prev -10.00%; Δ -3.45pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 323.4m > Net Income 200.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.63b) to EBITDA (408.4m) ratio: 4.00 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (57.7m) change vs 12m ago -1.74% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.17% (prev 22.64%; Δ 1.53pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 73.67% (prev 67.12%; Δ 6.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.12 (EBITDA TTM 408.4m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.06
| (A) -0.10 = (Total Current Assets 454.7m - Total Current Liabilities 841.1m) / Total Assets 3.88b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 937.4m / Total Assets 3.88b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 317.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.90b |
| (D) 0.36 = Book Value of Equity 890.0m / Total Liabilities 2.46b |
| Total Rating: 1.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.17
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.09% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.09% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.22 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.00 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.43)% |
| 7. RoE 14.77% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend 21.34% |
What is the price of BFAM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.71%, over one month by +2.44%, over three months by +3.23% and over the past year by -11.68%.
Is BFAM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the BFAM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 128.8 | 26.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 128.8 | 26.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 98 | -3.9% |
BFAM Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.3252
P/S = 2.0479
P/B = 4.1001
P/EG = 1.76
Beta = 1.417
Revenue TTM = 2.87b USD
EBIT TTM = 317.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 408.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 747.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 276.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.63b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.52b USD (5.89b + Debt 1.75b - CCE 116.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.12 (Ebit TTM 317.4m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.09% (FCF TTM 232.5m / Enterprise Value 7.52b)
FCF Margin = 8.09% (FCF TTM 232.5m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Net Margin = 6.98% (Net Income TTM 200.5m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Gross Margin = 24.17% ((Revenue TTM 2.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.90% (prev 24.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.94 (Enterprise Value 7.52b / Total Assets 3.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 12.2m / Debt 1.75b)
Taxrate = 27.69% (30.1m / 108.6m)
NOPAT = 229.5m (EBIT 317.4m * (1 - 27.69%))
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 454.7m / Total Current Liabilities 841.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 1.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.00 (Net Debt 1.63b / EBITDA 408.4m)
Debt / FCF = 7.02 (Net Debt 1.63b / FCF TTM 232.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.14% (Net Income 200.5m / Total Assets 3.88b)
RoE = 14.77% (Net Income TTM 200.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.36b)
RoCE = 15.08% (EBIT 317.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.36b + L.T.Debt 747.5m))
RoIC = 10.10% (NOPAT 229.5m / Invested Capital 2.27b)
WACC = 6.67% (E(5.89b)/V(7.63b) * Re(8.50%) + D(1.75b)/V(7.63b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.93% ; FCFF base≈225.9m ; Y1≈255.4m ; Y5≈346.1m
Fair Price DCF = 117.6 (EV 8.28b - Net Debt 1.63b = Equity 6.65b / Shares 56.6m; r=6.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.15% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 21.34 | EPS CAGR: -40.72% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.24 | Revenue CAGR: 15.78% | SUE: 2.00 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.10 | Chg30d=-0.013 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+12.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.8%
Additional Sources for BFAM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle