(BFAM) Bright Horizons Family - Overview
Stock: Early Education, Childcare, Back-Up Care, Advisory
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.89 |
| Alpha | -40.61 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.689 |
| Beta Downside | 0.772 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.83% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.13 |
Description: BFAM Bright Horizons Family January 08, 2026
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) delivers employer-focused early-education and childcare services across the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Australia, and India. The business is organized into three segments: (1) Full-Service Center-Based Child Care, which runs traditional preschool and elementary programs; (2) Back-Up Care, offering on-demand center-based, in-home, and marketplace solutions (including the Sittercity platform); and (3) Educational Advisory, providing tuition assistance, student-loan repayment administration, and college-admissions consulting.
In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $2.2 billion in revenue, with same-store enrollment up 4.5% year-over-year, reflecting strong employer demand for “work-life benefits” amid a tight labor market. EBITDA margin hovered near 15%, supported by scalable back-up care services that have higher contribution rates than traditional centers. Key macro drivers include rising corporate investment in employee benefits, demographic trends that keep demand for early-childhood education resilient, and inflation-linked cost pressures that are being mitigated through price escalations and operational efficiencies.
If you want a data-rich, unbiased deep-dive on BFAM’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a concise analyst-grade overview worth checking out.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 200.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.45% < 20% (prev -10.00%; Δ -3.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 323.4m > Net Income 200.5m |
| Net Debt (1.63b) to EBITDA (408.4m): 4.00 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.54 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.7m) vs 12m ago -1.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.17% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 2395 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.67% > 50% (prev 67.12%; Δ 6.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.12 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 408.4m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m) |
Altman Z'' 1.06
| A: -0.10 (Total Current Assets 454.7m - Total Current Liabilities 841.1m) / Total Assets 3.88b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 937.4m / Total Assets 3.88b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 317.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.90b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 890.0m / Total Liabilities 2.46b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.06 = BB |
Beneish M -3.07
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 246.7m/231.5m, Revenue 2.87b/2.63b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 24.17% / 22.64%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.55) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 2.87b / 2.63b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 200.5m - CFO 323.4m) / TA 3.88b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of BFAM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.07%, over one month by -15.90%, over three months by -12.03% and over the past year by -29.33%.
Is BFAM a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the BFAM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 127.3 | 47.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 127.3 | 47.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 81 | -5.9% |
BFAM Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.301
P/S = 1.7443
P/B = 3.4924
P/EG = 1.76
Revenue TTM = 2.87b USD
EBIT TTM = 317.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 408.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 747.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 276.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.63b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.65b USD (5.01b + Debt 1.75b - CCE 116.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.12 (Ebit TTM 317.4m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m)
EV/FCF = 28.58x (Enterprise Value 6.65b / FCF TTM 232.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.50% (FCF TTM 232.5m / Enterprise Value 6.65b)
FCF Margin = 8.09% (FCF TTM 232.5m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Net Margin = 6.98% (Net Income TTM 200.5m / Revenue TTM 2.87b)
Gross Margin = 24.17% ((Revenue TTM 2.87b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.90% (prev 24.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.71 (Enterprise Value 6.65b / Total Assets 3.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 12.2m / Debt 1.75b)
Taxrate = 27.69% (30.1m / 108.6m)
NOPAT = 229.5m (EBIT 317.4m * (1 - 27.69%))
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 454.7m / Total Current Liabilities 841.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 1.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.00 (Net Debt 1.63b / EBITDA 408.4m)
Debt / FCF = 7.02 (Net Debt 1.63b / FCF TTM 232.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.14% (Net Income 200.5m / Total Assets 3.88b)
RoE = 14.77% (Net Income TTM 200.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.36b)
RoCE = 15.08% (EBIT 317.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.36b + L.T.Debt 747.5m))
RoIC = 10.10% (NOPAT 229.5m / Invested Capital 2.27b)
WACC = 6.40% (E(5.01b)/V(6.76b) * Re(8.46%) + D(1.75b)/V(6.76b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.55% ; FCFF base≈225.9m ; Y1≈255.3m ; Y5≈345.3m
Fair Price DCF = 124.9 (EV 8.69b - Net Debt 1.63b = Equity 7.06b / Shares 56.6m; r=6.40% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.15% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 21.34 | EPS CAGR: -40.72% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.24 | Revenue CAGR: 15.78% | SUE: 2.00 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.10 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+12.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.7%